Insider buying last 90 days
$149Kin 1 open-market purchase
| Filed | Insider | Type | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24 | John L Thornton Director | Purchase | $149K |
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
NYSE: F
Ford Motor (F) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$13.21−0.40 (−2.9%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryFord (F) closes at $13.21, down 2.9% on the day, with the price sitting between its 50-day average of $14.10 and 200-day average of $13.53. The GekkoIndex reads 65.8, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while Gekko Fair Value stands at $14.91, leaving a gap of -11.4%. Over the past month the stock is down 8.9%, though it remains up 13.3% over the past year, with a 52-week range of $11.11 to $17.78.
This week's coverage centers on macro pressure and a broader automaker rotation unwinding, with Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis all pulling back after a Thursday rally faded; Ford fell 2%, while GM and Stellantis each dropped 4%. Record diesel prices and Treasury yields at their highest since 2007 are cited as squeezing demand for trucks and SUVs. Separately, coverage notes Ford's dividend yield, distinguishing the base quarterly payout of $0.15 from supplemental distributions, and references the company's six-year Truck of the Year streak ending amid a shift toward hybrids and gasoline powertrains. A consensus "Hold" rating from 19 brokerages carries an average price target of $15.68.
Looking ahead, Ford's next earnings report lands 22 October, after the close, 32 days out. Last quarter's EPS beat estimate at $0.42 versus $0.33, with a 4.1% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 quarters. Over the last 90 days, insider buying totaled $148,880 with one Congressional purchase and no sales. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.1% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $13.21200-day averageGekko Fair Value $14.91
Key stats
- Market cap
- $52.68B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 7.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.87
- Revenue, TTM
- $188.0B
- Profit margin
- -3.9%
- Dividend yield
- 4.49%
- Beta
- 1.84
- Volume
- 109.6M avg 47.77M
- 1-year return
- +13.3%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- 50-day average
- $14.10
- 200-day average
- $13.53
- Next earnings
- Oct 22 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 3.92B
Ford Motor swing-trade checklist
Ford Motor scores 4 supportive, 2 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
4 supportive2 mixed0 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $13.21 sits between the 50-day ($14.10) and 200-day ($13.53) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
65.8, Accumulation
Reading 65.8 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
11.4% below
Price is 11.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: 1 open-market insider purchase; Congress 1 buy / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 32 days
Next report Oct 22, 2026, 32 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.1% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.1% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ford Motor stock chart and price history
Ford Motor closed at $13.21 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.3% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.11 to $17.78.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.9%
- 3 months
- −6.0%
- 6 months
- +13.5%
- 1 year
- +13.3%
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About Ford Motor
Ford Motor makes and services vehicles ranging from trucks, vans and commercial cars to sport utility vehicles, alongside luxury models sold under its Lincoln brand. The company is widely recognized for its truck and SUV lineups as well as its Lincoln luxury offerings, which it sells and supports across a global market.
The business is divided into separate units covering conventional Ford vehicles, electric models, commercial and fleet-focused operations, newer ventures, and a financing arm. Vehicles, parts and accessories reach customers through dealerships and distributors around the world, with direct sales also made to large buyers such as fleet operators, rental companies and government bodies. Ford's financing operations support this network by offering installment and lease contracts to individuals and organizations, extending wholesale loans to dealers for inventory, and providing capital for dealer facilities, real estate and other business needs.
Ford Motor was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker F.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- ford.com
Ford Motor GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ford Motor’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 65.8, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.5 points over five sessions.
65.8Accumulation
Up 5.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 33 | −0.6% | +5.7% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 186 | +1.6% | +4.5% | ||
| Neutral | 404 | +0.2% | −0.2% | ||
| Distribution | 38 | −3.7% | −8.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average F share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the F price, zone by zone.Track F in Gekko
Is Ford Motor stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ford Motor trades 11.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ford Motor shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$14.91
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
11.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open F in Gekko
Ford Motor insider and Congress trading
Insiders filed 1 open-market purchase in Ford Motor worth $149K, and members of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
1trade disclosed: 1 purchase and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Aug 10 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Ford Motor has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $311.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.59%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold F.
0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Ford Motor earnings: next date and track record
Ford Motor reports on Oct 22, 2026, after the close (32 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 22, 2026
Expected after the close, 32 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.41
- Revenue estimate
- $48.83B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ford reported second quarter results with revenue of $48.3 billion (down 4% y/y) and adjusted EBIT of $2.5 billion (up 17% y/y). Management raised and narrowed full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10–$11 billion (a $1 billion raise at the midpoint). Company adjusted free cash flow for the quarter was $2.1 billion; cash was $22.3 billion and total liquidity $43.4 billion. Ford announced a regular Q3 dividend of $0.15 per share. Management discussed the Novelis aluminum supply disruption: year-to-date Novelis-related temporary costs of about $800 million with an expected full-year impact of roughly $1.5 billion; hot mill restart is on track. The company highlighted strategic progress under its Ford+ plan: stronger retail/commercial profitability, growth of software and integrated services (paid subscriptions up 20% in Q2; 1.6 million paid subscriptions total; Ford Pro 900k paid subscriptions), and adjacencies such as Ford Energy (battery energy storage systems) and potential defense work. Energy storage efforts include building prototype cells in Marshall and Kentucky 1 (2028 capacity ~20 GWh) and management said they are in early innings of contracting. Mix improvement (higher-trim models: Bronco family, Raptor, Tremor, V8s) and pricing contributed to margin strength. Quality metrics improved (J.D. Power initial quality #1; recalls down ~40%), supporting lower warranty costs and the $1 billion year-over-year EBIT improvement target. Management discussed tariffs/USMCA engagement, commodity headwinds, ongoing investments (UEP, Ford Energy, Oakville launch), and one-time charges related to the BlueOval SK battery JV disposition ($3.6 billion special item; ~$500 million cash in Q, remaining cash charges up to $2 billion expected by year-end).
