NASDAQ: VSAT

ViaSat (VSAT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$71.65−1.37 (−1.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

ViaSat's week centers on defense contract momentum and analyst attention. Inmarsat Government, a Viasat subsidiary, secured a $42 million task order under the Marine Enterprise Commercial Satcom Satellite Services contract, part of a seven-year IDIQ arrangement with a $307 million ceiling from the U.S. Space Force Commercial Satellite Communications Office. Separately, Argus raised its price target for VSAT to $79.00, and coverage has compared the company against peer Extreme Networks. A Form 4 filing was also noted this week, alongside CFO Chase Garrett L.'s sale of 4,000 shares totaling approximately $308,000 under a prearranged trading plan.

VSAT closed at $71.65, down 1.9%, sitting between its 50-day average of $75.30 and 200-day average of $60.18. The GekkoIndex reads 59.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price sits 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.75. Over the past year the stock has returned 148.8%, though the 3-month return shows a decline of 6.6%.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 6 November 2026 after close, 38 days away and outside a typical 20-day holding window. The last quarter showed an EPS beat, with actual results of $0.03 against a $-0.06 estimate, alongside record new awards near $1.3 billion and backlog growth near $4.2 billion. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 9.4% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, though gains occurred in only 2 of those years. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 1 hold ratings among 4 firms, with a consensus target of $103.94.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

ViaSat price vs fair value

$86.75$71.65Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $71.65200-day averageGekko Fair Value $86.75

ViaSat quick facts

Market cap
$9.87B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
144.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.20
Revenue, TTM
$4.63B
Profit margin
-0.6%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.70
Volume
1.32M avg 1.68M
1-year return
+148.8%
Typical daily move
±5.4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%
50-day average
$75.30
200-day average
$60.18
Next earnings
Nov 6 after close
Shares outstanding
137.8M
52-week range
$26.10$93.03

ViaSat swing-trade checklist

ViaSat scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $71.65 sits between the 50-day ($75.30) and 200-day ($60.18) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.8, Neutral

    Reading 59.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.4% below

    Price is 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 38 days

    Next report Nov 6, 2026, 38 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +9.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

ViaSat stock chart and price history

ViaSat closed at $71.65 on Sep 28, 2026, +148.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $26.10 to $93.03.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
ViaSat share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$40$60$80NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep71.65

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−1.5%
3 months
−6.6%
6 months
+53.8%
1 year
+148.8%
The full VSAT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VSAT in Gekko

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About ViaSat

ViaSat provides broadband and communications products and services to customers around the world. It supplies satellite-based internet and voice-over-IP connections to homes and businesses, in-flight entertainment systems and aviation software for airlines, and internet access for communities. It also serves the maritime sector, offering broadband to offshore energy vessels, cruise ships, ferries and private yachts, along with secure connectivity and data analytics tools built for energy applications.

The company runs through two main areas. One handles these satellite-based services for consumers, aviation, maritime and energy clients. The other, focused on commercial networks, designs and builds fixed and mobile satellite communication systems, ground terminals, and antennas used in earth imaging, remote sensing and multi-band communications. This side of the business also covers engineering work for satellites and ground systems, production of specialized chips, network virtualization support, and design work for satellites operating in geostationary, medium and low earth orbits.

ViaSat was founded in 1986 and is based in Carlsbad, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker VSAT.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Telecommunications equipment
Website
viasat.com

ViaSat GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

ViaSat’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.8, in the Neutral zone, up 5.6 points over five sessions.

010059.8Neutral

Up 5.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying47−0.6%−0.7%−3.4%−7.5%
Accumulation201+2.7%+3.0%+6.9%+17.0%
Neutral (current zone)389+1.3%+3.2%+6.8%+18.5%
Distribution32−0.8%+3.1%+3.6%+58.1%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average VSAT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VSAT price, zone by zone.Track VSAT in Gekko

Is ViaSat stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

ViaSat trades 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what ViaSat shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$86.75

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

17.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VSAT in Gekko

ViaSat insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ViaSat, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for VSAT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every VSAT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VSAT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in VSAT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for VSAT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VSAT in Gekko

Buybacks

ViaSat has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$28.73M
As a share of market cap
0.29%
Trailing four quarters
$42.39M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold VSAT.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

