NYSE: MHO

M/I Homes (MHO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$126.32−1.50 (−1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's trading in M/I Homes shows the stock declining, closing recently near $132 before moving to $126.32, a 2.05% move noted on 5 October. No specific results, guidance, deal or regulatory news accompanies the decline in the available coverage; one report on MHO stock forecasts from 10 October did not display substantive content.

M/I Homes trades at $126.32, below both its 50-day average of $143.66 and 200-day average of $138.17, reflecting a mixed trend. The stock has fallen 9.7% over one month and 14.7% over three months, though it remains up 1.8% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 70.5, placing the stock in the Buying zone. Price sits 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $155.10.

M/I Homes reports earnings on 21 October, eight days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 28 January showed EPS of $3.91 against an estimate of $3.88, with a 6% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 4 of the last 8 quarters, with average absolute reactions of 2.7%. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 3% return across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows, and consensus analyst targets stand at $170.67.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

M/I Homes price vs fair value

$155.10$126.32Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $126.32200-day averageGekko Fair Value $155.10

M/I Homes quick facts

Market cap
$3.19B
P/E ratio
10.9
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$11.91
Revenue, TTM
$4.26B
Profit margin
7.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.60
Volume
168,431 avg 195,663
1-year return
−5.0%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%
50-day average
$143.66
200-day average
$138.17
Next earnings
Oct 21
Shares outstanding
25.28M
52-week range
$116.78$163.66

M/I Homes swing-trade checklist

M/I Homes scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $126.32 sits between the 50-day ($143.66) and 200-day ($138.17) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70.5, Buying

    Reading 70.5 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    18.6% below

    Price is 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 9 days

    Reports on Oct 21, 2026, 9 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +3.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

M/I Homes stock chart and price history

M/I Homes closed at $126.32 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $116.78 to $163.66.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
M/I Homes share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$130$140$150$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct126.32

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.7%
3 months
−14.7%
6 months
+1.8%
1 year
−5.0%
The full MHO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MHO in Gekko

Follow M/I Homes through every session

Put MHO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About M/I Homes

M/I Homes builds single-family houses, including both detached homes and attached townhouses, across a wide stretch of the country that takes in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina and Tennessee. It handles the full process under its own brand, from designing and developing homes through to marketing and selling them, and it serves a range of buyers such as first-time owners, younger households, people moving up to larger homes, retirees, and buyers in the luxury segment.

The company works through three main parts of its business: Northern Homebuilding, Southern Homebuilding, and Financial Services. Beyond constructing homes, it buys undeveloped land and prepares it into building lots, which it either uses for its own projects or sells on to other builders. Its financial services arm supports buyers by arranging and selling mortgage loans, and also provides title insurance along with property examinations and closing services for purchasers of its homes.

The company traces back to Columbus, Ohio, where it was founded in 1976 under the name M/I Schottenstein Homes, Inc., before being renamed M/I Homes, Inc. in January 2004. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker MHO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
mihomes.com

M/I Homes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

M/I Homes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.5, in the Buying zone, up 1.5 points over five sessions.

010070.5Buying

Up 1.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)25−1.2%−1.8%+1.0%−3.6%
Accumulation264+0.4%+1.5%+2.1%+3.0%
Neutral363+0.1%−0.1%−0.1%+2.4%
Distribution28−1.1%−3.8%−2.4%−2.1%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average MHO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MHO price, zone by zone.Track MHO in Gekko

Is M/I Homes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

M/I Homes trades 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $155.10, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what M/I Homes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$155.10

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

18.6% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.3% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$155$128Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MHO in Gekko

M/I Homes insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for M/I Homes, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MHO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MHO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MHO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MHO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MHO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MHO in Gekko

Buybacks

M/I Homes has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$50.07M
As a share of market cap
1.57%
Trailing four quarters
$202.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MHO.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