- Guidance
- Raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $10 billion–$11 billion (up $1 billion at midpoint). Expected full-year Novelis-related net cost impact of about $1.5 billion (YTD ~$800 million). Announced Q3 regular dividend of $0.15 per share. No specific revenue or EPS targets for 2027; management said it is too early to provide detailed 2027 guidance but discussed puts and takes (non-repeat of Novelis costs, tariff-related non-repeat of $1.3B AIIA benefit, commodity variability, launch/investment costs).
- Risks flagged
- Novelis aluminum supply disruption and associated temporary costs (~$1.5B expected full-year impact); commodity-price volatility (materials headwinds ~$2B expected for year with ~$1.5B in H2); tariff and trade policy uncertainty (including potential USMCA changes and exposure to imports); one-time special charges related to battery JV disposition (~$3.6B special item, ~$500M cash in quarter, up to $2B remaining cash charges); launch and investment costs for new platforms and Ford Energy; macro demand uncertainty impacting volume recovery.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.42 est $0.33 | $48.30B est $47.24B | +4.1% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.66 est $0.27 | $43.25B est $42.66B | −2.6% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $0.13 est $0.12 | $45.90B est $43.60B | +1.9% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.35 | $50.53B est $47.05B | +11.3% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.37 est $0.33 | $50.18B est $45.79B | −0.1% |
| May 5, 2025 | $0.14 est $0.00 | $40.66B est $38.13B | +1.6% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $0.39 est $0.32 | $48.21B est $47.40B | −8.9% |
| Oct 28, 2024 | $0.49 est $0.47 | $46.20B est $45.13B | −6.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ford Motor stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ford Motor is $16.12, +22.0% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$16.12consensus 12-month target, +22.0% from the last close
Now $13.21Avg $16.12
Low $11High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9 | Morgan Stanley | $14 | +6.0% |
| Aug 20 | Morgan Stanley | $14 | +6.0% |
| Aug 19 | Wells Fargo | $11 | −16.7% |
| Aug 11 | DBS | $17 | +28.7% |
| Aug 7 | Barclays | $14 | +6.0% |
+4.5%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−0.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ford Motor seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ford Motor averaged −0.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −2.4% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −2.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.8% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.1% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.1% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, F’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.4%.
Ford Motor market cap and key statistics
Ford Motor’s market cap is $52.68B and revenue of $188.0B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $52.68B
- Forward P/E
- 7.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$1.87
- Gekko Fair Value
- $14.91
Trading
- Volume
- 109.6M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 47.77M
- 52-week high
- $17.78
- 52-week low
- $11.11
- Shares outstanding
- 3.92B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $188.0B
- Profit margin
- -3.9%
- Return on equity
- -18.2%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +430.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.84
- Typical daily move
- ±3.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.4%
- Dividend yield
- 4.49%
Ford Motor stock news this week
Coverage of Ford Motor this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 7 neutral and 6 negative headlines.
- Should You Buy Ford Stock Instead of GM Stock?The Motley Fool, Sep 19
- Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) Given Consensus Recommendation of "Hold" by BrokeragesMarketBeat, Sep 19
- Ford Motor vs. Stellantis: Which Automotive Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?Yahoo Finance, Sep 18
- ANOTHER WORKER TAKES ON FORD ‘PLANTATION’The Chicago Crusader, Sep 18
- Automaker Stocks Reverse as Rotation Trade Unwinds: General Motors and Stellantis Fall 4%, Ford Pulls Back24/7 Wall St., Sep 18
- Ford’s Yield Is One of the Loudest in the Market. Is the Payout Actually Safe?24/7 Wall St., Sep 18
Ford Motor peers
Ford Motor’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla | Neutral | 7.9% above |
| GMGeneral Motors | Accumulation | 11.1% below |
| RACEFerrari | Neutral | 17.1% above |
| RIVNRivian Automotive | Accumulation | 14.0% below |
| STLAStellantis | Accumulation | 19.3% below |
| OSKOshkosh | Accumulation | 11.4% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ford Motor stock FAQ
What is Ford Motor’s market cap?
Ford Motor’s market cap is $52.68B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $13.21, with 3.92B shares outstanding.
What is the Ford Motor stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ford Motor is $16.12, +22.0% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 7 rate it a buy, 6 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ford Motor stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ford Motor is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $13.21 is 11.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $14.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ford Motor report earnings next?
Ford Motor is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026, after the market closes (32 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.41 per share on revenue of $48.83B. Ford Motor beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
What is Ford Motor’s 52-week high and low?
Ford Motor’s 52-week high is $17.78 and its 52-week low is $11.11; it closed at $13.21 on Sep 18, 2026, +13.3% over the past year.
Is Ford Motor stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (trend and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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