Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PHM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every PHM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PHM in Gekko
NYSE: PHM
PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$119.13−0.72 (−0.6%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryPulteGroup shares moved lower through the week, weighed by rising mortgage rates above 7% and higher Treasury yields that pressured homebuilders broadly. The company's Q2 2026 results showed adjusted EPS of $2.48, beating the $2.36 consensus, alongside a 9.6% year-over-year revenue decline and net new orders up 6.4%. Evercore ISI adjusted its price target on PulteGroup to $154 from $162 while maintaining an Outperform rating, and the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.26 per share and opened a new single-family home community.
PHM closed at $119.13, down 0.6%, sitting between its 50-day average of $125.63 and 200-day average of $124.89, with the stock down 13.6% over three months and 7.5% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 61.5, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, down from a five-day change of -4.7. Price sits 14.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.79.
PulteGroup next reports earnings on 22 October 2026, before the open, which falls within the next 20 trading days. Over that stretch, seasonality across 5 years has averaged a 20-day return of -2.4%, with gains in 2 of those years. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Analyst consensus across 12 firms stands at 7 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $140.80.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
PulteGroup price vs fair value
Close $119.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $138.79
PulteGroup quick facts
- Market cap
- $23.00B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- Forward P/E
- 11.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.79
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.41B
- Profit margin
- 11.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.85%
- Beta
- 1.20
- Volume
- 1.61M avg 1.62M
- 1-year return
- −7.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
- 50-day average
- $125.63
- 200-day average
- $124.89
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 190.5M
PulteGroup swing-trade checklist
PulteGroup scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $119.13 sits between the 50-day ($125.63) and 200-day ($124.89) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.5, Accumulation
Reading 61.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.2% below
Price is 14.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−2.4% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.4% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
PulteGroup stock chart and price history
PulteGroup closed at $119.13 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $108.49 to $144.50.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −6.0%
- 3 months
- −13.6%
- 6 months
- +3.9%
- 1 year
- −7.5%
The full PHM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open PHM in Gekko
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About PulteGroup
PulteGroup constructs and sells houses for buyers, with a presence stretching from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania and Virginia down through Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Florida, across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri and Ohio, and further into Texas, Arizona, California, Nevada, New Mexico and Washington. This home construction and sales activity makes up the bulk of what the company is recognized for.
Beyond putting up homes, PulteGroup arranges related financial services for its customers, including mortgage lending plus title and insurance brokerage support. Its business splits into two segments: one handles the actual homebuilding across its many state markets, while the other, financial services, takes care of mortgage banking and title work tied to those home sales.
William J. Pulte started the company back in 1950, and its main offices now sit in Atlanta, Georgia. PulteGroup trades on the NYSE under the ticker PHM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Homebuilding
- Website
- pultegroupinc.com
PulteGroup GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
PulteGroup’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.7 points over five sessions.
61.5Accumulation
Down 4.7 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 17 | −0.8% | +3.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 249 | +0.6% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 379 | +0.1% | −0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 25 | −1.2% | −0.4% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average PHM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the PHM price, zone by zone.Track PHM in Gekko
Is PulteGroup stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
PulteGroup trades 14.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.79, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what PulteGroup shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$138.79
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
14.2% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open PHM in Gekko
PulteGroup insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for PulteGroup, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in PHM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for PHM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open PHM in Gekko
Buybacks
PulteGroup has been buying back its own shares.
- Latest authorization
- $1.50B, Apr 23, 2026
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $374.2M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.63%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.32B
From company filings.
PulteGroup earnings: next date and track record
PulteGroup reports on Oct 22, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected before the open, 23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.66
- Revenue estimate
- $4.17B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.9%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- PulteGroup reported a solid Q2 2026 with year-over-year improvement in net new orders (up 6% to 7,536 homes), build-to-order mix gains (45% of orders, up 500 bps YTD), reduced finished spec inventory (1.3 homes per community), and regional strength led by Florida (orders +19% YoY). Management emphasized disciplined M&A (tuck-in preference), ongoing transition to a 60% BTO target (on track for next year), continued cost control (noting ~5% YoY lower vertical costs), and prudent capital allocation (low leverage at ~12% debt-to-capital). Incentives improved (incentives on closings down ~50 bps sequentially) but remain elevated; management expects incentives to remain elevated amid affordability pressures. Management reiterated full-year guidance and highlighted operating cash expectations with an inventory-driven cash tailwind in the back half of the year. The company confirmed progress on an ICG divestiture and remains engaged with advanced manufacturing partners.
