Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GRBK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GRBK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GRBK in Gekko
NYSE: GRBK
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$61.83−1.03 (−1.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeGreen Brick Partners has scheduled its third-quarter results for 28 October 2026, with CEO Jim Brickman holding a conference call the following day. The announcement follows a second quarter that saw revenue decline 8.70% YoY, though diluted earnings per share came in better than expected. Separately, two analysts currently rate the stock Hold.
GRBK closed at $61.83, down 1.6%, and sits below both its 50-day average of $69.24 and its 200-day average of $69.80, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. Shorter-term returns are negative across the board, with a one-month return of -9.6% and a three-month return of -14.5%. The GekkoIndex reads 70, placing the stock in the Buying zone, and the current price stands 15.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $72.84.
The next 20 trading days bring earnings on 28 October, 16 days away, which falls inside a typical holding window and follows a quarter where diluted EPS of $1.70 beat the $1.39 estimate, with the stock reacting -4.8% afterward. Across the last eight reported quarters, five have beaten estimates, with an average absolute reaction of 3.5%. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.2% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years, a mixed historical pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming report.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Green Brick Partners price vs fair value
Close $61.83200-day averageGekko Fair Value $72.84
Green Brick Partners quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.66B
- P/E ratio
- 9.6
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- $6.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.97B
- Profit margin
- 14.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.76
- Volume
- 332,412 avg 387,858
- 1-year return
- −3.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
- 50-day average
- $69.24
- 200-day average
- $69.80
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 43.01M
Green Brick Partners swing-trade checklist
Green Brick Partners scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $61.83 is below the 50-day ($69.24) and 200-day ($69.80) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70, Buying
Reading 70 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
15.1% below
Price is 15.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 16 days
Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+1.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Green Brick Partners stock chart and price history
Green Brick Partners closed at $61.83 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $60.44 to $83.18.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.6%
- 3 months
- −14.5%
- 6 months
- −8.8%
- 1 year
- −3.7%
The full GRBK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GRBK in Gekko
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About Green Brick Partners
Green Brick Partners builds homes and develops the land they sit on, covering everything from buying ground and clearing entitlements to design, construction, and even title and mortgage services for buyers. Its portfolio ranges from townhomes and patio homes to single-family houses and higher-end properties, placed in both existing neighborhoods and communities planned from the ground up.
The business runs through Central and Southeast homebuilding divisions plus a separate land development arm, and as of the end of 2021 it held or controlled around 28,600 lots in areas including Dallas-Fort Worth, metro Atlanta, and the Treasure Coast of Florida. Homes reach buyers both through the company's own sales staff and through outside real estate agents.
Founded in 2006, Green Brick Partners is headquartered in Plano, Texas, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker GRBK.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Homebuilding
- Website
- greenbrickpartners.com
Green Brick Partners GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Green Brick Partners’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70, in the Buying zone, up 4.7 points over five sessions.
70Buying
Up 4.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 20 | +0.5% | +6.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 231 | +0.8% | +2.3% | ||
| Neutral | 393 | +0.2% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 33 | −1.6% | 0.0% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GRBK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GRBK price, zone by zone.Track GRBK in Gekko
Is Green Brick Partners stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Green Brick Partners trades 15.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Green Brick Partners shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$72.84
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
15.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 2.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GRBK in Gekko
Green Brick Partners insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Green Brick Partners, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GRBK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GRBK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GRBK in Gekko
Buybacks
Green Brick Partners has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $150.0M, Dec 16, 2025
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $9.40M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.35%
From company filings.
