NYSE: RACE

Ferrari (RACE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Ferrari N.V. Consumer durables sector, motor vehicles industry. Market cap $71.54B.

$406.69−7.31 (−1.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Ferrari (RACE) closes at $406.69, down 1.8% on the day, with the stock above both its 50-day average of $401.66 and its 200-day average of $365.91. The GekkoIndex reads 58.8, placing it in the Neutral zone, up 1.1 over the past five readings. Price sits 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $347.4, a gap that bears watching.

This week's activity centers on institutional positioning and a new partnership. Bank of America Corp DE disclosed a stake of 836,446 shares valued at approximately $311.4 million, while NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its position by 19.7%, Engineers Gate Manager LP grew its holding by 139.1% to 19,514 shares worth $7.23 million, and HighTower Advisors LLC trimmed its stake by 77%. Separately, Ferrari announced a partnership agreement with Rakuten Group, signed through its Ferrari S.p.A. subsidiary, effective 1 January 2027. Ferrari also reported progress on its buyback program, having purchased shares under the third tranche of a multi-year program of approximately €3.5 billion.

Ferrari's next earnings date is 3 November 2026, 44 days out and before the open, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The company has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with the prior report producing a 2.1% reaction against an average absolute reaction of 5.6%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in their respective windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point have averaged -2.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, worth noting alongside one billionaire holder currently on record.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $406.69200-day averageGekko Fair Value $347.40

Key stats

Market cap
$71.54B
P/E ratio
38.5
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$10.76
Revenue, TTM
$7.35B
Profit margin
22.3%
Dividend yield
1.02%
Beta
0.60
Volume
573,429 avg 352,954
1-year return
−13.5%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$401.66
200-day average
$365.91
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
175.6M
52-week range
$312.51$504.49

Ferrari swing-trade checklist

Ferrari scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $406.69 is above the 50-day ($401.66) and 200-day ($365.91) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    58.8, Neutral

    Reading 58.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    17.1% above

    Price is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 44 days

    Next report Nov 3, 2026, 44 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −2.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ferrari stock chart and price history

Ferrari closed at $406.69 on Sep 18, 2026, −13.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $312.51 to $504.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.3%
3 months
+12.3%
6 months
+26.7%
1 year
−13.5%
The full RACE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RACE in Gekko

Follow Ferrari through every session

Put RACE on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Ferrari

Ferrari designs, engineers and builds high-performance luxury cars, spanning sports cars, Grand Tourers, limited-run series, hypercars, one-off commissions and track-only models. It also produces motorsport vehicles and supplies spare parts and engines, backing these with after-sales work such as repair, maintenance and restoration. The name carries beyond the cars themselves into wider recognition tied to its racing and automotive heritage.

The company earns money through several connected activities. It licenses its brand to makers and sellers of lifestyle goods, and its name appears at leisure attractions including a theme park in Abu Dhabi and a park in Europe. Ferrari runs racetracks, keeps two museums, sells branded apparel and accessories through its own boutiques, and provides financing and leasing arrangements to buyers and dealers alike. Cars and merchandise reach customers through authorized dealers, company and franchised stores, and an online store.

Ferrari N.V. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RACE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Motor vehicles
Website
ferrari.com

Ferrari GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ferrari’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.8, in the Neutral zone, up 1.1 points over five sessions.

010058.8Neutral

Up 1.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37+1.8%+3.4%+9.6%+0.9%
Accumulation205+0.8%+1.6%+2.2%+2.4%
Neutral (current zone)384−0.2%−0.3%−0.5%−0.2%
Distribution35+0.4%−0.8%−2.6%−1.9%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average RACE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RACE price, zone by zone.Track RACE in Gekko

Is Ferrari stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ferrari trades 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $347.40, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferrari shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$347.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

17.1% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RACE in Gekko

Ferrari insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferrari, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for RACE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every RACE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RACE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in RACE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for RACE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RACE in Gekko

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RACE.