ViaSat earnings: next date and track record

ViaSat reports on Nov 6, 2026, after the close (38 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±11.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−9.7%Nov ’24+23.3%Feb ’25−6.5%May ’25+37.2%Aug ’25+4.2%Nov ’25+5.1%Feb ’26−5.8%May ’26−0.3%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Viasat reported Q1 FY2027 results with mixed but constructive outcomes: record new awards (~$1.3B, +10%) and backlog growth (~$4.2B, +19%), positive free cash flow of $72M (up 19%), 10% growth in government SATCOM services, and notable DAT (Defense & Advanced Technologies) momentum including the PTS-G award. Revenue was $1.2B, down ~1% year-over-year (would have been flat excluding Navarino divestiture and declining IP licensing), adjusted EBITDA was $381M (down ~7%), and net loss narrowed to $52M. Management emphasized growth drivers: ViaSat-3 deployments, mobility markets (aviation, maritime, government), DAT/multi-orbit/dual-use solutions, Equatys future constellation, and AI/autonomy opportunities (drones, unmanned systems). The strategic review of the DAT business remains ongoing; management reiterated its focus on delivering shareholder value and preserving DAT growth. Key near-term operational issues noted include spectrum uncertainty (S-band/L-band), maritime installation/logistics and distribution challenges, and the decline in IP licensing revenue. Overall tone from management was confident and forward-looking while acknowledging some execution and external risks.
Guidance
No specific numeric FY27 guidance was provided on the call. Management provided directional expectations: continued DAT-led growth, momentum from ViaSat-3 deployments, positive free cash flow trends, and confidence in the strategy. PTS-G contract has a reported $4B ceiling value (with backlog reflecting only firm delivery orders).
Risks flagged
Spectrum uncertainty (S-band/L-band regulatory/market access risks), elongation/uncertainty of the strategic review, logistics and distribution challenges impacting maritime installs, declining IP licensing revenue, competitive pressure across GEO/LEO/MSS operators, and geopolitical/market volatility impacting defense/commercial demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 4, 2026$0.03
est −$0.06
+150.0%$1.16B
est $1.20B
−3.6%−0.3%
May 28, 2026−$0.02
est $0.32
−106.2%$1.17B
est $1.20B
−2.0%−5.8%
Feb 5, 2026$0.65
est −$0.10
+750.0%$1.16B
est $1.17B
−0.9%+5.1%
Nov 7, 2025$0.09
est −$0.06
+250.0%$1.14B
est $1.15B
−0.6%+4.2%
Aug 5, 2025$0.17
est −$0.05
+440.0%$1.17B
est $1.12B
+4.3%+37.2%
May 20, 2025−$0.02
est $0.03
−166.7%$1.15B
est $1.13B
+1.4%−6.5%
Feb 6, 2025$0.11
est $0.05
+120.0%$1.12B
est $1.14B
−1.3%+23.3%
Nov 6, 2024−$0.23
est −$0.09
−155.6%$1.12B
est $1.11B
+1.4%−9.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

ViaSat stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for ViaSat is $103.94, +45.1% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$103.94consensus 12-month target, +45.1% from the last close
Low $95High $130
Buy3
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 18Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$95+32.6%
Sep 2William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 10Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$95+32.6%
Aug 6J.P. MorganBuy, maintained$130+81.4%
Aug 5NeedhamBuy, maintained$105+46.5%
+6.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±5.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

ViaSat seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, ViaSat averaged +9.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.3%2021+27.6%2022−1.9%2023−13.5%2024+37.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+6.8%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+11.1%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.4%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.2%3 of 5

For scale, VSAT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 12.3%.

ViaSat market cap and key statistics

ViaSat’s market cap is $9.87B and revenue of $4.63B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$9.87B
Forward P/E
144.9
EPS, TTM
−$0.20
Gekko Fair Value
$86.75

Trading

Volume
1.32M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.68M
52-week high
$93.03
52-week low
$26.10
Shares outstanding
137.8M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.63B
Profit margin
-0.6%
Return on equity
0.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+35.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.70
Typical daily move
±5.4%
Typical 20-day move
±12.3%

ViaSat stock news this week

Coverage of ViaSat this week reads positive: 8 positive, 6 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

ViaSat peers

ViaSat’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AAPLApple−0.6%Neutral28.2% above
CSCOCisco Systems+0.2%Accumulation7.2% above
MSIMotorola Solutions−0.4%Accumulation0.6% above
GRMNGarmin+0.8%Neutral21.3% above
CIENCiena−2.3%Accumulation13.6% below
UIUbiquiti−0.8%Accumulation5.0% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

ViaSat stock FAQ

What is ViaSat’s market cap?

ViaSat’s market cap is $9.87B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $71.65, with 137.8M shares outstanding.

What is the ViaSat stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for ViaSat is $103.94, +45.1% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is ViaSat stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate ViaSat is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $71.65 is 17.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $86.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does ViaSat report earnings next?

ViaSat is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026, after the market closes (38 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.42 per share on revenue of $1.20B. ViaSat beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 11.5% on average across the report.

What is ViaSat’s 52-week high and low?

ViaSat’s 52-week high is $93.03 and its 52-week low is $26.10; it closed at $71.65 on Sep 28, 2026, +148.8% over the past year.

Is ViaSat stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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