Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for LCID in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every LCID insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LCID in Gekko
NASDAQ: LCID
Lucid (LCID) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$3.44−0.35 (−9.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeLucid shares fell this week amid a mix of analyst and corporate news. RBC Capital cut its price target on Lucid to $4 from $7 while keeping a Sector Perform rating, and Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated a Neutral rating with an $8.00 price target, pointing to Bolt's initial fleet target of approximately 25,000 units. Separately, Lucid outlined plans to expand into France with 16 locations as part of a broader European retail push set for 2027, and the company drew $400 million under delayed draw term loan facilities with Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of the Public Investment Fund.
Lucid closed at $3.44, down 9.2%, and remains below both its 50-day average of $4.98 and 200-day average of $7.42, with the 50-day also below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 73.5, placing the stock in the Buying zone, while shares trade 43.6% below the Gekko Fair Value of $6.10.
Over the next 20 trading days, Lucid is scheduled to report earnings on 9 November 2026, after the close, falling inside that window; its last report produced a 13% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.2% return over 5 years, rising in 2 of those years, a mixed pattern worth noting alongside the upcoming earnings date.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Lucid price vs fair value
Close $3.44200-day averageGekko Fair Value $6.10
Lucid quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.09B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- —
- EPS, TTM
- −$13.71
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.55B
- Profit margin
- -249.2%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 1.00
- Volume
- 14.97M avg 10.65M
- 1-year return
- −84.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14%
- 50-day average
- $4.98
- 200-day average
- $7.42
- Next earnings
- Nov 9 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 394.1M
Lucid swing-trade checklist
Lucid scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $3.44 is below the 50-day ($4.98) and 200-day ($7.42) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
73.5, Buying
Reading 73.5 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
43.6% below
Price is 43.6% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 28 days
Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+7.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Lucid stock chart and price history
Lucid closed at $3.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −84.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $2.37 to $22.42.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −18.5%
- 3 months
- −25.5%
- 6 months
- −62.8%
- 1 year
- −84.1%
The full LCID chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open LCID in Gekko
Follow Lucid through every session
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About Lucid
Lucid designs and builds electric vehicles, handling the work in-house from engineering through manufacturing. Its scope covers not just the cars themselves but the powertrain and battery systems that power them, which form the core of its technical work in the EV space.
The company operates across the full vehicle production cycle rather than outsourcing key components, and by the end of 2021 it had grown its retail footprint to twenty studios located throughout the United States, giving it a direct channel to car buyers.
Lucid traces its founding back to 2007 and runs its operations out of Newark, California. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker LCID.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Consumer durables
- Industry
- Motor vehicles
- Website
- lucidmotors.com
Lucid GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Lucid’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 73.5, in the Buying zone, up 10.5 points over five sessions.
73.5Buying
Up 10.5 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 80 | +0.4% | +0.7% | ||
| Accumulation | 327 | −1.0% | −1.7% | ||
| Neutral | 251 | −0.8% | −7.1% | ||
| Distribution | 22 | −2.3% | −15.8% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average LCID share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the LCID price, zone by zone.Track LCID in Gekko
Is Lucid stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Lucid trades 43.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.10, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Lucid shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$6.10
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
43.6% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 35.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open LCID in Gekko
Lucid insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Lucid, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in LCID were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for LCID, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open LCID in Gekko
Buybacks
Lucid has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2024
- $3.24M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.30%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold LCID.
0added2opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Lucid earnings: next date and track record
Lucid reports on Nov 9, 2026, after the close (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
Expected after the close, 28 days away
- EPS estimate
- −$2.25
- Revenue estimate
- $400.3M
1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Lucid Group's Q2 2026 call marked new CEO Silvio Napoli's first earnings presentation, who acknowledged operational failures including missed commitments, premature product launches, and quality issues. Key initiatives include a 20% U.S. workforce reduction, elimination of Arizona factory second shift, generating $115M in savings. The company targets $1.4 billion cash flow improvement by year-end, with liquidity runway extended into 2027. Four strategic priorities include a robotaxi partnership with Uber/Nuro, AMP-2 Saudi factory, and Midsize platform.
