NYSE: DHI

D.R. Horton (DHI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

D.R. Horton, Inc. Consumer durables sector, homebuilding industry. Market cap $38.60B.

$138.02−2.36 (−1.7%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

DHI closes at $138.02, down 1.7% on the day and below both its 50-day average of $145.87 and 200-day average of $149.40, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. The stock is down 9.1% over one month, 12.5% over three months, and 18.8% over the past year, trading near its 52-week low of $131.75 and well off its 52-week high of $176.22. The GekkoIndex reads 63.3, placing DHI in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 2.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $141.75.

Recent attention has centered on capital returns and quarterly results. D.R. Horton's board authorized an additional $5.0 billion stock repurchase program with no expiration date, adding to roughly $53 million remaining under the prior plan. This followed the company's fiscal Q3 report of EPS of $3.20 on revenue of $9.2 billion, with a 20.7% home sales gross margin and 23,983 homes closed at an average price of $362,000, down 2% year over year. One account noted full-year revenue guidance falling short of consensus, tied to a roughly 4.7% share decline since that report, while a separate filing showed Corient Private Wealth LP trimming its DHI stake by 28.7% in the second quarter.

The next earnings date is 29 October 2026, before the open, 39 days out and beyond a typical 20-day holding window; the prior report produced a 4.6% average absolute reaction and a 5-for-8 beat record. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.2% decline over five years, rising in just 1 of those years. Analyst views span 11 firms, with 3 buy, 7 hold, and 1 sell, and a consensus target of $161.25.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $138.02200-day averageGekko Fair Value $141.75

Key stats

Market cap
$38.60B
P/E ratio
13.2
Forward P/E
11.8
EPS, TTM
$10.64
Revenue, TTM
$33.35B
Profit margin
9.2%
Dividend yield
1.27%
Beta
1.37
Volume
6.01M avg 2.33M
1-year return
−18.8%
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
50-day average
$145.87
200-day average
$149.40
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
279.7M
52-week range
$131.75$176.22

D.R. Horton swing-trade checklist

D.R. Horton scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $138.02 is below the 50-day ($145.87) and 200-day ($149.40) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    63.3, Accumulation

    Reading 63.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.6% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.6% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 39 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 39 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −4.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4.2% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

D.R. Horton stock chart and price history

D.R. Horton closed at $138.02 on Sep 18, 2026, −18.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $131.75 to $176.22.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.1%
3 months
−12.5%
6 months
0.0%
1 year
−18.8%
The full DHI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DHI in Gekko

Follow D.R. Horton through every session

Put DHI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track DHI in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About D.R. Horton

D.R. Horton builds and sells homes across a wide stretch of the United States, buying land, preparing it, and putting up houses that it then markets to buyers. It is known for constructing both standalone single-family homes and attached properties like townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes, sold under names such as D.R. Horton, America's Builder, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. Its work reaches 31 states and 98 markets spread across the East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions of the country.

Alongside its homebuilding work, the company runs businesses that support the sale process, including mortgage financing and title insurance, examination, and closing services for buyers. It also develops residential lots and builds, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental housing. Beyond housing, it holds non-residential land such as ranch property and associated facilities, and it has interests tied to the energy sector. Its main customers are people buying newly built homes.

D.R. Horton traces its founding to 1978 in Arlington, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DHI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
drhorton.com

D.R. Horton GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

D.R. Horton’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.3, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.4 points over five sessions.

010063.3Accumulation

Down 3.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41+0.3%+0.8%+2.7%−1.3%
Accumulation (current zone)270+0.3%+0.6%+1.5%+2.3%
Neutral327−0.1%−0.3%−0.8%−0.2%
Distribution22+0.3%+0.5%+1.5%+7.5%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average DHI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DHI price, zone by zone.Track DHI in Gekko

Is D.R. Horton stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

D.R. Horton trades 2.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $141.75, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what D.R. Horton shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$141.75

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

2.6% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DHI in Gekko

D.R. Horton insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for D.R. Horton, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DHI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DHI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DHI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DHI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DHI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DHI in Gekko

Buybacks

D.R. Horton has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$5.00B, Sep 15, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$610.4M
As a share of market cap
1.58%
Trailing four quarters
$2.94B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold DHI.

