NASDAQ: PATK

Patrick Industries (PATK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$64.20+0.74 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on the proposed merger between Patrick Industries and LCI Industries, with THOR Industries warning the deal could raise RV supplier costs, reduce sourcing options and worsen affordability pressure on RV sales. Analyst activity has been active alongside this: Bank of America reaffirmed a Sell rating with a $68.00 target, while Keybanc cut its target to $100.00 from $115.00, even as the broader consensus target moved to $103.55, down from $105.09. A separate report noted PATK trading below Fair Value following a stock pullback tied to its marine and housing expansion.

Shares close at $64.20, up 1.2%, after touching a 52-week low of $66.13 earlier in the week and sitting near the 52-week low of $63. The stock trades below both its 50-day average of $77.12 and 200-day average of $98.74, with one-month, three-month, six-month and one-year returns all negative. The GekkoIndex reading of 67.5 places PATK in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 28.4% below the Gekko Fair Value of $89.63.

Over the next 20 trading days, Patrick Industries reports earnings on 29 October, 17 days away, falling within that window. The last quarter saw EPS of $1.10 versus a $1.04 estimate, with a -4.7% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 6 of 8 recent quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 5.9%. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 0.8%, positive in 3 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Patrick Industries price vs fair value

$89.63$64.20Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $64.20200-day averageGekko Fair Value $89.63

Patrick Industries quick facts

Market cap
$2.11B
P/E ratio
15.5
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$4.20
Revenue, TTM
$3.94B
Profit margin
3.7%
Dividend yield
2.79%
Beta
1.15
Volume
372,631 avg 600,613
1-year return
−33.9%
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
50-day average
$77.12
200-day average
$98.74
Next earnings
Oct 29
Shares outstanding
32.12M
52-week range
$63.00$148.50

Patrick Industries swing-trade checklist

Patrick Industries scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $64.20 is below the 50-day ($77.12) and 200-day ($98.74) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.5, Accumulation

    Reading 67.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    28.4% below

    Price is 28.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +0.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +0.8% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Patrick Industries stock chart and price history

Patrick Industries closed at $64.20 on Oct 12, 2026, −33.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $63.00 to $148.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Patrick Industries share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$80$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct64.20

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.5%
3 months
−23.8%
6 months
−42.7%
1 year
−33.9%
The full PATK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PATK in Gekko

Follow Patrick Industries through every session

Put PATK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track PATK in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Patrick Industries

Patrick Industries supplies components, building products, and materials used in recreational vehicles, boats, manufactured homes, and industrial applications. It is known for producing a wide range of interior and structural parts, from cabinetry, countertops, and wall panels to fiberglass fixtures, flooring, and acoustic equipment like speakers and amplifiers for its customers in these markets.

The company operates through two divisions, Manufacturing and Distribution, with a footprint across the United States, China, and Canada. The Manufacturing side makes finished goods and specialized parts for RV and marine builders, including dash panels, wiring harnesses, fuel tanks, boat covers, and composite components. The Distribution side supplies a broader mix of finished products and raw materials, such as wall and ceiling panels, major appliances, electrical and plumbing fixtures, lumber, flooring, and lighting, and also provides transportation and logistics services to move these goods to customers.

Patrick Industries was established in 1959 and is headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker PATK.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
patrickind.com

Patrick Industries GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Patrick Industries’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 1.2 points over five sessions.

010067.5Accumulation

Down 1.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying53+0.9%+0.7%+1.3%−2.8%
Accumulation (current zone)216−0.5%−0.6%−0.2%+1.0%
Neutral353+0.2%+0.4%+0.6%+3.7%
Distribution56+1.4%+1.7%+1.0%−6.0%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average PATK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PATK price, zone by zone.Track PATK in Gekko

Is Patrick Industries stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Patrick Industries trades 28.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.63, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Patrick Industries shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$89.63

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

28.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$90$63Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PATK in Gekko

Patrick Industries insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Patrick Industries, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for PATK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every PATK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PATK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in PATK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for PATK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PATK in Gekko

Buybacks

Patrick Industries has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
$91.44M
As a share of market cap
4.33%

From company filings.