- Guidance
- Management expects sufficient liquidity runway well into 2027. The company targets $1.4 billion in cash flow improvement by year-end 2026. No specific revenue or delivery volume targets were provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | −$3.30 est −$2.38 | $405.3M est $381.6M | −13.0% |
| May 5, 2026 | −$3.46 est −$2.72 | $282.5M est $358.5M | −7.5% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | −$3.62 est −$2.49 | $522.7M est $459.5M | +8.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | −$3.31 est −$2.32 | $336.6M est $349.5M | +9.8% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | −$2.42 est −$2.18 | $259.4M est $259.4M | −9.1% |
| May 6, 2025 | −$2.40 est −$2.24 | $235.0M est $247.6M | −4.7% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | −$2.20 est −$0.26 | $234.5M est $214.1M | −18.7% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | −$2.80 est −$3.00 | $200.0M est $198.0M | +3.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Lucid stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Lucid is $7.94, +130.8% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$7.94consensus 12-month target, +130.8% from the last close
Now $3.44Avg $7.94
Low $3.50High $17
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | RBC Capital | $4 | +16.3% |
| Oct 6 | Exane BNP Paribas | $3.50 | +1.7% |
| Oct 6 | Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. | — | — |
| Oct 5 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $8 | +132.6% |
| Aug 24 | Evercore ISI | $6 | +74.4% |
+0.7%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+7.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±6.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Lucid seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Lucid averaged +7.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.5% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −8.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +0.4% | 1 of 5 |
For scale, LCID’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 14%.
Lucid market cap and key statistics
Lucid’s market cap is $1.09B and revenue of $1.55B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.09B
- EPS, TTM
- −$13.71
- Gekko Fair Value
- $6.10
Trading
- Volume
- 14.97M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 10.65M
- 52-week high
- $22.42
- 52-week low
- $2.37
- Shares outstanding
- 394.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.55B
- Profit margin
- -249.2%
- Return on equity
- -126%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- 0.0%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.00
- Typical daily move
- ±6.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±14%
Lucid stock news this week
Coverage of Lucid this week reads negative: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 9 negative headlines.
- Tesla Faces New Luxury EV Rival in France as Lucid Plans 16 LocationsBenzinga, Oct 12
- Why Lucid Group Stock Is Moving in Reverse TodayThe Motley Fool, Oct 12
- Lucid Group (LCID) Reiterated at Neutral by Cantor Fitzgerald as Bolt Targets Initial Fleet of ~25K UnitsStreetInsider, Oct 12
- RBC Cuts Price Target on Lucid Group to $4 From $7, Keeps Sector Perform Ratingmarketscreener.com, Oct 12
- Lucid group director Ori Winitzer sells $4,120 in stockInvesting.com, Oct 12
- Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID) draws $400 million under affiliate DDTLDefense World, Oct 11
Lucid peers
Lucid’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| TSLATesla | Neutral | 11.8% above |
| GMGeneral Motors | Neutral | 11.2% below |
| RACEFerrari | Accumulation | 13.1% above |
| FFord Motor | Accumulation | 16.9% below |
| RIVNRivian Automotive | Buying | 19.9% below |
| STLAStellantis | Accumulation | 25.5% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Lucid stock FAQ
What is Lucid’s market cap?
Lucid’s market cap is $1.09B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $3.44, with 394.1M shares outstanding.
What is the Lucid stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Lucid is $7.94, +130.8% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Lucid stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Lucid is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $3.44 is 43.6% below Gekko Fair Value of $6.10. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Lucid report earnings next?
Lucid is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026, after the market closes (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$2.25 per share on revenue of $400.3M. Lucid beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.4% on average across the report.
What is Lucid’s 52-week high and low?
Lucid’s 52-week high is $22.42 and its 52-week low is $2.37; it closed at $3.44 on Oct 12, 2026, −84.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $577.50 on Nov 17, 2021.
Is Lucid stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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