NYSE: SKY

Champion Homes (SKY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$86.82−0.90 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Champion Homes presented its offsite-built housing solutions at the HUD Innovative Housing Showcase in Washington, D.C., highlighting the company's approach to the affordable housing shortage. Separately, Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a position in Champion Homes, purchasing shares valued at approximately $52.41 million, representing about 1.1% of the company.

SKY closed at $86.82, down 1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $86.99 and 200-day average of $83.20. The stock's one-month return stands at -3.6%, while its six-month return is 19.7%. The GekkoIndex reads 57.6, placing it in the Neutral zone, with a five-day change of -1.9. Fair Value is estimated at $92.80, putting the current price 6.4% below that mark.

Champion Homes next reports earnings on 3 November 2026, before the open, 35 days away and outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter saw an EPS beat of $0.97 against an estimate of $0.83, with a reaction of 11.3%; the company has beaten estimates in 6 of its last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -1.5% across 5 years, with gains in 2 of those years. Five analysts covering the stock all rate it buy, with a consensus target of $103.50, implying 19.2% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window, though one billionaire holder is on record.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Champion Homes price vs fair value

$92.80$86.82Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $86.82200-day averageGekko Fair Value $92.80

Champion Homes quick facts

Market cap
$4.77B
P/E ratio
25
Forward P/E
23.4
EPS, TTM
$3.43
Revenue, TTM
$2.67B
Profit margin
7.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.01
Volume
449,756 avg 537,864
1-year return
+19.3%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%
50-day average
$86.99
200-day average
$83.20
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
54.28M
52-week range
$63.69$99.17

Champion Homes swing-trade checklist

Champion Homes scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $86.82 sits between the 50-day ($86.99) and 200-day ($83.20) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    57.6, Neutral

    Reading 57.6 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    6.4% below

    Price is 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 35 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 35 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −1.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.5% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Champion Homes stock chart and price history

Champion Homes closed at $86.82 on Sep 28, 2026, +19.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $63.69 to $99.17.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Champion Homes share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$70$80$90NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep86.82

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.6%
3 months
−0.7%
6 months
+19.7%
1 year
+19.3%
The full SKY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SKY in Gekko

Follow Champion Homes through every session

Put SKY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track SKY in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

Champion Homes GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Champion Homes’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 57.6, in the Neutral zone, down 1.9 points over five sessions.

010057.6Neutral

Down 1.9 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying43−0.2%+1.3%+3.9%+6.3%
Accumulation190+1.9%+3.5%+5.2%+4.9%
Neutral (current zone)400−0.1%−0.2%−0.4%+1.4%
Distribution38−1.3%−3.3%−3.5%−7.8%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SKY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SKY price, zone by zone.Track SKY in Gekko

Is Champion Homes stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Champion Homes trades 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $92.80, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Champion Homes shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$92.80

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

6.4% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SKY in Gekko

Champion Homes insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Champion Homes, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SKY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SKY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SKY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SKY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SKY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SKY in Gekko

Buybacks

Champion Homes has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$150.0M, Aug 4, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026
$50.00M
As a share of market cap
1.05%
Trailing four quarters
$200.0M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds SKY.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Champion Homes earnings: next date and track record