- Guidance
- Management reiterated full-year guidance: gross margin guidance band noted previously (around 24.5%–25% range, with commentary not to assume the high end), SG&A guidance of ~9.5%–9.7% for full year, maintained operating cash flow guide for 2026, and reiterated expectations for community-count growth of ~3%–5% for the year (previously guided). They also restated plan to reach ~60% build-to-order (BTO) mix likely sometime next year.
- Risks flagged
- Management called out multiple risks: elevated but variable incentives tied to affordability and macro/global events, commodity cost pressures (lumber, oil/asphalt/diesel impacting development costs), potential integration risks from M&A, uncertainty around ICG divestiture outcome, and general macro/consumer demand variability. They also referenced standard SEC-listed risk factors in filings.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $2.48 est $2.38 | $3.98B est $3.94B | +0.3% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $1.79 est $1.81 | $3.41B est $3.37B | 0.0% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $2.58 est $2.81 | $4.61B est $4.33B | +1.5% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $2.96 est $2.89 | $4.40B est $4.30B | −2.5% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $3.03 est $2.95 | $4.40B est $4.38B | +9.8% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $2.57 est $2.43 | $3.89B est $3.82B | +8.5% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $4.43 est $3.27 | $4.92B est $4.64B | +0.7% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $3.35 est $3.18 | $4.48B est $4.27B | −7.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
PulteGroup stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for PulteGroup is $140.80, +18.2% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$140.80consensus 12-month target, +18.2% from the last close
Now $119.13Avg $140.80
Low $116High $166
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Evercore ISI | $154 | +29.3% |
| Sep 16 | Truist Financial | $136 | +14.2% |
| Sep 11 | Wells Fargo | $145 | +21.7% |
| Aug 24 | Wolfe Research | $158 | +32.6% |
| Aug 20 | BTIG | — | — |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
PulteGroup seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, PulteGroup averaged −2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, PHM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.3%.
PulteGroup market cap and key statistics
PulteGroup’s market cap is $23.00B, with a P/E ratio of 12.2 and revenue of $16.41B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $23.00B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- Forward P/E
- 11.2
- EPS, TTM
- $9.79
- Gekko Fair Value
- $138.79
Trading
- Volume
- 1.61M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.62M
- 52-week high
- $144.50
- 52-week low
- $108.49
- Shares outstanding
- 190.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.41B
- Profit margin
- 11.6%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −18.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.20
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.85%
PulteGroup stock news this week
Coverage of PulteGroup this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 5 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- PulteGroup stock at USD 119.71 on September 28, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- PulteGroup stock rose 1.41 percent on September 25AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- PulteGroup stock closes at USD 122.29, up 2.79 percent at the closing bellAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- PulteGroup stock trades 18.5 percent below its 52-week highAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- Evercore ISI Adjusts PT on PulteGroup to $154 From $162, Maintains Outperform Ratingmarketscreener.com, Sep 25
- PulteGroup stock heads into the open after a 1.9 percent dipAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
PulteGroup peers
PulteGroup’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DHID.R. Horton | Neutral | 0.1% below |
| LEN.BLennar | Neutral | 19.8% below |
| LENLennar | Neutral | 17.9% below |
| NVRNVR | Neutral | 7.0% below |
| TOLToll Brothers | Accumulation | 20.1% below |
| FTDRFrontdoor | Accumulation | 0.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
PulteGroup stock FAQ
What is PulteGroup’s market cap?
PulteGroup’s market cap is $23.00B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $119.13, with 190.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.2.
What is the PulteGroup stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for PulteGroup is $140.80, +18.2% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is PulteGroup stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate PulteGroup is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $119.13 is 14.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $138.79. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does PulteGroup report earnings next?
PulteGroup is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.66 per share on revenue of $4.17B. PulteGroup beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.9% on average across the report.
What is PulteGroup’s 52-week high and low?
PulteGroup’s 52-week high is $144.50 and its 52-week low is $108.49; it closed at $119.13 on Sep 28, 2026, −7.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $149.47 on Oct 21, 2024.
Is PulteGroup stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (trend) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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