Green Brick Partners earnings: next date and track record
Green Brick Partners reports on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
16 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.45
- Revenue estimate
- $469.4M
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Green Brick Partners reported mixed Q2 2026 results: net income declined 9.5% YoY to $74 million and diluted EPS fell 8% to $1.70. The company closed 1,047 homes with home closings revenue of $472 million and an average sales price of $450,000. Operational positives included a 19% YoY increase in net new orders (1,079), a 6% increase in average selling community count to 108, a 10% increase in monthly sales pace to 3.3, and low cancellation rates (7.8%). Homebuilding gross margins decreased 150 bps YoY to 29.8% but improved 90 bps sequentially; discounts/incentives rose to 8.8% of closings and were 9.1% on net new orders. Trophy Signature Homes drove order growth and represented an increased share of backlog (44% vs. 26% prior year), contributing to a lower average backlog ASP and lower overall closings revenue. Management announced an internal leadership change promoting Jed Dolson to Co-CEO effective October 15, 2026. Management emphasized a strong balance sheet, land strategy, diversified product portfolio, and confidence in long-term outlook while acknowledging affordability and interest rate headwinds.
- Guidance
- No formal numeric forward guidance was issued on revenue, EPS, or margins. Management provided qualitative forward-looking remarks: confident in long-term outlook; expects community count to continue increasing toward the end of the year; 2026 described as a foundational year to execute strategy and accelerate growth; mortgage capture rate target of ~70%-80% as the mortgage business rolls out to additional markets.
- Risks flagged
- Management repeatedly cited macro and housing-specific headwinds: elevated interest rates, affordability pressures, consumer confidence concerns, spotty demand across markets (notably Atlanta), increased discounts and rate buydowns pressuring margins, and a 24% YoY decline in backlog revenue. The company also referenced material risks in its press release (not detailed on the call).
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $1.70 est $1.39 | $493.8M est $470.0M | −4.8% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.39 est $1.19 | $456.0M est $423.5M | −4.0% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.78 est $1.62 | $552.6M est $473.3M | −0.7% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $1.77 est $1.43 | $499.1M est $477.5M | −1.1% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.85 est $1.94 | $549.1M est $423.7M | −5.9% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.67 est $1.76 | $497.6M est $491.5M | +0.2% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $2.31 est $2.14 | $567.3M est $557.4M | +2.3% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $1.98 est $2.07 | $523.7M est $562.5M | −8.6% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Green Brick Partners stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Green Brick Partners is $62.00, +0.3% from the last close.
$62.00consensus 12-month target, +0.3% from the last close
+6.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+1.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Green Brick Partners seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Green Brick Partners averaged +1.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +6.5% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, GRBK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.6%.
Green Brick Partners market cap and key statistics
Green Brick Partners’s market cap is $2.66B, with a P/E ratio of 9.6 and revenue of $1.97B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.66B
- P/E ratio
- 9.6
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- $6.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $72.84
Trading
- Volume
- 332,412
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 387,858
- 52-week high
- $83.18
- 52-week low
- $60.44
- Shares outstanding
- 43.01M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.97B
- Profit margin
- 14.8%
- Return on equity
- 16.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −8.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.76
- Typical daily move
- ±2.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±7.6%
Green Brick Partners stock news this week
2 headlines about Green Brick Partners from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
Green Brick Partners peers
Green Brick Partners’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DHID.R. Horton | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| PHMPulteGroup | Accumulation | 19.9% below |
| LEN.BLennar | Accumulation | 26.5% below |
| LENLennar | Accumulation | 25.1% below |
| NVRNVR | Accumulation | 13.4% below |
| TOLToll Brothers | Accumulation | 23.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Green Brick Partners stock FAQ
What is Green Brick Partners’s market cap?
Green Brick Partners’s market cap is $2.66B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.83, with 43.01M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.6.
What is the Green Brick Partners stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Green Brick Partners is $62.00, +0.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Green Brick Partners stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Green Brick Partners is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $61.83 is 15.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $72.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Green Brick Partners report earnings next?
Green Brick Partners is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.45 per share on revenue of $469.4M. Green Brick Partners beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.5% on average across the report.
What is Green Brick Partners’s 52-week high and low?
Green Brick Partners’s 52-week high is $83.18 and its 52-week low is $60.44; it closed at $61.83 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $84.66 on Oct 16, 2024.
Is Green Brick Partners stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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