NYSE: LEN

Lennar (LEN) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$82.03−0.12 (−0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Berkshire Hathaway has drawn attention to Lennar this week, with Abel and Weschler adding 2.7 million shares and a separate purchase of 1.68 million shares for approximately $136.4 million, pushing Berkshire's stake toward 11% of the homebuilder. The buying comes as KB Home and Lennar both cite increased buyer caution amid high mortgage rates and rising resale inventory, and follows Lennar's guidance cut and a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.50 per share payable 22 October.

Shares closed at $82.03, down 0.1% on the day and below both the 50-day average of $83.77 and the 200-day average of $95.03, with the 50-day sitting under the 200-day. The stock has fallen 3.6% over one month, 9.7% over three months and 33.9% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reading of 56.5 places it in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 17.9% below the Gekko Fair Value of $99.97.

The next earnings date falls on 15 December, 77 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold. Smart money activity over the last 90 days shows 23 insider purchases and 1 Congressional buy with no sales, while the last 30 days recorded 6 unusual options signals, with put premium of $2,702,006 against call premium of $2,004,719. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of -1.7% from this point, positive in 3 of those years. Analyst views remain split, with 13 firms covering the stock and a consensus target of $80.08.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Lennar price vs fair value

$99.97$82.03Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $82.03200-day averageGekko Fair Value $99.97

Lennar quick facts

Market cap
$20.37B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
15.7
EPS, TTM
$5.61
Revenue, TTM
$31.97B
Profit margin
4.1%
Dividend yield
2.45%
Beta
1.40
Volume
6.71M avg 4.81M
1-year return
−33.9%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
50-day average
$83.77
200-day average
$95.03
Next earnings
Dec 15
Shares outstanding
210.5M
52-week range
$75.70$133.76

Lennar swing-trade checklist

Lennar scores 3 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $82.03 is below the 50-day ($83.77) and 200-day ($95.03) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.5, Neutral

    Reading 56.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.9% below

    Price is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 23 open-market insider purchases; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales. Last 30 days: 6 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 77 days

    Next report Dec 15, 2026, 77 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.7% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Lennar stock chart and price history

Lennar closed at $82.03 on Sep 28, 2026, −33.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $75.70 to $133.76.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Lennar share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep82.03

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.6%
3 months
−9.7%
6 months
−9.1%
1 year
−33.9%
The full LEN chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LEN in Gekko

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About Lennar

Lennar builds and sells homes across the United States, working through its main Lennar brand along with a number of subsidiaries. It is best known for constructing single-family houses, both attached and detached, designed for buyers ranging from first-time purchasers to those looking to move up, active adult communities, and luxury buyers. Beyond home construction, it also buys, prepares, and sells land intended for residential development.

The company organizes its work into regional homebuilding divisions covering the East, Central, Texas, and West, alongside separate units for Financial Services, Multifamily development, and other activities grouped under Lennar Other. Its Financial Services arm handles mortgage lending, title insurance, and closing support for homebuyers and other clients, while also originating and selling commercial mortgage loans that have been packaged into securities. The Multifamily segment builds, develops, and manages rental housing, and the company also takes part in fund investment activities.

Lennar was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker LEN.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Homebuilding
Website
lennar.com

Lennar GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Lennar’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.5, in the Neutral zone, down 12.3 points over five sessions.

010056.5Neutral

Down 12.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46−1.1%−2.3%−4.4%−8.7%
Accumulation291+0.3%+0.1%−0.1%−4.3%
Neutral (current zone)313−0.9%−1.2%−2.5%−3.2%
Distribution20−0.4%−1.4%0.0%−1.7%
Selling2Too few readings yet

Average LEN share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LEN price, zone by zone.Track LEN in Gekko

Is Lennar stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Lennar trades 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.97, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Lennar shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$99.97

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

17.9% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LEN in Gekko

Lennar insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 23 open-market purchases in Lennar worth $348.7M, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$348.7Min 23 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 25BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
10 percent owner
Purchase532,993$43.52M
Sep 25BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
10 percent owner
Purchase399,238$32.17M
Sep 25BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
10 percent owner
Purchase313,379$25.35M
Sep 25BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
10 percent owner
Purchase241,692$19.68M
Sep 25BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC
10 percent owner
Purchase171,723$14.01M

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Lennar has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended May 31, 2026
$467.1M
As a share of market cap
2.29%
Trailing four quarters
$1.25B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

6signals, 43% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 26, $589K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds LEN.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Lennar earnings: next date and track record

