Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FSS in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FSS insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FSS in Gekko
NYSE: FSS
Federal Signal (FSS) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$115.01+0.26 (+0.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryFederal Signal shares closed at $115.01, up 0.2% on the day, sitting between the 50-day average of $119.54 and the 200-day average of $115.57, reflecting mixed short-term trend signals. Over the past month the stock is down 4.5%, and down 9.2% over three months, though it remains up 8% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 61.5, placing it in the Accumulation zone, down 2.4 from five days prior. Current price sits 9.1% below the Gekko Fair Value of $126.58.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October 2026, 30 days away, falling outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior release on 30 July showed GAAP diluted EPS of $1.42 against a $1.29 estimate, a beat that was followed by an 11.7% price reaction. Seasonal patterns for this calendar window have averaged a 3.6% gain over the next 20 trading days across five years, positive in three of them. All four analysts covering the stock currently rate it a buy, with a consensus price target of $145.62, representing a 26.6% upside from current levels.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Federal Signal price vs fair value
Close $115.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $126.58
Federal Signal quick facts
- Market cap
- $7.02B
- P/E ratio
- 24.7
- Forward P/E
- 19.8
- EPS, TTM
- $4.64
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.45B
- Profit margin
- 11.7%
- Dividend yield
- 0.51%
- Beta
- 1.23
- Volume
- 391,335 avg 414,537
- 1-year return
- −6.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.4%
- 50-day average
- $119.54
- 200-day average
- $115.57
- Next earnings
- Oct 29
- Shares outstanding
- 61.04M
Federal Signal swing-trade checklist
Federal Signal scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $115.01 sits between the 50-day ($119.54) and 200-day ($115.57) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
61.5, Accumulation
Reading 61.5 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
9.1% below
Price is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 30 days
Next report Oct 29, 2026, 30 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Federal Signal stock chart and price history
Federal Signal closed at $115.01 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $101.19 to $134.51.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.5%
- 3 months
- −9.2%
- 6 months
- +8.0%
- 1 year
- −6.4%
The full FSS chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FSS in Gekko
Follow Federal Signal through every session
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About Federal Signal
Federal Signal designs, builds and distributes specialized vehicles, equipment and communication systems used by municipal, government, industrial and commercial customers. Its work spans street cleaning machines, sewer and vacuum excavation trucks, waterblasting and line-marking equipment, waste collection vehicles, ice resurfacing and snow removal gear, along with vehicle-mounted lightbars, sirens, public warning systems and emergency communication tools. Many of these products carry well-known names including Elgin, Vactor, TRUVAC, Guzzler and Federal Signal itself.
The company is organized into two groups, one covering environmental equipment and the other focused on safety and security systems for first responders and industrial users. Beyond selling equipment, it offers parts, maintenance, repair, leasing and training services. Its products reach customers through wholesalers, distributors, manufacturer representatives, OEM partners, direct sales staff and international distributors, serving buyers across the United States, Canada, Europe and other regions.
Founded in 1901, Federal Signal is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker FSS.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- federalsignal.com
Federal Signal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Federal Signal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 2.4 points over five sessions.
61.5Accumulation
Down 2.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 25 | +0.6% | +1.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 196 | +1.3% | +6.4% | ||
| Neutral | 405 | +0.1% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution | 42 | 0.0% | +1.5% | ||
| Selling | 4 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FSS share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FSS price, zone by zone.Track FSS in Gekko
Is Federal Signal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Federal Signal trades 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $126.58, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Federal Signal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$126.58
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026
9.1% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FSS in Gekko
Federal Signal insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Federal Signal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FSS were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FSS, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FSS in Gekko
Buybacks
Federal Signal has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $5.40M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.08%
From company filings.
Federal Signal earnings: next date and track record
Federal Signal reports on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
30 days away
- EPS estimate
- $1.31
- Revenue estimate
- $661.6M
7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.6%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Federal Signal delivered a record Q2 2026 with net sales of $670M, up 19% YoY, and consolidated operating income of $118.2M, up 21%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $144.4M (21.5% margin, +60bps). GAAP diluted EPS grew 21% to $1.40. ESG segment led growth with 20% sales increase and 80bps margin expansion. Orders rose 18% to $637M, signaling continued strong demand.
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year 2026 guidance, reflecting strong order momentum and record Q2 performance. Full-year effective tax rate expected at approximately 24% excluding discrete benefits. Specific revenue and EPS targets were not fully captured in the excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.42 est $1.29 | $670.2M est $667.0M | +11.7% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.18 est $0.88 | $625.6M est $579.9M | +10.2% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.16 est $1.08 | $597.1M est $545.5M | +0.5% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.14 est $1.07 | $555.0M est $551.4M | −9.0% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.17 est $1.06 | $564.6M est $545.3M | +20.7% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.76 est $0.73 | $463.8M est $535.7M | +11.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.87 est $0.87 | $472.0M est $481.9M | −10.0% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $0.88 est $0.84 | $474.2M est $482.8M | −3.5% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Federal Signal stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Federal Signal is $145.62, +26.6% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$145.62consensus 12-month target, +26.6% from the last close
Now $115.01Avg $145.62
Low $140High $150
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | KeyBanc | $140 | +21.7% |
| Aug 17 | Citi | $150 | +30.4% |
| Aug 2 | Seaport Global | $150 | +30.4% |
| Jul 31 | KeyBanc | $140 | +21.7% |
| Jul 30 | William Blair | — | — |
+6.4%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Federal Signal seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Federal Signal averaged +3.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.6% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, FSS’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.4%.
Federal Signal market cap and key statistics
Federal Signal’s market cap is $7.02B, with a P/E ratio of 24.7 and revenue of $2.45B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $7.02B
- P/E ratio
- 24.7
- Forward P/E
- 19.8
- EPS, TTM
- $4.64
- Gekko Fair Value
- $126.58
Trading
- Volume
- 391,335
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 414,537
- 52-week high
- $134.51
- 52-week low
- $101.19
- Shares outstanding
- 61.04M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $2.45B
- Profit margin
- 11.7%
- Return on equity
- 20.6%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +20.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.23
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.4%
- Dividend yield
- 0.51%
Federal Signal peers
Federal Signal’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla | Neutral | 6.2% above |
| GMGeneral Motors | Accumulation | 13.3% below |
| RACEFerrari | Accumulation | 14.0% above |
| FFord Motor | Accumulation | 16.2% below |
| RIVNRivian Automotive | Accumulation | 14.6% below |
| STLAStellantis | Accumulation | 21.7% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Federal Signal stock FAQ
What is Federal Signal’s market cap?
Federal Signal’s market cap is $7.02B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.01, with 61.04M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.7.
What is the Federal Signal stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Federal Signal is $145.62, +26.6% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Federal Signal stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Federal Signal is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $115.01 is 9.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $126.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Federal Signal report earnings next?
Federal Signal is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026 (30 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $661.6M. Federal Signal beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.6% on average across the report.
What is Federal Signal’s 52-week high and low?
Federal Signal’s 52-week high is $134.51 and its 52-week low is $101.19; it closed at $115.01 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.4% over the past year.
Is Federal Signal stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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