0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ferrari earnings: next date and track record

Ferrari reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (44 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+8.2%Feb ’25+2.2%May ’25−12.5%Jul ’25−1.1%Nov ’25+3.7%Nov ’25+13.9%Feb ’26−0.8%May ’26+2.1%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ferrari delivered Q2 2026 revenues of €1.94B, EBITDA of €755M, and industrial free cash flow of €275M, supported by strong mix and personalizations. Order book extends through all of 2027, with models including the 296 Speciale and 12Cilindri families fully sold out. Ferrari unveiled its first electric vehicle, the Ferrari Luce, alongside the 12Cilindri Manuale limited edition (1,499 units), completing a three-powertrain product portfolio.
Guidance
Management raised full-year guidance driven by strong mix and personalization performance. Order book visibility through 2027 underpins confidence in continued execution. Ferrari Luce orders are tracking in line with internal plans.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 30, 2026$3.05
est $2.83
+7.8%$2.21B
est $2.14B
+3.5%+2.1%
May 5, 2026$2.33
est $2.37
−1.7%$2.14B
est $2.12B
+0.9%−0.8%
Feb 10, 2026$2.49
est $2.44
+2.0%$2.12B
est $2.08B
+1.6%+13.9%
Nov 4, 2025$2.50
est $2.35
+6.4%$2.07B
est $2.08B
−0.7%+3.7%
Nov 3, 2025$2.14
est $2.04
+4.9%$2.07B
est $2.08B
−0.7%−1.1%
Jul 31, 2025$2.70
est $2.57
+5.1%$2.10B
est $1.94B
+8.3%−12.5%
May 6, 2025$2.42
est $2.36
+2.5%$1.96B
est $2.07B
−5.2%+2.2%
Feb 4, 2025$2.28
est $1.89
+20.6%$1.80B
est $1.84B
−2.1%+8.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ferrari stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferrari is $462.01, +13.6% from the last close.

$462.01consensus 12-month target, +13.6% from the last close
−0.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−2.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ferrari seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ferrari averaged −2.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.3%2021−5.0%2022+3.5%2023+1.7%2024−16.8%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.2%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.6%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.3%3 of 5

For scale, RACE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Ferrari market cap and key statistics

Ferrari’s market cap is $71.54B, with a P/E ratio of 38.5 and revenue of $7.35B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$71.54B
P/E ratio
38.5
Forward P/E
32.4
EPS, TTM
$10.76
Gekko Fair Value
$347.40

Trading

Volume
573,429
Avg volume, 20 days
352,954
52-week high
$504.49
52-week low
$312.51
Shares outstanding
175.6M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.35B
Profit margin
22.3%
Return on equity
45.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+10.1%

Risk and income

Beta
0.60
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
1.02%

Ferrari stock news this week

Coverage of Ferrari this week reads positive: 3 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ferrari peers

Ferrari’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TSLATesla−1.3%Neutral7.9% above
GMGeneral Motors−4.6%Accumulation11.1% below
FFord Motor−2.4%Accumulation11.4% below
RIVNRivian Automotive−3.0%Accumulation14.0% below
STLAStellantis−1.6%Accumulation19.3% below
OSKOshkosh+1.2%Accumulation11.4% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Ferrari stock FAQ

What is Ferrari’s market cap?

Ferrari’s market cap is $71.54B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $406.69, with 175.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 38.5.

What is the Ferrari stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferrari is $462.01, +13.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ferrari stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ferrari is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $406.69 is 17.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $347.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ferrari report earnings next?

Ferrari is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (44 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.77 per share on revenue of $2.19B. Ferrari beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.

What is Ferrari’s 52-week high and low?

Ferrari’s 52-week high is $504.49 and its 52-week low is $312.51; it closed at $406.69 on Sep 18, 2026, −13.5% over the past year.

Is Ferrari stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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