Lennar reports on Dec 15, 2026 (77 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.7%average move across the report
1 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.6%Dec ’24−4.2%Mar ’25−3.7%Jun ’25−4.2%Sep ’25−6.3%Dec ’25−1.7%Mar ’26+0.5%Jun ’26−0.5%Sep ’26

Last earnings call, Sep 16, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Lennar delivered 20,840 homes in Q3 2026, within guidance, generating 20,879 new orders slightly below target. Gross margin improved sequentially to 15.8% with sales incentives at 12%, net margin at 6.6%, and EPS of $1.19 GAAP ($1.23 ex-items). Market headwinds intensified as 30-year mortgage rates rose to ~7%, inflation pressured affordability, Fed rate cuts remain off the table, and resale inventory competition increased, particularly in key Texas and Florida markets.
Guidance
CFO Diane Bessette will provide Q4 2026 guidance during the call. Management is not building business plans around Fed rate cuts and acknowledges continued market difficulty. Volume execution remains a priority despite affordability constraints.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Sep 16, 2026$1.23
est $1.28
−3.9%$8.00B
est $8.32B
−3.8%−0.5%
Jun 11, 2026$1.24
est $1.24
0.0%$7.94B
est $8.08B
−1.8%+0.5%
Mar 12, 2026$0.93
est $0.95
−2.4%$6.62B
est $6.84B
−3.2%−1.7%
Dec 16, 2025$1.93
est $2.21
−12.7%$9.37B
est $9.00B
+4.1%−6.3%
Sep 18, 2025$2.00
est $2.10
−4.8%$8.80B
est $8.97B
−2.0%−4.2%
Jun 16, 2025$1.90
est $1.94
−2.1%$8.35B
est $8.18B
+2.2%−3.7%
Mar 20, 2025$2.14
est $1.70
+25.9%$7.62B
est $7.43B
+2.5%−4.2%
Dec 18, 2024$4.03
est $4.21
−4.3%$9.95B
est $10.06B
−1.1%−8.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Lennar stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lennar is $80.08, −2.4% from the last close, from 13 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$80.08consensus 12-month target, −2.4% from the last close
Low $63High $108
Buy1
Hold7
Sell5

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 13 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 22BTIGSell, reiterated$63−23.2%
Sep 22KBWSell, maintained$75−8.6%
Sep 21CitiHold, maintained$85+3.6%
Sep 21KBWSell, maintained$75−8.6%
Sep 18Goldman SachsHold, maintained$92+12.2%
−2.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Lennar seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Lennar averaged −1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.8%2021+1.0%2022−6.3%2023−3.9%2024+1.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.7%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.9%3 of 5

For scale, LEN’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6%.

Lennar market cap and key statistics

Lennar’s market cap is $20.37B, with a P/E ratio of 14.5 and revenue of $31.97B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$20.37B
P/E ratio
14.5
Forward P/E
15.7
EPS, TTM
$5.61
Gekko Fair Value
$99.97

Trading

Volume
6.71M
Avg volume, 20 days
4.81M
52-week high
$133.76
52-week low
$75.70
Shares outstanding
210.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$31.97B
Profit margin
4.1%
Return on equity
6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−48.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.40
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6%
Dividend yield
2.45%

Lennar peers

Lennar’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton−0.7%Neutral0.1% below
PHMPulteGroup+0.5%Accumulation14.2% below
LEN.BLennar+0.7%Neutral19.8% below
NVRNVR+0.7%Neutral7.0% below
TOLToll Brothers+1.0%Accumulation20.1% below
FTDRFrontdoor−0.5%Accumulation0.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Lennar stock FAQ

What is Lennar’s market cap?

Lennar’s market cap is $20.37B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $82.03, with 210.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.5.

What is the Lennar stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lennar is $80.08, −2.4% from the last close. Of the 13 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 5 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Lennar stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Lennar is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $82.03 is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.97. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Lennar report earnings next?

Lennar is expected to report on Dec 15, 2026 (77 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.48 per share on revenue of $8.74B. Lennar beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.7% on average across the report.

What is Lennar’s 52-week high and low?

Lennar’s 52-week high is $133.76 and its 52-week low is $75.70; it closed at $82.03 on Sep 28, 2026, −33.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $193.80 on Sep 19, 2024.

Is Lennar stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Lennar?

Gekko flagged 6 unusual options signals in Lennar over the last 30 days, with $2.00M of flagged premium in calls and $2.70M in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 26, 2026 with $589K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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