NASDAQ: CVCO

Cavco Industries (CVCO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$557.53+0.25 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's headlines center on product news: Cavco unveiled the Grande Arbor, a manufactured home built without a permanent steel chassis, at the Innovative Housing Showcase in Washington, D.C., aligning with new federal HUD-code rules and allowing homes to sit closer to the ground in a more site-built style. Alongside this, Argus raised its price target for CVCO to $614.00 from a prior reference of $546.02. Separately, one filing noted a reduced position from a fund, though this is background to the product and analyst news.

CVCO closed at $557.53, sitting between its 50-day average of $565.88 and 200-day average of $558.71, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 57.2, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 8.9 over the past 5 readings. The price sits 9.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $508.74, a level flagged as a headwind in the underlying checklist.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings report is due on 29 October 2026, 30 days away and outside a typical holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, and one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -0.8% from this point in the calendar, with gains in 2 of those years. The single analyst covering the stock holds a rating with a consensus target of $646.67, implying 16% upside from current levels. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching alongside the upcoming earnings date.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Cavco Industries price vs fair value

$557.53$508.74Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $557.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $508.74

Cavco Industries quick facts

Market cap
$4.30B
P/E ratio
24.2
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$23.02
Revenue, TTM
$2.30B
Profit margin
7.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.28
Volume
90,808 avg 102,757
1-year return
0.0%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$565.88
200-day average
$558.71
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
7.69M
52-week range
$443.34$713.01

Cavco Industries swing-trade checklist

Cavco Industries scores 1 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $557.53 sits between the 50-day ($565.88) and 200-day ($558.71) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.2, Neutral

    Reading 57.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    9.6% above

    Price is 9.6% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 30 days

    Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Cavco Industries stock chart and price history

Cavco Industries closed at $557.53 on Sep 28, 2026, 0.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $443.34 to $713.01.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Cavco Industries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$450$500$600$650$700NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep557.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.2%
3 months
−9.2%
6 months
+19.6%
1 year
0.0%
The full CVCO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CVCO in Gekko

Follow Cavco Industries through every session

Put CVCO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track CVCO in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Cavco Industries

Cavco Industries builds and sells factory-made homes across the United States, a business it is best known for within the manufactured housing space. Its product lineup spans manufactured homes sold under many brand names, along with park model recreational vehicles, vacation cabins, and modular homes in styles ranging from ranches to multi-family units. It also produces factory-built structures for commercial use, including apartment buildings, hotels, temporary workforce housing, schools, and housing for military personnel.

The company runs through two main segments, one covering the construction side of its business and the other covering financial services. On the financial side, it arranges conforming and non-conforming mortgages and home-only loans for buyers, and offers property and casualty insurance for manufactured home owners. Customers reach Cavco through its own retail locations as well as through independent dealers, builders, community operators, and developers, with distribution spanning most U.S. states and Canada.

Cavco was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker CVCO.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
cavcohomes.com

Cavco Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Cavco Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.2, in the Neutral zone, down 8.9 points over five sessions.

010057.2Neutral

Down 8.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+1.3%+3.7%+7.4%+14.4%
Accumulation181+2.0%+4.6%+8.3%+10.3%
Neutral (current zone)404−0.1%−0.4%−0.6%+2.3%
Distribution54+0.5%−0.3%−0.4%−2.1%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average CVCO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CVCO price, zone by zone.Track CVCO in Gekko

Is Cavco Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Cavco Industries trades 9.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $508.74, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Cavco Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$508.74

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

9.6% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CVCO in Gekko

Cavco Industries insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Cavco Industries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CVCO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CVCO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVCO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CVCO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CVCO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CVCO in Gekko

Buybacks

Cavco Industries has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$150.0M, May 22, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$30.00M
As a share of market cap
0.70%
Trailing four quarters
$139.9M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds CVCO.

0added1opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Cavco Industries earnings: next date and track record

Cavco Industries reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−1.7%May ’24−7.6%Aug ’24+7.9%Oct ’24+8.8%Jan ’25−8.4%May ’25+4.9%Jul ’25+5.1%Oct ’25−20.1%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
A comprehensive summary would be produced by the tool based on the transcript content.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026$5.58
est $6.00
−7.0%$581.0M
est $593.4M
−2.1%−20.1%
Oct 30, 2025$6.55
est $6.09
+7.6%$556.5M
est $542.9M
+2.5%+5.1%
Jul 31, 2025$6.42
est $5.31
+20.9%$556.9M
est $540.7M
+3.0%+4.9%
May 22, 2025$5.40
est $4.80
+12.5%$508.4M
est $504.1M
+0.8%−8.4%
Jan 30, 2025$6.90
est $4.86
+42.0%$522.0M
est $512.5M
+1.9%+8.8%
Oct 31, 2024$5.28
est $4.76
+10.9%$507.5M
est $479.8M
+5.8%+7.9%
Aug 1, 2024$4.11
est $4.70
−12.6%$477.6M
est $462.3M
+3.3%−7.6%
May 23, 2024$4.03
est $4.76
−15.3%$419.2M
est $463.5M
−9.5%−1.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Cavco Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Cavco Industries is $646.67, +16.0% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$646.67consensus 12-month target, +16.0% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Zelman & Assoc.Hold, downgraded$634.70+13.8%
−0.6%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Cavco Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Cavco Industries averaged −0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−2.9%2021+7.9%2022−5.2%2023−2.2%2024+0.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−3.5%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−4.6%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.7%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−0.8%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.3%3 of 5

For scale, CVCO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Cavco Industries market cap and key statistics

Cavco Industries’s market cap is $4.30B, with a P/E ratio of 24.2 and revenue of $2.30B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.30B
P/E ratio
24.2
Forward P/E
29.5
EPS, TTM
$23.02
Gekko Fair Value
$508.74

Trading

Volume
90,808
Avg volume, 20 days
102,757
52-week high
$713.01
52-week low
$443.34
Shares outstanding
7.69M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.30B
Profit margin
7.9%
Return on equity
16.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−15.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.28
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7%

Cavco Industries stock news this week

Coverage of Cavco Industries this week reads positive: 4 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Cavco Industries peers

Cavco Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton−0.7%Neutral0.1% below
PHMPulteGroup+0.5%Accumulation14.2% below
LEN.BLennar+0.7%Neutral19.8% below
LENLennar+0.3%Neutral17.9% below
NVRNVR+0.7%Neutral7.0% below
TOLToll Brothers+1.0%Accumulation20.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Cavco Industries stock FAQ

What is Cavco Industries’s market cap?

Cavco Industries’s market cap is $4.30B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $557.53, with 7.69M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.2.

What is the Cavco Industries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Cavco Industries is $646.67, +16.0% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Cavco Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Cavco Industries is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $557.53 is 9.6% above Gekko Fair Value of $508.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Cavco Industries report earnings next?

Cavco Industries is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.60 per share on revenue of $611.4M. Cavco Industries beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.1% on average across the report.

What is Cavco Industries’s 52-week high and low?

Cavco Industries’s 52-week high is $713.01 and its 52-week low is $443.34; it closed at $557.53 on Sep 28, 2026, 0.0% over the past year.

Is Cavco Industries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Cavco Industries the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.