M/I Homes earnings: next date and track record

M/I Homes reports on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.7%Apr ’24+0.1%Jul ’24−1.2%Oct ’24−3.9%Jan ’25−1.9%Apr ’25−1.8%Jul ’25−5.8%Oct ’25+6.0%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
A comprehensive HMF (homebuilder) earnings call featuring 2025 results, with discussion of deliveries, ASP, gross margins, impairments, land development activity, mortgage operations, and guidance for 2026. Prepared remarks highlight solid full-year performance in a choppy housing market, with 2025 gross margin of 23% (before $59M in charges) and 18.1% quarter margin including charges; 22.6% excluding charges. The company notes a 5% expected 2026 community count increase and ongoing capital allocation to land purchases and development. The Q&A covers regional performance (South strong, North modest), impairment rationale (lower-priced entry-level inventory), buy-down mortgage strategies, and flexibility in product design for new communities. Management acknowledges near-term margin pressure but sees potential stabilization in 2026; investors question margins, guidance, and seasonal demand signals. The overall tone is cautiously optimistic with acknowledgement of headwinds, particularly in entry-level pricing and margin compression, but with ongoing confidence in Florida growth and plans to expand community count and new stores. Key themes include robust pace of new community openings, ongoing land spend, and mortgage operations helping overall financial performance.
Risks flagged
Macro housing cycle volatility; affordability pressures; margin compression in 2025, potential continuation in 2026; reliance on land development and inventory management; impairment charges tied to entry-level communities; rate buy-down strategies dependent on market rates; weather impacts on construction and sales in Q4; sensitivity to regional market dynamics (Florida, Texas, etc.)
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 28, 2026$3.91
est $3.88
+0.8%$1.15B
est $1.11B
+3.3%+6.0%
Oct 22, 2025$4.14
est $4.36
−5.0%$1.13B
est $1.16B
−2.1%−5.8%
Jul 23, 2025$4.42
est $4.43
−0.2%$1.16B
est $1.16B
+0.6%−1.8%
Apr 23, 2025$3.98
est $4.16
−4.3%$976.1M
est $1.13B
−13.8%−1.9%
Jan 29, 2025$4.71
est $4.88
−3.5%$1.21B
est $1.15B
+4.8%−3.9%
Oct 30, 2024$5.10
est $4.94
+3.2%$1.14B
est $1.13B
+1.4%−1.2%
Jul 30, 2024$5.12
est $4.59
+11.5%$1.11B
est $1.06B
+4.9%+0.1%
Apr 24, 2024$4.78
est $3.96
+20.7%$1.04B
est $1.01B
+3.9%+0.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

M/I Homes stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for M/I Homes is $170.67, +35.1% from the last close.

$170.67consensus 12-month target, +35.1% from the last close
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+3.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

M/I Homes seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, M/I Homes averaged +3.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+2.3%2021−0.1%2022+15.3%2023+2.1%2024−1.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.8%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.0%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.5%4 of 5

For scale, MHO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.8%.

M/I Homes market cap and key statistics

M/I Homes’s market cap is $3.19B, with a P/E ratio of 10.9 and revenue of $4.26B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.19B
P/E ratio
10.9
Forward P/E
11.9
EPS, TTM
$11.91
Gekko Fair Value
$155.10

Trading

Volume
168,431
Avg volume, 20 days
195,663
52-week high
$163.66
52-week low
$116.78
Shares outstanding
25.28M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.26B
Profit margin
7.4%
Return on equity
10.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−31.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.60
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.8%

M/I Homes stock news this week

2 headlines about M/I Homes from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

M/I Homes peers

M/I Homes’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton+0.2%Accumulation2.8% below
PHMPulteGroup−0.5%Accumulation19.9% below
LEN.BLennar−3.0%Accumulation26.5% below
LENLennar−1.9%Accumulation25.1% below
NVRNVR−2.7%Accumulation13.4% below
TOLToll Brothers−0.1%Accumulation23.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

M/I Homes stock FAQ

What is M/I Homes’s market cap?

M/I Homes’s market cap is $3.19B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $126.32, with 25.28M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.9.

What is the M/I Homes stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for M/I Homes is $170.67, +35.1% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is M/I Homes stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate M/I Homes is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $126.32 is 18.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $155.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does M/I Homes report earnings next?

M/I Homes is expected to report on Oct 21, 2026 (9 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.25 per share on revenue of $1.11B. M/I Homes beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.7% on average across the report.

What is M/I Homes’s 52-week high and low?

M/I Homes’s 52-week high is $163.66 and its 52-week low is $116.78; it closed at $126.32 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $176.18 on Oct 16, 2024.

Is M/I Homes stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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