NYSE: ARLO

Arlo Technologies (ARLO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$12.11−0.29 (−2.3%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

Arlo Technologies closed at $12.11 on 12 October 2026, -2.3% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($13.44) and 200-day ($13.46) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $11.05 to $19.94. The GekkoIndex reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $14.99, so the price is 19.2% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 5 November 2026, 24 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 7 times, with an average move of 12.8% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +0.7% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

6 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $21.00. A typical daily move is about 4.3%, and a typical 20-day move about 9.5%. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 items read supportive and 2 read as a headwind (trend, earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

Arlo Technologies price vs fair value

$14.99$12.11Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $12.11200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.99

Arlo Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$1.32B
P/E ratio
43.4
Forward P/E
13.8
EPS, TTM
$0.28
Revenue, TTM
$587.1M
Profit margin
5.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.60
Volume
1.54M avg 1.36M
1-year return
−30.2%
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.5%
50-day average
$13.44
200-day average
$13.46
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
107.6M
52-week range
$11.05$19.94

Arlo Technologies swing-trade checklist

Arlo Technologies scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.11 is below the 50-day ($13.44) and 200-day ($13.46) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    64.1, Accumulation

    Reading 64.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.2% below

    Price is 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 24 days

    Reports on Nov 5, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Arlo Technologies stock chart and price history

Arlo Technologies closed at $12.11 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.05 to $19.94.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Arlo Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$14$16$18NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.11

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−8.2%
3 months
−8.2%
6 months
−11.7%
1 year
−30.2%
The full ARLO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open ARLO in Gekko

Follow Arlo Technologies through every session

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About Arlo Technologies

Arlo Technologies builds a connected home security system that pairs cloud software and a mobile app with a range of internet-linked cameras and related devices. It is known for its lineup of smart cameras, including indoor and outdoor models, floodlight and doorbell cameras, and a baby monitor with sensor and night vision features, sold alongside mounts, chargers and other accessories. The company serves customers across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific who want to monitor their homes remotely.

Hardware sales are paired with the Arlo app, which connects devices for iOS and Android users, and with Arlo Secure, a subscription service that adds extended camera coverage and emergency response tools. Products reach customers through retail stores, wholesale and wireless carrier partners, broadcast channels, security specialists, and Arlo's own website, combining direct and third-party distribution.

Arlo Technologies was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker ARLO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Electronic technology
Industry
Telecommunications equipment
Website
arlo.com

Arlo Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Arlo Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.4 points over five sessions.

010064.1Accumulation

Up 1.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying180.0%+2.5%+2.7%+16.3%
Accumulation (current zone)250+0.9%+2.0%+4.0%+9.3%
Neutral351+0.7%+1.1%+1.8%+0.9%
Distribution51−2.5%−3.3%−4.0%+0.9%
Selling12+1.2%+0.3%+5.4%+21.9%

Average ARLO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the ARLO price, zone by zone.Track ARLO in Gekko

Is Arlo Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Arlo Technologies trades 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.99, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Arlo Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$14.99

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 14.8% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$15$12Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open ARLO in Gekko

Arlo Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Arlo Technologies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for ARLO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every ARLO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARLO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in ARLO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for ARLO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open ARLO in Gekko

Buybacks

Arlo Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
$22.94M
As a share of market cap
1.74%
Trailing four quarters
$59.73M

From company filings.

Arlo Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Arlo Technologies reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±12.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.3%Nov ’24+21.0%Feb ’25+19.5%May ’25+3.8%Aug ’25−16.3%Nov ’25+31.7%Feb ’26+4.7%May ’26−4.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 6, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Arlo delivered record Q2 2026 results with total revenue of $156M (up 20% YoY), service revenue of $93M (up 19% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA of $31M (up 70% YoY). Paid accounts reached 6.3M with ~300K additions in the quarter. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.28 rose 65% YoY. Lifetime value per paid account increased 15% YoY to $967, driven by higher ARPU and lower churn.
Guidance
Arlo plans to launch Arlo Secure 7 at end of Q3 and a next-generation product line with Arlo Secure 8 in 2027. Management is testing care and small business segments to inform 2027 planning, targeting higher ARPU opportunities. Long-range target remains 10M paid accounts.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 6, 2026$0.28
est $0.20
+43.5%$155.9M
est $148.9M
+4.7%−4.4%
May 7, 2026$0.28
est $0.19
+47.4%$150.4M
est $139.7M
+7.6%+4.7%
Feb 26, 2026$0.22
est $0.16
+37.5%$141.3M
est $135.6M
+4.2%+31.7%
Nov 6, 2025$0.16
est $0.15
+6.7%$139.5M
est $135.6M
+2.9%−16.3%
Aug 7, 2025$0.17
est $0.16
+6.3%$129.4M
est $134.9M
−4.1%+3.8%
May 8, 2025$0.15
est $0.12
+25.0%$119.1M
est $118.4M
+0.6%+19.5%
Feb 27, 2025$0.10
est $0.10
0.0%$121.6M
est $121.4M
+0.2%+21.0%
Nov 7, 2024$0.11
est $0.10
+10.0%$137.7M
est $121.4M
+13.4%+1.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Arlo Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Arlo Technologies is $21.00, +73.4% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$21.00consensus 12-month target, +73.4% from the last close
Low $18High $25
Buy6
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 14Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$25+106.4%
Aug 7Lake StreetBuy, reiterated$24+98.2%
Aug 7Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$22+81.7%
Aug 7Roth MKMBuy, maintained$22+81.7%
Aug 7OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$20+65.2%
+4.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Arlo Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Arlo Technologies averaged +0.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+8.3%2021+2.6%2022−4.3%2023+13.2%2024−11.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.9%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.7%2 of 5

For scale, ARLO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.5%.

Arlo Technologies market cap and key statistics

Arlo Technologies’s market cap is $1.32B, with a P/E ratio of 43.4 and revenue of $587.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.32B
P/E ratio
43.4
Forward P/E
13.8
EPS, TTM
$0.28
Gekko Fair Value
$14.99

Trading

Volume
1.54M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.36M
52-week high
$19.94
52-week low
$11.05
Shares outstanding
107.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$587.1M
Profit margin
5.2%
Return on equity
22.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−6.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.60
Typical daily move
±4.3%
Typical 20-day move
±9.5%

Arlo Technologies stock news this week

Coverage of Arlo Technologies this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Arlo Technologies peers

Arlo Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
AAPLApple+0.8%Neutral29.3% above
CSCOCisco Systems−2.4%Neutral14.8% above
MSIMotorola Solutions+0.4%Accumulation1.2% below
CIENCiena−8.7%Neutral1.2% above
GRMNGarmin−0.2%Accumulation8.9% above
UIUbiquiti−5.1%Neutral14.9% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Arlo Technologies stock FAQ

What is Arlo Technologies’s market cap?

Arlo Technologies’s market cap is $1.32B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.11, with 107.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 43.4.

What is the Arlo Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Arlo Technologies is $21.00, +73.4% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Arlo Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Arlo Technologies is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $12.11 is 19.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.99. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Arlo Technologies report earnings next?

Arlo Technologies is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.20 per share on revenue of $144.9M. Arlo Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 12.8% on average across the report.

What is Arlo Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Arlo Technologies’s 52-week high is $19.94 and its 52-week low is $11.05; it closed at $12.11 on Oct 12, 2026, −30.2% over the past year.

Is Arlo Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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