Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LGIH in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LGIH insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LGIH in Gekko
NASDAQ: LGIH
LGI Homes (LGIH) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$44.00+0.18 (+0.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week's news centers on LGI Homes' home closing reports and analyst reactions to margin pressure. The company reported 386 homes closed in September 2026, a 9.0% increase year-over-year, and 1,222 homes closed in Q3 2026, up 10.4% from Q3 2025. Citizens maintained its Market Outperform rating with a $93.00 price target while reducing gross margin assumptions for the second half of 2026 due to lower-than-expected closings in September 2026. Separately, sell-side analysts carry an average "Hold" rating with a 12-month price target of $65.33, following a quarter where LGI Homes beat EPS estimates at $1.16 against $0.98 estimated, on revenue of $516.05 million, up 6.7% year-over-year. The stock also opened a new community, The Meadows at Riverside, in West Virginia.
LGI Homes closed at $44.00, up 0.4%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $53.03 and its 200-day average of $50.48. Shares have fallen 25.2% over three months and 11% over one month, though they remain up 11.3% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 69.6, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. The gap to Gekko Fair Value of $95.47 stands at -53.9%.
The next earnings date falls on 3 November 2026, 22 days away, inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 2.4% return, rising in 2 of those years. The consensus analyst target sits at $93, implying 111.4% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
LGI Homes price vs fair value
Close $44.00200-day averageGekko Fair Value $95.47
LGI Homes quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 15.8
- Forward P/E
- 18.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.85
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.68B
- Profit margin
- 3.9%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.86
- Volume
- 261,303 avg 317,038
- 1-year return
- −5.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
- 50-day average
- $53.03
- 200-day average
- $50.48
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 23.25M
LGI Homes swing-trade checklist
LGI Homes scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $44.00 sits between the 50-day ($53.03) and 200-day ($50.48) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.6, Accumulation
Reading 69.6 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
53.9% below
Price is 53.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+2.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
LGI Homes stock chart and price history
LGI Homes closed at $44.00 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $33.55 to $66.25.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.0%
- 3 months
- −25.2%
- 6 months
- +11.3%
- 1 year
- −5.6%
The full LGIH chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LGIH in Gekko
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About LGI Homes
LGI Homes builds and markets new houses for buyers throughout the United States. Under its own brand it offers starter homes, both attached and detached, as well as properties aimed at active adults, while a separate brand called Terrata Homes covers its higher-end construction. The company has built a name for itself around helping buyers take their first step into owning a home, alongside its work in more upscale housing.
In addition to selling to individual homeowners, LGI Homes runs a wholesale arm that constructs homes for institutional buyers who purchase them in bulk, typically for use as single-family rentals. Construction and sales activity for the company spans a long list of states, among them Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, New Mexico, Colorado, and the Carolinas, reaching further into Washington, Tennessee, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Alabama, California, Oregon, Nevada, and several states along the East Coast such as West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Maryland, plus Utah.
LGI Homes got its start in 2003, and its main offices sit in The Woodlands, Texas. The company's stock is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker LGIH.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Homebuilding
- Website
- lgihomes.com
LGI Homes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
LGI Homes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.6 points over five sessions.
69.6Accumulation
Up 3.6 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 67 | −0.5% | +0.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 290 | +0.1% | −1.2% | ||
| Neutral | 304 | −0.6% | −2.6% | ||
| Distribution | 20 | −5.9% | −5.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LGIH share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LGIH price, zone by zone.Track LGIH in Gekko
Is LGI Homes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
LGI Homes trades 53.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $95.47, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what LGI Homes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$95.47
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
53.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LGIH in Gekko
LGI Homes insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LGI Homes, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LGIH were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LGIH, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LGIH in Gekko
Buybacks
LGI Homes has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
- $23.64M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.31%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds LGIH.
0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
LGI Homes earnings: next date and track record
LGI Homes reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.72
- Revenue estimate
- $438.2M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.2%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- LGI Homes delivered 1,440 homes in Q2 2026, up 9% YoY, generating homebuilding revenue of $502M (+4% YoY). Average selling price rose to $367K. Homebuilding gross margin reached 19.8% (adjusted 23.2%), above guidance midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA was $59M (11.4% of revenue). The company paid down $130M on its credit facility, reducing leverage ratio to 42.6%, and ended the quarter with 151 active communities and 1,300 homes in backlog (+61% YoY).
- Guidance
- LGIH achieved the low end of its full year community count guidance of 151 communities by mid-year. Management remains on track to meet full year closing guidance, with YTD deliveries of 2,360 homes (+2% YoY). Community count growth expected to continue into 2027.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.16 est $1.16 | $516.0M est $489.2M | +9.6% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.24 est $0.49 | $319.7M est $328.2M | +5.8% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.97 est $0.96 | $474.0M est $489.4M | −10.2% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.85 est $0.94 | $396.6M est $500.2M | +19.4% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $1.36 est $1.21 | $483.5M est $460.0M | +6.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.17 est $0.63 | $351.4M est $613.5M | −7.8% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $2.15 est $2.18 | $557.4M est $486.2M | −0.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $2.95 est $2.54 | $651.9M est $657.2M | +6.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
LGI Homes stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for LGI Homes is $93.00, +111.4% from the last close.
$93.00consensus 12-month target, +111.4% from the last close
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
LGI Homes seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, LGI Homes averaged +2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −0.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +7.2% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, LGIH’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9%.
LGI Homes market cap and key statistics
LGI Homes’s market cap is $1.02B, with a P/E ratio of 15.8 and revenue of $1.68B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.02B
- P/E ratio
- 15.8
- Forward P/E
- 18.8
- EPS, TTM
- $2.85
- Gekko Fair Value
- $95.47
Trading
- Volume
- 261,303
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 317,038
- 52-week high
- $66.25
- 52-week low
- $33.55
- Shares outstanding
- 23.25M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.68B
- Profit margin
- 3.9%
- Return on equity
- 3.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −14.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.86
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9%
LGI Homes stock news this week
Coverage of LGI Homes this week reads positive: 7 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 9
- Is LGI Homes (LGIH) Undervalued After Its Recent Pullback?Simply Wall Street, Oct 9
- Citizens cuts LGI Homes stock price target on lower closings By Investing.comInvesting.com Canada, Oct 8
- LGI Homes, Inc. (NASDAQ:LGIH) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side AnalystsMarketBeat, Oct 7
- LGI Homes reports 12.1% rise in July 2026 home closingsscanx.trade, Oct 7
- LGI Homes opens The Meadows at Riverside in West Virginiascanx.trade, Oct 7
LGI Homes peers
LGI Homes’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DHID.R. Horton | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| PHMPulteGroup | Accumulation | 19.9% below |
| LEN.BLennar | Accumulation | 26.5% below |
| LENLennar | Accumulation | 25.1% below |
| NVRNVR | Accumulation | 13.4% below |
| TOLToll Brothers | Accumulation | 23.1% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
LGI Homes stock FAQ
What is LGI Homes’s market cap?
LGI Homes’s market cap is $1.02B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.00, with 23.25M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.8.
What is the LGI Homes stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for LGI Homes is $93.00, +111.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is LGI Homes stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate LGI Homes is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $44.00 is 53.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $95.47. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does LGI Homes report earnings next?
LGI Homes is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $438.2M. LGI Homes beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.2% on average across the report.
What is LGI Homes’s 52-week high and low?
LGI Homes’s 52-week high is $66.25 and its 52-week low is $33.55; it closed at $44.00 on Oct 12, 2026, −5.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $160.59 on Dec 9, 2021.
Is LGI Homes stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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