Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SMTC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every SMTC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SMTC in Gekko
NASDAQ: SMTC
Semtech (SMTC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$174.78−7.52 (−4.1%)
Gekko Brief
AI summarySemtech's move this week centers on continued momentum in its data center and connectivity franchises alongside fresh analyst attention. Stifel reiterated a Buy rating and $188 price target, citing the company's strategic focus on Signal Integrity for data centers, LoRa for industrial IoT, and Proximity Sensing for high-end consumer applications. The company also expanded into higher-growth connectivity markets with a new 10G passive optical network chipset and additional LoRa Plus transceivers, while a partnership with Palo Alto Networks addresses zero trust security for industrial IoT. A director sale of 500 shares under a Rule 10b5-1 plan also appeared in coverage.
The stock closed at $174.78, down 4.1%, though it remains well above both its 50-day average of $141.95 and 200-day average of $114.72, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 51.2, placing it in the Neutral zone. Price sits 4% above Gekko Fair Value of $168.04.
Earnings are scheduled for 23 November, 55 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window. Options activity over the last 30 days shows 1 unusual signal, with put premium of $335,610 and no call premium recorded. Seasonality data going back 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -9.3%, positive in 1 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 14 buy ratings, 1 hold, and a consensus target of $208.67.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Semtech price vs fair value
Close $174.78200-day averageGekko Fair Value $168.04
Semtech quick facts
- Market cap
- $16.28B
- P/E ratio
- 115.6
- Forward P/E
- 53.2
- EPS, TTM
- $1.51
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.17B
- Profit margin
- 13.1%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 2.35
- Volume
- 2.74M avg 3.21M
- 1-year return
- +183.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.5%
- 50-day average
- $141.95
- 200-day average
- $114.72
- Next earnings
- Nov 23 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 93.33M
Semtech swing-trade checklist
Semtech scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $174.78 is above the 50-day ($141.95) and 200-day ($114.72) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
51.2, Neutral
Reading 51.2 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
4.0% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyheadwind
Leans bearish
Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 55 days
Next report Nov 23, 2026, 55 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−9.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −9.3% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Semtech stock chart and price history
Semtech closed at $174.78 on Sep 28, 2026, +183.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.28 to $190.64.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +22.7%
- 3 months
- +11.9%
- 6 months
- +142.2%
- 1 year
- +183.6%
The full SMTC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SMTC in Gekko
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About Semtech
Semtech builds analog and mixed-signal chips, bundled with related software algorithms, for use in infrastructure, industrial, communications and consumer gear. Among its offerings are parts that keep optical and video data moving cleanly across networks, chips built for data centers, enterprise networking gear, passive optical networks and wireless base station transceivers, and technology aimed at broadcast and professional AV setups, including tools for sending video over IP. The company also has a name in protection circuitry, where filters, terminators and voltage suppressors work together to keep sensitive electronics safe from power surges.
On top of that, Semtech makes RF products for industrial, medical and communications applications, and sensing devices used in both industrial and everyday consumer settings. Its catalog further covers power management parts, ranging from switching and linear regulators to smart regulators, isolated switches and wireless charging components, all meant to manage and regulate electrical power inside devices. Buyers are largely original equipment manufacturers and their supply partners across enterprise computing, communications, consumer and industrial fields, and Semtech reaches them both directly and through outside sales representatives and distributors spanning North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and beyond.
The company dates back to 1960 and runs its operations out of Camarillo, California. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker SMTC.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Electronic technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Website
- semtech.com
Semtech GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Semtech’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 51.2, in the Neutral zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.
51.2Neutral
Up 4.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 14 | +0.4% | +11.1% | ||
| Accumulation | 119 | +2.6% | +12.3% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 473 | +2.4% | +7.8% | ||
| Distribution | 60 | −0.1% | +7.6% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average SMTC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SMTC price, zone by zone.Track SMTC in Gekko
Is Semtech stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Semtech trades 4.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $168.04, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Semtech shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$168.04
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
4.0% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SMTC in Gekko
Semtech insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Semtech, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in SMTC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for SMTC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SMTC in Gekko
Buybacks
Semtech has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Oct 26, 2025
- $217.8M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.34%
From company filings.
Unusual options activity last 30 days
1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.
Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 19, $336K in unusual premium.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold SMTC.
