NASDAQ: NVTS

Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$9.99−0.79 (−7.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Navitas Semiconductor moves this week on a cluster of AI-infrastructure news: a collaboration with NVIDIA on an 800 V-to-12 V power delivery board for next-generation AI infrastructure, and an alliance with Microchip on an 800V-to-6V design targeting up to 96% efficiency for AI data centers. The company also closed its acquisition of Claros, a move described as expanding its AI power delivery portfolio from grid to xPU. Despite this flow of product and deal news, shares dropped 7.2% during the week, with one report noting volume well below the average daily volume of 23,299,379 shares.

NVTS closes at $9.99, down 7.3%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $12.09 and 200-day average of $13.31, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is -14.1% and three-month return is -23.7%, against a 52-week range of $6.85 to $34.17. The GekkoIndex reads 69.3, placing NVTS in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.89.

Earnings are set for 2 November 2026 after close, 21 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed a loss of $0.08 per share versus a $0.10 estimate, with an average absolute reaction of 14% across recent quarters. Smart-money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in their respective windows, though one billionaire holder is noted. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +3.5%, rising in just 1 of those years. Analyst coverage spans 5 firms with 1 buy, 3 hold, and 1 sell, and a consensus target of $14.07.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Navitas Semiconductor price vs fair value

$12.89$9.99Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $9.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $12.89

Navitas Semiconductor quick facts

Market cap
$2.61B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
−$1.34
Revenue, TTM
$36.54M
Profit margin
0%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
3.96
Volume
20.63M avg 15.70M
1-year return
+24.9%
Typical daily move
±8%
Typical 20-day move
±17.3%
50-day average
$12.09
200-day average
$13.31
Next earnings
Nov 2 after close
Shares outstanding
262.6M
52-week range
$6.85$34.17

Navitas Semiconductor swing-trade checklist

Navitas Semiconductor scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $9.99 is below the 50-day ($12.09) and 200-day ($13.31) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.3, Accumulation

    Reading 69.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    22.5% below

    Price is 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Nov 2, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.5% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Navitas Semiconductor stock chart and price history

Navitas Semiconductor closed at $9.99 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $6.85 to $34.17.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Navitas Semiconductor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct9.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.1%
3 months
−23.7%
6 months
+1.7%
1 year
+24.9%
The full NVTS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NVTS in Gekko

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Navitas Semiconductor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Navitas Semiconductor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 14.1 points over five sessions.

010069.3Accumulation

Up 14.1 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying45+7.6%+12.5%+9.4%+18.0%
Accumulation (current zone)289+0.5%+2.5%+7.9%+36.9%
Neutral300+2.9%+5.0%+12.5%+21.4%
Distribution39+4.3%+5.9%0.0%−9.2%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average NVTS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVTS price, zone by zone.Track NVTS in Gekko

Is Navitas Semiconductor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Navitas Semiconductor trades 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.89, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Navitas Semiconductor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$12.89

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

22.5% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$13$11Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVTS in Gekko

Navitas Semiconductor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Navitas Semiconductor, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for NVTS in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every NVTS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVTS in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in NVTS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for NVTS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVTS in Gekko

Buybacks

Navitas Semiconductor has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2022
$550K
As a share of market cap
0.02%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NVTS.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Navitas Semiconductor earnings: next date and track record

Navitas Semiconductor reports on Nov 2, 2026, after the close (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.

