Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for RACE in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every RACE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RACE in Gekko
NYSE: RACE
Ferrari (RACE) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$432.45+17.68 (+4.3%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeFerrari rose this week after third-quarter 2026 results topped estimates, with management raising its full-year outlook on stronger product mix, rising personalization revenue and robust free cash flow. Personalizations reached over 21% of total car and spare parts revenues, and order book visibility now extends into 2028 across all geographies. Coverage also highlighted demand for the Luce, Ferrari's first electric vehicle, reported sold out for 2027 before customer test drives begin, alongside earnings per share, EBITDA and EBIT all coming in above expectations.
Shares closed at $432.45, up 4.3%, sitting above both the 50-day average of $402.77 and the 200-day average of $370.26, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock trades near its 52-week high of $437.15. The GekkoIndex reads 39.6, placing it in the Distribution zone, while price stands 24.4% above the Gekko Fair Value of $347.49.
The next earnings date falls on 9 February 2027, 96 days out, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows, leaving smart-money positioning without a clear signal. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 2.3% return over 5 years, rising in 3 of them. The consensus analyst target stands at $455.24, implying 5.3% upside from current levels.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Ferrari price vs fair value
Close $432.45200-day averageGekko Fair Value $347.49
Ferrari quick facts
- Market cap
- $75.78B
- P/E ratio
- 37.4
- Forward P/E
- 32.3
- EPS, TTM
- $10.77
- Revenue, TTM
- $7.35B
- Profit margin
- 22.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.05%
- Beta
- 0.66
- Volume
- 961,083 avg 434,550
- 1-year return
- +10.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- 50-day average
- $402.77
- 200-day average
- $370.26
- Next earnings
- Feb 9
- Shares outstanding
- 175.2M
Ferrari swing-trade checklist
Ferrari scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $432.45 is above the 50-day ($402.77) and 200-day ($370.26) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
39.6, Distribution
Reading 39.6 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
24.4% above
Price is 24.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 96 days
Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+2.3% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ferrari stock chart and price history
Ferrari closed at $432.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +10.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $312.51 to $437.15.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +11.9%
- 3 months
- +6.2%
- 6 months
- +28.6%
- 1 year
- +10.3%
The full RACE chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open RACE in Gekko
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About Ferrari
Ferrari designs, engineers and builds high-performance luxury cars, spanning sports cars, Grand Tourers, limited-run series, hypercars, one-off commissions and track-only models. It also produces motorsport vehicles and supplies spare parts and engines, backing these with after-sales work such as repair, maintenance and restoration. The name carries beyond the cars themselves into wider recognition tied to its racing and automotive heritage.
The company earns money through several connected activities. It licenses its brand to makers and sellers of lifestyle goods, and its name appears at leisure attractions including a theme park in Abu Dhabi and a park in Europe. Ferrari runs racetracks, keeps two museums, sells branded apparel and accessories through its own boutiques, and provides financing and leasing arrangements to buyers and dealers alike. Cars and merchandise reach customers through authorized dealers, company and franchised stores, and an online store.
Ferrari N.V. was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker RACE.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- ferrari.com
Ferrari GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ferrari’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 39.6, in the Distribution zone, down 21 points over five sessions.
39.6Distribution
Down 21 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 37 | +1.8% | +9.6% | ||
| Accumulation | 219 | +0.8% | +2.1% | ||
| Neutral | 405 | −0.3% | −0.8% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 35 | +0.4% | −2.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average RACE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the RACE price, zone by zone.Track RACE in Gekko
Is Ferrari stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ferrari trades 24.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $347.49, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferrari shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$347.49
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
24.4% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 25.8% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open RACE in Gekko
Ferrari insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferrari, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in RACE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for RACE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open RACE in Gekko
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds RACE.
0added1opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Ferrari earnings: next date and track record
Ferrari reports on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Feb 9, 2027
96 days away
- EPS estimate
- $2.82
- Revenue estimate
- $2.18B
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ferrari delivered Q2 2026 revenues of €1.94B, EBITDA of €755M, and industrial free cash flow of €275M, supported by strong mix and personalizations. Order book extends through all of 2027, with models including the 296 Speciale and 12Cilindri families fully sold out. Ferrari unveiled its first electric vehicle, the Ferrari Luce, alongside the 12Cilindri Manuale limited edition (1,499 units), completing a three-powertrain product portfolio.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year guidance driven by strong mix and personalization performance. Order book visibility through 2027 underpins confidence in continued execution. Ferrari Luce orders are tracking in line with internal plans.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $3.05 est $2.83 | $2.21B est $2.14B | +2.1% |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.33 est $2.37 | $2.14B est $2.12B | −0.8% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $2.49 est $2.44 | $2.12B est $2.08B | +13.9% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $2.50 est $2.35 | $2.07B est $2.08B | +3.7% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $2.70 est $2.57 | $2.10B est $1.94B | −12.5% |
| May 6, 2025 | $2.42 est $2.36 | $1.96B est $2.07B | +2.2% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $2.28 est $1.89 | $1.80B est $1.84B | +8.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $2.23 est $2.13 | $1.80B est $1.91B | −6.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ferrari stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferrari is $455.24, +5.3% from the last close.
$455.24consensus 12-month target, +5.3% from the last close
−2.6%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+2.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ferrari seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ferrari averaged +2.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −1.3% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, RACE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.
Ferrari market cap and key statistics
Ferrari’s market cap is $75.78B, with a P/E ratio of 37.4 and revenue of $7.35B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $75.78B
- P/E ratio
- 37.4
- Forward P/E
- 32.3
- EPS, TTM
- $10.77
- Gekko Fair Value
- $347.49
Trading
- Volume
- 961,083
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 434,550
- 52-week high
- $437.15
- 52-week low
- $312.51
- Shares outstanding
- 175.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $7.35B
- Profit margin
- 22.3%
- Return on equity
- 45.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +10.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.66
- Typical daily move
- ±1.9%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.05%
Ferrari stock news this week
Coverage of Ferrari this week reads positive: 10 positive, 5 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Ferrari Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsMarketBeat, Nov 4
- Ferrari: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsThe Motley Fool, Nov 3
- Ferrari's New Luce Is Already Sold Out for 2027 — Before Customer Test Drives Begin - Ferrari (NYSE:RACE)Benzinga, Nov 3
- Ferrari N.V. (RACE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Nov 3
- Ferrari's controversial Luce EV is sold out for 2027TechCrunch, Nov 3
- Ferrari gains after 2026 guidance upgrade, Q3 profit beatInvesting.com, Nov 3
Ferrari peers
Ferrari’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla | Neutral | 8.5% above |
| GMGeneral Motors | Neutral | 2.3% above |
| FFord Motor | Neutral | 8.2% below |
| RIVNRivian Automotive | Neutral | 11.6% below |
| STLAStellantis | Neutral | 40.1% below |
| OSKOshkosh | Neutral | 10.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ferrari stock FAQ
What is Ferrari’s market cap?
Ferrari’s market cap is $75.78B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $432.45, with 175.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 37.4.
What is the Ferrari stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferrari is $455.24, +5.3% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ferrari stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ferrari is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $432.45 is 24.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $347.49. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ferrari report earnings next?
Ferrari is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027 (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.82 per share on revenue of $2.18B. Ferrari beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.
What is Ferrari’s 52-week high and low?
Ferrari’s 52-week high is $437.15 and its 52-week low is $312.51; it closed at $432.45 on Nov 4, 2026, +10.3% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $519.10 on Jul 25, 2025.
Is Ferrari stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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