Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TFIN in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TFIN insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFIN in Gekko
NYSE: TFIN
Triumph Financial (TFIN) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$63.15+0.62 (+1.0%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeTriumph Financial's only headline this week confirms the schedule for third-quarter results, due after market close on 21 October, with a conference call the following morning. There is no new operational, regulatory or deal news beyond this scheduling announcement.
TFIN closes at $63.15, up 1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $68.72 and 200-day average of $67.48, a trend picture that is mixed. Shares have fallen 19.3% over three months and 4.4% over one month, though they remain up 30.4% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 63.4, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $72.42, putting the current price 12.8% below that level.
Earnings arrive on 21 October, eight days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and historically producing an average absolute reaction of 6.1%, with beats in 6 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 14.7% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus across 5 firms includes 2 buy and 3 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $77.60.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Triumph Financial price vs fair value
Close $63.15200-day averageGekko Fair Value $72.42
Triumph Financial quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.51B
- P/E ratio
- 42.3
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- $1.48
- Revenue, TTM
- $454.6M
- Profit margin
- 8.5%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.53
- Volume
- 187,159 avg 243,075
- 1-year return
- +30.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
- 50-day average
- $68.72
- 200-day average
- $67.48
- Next earnings
- Oct 21
- Shares outstanding
- 23.89M
Triumph Financial swing-trade checklist
Triumph Financial scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $63.15 sits between the 50-day ($68.72) and 200-day ($67.48) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
63.4, Accumulation
Reading 63.4 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
12.8% below
Price is 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 9 days
Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+14.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +14.7% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Triumph Financial stock chart and price history
Triumph Financial closed at $63.15 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $46.43 to $83.52.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.4%
- 3 months
- −19.3%
- 6 months
- +2.2%
- 1 year
- +30.4%
The full TFIN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TFIN in Gekko
Follow Triumph Financial through every session
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About Triumph Financial
Triumph Financial builds its business around payments, factoring, and banking services, with much of its work tailored to companies that move freight by truck. For trucking clients, it handles things like factoring invoices, offering fuel discounts, insuring trucks and cargo, financing equipment, and supplying everyday banking and treasury support. This focus on the trucking sector is a defining part of how the company is known.
The company also serves customers outside of trucking, offering factoring arrangements, various insurance products, equipment financing, and loans secured against assets. It carries out these activities across a handful of subsidiaries, including TriumphPay, Triumph, and TBK Bank, each covering a different piece of the overall business. Before taking its current name in December 2022, the company was known as Triumph Bancorp, Inc.
Triumph Financial traces its founding back to 1981 and operates out of Dallas, Texas. Its stock is listed on the NYSE under the ticker TFIN.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Savings banks
- Website
- triumph.io
Triumph Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Triumph Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.3 points over five sessions.
63.4Accumulation
Down 3.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 74 | −0.9% | −2.1% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 209 | +0.7% | +1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 376 | 0.0% | −0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 19 | −1.8% | −2.9% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TFIN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TFIN price, zone by zone.Track TFIN in Gekko
Is Triumph Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Triumph Financial trades 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.42, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Triumph Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$72.42
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
12.8% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 13.7% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TFIN in Gekko
Triumph Financial insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Triumph Financial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TFIN were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TFIN, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TFIN in Gekko
Buybacks
Triumph Financial has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $2.13M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.14%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TFIN.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Triumph Financial earnings: next date and track record
Triumph Financial reports on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 21, 2026
9 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.60
- Revenue estimate
- $123.1M
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Triumph Financial (TFIN) reported an outstanding Q2, with management citing material expansion in core initiatives supported by favorable freight market tailwinds. The freight invoice environment has improved to ~$2,200, up from the $1,800 baseline used in original targets, implying ~$0.20-$0.25 incremental EPS upside to the 4Q '26 run-rate guide. Management targets ~$99M in Q3 expenses and ~$98M in Q4, reflecting continued cost discipline. The payments and data value chain is showing market validation.
- Guidance
- Original 4Q '26 EPS target of ~$0.50-$2.00 run rate was based on $1,800 freight invoice prices; current $2,200 environment adds ~$0.20-$0.25 incremental upside. Q3 expense target is ~$99M, Q4 ~$98M. Transportation revenue growth expected to exceed mid-teens factoring guidance for Q4.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | $0.44 est $0.44 | $120.2M est $114.7M | +4.1% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | $0.23 est $0.15 | $105.8M est $107.3M | −5.9% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $0.77 est $0.30 | $106.2M est $110.7M | −5.6% |
| Oct 15, 2025 | $0.19 est −$0.04 | $109.3M est $110.9M | +6.1% |
| Jul 16, 2025 | $0.15 est $0.05 | $108.1M est $111.4M | −0.3% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $0.04 est $0.04 | $101.6M est $104.5M | −5.0% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $0.13 est $0.25 | $103.5M est $108.4M | −13.6% |
| Oct 16, 2024 | $0.19 est $0.18 | $106.0M est $107.2M | +7.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Triumph Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Triumph Financial is $77.60, +22.9% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$77.60consensus 12-month target, +22.9% from the last close
Now $63.15Avg $77.60
Low $82High $88
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | B. Riley Securities | $82 | +29.8% |
| Sep 25 | Raymond James | $84 | +33.0% |
| Jul 29 | D.A. Davidson | $82 | +29.8% |
| Jul 24 | B. Riley Securities | $82 | +29.8% |
| Jul 23 | Stephens | $88 | +39.4% |
+1.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+14.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Triumph Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Triumph Financial averaged +14.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +6.2% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +7.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +9.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +14.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +18.0% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, TFIN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.5%.
Triumph Financial market cap and key statistics
Triumph Financial’s market cap is $1.51B, with a P/E ratio of 42.3 and revenue of $454.6M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.51B
- P/E ratio
- 42.3
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- $1.48
- Gekko Fair Value
- $72.42
Trading
- Volume
- 187,159
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 243,075
- 52-week high
- $83.52
- 52-week low
- $46.43
- Shares outstanding
- 23.89M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $454.6M
- Profit margin
- 8.5%
- Return on equity
- 4.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +193.3%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.53
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.5%
Triumph Financial stock news this week
1 headline about Triumph Financial from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
Triumph Financial peers
Triumph Financial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| WBSWebster Financial | Neutral | 1.7% above |
| TFSLTFS Financial | Accumulation | 8.3% below |
| WSFSWSFS Financial | Accumulation | 8.3% below |
| PFSProvident Financial Services | Accumulation | 12.1% below |
| CLBKColumbia Financial | Accumulation | 13.0% below |
| NWBINorthwest Bancshares | Accumulation | 5.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Triumph Financial stock FAQ
What is Triumph Financial’s market cap?
Triumph Financial’s market cap is $1.51B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.15, with 23.89M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 42.3.
What is the Triumph Financial stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Triumph Financial is $77.60, +22.9% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Triumph Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Triumph Financial is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $63.15 is 12.8% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.42. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Triumph Financial report earnings next?
Triumph Financial is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.60 per share on revenue of $123.1M. Triumph Financial beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.1% on average across the report.
What is Triumph Financial’s 52-week high and low?
Triumph Financial’s 52-week high is $83.52 and its 52-week low is $46.43; it closed at $63.15 on Oct 12, 2026, +30.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $136.01 on Dec 7, 2021.
Is Triumph Financial stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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