Patrick Industries earnings: next date and track record

Patrick Industries reports on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−4.8%Aug ’24−13.6%Oct ’24−3.0%Feb ’25+7.6%May ’25−3.0%Jul ’25+5.5%Oct ’25+4.6%Feb ’26−4.7%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Patrick Industries Q1 2026 earnings call highlighted a resilient, diversified business that delivered modest top-line growth and maintained margins despite weaker wholesale shipment volumes in RV and manufactured housing. Net sales were $997M (up 1% YoY), diluted EPS $1.10 (including ~$0.10 dilution from convertibles), and trailing-12-month sales approximately $3.9B. Marine and powersports outperformed industry declines (marine +14% revenue, powersports +28%), with strong content-per-unit gains driving outperformance. RV revenues rose 7% despite a double-digit industry wholesale unit decline. Gross margin (22.8%) and operating margin (6.5%) were essentially flat YoY. Management emphasized disciplined OEM/dealer inventory behavior, ongoing product innovation and cross-brand solution development, and an active M&A posture (including ongoing discussions regarding a potential merger of equals with LCI Industries). Management expects operating margin improvement of ~30 to 50 bps over prior year (with improvement weighted to second half) and continues to target 2-3% organic content growth annually while noting upside potential from further innovation. The company noted short-term headwinds including macro uncertainty, geopolitical concerns, commodity/price inflation and manufactured housing softness, and disclosed a working-capital-driven use of cash in Q1 ($14M).
Guidance
- Operating margin improvement of approximately 30 to 50 basis points over prior year (management expects most improvement in the second half of the year). - Continue to model organic content growth target of ~2%–3% annually (with potential upside). - Free cash flow guidance effectively unchanged (management referenced working capital benefits offsetting lower EBITDA). - No explicit revenue or EPS numeric guidance provided on the call beyond the reported quarter and margin improvement expectation.
Risks flagged
- Macroeconomic headwinds (consumer confidence, interest rate uncertainty, geopolitical risk such as the war in Iran). - Softness in manufactured housing and lower RV wholesale shipments. - Commodity cost pressures (resin, metals, fuel) and potential tariff impacts. - Uncertainty/dilution from convertible notes (noted incremental ~$0.10 dilution in Q1). - Ongoing uncertainty around potential merger with LCI (limited discussion permitted).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$1.10
est $1.04
+5.8%$997.2M
est $989.1M
+0.8%−4.7%
Feb 5, 2026$0.84
est $0.72
+16.7%$924.2M
est $859.6M
+7.5%+4.6%
Oct 30, 2025$1.01
est $0.95
+6.3%$975.6M
est $858.6M
+13.6%+5.5%
Jul 31, 2025$1.50
est $1.41
+6.4%$1.05B
est $886.6M
+18.2%−3.0%
May 1, 2025$1.11
est $0.98
+13.3%$1.00B
est $1.06B
−5.3%+7.6%
Feb 6, 2025$0.52
est $0.79
−34.2%$846.1M
est $951.2M
−11.0%−3.0%
Oct 31, 2024$1.20
est $1.22
−1.6%$919.4M
est $831.9M
+10.5%−13.6%
Aug 1, 2024$1.44
est $1.36
+5.9%$1.02B
est $975.6M
+4.2%−4.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Patrick Industries stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Patrick Industries is $105.55, +64.4% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$105.55consensus 12-month target, +64.4% from the last close
Low $68High $121
Buy6
Hold1
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 9Bank of America SecuritiesSell, maintained$68+5.9%
Oct 8KeyBancBuy, maintained$100+55.8%
Oct 2Robert W. BairdHold, maintained$84+30.8%
Sep 30Truist FinancialBuy, maintained——
Sep 1Northcoast ResearchBuy, initiated$121+88.5%
−0.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+0.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Patrick Industries seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Patrick Industries averaged +0.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−8.7%2021+5.6%2022+7.4%2023−8.8%2024+8.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.0%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+0.8%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.2%3 of 5

For scale, PATK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.4%.

Patrick Industries market cap and key statistics

Patrick Industries’s market cap is $2.11B, with a P/E ratio of 15.5 and revenue of $3.94B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.11B
P/E ratio
15.5
Forward P/E
13.3
EPS, TTM
$4.20
Gekko Fair Value
$89.63

Trading

Volume
372,631
Avg volume, 20 days
600,613
52-week high
$148.50
52-week low
$63.00
Shares outstanding
32.12M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.94B
Profit margin
3.7%
Return on equity
13%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+33.3%

Risk and income

Beta
1.15
Typical daily move
±3.1%
Typical 20-day move
±7.4%
Dividend yield
2.79%

Patrick Industries peers

Patrick Industries’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton+0.2%Accumulation2.8% below
PHMPulteGroup−0.5%Accumulation19.9% below
LEN.BLennar−3.0%Accumulation26.5% below
LENLennar−1.9%Accumulation25.1% below
NVRNVR−2.7%Accumulation13.4% below
TOLToll Brothers−0.1%Accumulation23.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Patrick Industries stock FAQ

What is Patrick Industries’s market cap?

Patrick Industries’s market cap is $2.11B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $64.20, with 32.12M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.5.

What is the Patrick Industries stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Patrick Industries is $105.55, +64.4% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Patrick Industries stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Patrick Industries is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $64.20 is 28.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $89.63. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Patrick Industries report earnings next?

Patrick Industries is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.01 per share on revenue of $945.3M. Patrick Industries beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.9% on average across the report.

What is Patrick Industries’s 52-week high and low?

Patrick Industries’s 52-week high is $148.50 and its 52-week low is $63.00; it closed at $64.20 on Oct 12, 2026, −33.9% over the past year.

Is Patrick Industries stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Patrick Industries the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.