Insider buying last 90 days
$405Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | George Oliver Director | Purchase | $405K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's activity centers on housing-market pressure and mixed analyst signals. A September 24 housing warning weighed on sentiment even as new home sales reached an eight-month high, with mortgage rates climbing above 7 percent. Analyst actions were mixed: BTIG lowered its price target to $7,125 following a 10.5 percent Q2 revenue decline (orders rose 9 percent, and diluted EPS came in well above consensus), while Argus raised its target to $6,022.00. A separate Wall Street survey shows a "Hold" consensus with three buys, three holds, one sell, and an average target of $7,160.00.
NVR closes at $6,267.89, down 0.5%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $6,299.18 and its 200-day average of $6,718.45, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 58.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $6,739.08, putting price about 7% below that level.
Earnings are scheduled for 28 October, 29 days out, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report showed EPS of $0.84 against a $0.90 estimate, with a 1% reaction. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes one open-market insider purchase valued at $405,185. Seasonality over the past 5 years shows the next 20 trading days from this point averaging a 4% decline, higher in only 1 of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current gap to fair value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
NVR price vs fair value
Close $6,267.89200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6,739.08
NVR quick facts
- Market cap
- $16.92B
- P/E ratio
- 16.2
- Forward P/E
- 14.8
- EPS, TTM
- $384.11
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.63B
- Profit margin
- 11.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.91
- Volume
- 36,683 avg 41,650
- 1-year return
- −20.7%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
- 50-day average
- $6,299.18
- 200-day average
- $6,718.45
- Next earnings
- Oct 28
- Shares outstanding
- 2.68M
NVR swing-trade checklist
NVR scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $6267.89 is below the 50-day ($6299.18) and 200-day ($6718.45) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.5, Neutral
Reading 58.5 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.0% below
Price is 7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 29 days
Next report Oct 28, 2026, 29 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−4.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
NVR stock chart and price history
NVR closed at $6,267.89 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.7% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $5,501.01 to $8,200.00.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −1.5%
- 3 months
- −8.1%
- 6 months
- −2.8%
- 1 year
- −20.7%
The full NVR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open NVR in Gekko
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About NVR
NVR builds and sells homes across the United States, offering detached houses, townhouses, and condominiums under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. Ryan Homes serves people buying a first home or making an initial move up, while NVHomes and Heartland Homes are aimed at move-up and luxury buyers with more spending power.
The company runs two main lines of business: homebuilding and mortgage banking. The mortgage arm supports homebuilding customers by arranging title insurance, handling title searches tied to loan settlements, and passing mortgage loans on to investors in the secondary market rather than keeping servicing rights. NVR operates across a wide range of states and the District of Columbia, including Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, and Tennessee.
Founded in 1980, NVR is headquartered in Reston, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker NVR.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Homebuilding
- Website
- nvrinc.com
NVR GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
NVR’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.5, in the Neutral zone, down 3.7 points over five sessions.
58.5Neutral
Down 3.7 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 36 | +0.4% | +2.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 253 | −0.1% | −0.9% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 371 | 0.0% | −0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 11 | −0.4% | +0.9% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average NVR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the NVR price, zone by zone.Track NVR in Gekko
Is NVR stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
NVR trades 7.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $6,739.08, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what NVR shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$6,739.08
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
7.0% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open NVR in Gekko
NVR insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in NVR worth $405K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in NVR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for NVR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open NVR in Gekko
Buybacks
NVR has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $373.6M
- As a share of market cap
- 2.21%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.78B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds NVR.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
NVR earnings: next date and track record
NVR reports on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 28, 2026
29 days away
- EPS estimate
- $104.11
- Revenue estimate
- $2.59B
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.2%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.84 est $0.90 | $2.33B est $2.40B | +1.0% |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $67.76 est $79.20 | $1.88B est $2.05B | −3.8% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $121.54 est $105.90 | $2.71B est $2.48B | +1.7% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $112.33 est $109.36 | $2.51B est $2.55B | −1.4% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $108.54 est $106.20 | $2.60B est $2.50B | −1.5% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $94.83 est $106.07 | $2.35B est $2.36B | −0.7% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $139.93 est $129.35 | $2.85B est $2.81B | −5.0% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $130.50 est $131.00 | $2.74B est $2.71B | −2.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
NVR stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for NVR is $6,717.80, +7.2% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$6,717.80consensus 12-month target, +7.2% from the last close
Now $6,267.89Avg $6,717.80
Low $6,400High $7,400
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | BTIG | $7,125 | +13.7% |
| Sep 16 | Truist Financial | $6,400 | +2.1% |
| Jul 28 | Truist Financial | $6,400 | +2.1% |
| Jul 24 | Bank of America Securities | $7,000 | +11.7% |
| Jul 24 | UBS | $7,400 | +18.1% |
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−4.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
NVR seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, NVR averaged −4.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −4.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, NVR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.3%.
NVR market cap and key statistics
NVR’s market cap is $16.92B, with a P/E ratio of 16.2 and revenue of $9.63B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $16.92B
- P/E ratio
- 16.2
- Forward P/E
- 14.8
- EPS, TTM
- $384.11
- Gekko Fair Value
- $6,739.08
Trading
- Volume
- 36,683
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 41,650
- 52-week high
- $8,200.00
- 52-week low
- $5,501.01
- Shares outstanding
- 2.68M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $9.63B
- Profit margin
- 11.8%
- Return on equity
- 31.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −22.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.91
- Typical daily move
- ±2.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.3%
NVR stock news this week
Coverage of NVR this week reads positive: 7 positive, 3 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- NVR stock last trades at USD 6,305.24 on September 28, 2026AD HOC NEWS, Sep 28
- NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Wall Street AnalystsMarketBeat, Sep 27
- NVR stock last at USD 6,280.16, up 0.72 percent in New York tradingAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- NVR Inc stock gets a lower BTIG target after Q2 declineAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- NVR stock heads into the open after a September 24 housing warningAD HOC NEWS, Sep 25
- NVR, Inc. (NVR) Stock forecastsYahoo Finance Singapore, Sep 24
NVR peers
NVR’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| DHID.R. Horton | Neutral | 0.1% below |
| PHMPulteGroup | Accumulation | 14.2% below |
| LEN.BLennar | Neutral | 19.8% below |
| LENLennar | Neutral | 17.9% below |
| TOLToll Brothers | Accumulation | 20.1% below |
| FTDRFrontdoor | Accumulation | 0.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
NVR stock FAQ
What is NVR’s market cap?
NVR’s market cap is $16.92B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6,267.89, with 2.68M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 16.2.
What is the NVR stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for NVR is $6,717.80, +7.2% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is NVR stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate NVR is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $6,267.89 is 7.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $6,739.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does NVR report earnings next?
NVR is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026 (29 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $104.11 per share on revenue of $2.59B. NVR beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.2% on average across the report.
What is NVR’s 52-week high and low?
NVR’s 52-week high is $8,200.00 and its 52-week low is $5,501.01; it closed at $6,267.89 on Sep 28, 2026, −20.7% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $9,964.77 on Oct 18, 2024.
Is NVR stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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