NYSE: DHI

D.R. Horton (DHI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$156.99+11.76 (+8.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryNov 4 close

D.R. Horton shares jumped 8.10% on Wednesday to $156.99, outperforming a broader market in which the S&P 500 rose 1.58% and the Dow gained 3.03%, even as the stock remains 8.08% below its 52-week high of $170.79. The move comes against a mixed backdrop: Q4 FY2026 results released 29 October showed revenue and margins under pressure, with the earnings call outlining fiscal 2027 guidance of $30 billion to $32 billion in revenue and 79,000 to 84,000 home closings. Separately, Raymond James reportedly downgraded the stock to Underperform from Market Perform citing the earnings miss and valuation concerns, while the broader analyst consensus target was cut to $146.21 from $147.71, implying a 4% downside from the prior close, with 3 Buys, 15 Holds and 3 Sells among 21 analysts.

The stock trades at $156.99, above both its 50-day average of $140.95 and 200-day average of $147.51, with a one-month return of 14.8%. The GekkoIndex reads 50.2, placing DHI in the Neutral zone, down 5.9 over five days. Price sits 15.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $135.47.

The next earnings date falls on 19 January 2027, 75 days out, beyond a typical 20-day holding window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 1 buy and 0 sells, and two billionaire holders are noted. Seasonality from this point has averaged a 9.5% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the stock's typical 20-day move of 6.6%.

Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

D.R. Horton price vs fair value

$156.99$135.47Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $156.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $135.47

D.R. Horton quick facts

Market cap
$43.91B
P/E ratio
15.1
Forward P/E
12.4
EPS, TTM
$10.11
Revenue, TTM
$33.04B
Profit margin
8.7%
Dividend yield
1.23%
Beta
1.37
Volume
4.86M avg 3.07M
1-year return
+8.2%
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
50-day average
$140.95
200-day average
$147.51
Next earnings
Jan 19 before open
Shares outstanding
271.4M
52-week range
$130.40$170.79

D.R. Horton swing-trade checklist

D.R. Horton scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $156.99 sits between the 50-day ($140.95) and 200-day ($147.51) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    50.2, Neutral

    Reading 50.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    15.9% above

    Price is 15.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 75 days

    Next report Jan 19, 2027, 75 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +9.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

D.R. Horton stock chart and price history

D.R. Horton closed at $156.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $130.40 to $170.79.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
D.R. Horton share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$140$150$160DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct156.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+14.8%
3 months
+7.5%
6 months
+5.2%
1 year
+8.2%
The full DHI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DHI in Gekko

Follow D.R. Horton through every session

Put DHI on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About D.R. Horton

D.R. Horton builds and sells homes across a wide stretch of the United States, buying land, preparing it, and putting up houses that it then markets to buyers. It is known for constructing both standalone single-family homes and attached properties like townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes, sold under names such as D.R. Horton, America's Builder, Express Homes, Emerald Homes, and Freedom Homes. Its work reaches 31 states and 98 markets spread across the East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions of the country.

Alongside its homebuilding work, the company runs businesses that support the sale process, including mortgage financing and title insurance, examination, and closing services for buyers. It also develops residential lots and builds, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental housing. Beyond housing, it holds non-residential land such as ranch property and associated facilities, and it has interests tied to the energy sector. Its main customers are people buying newly built homes.

D.R. Horton traces its founding to 1978 in Arlington, Texas. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker DHI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
drhorton.com

D.R. Horton GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

D.R. Horton’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 50.2, in the Neutral zone, down 5.9 points over five sessions.

010050.2Neutral

Down 5.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying41+0.3%+0.8%+2.7%−1.3%
Accumulation293+0.3%+0.7%+1.2%+1.6%
Neutral (current zone)339−0.1%−0.3%−0.8%−0.5%
Distribution22+0.3%+0.5%+1.5%+7.5%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average DHI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DHI price, zone by zone.Track DHI in Gekko

Is D.R. Horton stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

D.R. Horton trades 15.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $135.47, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what D.R. Horton shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$135.47

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

15.9% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.1% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$135$145Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DHI in Gekko

D.R. Horton insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for D.R. Horton, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DHI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DHI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DHI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Oct 9
traded Sep 25

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

D.R. Horton has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$5.00B, Sep 15, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
$1.31B
As a share of market cap
2.99%
Trailing four quarters
$3.55B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold DHI.

