NYSE: OSK

Oshkosh (OSK) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$132.79+0.04 (0.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's headlines around Oshkosh are largely background rather than market-moving: a look back at 2020 lobbying activity, an archival photo of a Secretary of Defense visit, coverage of a protest tied to proposed name-change concerns during a visit from the Secretary of War, and a comparison piece weighing Oshkosh against Astec Industries on earnings, ownership, dividends, risk and valuation. None of these items point to new results, guidance, deals or regulatory decisions.

Oshkosh closes at $132.79, sitting below both its 50-day average of $149.26 and its 200-day average of $146.91, with the stock down 15.3% over one month, 13.6% over three months, and 5.4% over six months, though still up 4.2% over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 72.1, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 7.4 over the past five sessions. Price sits 19% below Gekko Fair Value of $163.91.

The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days out, beyond a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior quarter saw an EPS of $2.26 against an estimate of $2.33, with a 1.6% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 4.5% gain over 5 years, positive in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 11 firms includes 6 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $169.07.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Oshkosh price vs fair value

$163.91$132.79Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $132.79200-day averageGekko Fair Value $163.91

Oshkosh quick facts

Market cap
$8.20B
P/E ratio
15.5
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$8.38
Revenue, TTM
$10.61B
Profit margin
5.2%
Dividend yield
1.59%
Beta
1.26
Volume
563,410 avg 611,194
1-year return
+4.2%
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
50-day average
$149.26
200-day average
$146.91
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
61.74M
52-week range
$116.77$180.49

Oshkosh swing-trade checklist

Oshkosh scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $132.79 sits between the 50-day ($149.26) and 200-day ($146.91) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    72.1, Buying

    Reading 72.1 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.0% below

    Price is 19% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.5% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Oshkosh stock chart and price history

Oshkosh closed at $132.79 on Sep 28, 2026, +4.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $116.77 to $180.49.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Oshkosh share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$120$140$160$180NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep132.79

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−15.3%
3 months
−13.6%
6 months
−5.4%
1 year
+4.2%
The full OSK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OSK in Gekko

Follow Oshkosh through every session

Put OSK on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Oshkosh

Oshkosh makes specialized vehicles and machinery used across construction, defense, emergency response, and other demanding settings worldwide. It is known for aerial work platforms and telehandlers used on job sites, as well as tactical military vehicles and firefighting apparatus that serve public safety and defense customers.

The business is organized into three segments. The Access segment covers aerial lifts, telehandlers, towing and recovery equipment, and related financing, leasing, and parts services. The Transport segment produces tactical wheeled vehicles and hauling equipment for defense applications. The Vocational segment builds fire apparatus, rescue vehicles, airport ground support and rescue equipment, refuse collection vehicles, field service trucks, cranes, communication vehicles, and concrete mixer trucks. Products reach customers through direct sales staff, dealers, and distributors.

The company was founded in 1915 and is based in Oshkosh, Wisconsin. It was previously known as Oshkosh Truck Corporation. Shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker OSK.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Consumer durables
Industry
Motor vehicles
Website
oshkoshcorp.com

Oshkosh GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Oshkosh’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.1, in the Buying zone, up 7.4 points over five sessions.

010072.1Buying

Up 7.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)34+1.8%+2.4%+6.5%+10.9%
Accumulation221+0.2%+1.5%+2.4%+5.5%
Neutral359+0.3%0.0%0.0%+1.4%
Distribution57−0.2%+0.3%+2.7%+2.5%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average OSK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OSK price, zone by zone.Track OSK in Gekko

Is Oshkosh stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Oshkosh trades 19.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $163.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Oshkosh shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$163.91

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

19.0% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OSK in Gekko

Oshkosh insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Oshkosh, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OSK in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OSK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OSK in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OSK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OSK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OSK in Gekko

Buybacks

Oshkosh has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$91.60M
As a share of market cap
1.12%
Trailing four quarters
$348.2M

From company filings.

Oshkosh earnings: next date and track record

Oshkosh reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.5%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Apr ’24−8.0%Jul ’24−5.2%Oct ’24+21.7%Jan ’25−1.8%Apr ’25+8.1%Aug ’25−10.4%Oct ’25−1.6%Jan ’26