2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±14%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.5%Nov ’24−24.6%Feb ’25−6.8%May ’25−14.9%Aug ’25−22.3%Nov ’25+21.7%Feb ’26+4.8%May ’26−8.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 27, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Navitas reported Q2 2026 revenue of $10.5M, up 22% sequentially, driven by high-power market growth exceeding 50% year-over-year. The company is executing its Navitas 2.0 transformation, shifting away from mobile/consumer toward AI infrastructure and grid energy. GaN and SiC both contributed to sequential growth. Gross margins expanded due to favorable product mix shift toward higher-value, high-power products. Record book-to-bill supports continued momentum.
Guidance
Management expects continued double-digit quarterly revenue growth through H2 2026, with Q3 marking a return to year-over-year growth. Full-year guidance targets mid-single-digit revenue growth, with AI infrastructure representing over one-third of total sales by year-end.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 27, 2026−$0.08
est −$0.10
+20.0%$10.53M
est $9.97M
+5.6%−8.3%
May 5, 2026−$0.04
est −$0.05
+20.0%$8.60M
est $8.22M
+4.6%+4.8%
Feb 24, 2026−$0.05
est −$0.05
0.0%$7.30M
est $6.94M
+5.1%+21.7%
Nov 3, 2025−$0.05
est −$0.05
0.0%$10.11M
est $6.95M
+45.6%−22.3%
Aug 4, 2025−$0.05
est −$0.05
0.0%$14.49M
est $15.58M
−7.0%−14.9%
May 5, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.06
0.0%$14.02M
est $15.01M
−6.6%−6.8%
Feb 24, 2025−$0.06
est −$0.06
0.0%$17.98M
est $19.03M
−5.5%−24.6%
Nov 4, 2024−$0.06
est −$0.06
0.0%$21.68M
est $19.03M
+13.9%−8.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Navitas Semiconductor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Navitas Semiconductor is $14.07, +40.8% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.07consensus 12-month target, +40.8% from the last close
Low $12.60High $21
Buy1
Hold3
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 29Morgan StanleySell, maintained$12.60+26.1%
Sep 29Craig-HallumHold, maintained——
Jul 28Morgan StanleySell, reiterated$12.60+26.1%
Jul 28NeedhamBuy, reiterated$21+110.2%
Jul 28Morgan StanleySell, maintained$12.60+26.1%
+7.9%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Navitas Semiconductor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Navitas Semiconductor averaged +3.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+38.1%2021−3.3%2022−5.2%2023−8.7%2024−4.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+19.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+13.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+14.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.5%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.8%3 of 5

For scale, NVTS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 17.3%.

Navitas Semiconductor market cap and key statistics

Navitas Semiconductor’s market cap is $2.61B and revenue of $36.54M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.61B
EPS, TTM
−$1.34
Gekko Fair Value
$12.89

Trading

Volume
20.63M
Avg volume, 20 days
15.70M
52-week high
$34.17
52-week low
$6.85
Shares outstanding
262.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$36.54M
Profit margin
0%
Return on equity
-52.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
3.96
Typical daily move
±8%
Typical 20-day move
±17.3%

Navitas Semiconductor stock news this week

Coverage of Navitas Semiconductor this week reads positive: 6 positive, 2 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Navitas Semiconductor peers

Navitas Semiconductor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
NVDANVIDIA−1.0%Neutral14.8% below
AVGOBroadcom−1.3%Neutral1.3% below
MUMicron Technology−1.3%Accumulation27.3% below
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices−0.9%Neutral13.2% above
INTCIntel−1.1%Accumulation1.5% above
TXNTexas Instruments+0.4%Neutral8.2% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Navitas Semiconductor stock FAQ

What is Navitas Semiconductor’s market cap?

Navitas Semiconductor’s market cap is $2.61B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.99, with 262.6M shares outstanding.

What is the Navitas Semiconductor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Navitas Semiconductor is $14.07, +40.8% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Navitas Semiconductor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Navitas Semiconductor is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.99 is 22.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $12.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Navitas Semiconductor report earnings next?

Navitas Semiconductor is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026, after the market closes (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.04 per share on revenue of $13.50M. Navitas Semiconductor beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 14% on average across the report.

What is Navitas Semiconductor’s 52-week high and low?

Navitas Semiconductor’s 52-week high is $34.17 and its 52-week low is $6.85; it closed at $9.99 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.9% over the past year.

Is Navitas Semiconductor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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