NYSE: F

Ford Motor (F) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Nov 4 close

$12.67+0.36 (+2.9%)

Gekko Brief

Nov 4 close

Ford Motor closed at $12.67 on 4 November 2026, +2.9% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($12.80) and 200-day ($13.33) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $11.11 to $17.78. The GekkoIndex reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, down 12.1 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $13.80, so the price is 8.2% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 9 February 2027, 96 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 8 times, with an average move of 4.5% across the report. Smart-money activity over the last 90 days includes 1 Congress purchase and 0 sales. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.1% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

12 firms rate the stock: 5 buy, 6 hold and 1 sell, with a consensus target of $15.25. A typical daily move is about 3%, and a typical 20-day move about 6.4%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Nov 4, 2026 close.

Ford Motor price vs fair value

$13.80$12.67Nov ’25May ’26Nov ’26
Close $12.67200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.80

Ford Motor quick facts

Market cap
$50.52B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
−$2.04
Revenue, TTM
$187.0B
Profit margin
-4.2%
Dividend yield
4.90%
Beta
1.91
Volume
50.58M avg 42.25M
1-year return
−2.6%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
50-day average
$12.80
200-day average
$13.33
Next earnings
Feb 9 after close
Shares outstanding
3.92B
52-week range
$11.11$17.78

Ford Motor swing-trade checklist

Ford Motor scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.67 is below the 50-day ($12.80) and 200-day ($13.33) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.5, Neutral

    Reading 52.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    8.2% below

    Price is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 96 days

    Next report Feb 9, 2027, 96 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Ford Motor stock chart and price history

Ford Motor closed at $12.67 on Nov 4, 2026, −2.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.11 to $17.78.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Ford Motor share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$14$16DecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct12.67

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+3.2%
3 months
−8.1%
6 months
+4.1%
1 year
−2.6%
The full F chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open F in Gekko

Follow Ford Motor through every session

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About Ford Motor

Ford Motor makes and services vehicles ranging from trucks, vans and commercial cars to sport utility vehicles, alongside luxury models sold under its Lincoln brand. The company is widely recognized for its truck and SUV lineups as well as its Lincoln luxury offerings, which it sells and supports across a global market.

The business is divided into separate units covering conventional Ford vehicles, electric models, commercial and fleet-focused operations, newer ventures, and a financing arm. Vehicles, parts and accessories reach customers through dealerships and distributors around the world, with direct sales also made to large buyers such as fleet operators, rental companies and government bodies. Ford's financing operations support this network by offering installment and lease contracts to individuals and organizations, extending wholesale loans to dealers for inventory, and providing capital for dealer facilities, real estate and other business needs.

Ford Motor was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker F.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Motor vehicles
Website
ford.com

Ford Motor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Ford Motor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.5, in the Neutral zone, down 12.1 points over five sessions.

010052.5Neutral

Down 12.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Nov 4, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35−0.5%+1.0%+5.2%+9.5%
Accumulation217+1.1%+2.1%+3.1%+4.1%
Neutral (current zone)406+0.1%+0.2%−0.4%0.0%
Distribution38−3.7%−8.4%−8.6%−8.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average F share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the F price, zone by zone.Track F in Gekko

Is Ford Motor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Ford Motor trades 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.80, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Ford Motor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.80

Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026

8.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$14$12Aug 2026SepOctNov 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open F in Gekko

Ford Motor insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ford Motor, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for F in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every F insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open F in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.

MemberTypeAmountDisclosed
Ro Khanna
House, CA, purchase
Purchase$1,001 - $15,000Sep 7
traded Aug 10

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Buybacks

Ford Motor has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$311.0M
As a share of market cap
0.62%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold F.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Ford Motor earnings: next date and track record

Ford Motor reports on Feb 9, 2027, after the close (96 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.