Last earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Oshkosh Corporation Q4 and FY2025 earnings call: Management highlighted technology showcased at CES, including robotics, autonomy, AI, and electrification. Vocational segment grew with FY sales >$3.7B (up ~13%) and adjusted operating margin 15.8%. Fire apparatus sales up ~17% with improved throughput and planned capital investments (~$150M, $70M spent). Refuse/recycling moderation near-term but long-term opportunity; contamination detection tech launching Q1. Consolidated Q4 sales ~$2.7B (+3.5% YoY), adjusted operating income $226M (margin 8.4%, down 100bps YoY). FY adjusted EPS $10.79 in line with midpoint. Share repurchases $119M. Tariffs impacted ~ $25M in Q4; full-year tariff impact ~$200M assumed sustained. Access segment expected down 6-7% in 2026 to ~$4.2B; guidance assumes balanced view with backlog ~ $1.3B for access. Transport margins pressured in 2026 (~4% OI) due to pricing timing, lower defense export volume, and NGDV ramp; management confident in 2028 targets (higher margins). Multiple questions on access revenue/margins, tariff pass-throughs, cost reduction initiatives, backlog and mix; management emphasized balanced cautious tone, confident long-term guidance, expects price-cost to turn positive in back half of year; expects production improvements and capacity investments to reduce backlog and improve margins. Q&A showed direct answers, measured confidence. Risks discussed: tariffs, nonresidential construction weakness, near-term moderation in refuse demand, potential tariff reversals, mix-related margin pressure.
Guidance
2026 guidance highlights: Access revenue guide ~$4.2B (down ~6-7% YoY). Consolidated full-year 2026 guidance consistent with management's statements (specific consolidated revenue not restated beyond segments). Transport 2026 implied adjusted operating income margin ~4%; management reiterates 2028 targets: adjusted EPS $18-$22 by 2028 and long-term segment margin targets (e.g., vocational 16-18%, transport improvement to ~10% by 2028). NGDV production ~half of 2026 transport revenue; company expects NGDV ramp through year; expect price-cost to turn positive in back half of 2026. Tariff assumption: present tariff rates sustain through 2026 (full-year impact ~$200M).
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks: sustained tariffs (assumed in guide; reversal could change pricing assumptions), weakness in private nonresidential construction affecting access demand, moderation in refuse/recycling near-term demand, mix-related margin volatility in fire apparatus, lower defense export volume in 2026, macro uncertainty impacting timing of demand inflection. Also supply/throughput constraints being addressed by capital investments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026$2.26
est $2.33
−3.0%$2.69B
est $2.60B
+3.5%−1.6%
Oct 29, 2025$3.20
est $3.10
+3.2%$2.69B
est $2.84B
−5.2%−10.4%
Aug 1, 2025$3.41
est $2.98
+14.4%$2.73B
est $2.78B
−1.8%+8.1%
Apr 30, 2025$1.92
est $2.02
−5.0%$2.31B
est $2.67B
−13.4%−1.8%
Jan 30, 2025$2.58
est $2.18
+18.3%$2.60B
est $2.43B
+7.0%+21.7%
Oct 30, 2024$2.93
est $2.91
+0.7%$2.74B
est $2.67B
+2.6%−5.2%
Jul 31, 2024$3.34
est $3.01
+11.0%$2.85B
est $2.75B
+3.4%−8.0%
Apr 25, 2024$2.89
est $2.25
+28.4%$2.54B
est $2.72B
−6.4%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Oshkosh stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Oshkosh is $169.07, +27.3% from the last close, from 11 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$169.07consensus 12-month target, +27.3% from the last close
Low $138High $196
Buy6
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 11 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 24BernsteinHold, maintained$138+3.9%
Sep 21BernsteinHold, maintained$138+3.9%
Sep 3BernsteinHold, maintained$138+3.9%
Aug 31BernsteinHold, maintained$138+3.9%
Jul 30Wells FargoBuy, maintained$168+26.5%
+6.5%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+4.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Oshkosh seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, Oshkosh averaged +4.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.2%2021+17.8%2022−6.7%2023+4.8%2024+7.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.4%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.3%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.9%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.5%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.3%3 of 5

For scale, OSK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7%.

Oshkosh market cap and key statistics

Oshkosh’s market cap is $8.20B, with a P/E ratio of 15.5 and revenue of $10.61B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$8.20B
P/E ratio
15.5
Forward P/E
9.4
EPS, TTM
$8.38
Gekko Fair Value
$163.91

Trading

Volume
563,410
Avg volume, 20 days
611,194
52-week high
$180.49
52-week low
$116.77
Shares outstanding
61.74M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$10.61B
Profit margin
5.2%
Return on equity
12.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−7.6%

Risk and income

Beta
1.26
Typical daily move
±3.5%
Typical 20-day move
±7%
Dividend yield
1.59%

Oshkosh peers

Oshkosh’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
TSLATesla−2.9%Neutral6.2% above
GMGeneral Motors−1.5%Accumulation13.3% below
RACEFerrari−1.6%Accumulation14.0% above
FFord Motor−2.0%Accumulation16.2% below
RIVNRivian Automotive−3.1%Accumulation14.6% below
STLAStellantis−2.5%Accumulation21.7% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Oshkosh stock FAQ

What is Oshkosh’s market cap?

Oshkosh’s market cap is $8.20B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $132.79, with 61.74M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 15.5.

What is the Oshkosh stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Oshkosh is $169.07, +27.3% from the last close. Of the 11 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Oshkosh stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Oshkosh is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $132.79 is 19.0% below Gekko Fair Value of $163.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Oshkosh report earnings next?

Oshkosh is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.13 per share on revenue of $2.94B. Oshkosh beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.5% on average across the report.

What is Oshkosh’s 52-week high and low?

Oshkosh’s 52-week high is $180.49 and its 52-week low is $116.77; it closed at $132.79 on Sep 28, 2026, +4.2% over the past year.

Is Oshkosh stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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