Champion Homes reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (35 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−10.6%May ’24+12.1%Aug ’24+1.5%Oct ’24+0.5%Feb ’25−22.1%May ’25+2.1%Aug ’25+9.9%Nov ’25+11.3%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Champion Homes Q3 Fiscal 2026 earnings call: Management (CEO Tim Larson, new CFO Dave McKinstray, outgoing CFO Laurie Hough) reviewed results: net sales up 2% to $657M; U.S. homes sold down 3% to 6,270; ASP up 5% to $99,300; consolidated gross profit down 5% to $172M; gross margin 26.2% (-190 bps YoY) due to higher material costs. Canadian revenue $26M (+3% homes sold). Manufacturing utilization 59%. Q4 guidance: revenue up low single digits YoY; gross margin 25%-26%; risks include cautious consumer sentiment, seasonality, weather disruptions, channel mix; expect seasonal inventory build at captive retail for spring selling season; continued focus on strategic growth, product innovation, digital investments, capital allocation and potential continued share repurchases. Management emphasized brand recognition (Skyline Homes named most trusted), legislative tailwinds for factory-built housing, and engagement with community channel and REITs. Q&A addressed geography, weather impacts, pricing vs mix, community channel inventory, margin drivers, tariffs (less than expected), trade-show SG&A seasonality, capital allocation (near-term buybacks to continue), and legislation nuances. Tone: measured, cautiously optimistic; management confident but acknowledges headwinds and variability.
Guidance
Q4: revenue expected up low single digits vs prior year; gross margin anticipated 25%-26%; modest increase in fixed SG&A due to trade shows; no numeric EPS guidance provided.
Risks flagged
Cautious consumer sentiment; seasonally lower winter selling period; softer demand in certain markets and channels; weather-related disruptions; variability from product and channel mix; tariff risk (evolving); macro/choppiness in housing market; legislative uncertainty timing.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 3, 2026$0.97
est $0.83
+16.9%$656.6M
est $649.4M
+1.1%+11.3%
Nov 4, 2025$1.01
est $0.81
+24.7%$684.4M
est $640.9M
+6.8%+9.9%
Aug 4, 2025$1.19
est $0.82
+45.4%$701.3M
est $659.8M
+6.3%+2.1%
May 27, 2025$0.65
est $0.76
−14.6%$593.9M
est $595.4M
−0.3%−22.1%
Feb 3, 2025$1.04
est $0.77
+35.1%$644.9M
est $600.9M
+7.3%+0.5%
Oct 28, 2024$0.93
est $0.81
+14.8%$616.9M
est $589.2M
+4.7%+1.5%
Aug 6, 2024$0.89
est $0.74
+20.3%$627.8M
est $601.3M
+4.4%+12.1%
May 21, 2024$0.62
est $0.68
−8.8%$536.4M
est $560.9M
−4.4%−10.6%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Champion Homes stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Champion Homes is $103.50, +19.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$103.50consensus 12-month target, +19.2% from the last close
Low $99High $115
Buy5
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6Zelman & Assoc.Buy, upgraded$102.70+18.3%
Aug 6Craig-HallumBuy, reiterated$103+18.6%
Aug 6UBSBuy, maintained$115+32.5%
Aug 6BarclaysBuy, maintained$109+25.5%
Aug 5RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$99+14.0%
−0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−1.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Champion Homes seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Champion Homes averaged −1.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.4%2021+8.9%2022−7.9%2023−4.2%2024+1.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.7%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.5%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.8%4 of 5

For scale, SKY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.2%.

Champion Homes market cap and key statistics

Champion Homes’s market cap is $4.77B, with a P/E ratio of 25 and revenue of $2.67B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.77B
P/E ratio
25
Forward P/E
23.4
EPS, TTM
$3.43
Gekko Fair Value
$92.80

Trading

Volume
449,756
Avg volume, 20 days
537,864
52-week high
$99.17
52-week low
$63.69
Shares outstanding
54.28M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.67B
Profit margin
7.2%
Return on equity
12.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−21.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.01
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.2%

Champion Homes stock news this week

2 headlines about Champion Homes from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Champion Homes peers

Champion Homes’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
DHID.R. Horton−0.7%Neutral0.1% below
PHMPulteGroup+0.5%Accumulation14.2% below
LEN.BLennar+0.7%Neutral19.8% below
LENLennar+0.3%Neutral17.9% below
NVRNVR+0.7%Neutral7.0% below
TOLToll Brothers+1.0%Accumulation20.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Champion Homes stock FAQ

What is Champion Homes’s market cap?

Champion Homes’s market cap is $4.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $86.82, with 54.28M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 25.

What is the Champion Homes stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Champion Homes is $103.50, +19.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Champion Homes stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Champion Homes is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $86.82 is 6.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $92.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Champion Homes report earnings next?

Champion Homes is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (35 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.94 per share on revenue of $721.3M. Champion Homes beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.8% on average across the report.

What is Champion Homes’s 52-week high and low?

Champion Homes’s 52-week high is $99.17 and its 52-week low is $63.69; it closed at $86.82 on Sep 28, 2026, +19.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $116.49 on Dec 9, 2024.

Is Champion Homes stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Champion Homes the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.