1added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko
Semtech earnings: next date and track record
Semtech reports on Nov 23, 2026, after the close (55 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 23, 2026
Expected after the close, 55 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.06
- Revenue estimate
- $410.6M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 25, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Semtech reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $342 million, up 33% year-over-year, with EPS of $0.71 growing 73% YoY. Data center revenue hit a record $100 million, up 91% YoY, driven by 800G and 1.6T CopperEdge and FiberEdge products. The company announced the sale of its cellular module business to sharpen focus on core growth areas. Infrastructure net sales reached $124 million, up 69% YoY.
- Guidance
- Management expects H2 momentum to carry into FY2028, with FiberEdge projected to exceed 50% market share by fiscal year-end. CopperEdge linear equalizers are positioned as the de facto industry standard with design-ins up to 3.2T bandwidth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | $0.71 est $0.61 | $341.9M est $328.7M | +16.5% |
| May 26, 2026 | $0.51 est $0.45 | $291.0M est $283.5M | +0.3% |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $0.44 est $0.43 | $274.4M est $273.2M | −6.6% |
| Nov 24, 2025 | $0.48 est $0.44 | $267.0M est $266.4M | +12.4% |
| Aug 25, 2025 | $0.41 est $0.40 | $257.6M est $264.7M | +14.9% |
| May 27, 2025 | $0.38 est $0.37 | $251.1M est $250.1M | −0.7% |
| Mar 13, 2025 | $0.40 est $0.32 | $251.0M est $249.3M | +17.0% |
| Nov 25, 2024 | $0.26 est $0.23 | $236.8M est $232.9M | +24.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Semtech stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Semtech is $208.67, +19.4% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$208.67consensus 12-month target, +19.4% from the last close
Now $174.78Avg $208.67
Low $155High $300
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Oppenheimer | — | — |
| Sep 22 | Seaport Global | $200 | +14.4% |
| Sep 18 | Morgan Stanley | $195 | +11.6% |
| Sep 14 | StoneX | $230 | +31.6% |
| Sep 9 | BMO Capital | $155 | −11.3% |
+7.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−9.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Semtech seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Semtech averaged −9.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −6.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −5.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −9.3% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −4.2% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, SMTC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.5%.
Semtech market cap and key statistics
Semtech’s market cap is $16.28B, with a P/E ratio of 115.6 and revenue of $1.17B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $16.28B
- P/E ratio
- 115.6
- Forward P/E
- 53.2
- EPS, TTM
- $1.51
- Gekko Fair Value
- $168.04
Trading
- Volume
- 2.74M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 3.21M
- 52-week high
- $190.64
- 52-week low
- $60.28
- Shares outstanding
- 93.33M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.17B
- Profit margin
- 13.1%
- Return on equity
- 23.7%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +22.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 2.35
- Typical daily move
- ±6.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±11.5%
Semtech stock news this week
Coverage of Semtech this week reads positive: 7 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- At $172.61 a share, a Semtech (SMTC) director sold stock under a trading plan.Stock Titan, Sep 26
- Semtech (SMTC) Up 20.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?Zacks Investment Research, Sep 24
- $100 Invested In Semtech 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much TodayBenzinga, Sep 24
- Semtech (SMTC) Is Expanding Into Higher-Growth Connectivity Markets. Can the New Products Drive Meaningful Upside?Yahoo Finance, Sep 24
- Nykredit A S Invests $557,000 in Semtech Corporation $SMTCDefense World, Sep 24
- Semtech and Palo Alto Networks Secure Industrial IoT with Zero TrustGuruFocus, Sep 23
Semtech peers
Semtech’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| NVDANVIDIA | Neutral | 13.2% below |
| AVGOBroadcom | Accumulation | 2.3% below |
| MUMicron Technology | Neutral | 4.7% above |
| AMDAdvanced Micro Devices | Neutral | 19.9% above |
| INTCIntel | Neutral | 19.1% above |
| TXNTexas Instruments | Neutral | 7.4% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Semtech stock FAQ
What is Semtech’s market cap?
Semtech’s market cap is $16.28B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.78, with 93.33M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 115.6.
What is the Semtech stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Semtech is $208.67, +19.4% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 14 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Semtech stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Semtech is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $174.78 is 4.0% above Gekko Fair Value of $168.04. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Semtech report earnings next?
Semtech is expected to report on Nov 23, 2026, after the market closes (55 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $410.6M. Semtech beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.6% on average across the report.
What is Semtech’s 52-week high and low?
Semtech’s 52-week high is $190.64 and its 52-week low is $60.28; it closed at $174.78 on Sep 28, 2026, +183.6% over the past year.
Is Semtech stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (smart money and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
Is there unusual options activity in Semtech?
Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Semtech over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $336K in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 19, 2026 with $336K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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