0added2opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

D.R. Horton earnings: next date and track record

D.R. Horton reports on Jan 19, 2027, before the open (75 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−0.5%Jan ’25+2.7%Apr ’25+12.9%Jul ’25−6.7%Oct ’25+1.4%Jan ’26+5.1%Apr ’26−1.6%Jul ’26+2.1%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DHR reported Q4 FY2026 consolidated revenues of $9.4B with pretax income of $1B (10.8% margin). Full-year revenues reached $33B with pretax income of $3.9B (11.8% margin) and $3.5B operating cash flow. Net sales orders fell 7% YoY to 18,600 homes as rising mortgage rates pressured demand. Home sales gross margin declined 120bps sequentially to 19.5%, missing expectations due to market conditions and elevated litigation costs.
Guidance
Management reduced housing starts to align inventory with weakening demand. No specific forward-looking revenue targets were provided in this excerpt, but DHR stated it is positioned for growth and stronger returns when market conditions improve.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 29, 2026$2.67
est $3.01
−11.3%$9.37B
est $9.07B
+3.3%+2.1%
Jul 21, 2026$3.20
est $2.99
+7.0%$9.23B
est $9.10B
+1.4%−1.6%
Apr 21, 2026$2.24
est $2.14
+4.7%$7.56B
est $7.55B
+0.1%+5.1%
Jan 20, 2026$2.03
est $1.93
+5.2%$6.89B
est $6.59B
+4.6%+1.4%
Oct 28, 2025$3.04
est $3.27
−7.0%$9.68B
est $9.41B
+2.8%−6.7%
Jul 22, 2025$3.36
est $2.94
+14.3%$9.23B
est $8.77B
+5.1%+12.9%
Apr 17, 2025$2.58
est $2.62
−1.5%$7.73B
est $8.03B
−3.7%+2.7%
Jan 21, 2025$2.61
est $2.37
+10.1%$7.61B
est $7.01B
+8.5%−0.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

D.R. Horton stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for D.R. Horton is $148.64, −5.3% from the last close, from 15 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$148.64consensus 12-month target, −5.3% from the last close
Low $114High $186
Buy3
Hold9
Sell3

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 15 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 3Raymond JamesSell, downgraded——
Nov 3Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$130−17.2%
Nov 3Morgan StanleyHold, maintained$130−17.2%
Nov 2CitiHold, maintained$152−3.2%
Oct 30Bank of America SecuritiesHold, maintained$147−6.4%
−0.8%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+9.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

D.R. Horton seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, D.R. Horton averaged +9.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+13.7%2021+12.7%2022+11.1%2023−2.2%2024+13.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+4.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.7%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.8%5 of 5
Next 20 trading days+9.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.4%4 of 5

For scale, DHI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.6%.

D.R. Horton market cap and key statistics

D.R. Horton’s market cap is $43.91B, with a P/E ratio of 15.1 and revenue of $33.04B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$43.91B
P/E ratio
15.1
Forward P/E
12.4
EPS, TTM
$10.11
Gekko Fair Value
$135.47

Trading

Volume
4.86M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.07M
52-week high
$170.79
52-week low
$130.40
Shares outstanding
271.4M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$33.04B
Profit margin
8.7%
Return on equity
12.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−12.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.37
Typical daily move
±3.7%
Typical 20-day move
±6.6%
Dividend yield
1.23%

D.R. Horton stock news this week

Coverage of D.R. Horton this week reads negative: 4 positive, 6 neutral and 9 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

D.R. Horton peers

D.R. Horton’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
PHMPulteGroup+3.1%Neutral0.7% below
LEN.BLennar+3.4%Distribution10.9% below
LENLennar+2.2%Neutral8.4% below
NVRNVR+2.0%Neutral3.8% below
TOLToll Brothers+2.3%Distribution7.8% below
FTDRFrontdoor+2.0%Distribution29.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

More stocks in Homebuilding

D.R. Horton stock FAQ

What is D.R. Horton’s market cap?

D.R. Horton’s market cap is $43.91B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $156.99, with 271.4M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.1.

What is the D.R. Horton stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for D.R. Horton is $148.64, −5.3% from the last close. Of the 15 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is D.R. Horton stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate D.R. Horton is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $156.99 is 15.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $135.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does D.R. Horton report earnings next?

D.R. Horton is expected to report on Jan 19, 2027, before the market opens (75 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.41 per share on revenue of $6.16B. D.R. Horton beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.1% on average across the report.

What is D.R. Horton’s 52-week high and low?

D.R. Horton’s 52-week high is $170.79 and its 52-week low is $130.40; it closed at $156.99 on Nov 4, 2026, +8.2% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $199.85 on Sep 19, 2024.

Is D.R. Horton stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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