8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−8.9%Feb ’25+1.6%May ’25−0.1%Jul ’25+11.3%Oct ’25+1.9%Feb ’26−2.6%Apr ’26+4.1%Jul ’26+5.6%Oct ’26

Last earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Ford reported Q3 2026 adjusted EBIT of $2.7 billion, prompting management to raise the low end of full-year guidance. F-Series maintained highest retail share among full-size trucks, on pace for 50th consecutive year as best-selling truck. Ford achieved J.D. Power IQS top ranking and reduced warranty/material costs by $1.5B in 2025, targeting another $1B reduction in 2026. Super Duty Oakville launch exceeded planned production volumes.
Guidance
Ford raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10.5B-$11B. Long-term target of 8% adjusted EBIT margins by 2029. New affordable international midsize pickup launching next year with base material costs 20% below current Ranger.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Oct 28, 2026$0.49
est $0.41
+19.5%$49.53B
est $49.08B
+0.9%+5.6%
Jul 28, 2026$0.42
est $0.33
+27.3%$48.30B
est $47.24B
+2.2%+4.1%
Apr 29, 2026$0.66
est $0.27
+143.3%$43.25B
est $42.66B
+1.4%−2.6%
Feb 10, 2026$0.13
est $0.12
+12.6%$45.90B
est $43.60B
+5.3%+1.9%
Oct 23, 2025$0.45
est $0.35
+27.2%$50.53B
est $47.05B
+7.4%+11.3%
Jul 30, 2025$0.37
est $0.33
+11.9%$50.18B
est $45.79B
+9.6%−0.1%
May 5, 2025$0.14
est $0.00
+4,355.3%$40.66B
est $38.13B
+6.6%+1.6%
Feb 5, 2025$0.39
est $0.32
+21.9%$48.21B
est $47.40B
+1.7%−8.9%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Ford Motor stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ford Motor is $15.25, +20.4% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$15.25consensus 12-month target, +20.4% from the last close
Low $11High $20
Buy5
Hold6
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Nov 2TD CowenHold, maintained$15+18.4%
Oct 30UBSBuy, maintained$14+10.5%
Oct 30BarclaysHold, maintained$14+10.5%
Oct 29Piper SandlerBuy, reiterated$17+34.2%
Oct 29Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$14+10.5%
−0.4%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Ford Motor seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ford Motor averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−1.4%2021−1.0%2022+2.8%2023+4.4%2024+2.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.3%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.3%3 of 5

For scale, F’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.

Ford Motor market cap and key statistics

Ford Motor’s market cap is $50.52B and revenue of $187.0B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$50.52B
Forward P/E
6.6
EPS, TTM
−$2.04
Gekko Fair Value
$13.80

Trading

Volume
50.58M
Avg volume, 20 days
42.25M
52-week high
$17.78
52-week low
$11.11
Shares outstanding
3.92B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$187.0B
Profit margin
-4.2%
Return on equity
-18.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−16.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.91
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±6.4%
Dividend yield
4.90%

Ford Motor stock news this week

Coverage of Ford Motor this week reads positive: 13 positive, 1 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Ford Motor peers

Ford Motor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TSLATesla+1.4%Neutral8.5% above
GMGeneral Motors+3.2%Neutral2.3% above
RACEFerrari+3.8%Distribution24.4% above
RIVNRivian Automotive+2.6%Neutral11.6% below
STLAStellantis+2.4%Neutral40.1% below
OSKOshkosh−1.0%Neutral10.6% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

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Ford Motor stock FAQ

What is Ford Motor’s market cap?

Ford Motor’s market cap is $50.52B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $12.67, with 3.92B shares outstanding.

What is the Ford Motor stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ford Motor is $15.25, +20.4% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Ford Motor stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Ford Motor is undervalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $12.67 is 8.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Ford Motor report earnings next?

Ford Motor is expected to report on Feb 9, 2027, after the market closes (96 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.38 per share on revenue of $48.55B. Ford Motor beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Ford Motor’s 52-week high and low?

Ford Motor’s 52-week high is $17.78 and its 52-week low is $11.11; it closed at $12.67 on Nov 4, 2026, −2.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $25.87 on Jan 13, 2022.

Is Ford Motor stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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