0added2opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

D.R. Horton earnings: next date and track record

D.R. Horton reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (39 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.1%Oct ’24−0.5%Jan ’25+2.7%Apr ’25+12.9%Jul ’25−6.7%Oct ’25+1.4%Jan ’26+5.1%Apr ’26−1.6%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DHI reported Q3 fiscal 2026 EPS of $3.20 on revenues of $9.2 billion, with pre-tax income of $1.2 billion and a 13.3% pre-tax margin. The company closed 23,983 homes at an average price of $362,000, down 2% YoY. Home sales gross margin was 20.7%, above guidance, driven by lower stick-and-brick costs. DHI returned $3.4 billion to shareholders over the trailing 12 months. Affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment continue to pressure demand.
Guidance
Management expects Q4 home sales gross margin to remain relatively flat versus Q3's 20.7%. Incentives are expected to remain elevated relative to historical levels. SG&A leverage improvement is contingent on revenue growth resumption and stabilization of average sales price and community absorption rates.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 21, 2026$3.20
est $2.99
+7.0%$9.23B
est $9.10B
+1.4%−1.6%
Apr 21, 2026$2.24
est $2.14
+4.7%$7.56B
est $7.55B
+0.1%+5.1%
Jan 20, 2026$2.03
est $1.93
+5.2%$6.89B
est $6.59B
+4.6%+1.4%
Oct 28, 2025$3.04
est $3.27
−7.0%$9.68B
est $9.41B
+2.8%−6.7%
Jul 22, 2025$3.36
est $2.94
+14.3%$9.23B
est $8.77B
+5.1%+12.9%
Apr 17, 2025$2.58
est $2.62
−1.5%$7.73B
est $8.03B
−3.7%+2.7%
Jan 21, 2025$2.61
est $2.37
+10.1%$7.61B
est $7.01B
+8.5%−0.5%
Oct 29, 2024$3.92
est $4.16
−5.8%$10.00B
est $10.22B
−2.1%−6.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

D.R. Horton stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for D.R. Horton is $161.25, +16.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$161.25consensus 12-month target, +16.8% from the last close
Low $125High $206
Buy3
Hold7
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Truist FinancialHold, reiterated$140+1.4%
Sep 11Wells FargoHold, maintained$145+5.1%
Aug 4Wells FargoHold, reiterated$155+12.3%
Jul 23CitiHold, maintained$160+15.9%
Jul 22UBSBuy, reiterated$206+49.3%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

D.R. Horton seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, D.R. Horton averaged −4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021−4.3%2022−7.6%2023−3.1%2024−8.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.4%0 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.3%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−5.4%0 of 5
Next 20 trading days−4.2%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−4.9%2 of 5

For scale, DHI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.7%.

D.R. Horton market cap and key statistics

D.R. Horton’s market cap is $38.60B, with a P/E ratio of 13.2 and revenue of $33.35B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$38.60B
P/E ratio
13.2
Forward P/E
11.8
EPS, TTM
$10.64
Gekko Fair Value
$141.75

Trading

Volume
6.01M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.33M
52-week high
$176.22
52-week low
$131.75
Shares outstanding
279.7M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$33.35B
Profit margin
9.2%
Return on equity
12.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−4.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±2.6%
Typical 20-day move
±6.7%
Dividend yield
1.27%

D.R. Horton stock news this week

Coverage of D.R. Horton this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 5 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

D.R. Horton peers

D.R. Horton’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PHMPulteGroup−0.3%Accumulation16.8% below
LENLennar−2.3%Buying26.2% below
LEN.BLennar−4.5%Buying26.9% below
NVRNVR−1.0%Accumulation10.4% below
TOLToll Brothers+0.4%Buying23.5% below
FTDRFrontdoor−1.3%Accumulation6.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

D.R. Horton stock FAQ

What is D.R. Horton’s market cap?

D.R. Horton’s market cap is $38.60B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $138.02, with 279.7M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 13.2.

What is the D.R. Horton stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for D.R. Horton is $161.25, +16.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is D.R. Horton stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate D.R. Horton is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $138.02 is 2.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $141.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does D.R. Horton report earnings next?

D.R. Horton is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (39 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.06 per share on revenue of $9.11B. D.R. Horton beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is D.R. Horton’s 52-week high and low?

D.R. Horton’s 52-week high is $176.22 and its 52-week low is $131.75; it closed at $138.02 on Sep 18, 2026, −18.8% over the past year.

Is D.R. Horton stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (fair value) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See D.R. Horton the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,349 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.