NASDAQ: EXPE

Expedia (EXPE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Expedia Group, Inc. Consumer services sector, other consumer services industry. Market cap $31.99B.

$279.35−5.20 (−1.8%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:16 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Expedia trades at $279.35, down 1.8%, sitting between its 50-day average of $297.82 and 200-day average of $260.17. The GekkoIndex reads 67.2, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price is 0.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $278.23, essentially in line with it. Over the past month the stock is down 14.4%, though it remains up 16% over three months and 24.1% over the past year.

This week's news centers on analyst positioning following Expedia's August earnings beat. TD Cowen upgraded the stock to "Hold," aligning with the broader consensus, while Morgan Stanley initiated coverage at "Underweight" with a $235 price target, citing concerns over slower monthly active user growth and weaker consumer supply differentiation versus competitors. Shares fell 2.7% in premarket trading following the Morgan Stanley note. Separately, Corient Private Wealth LP disclosed a $9.96 million position after trimming its stake by 32.9% in the second quarter, and new joint research with PredictHQ projected over $537 million in visitor spending tied to major US summer sporting events.

Looking ahead to the next 20 trading days, Expedia's next earnings report falls on 5 November, outside that window. Options activity shows 4 unusual signals over the past 30 days, with put premium of $3.85 million outweighing call premium of $1.60 million. Seasonality over this stretch has averaged a 1.1% gain across 5 years, though it rose in only 2 of those years. Analyst consensus across 29 firms includes 11 buy, 17 hold, and 1 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $338.83.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $279.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $278.23

Key stats

Market cap
$31.99B
P/E ratio
18.1
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$15.76
Revenue, TTM
$15.70B
Profit margin
13%
Dividend yield
0.61%
Beta
1.25
Volume
3.31M avg 1.81M
1-year return
+24.1%
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%
50-day average
$297.82
200-day average
$260.17
Next earnings
Nov 5 after close
Shares outstanding
114.5M
52-week range
$185.34$342.00

Expedia swing-trade checklist

Expedia scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $279.35 sits between the 50-day ($297.82) and 200-day ($260.17) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.2, Accumulation

    Reading 67.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 4 unusual options signals.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 46 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 46 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.1% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Expedia stock chart and price history

Expedia closed at $279.35 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $185.34 to $342.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−14.4%
3 months
+16.0%
6 months
+16.7%
1 year
+24.1%
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About Expedia

Expedia connects travelers with flights, hotels, vacation rentals, car rentals and cruises through an online booking platform used by both everyday travelers and business travelers. It is best known for a family of travel websites that includes Brand Expedia, Hotels.com and Vrbo, alongside familiar names such as Orbitz, Travelocity and CheapTickets, which together cover everything from standard hotel stays to alternative lodging like vacation homes.

The company organizes its work into three main areas. Its retail arm sells travel directly to consumers through the brands above as well as regional sites like ebookers, Hotwire, Wotif.com and lastminute.com.au. A separate business-to-business arm, built around Expedia Partner Solutions and Egencia, supplies booking technology and corporate travel management to airlines, travel agents, online retailers and other companies. A third segment centers on Trivago, a hotel search site that points users toward booking providers, supported by Expedia Group Media Solutions for advertising. The company also runs loyalty programs alongside its lodging and travel offerings.

Expedia traces back to 1996 as Expedia, Inc. and took its current name in March 2018. It is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker EXPE.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Consumer services
Industry
Other consumer services
Website
expediagroup.com

Expedia GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Expedia’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.2, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.3 points over five sessions.

010067.2Accumulation

Up 1.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying38+2.1%+4.0%+6.2%+9.8%
Accumulation (current zone)155+1.5%+2.8%+2.3%+5.6%
Neutral429+0.4%+0.8%+3.1%+8.7%
Distribution39−1.2%−0.3%+0.9%+1.0%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average EXPE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the EXPE price, zone by zone.Track EXPE in Gekko

Is Expedia stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Expedia trades 0.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $278.23, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Expedia shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$278.23

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

0.4% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open EXPE in Gekko

Expedia insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Expedia, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for EXPE in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every EXPE insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXPE in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in EXPE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for EXPE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open EXPE in Gekko

Buybacks

Expedia has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$5.00B, May 7, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$270.0M
As a share of market cap
0.84%
Trailing four quarters
$1.92B

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

4signals, 29% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bearish flow on Sep 5, $854K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold EXPE.

0added0opened0trimmed2sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Expedia earnings: next date and track record

Expedia reports on Nov 5, 2026, after the close (46 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±9.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+5.2%Nov ’24+19.2%Feb ’25−5.9%May ’25+5.5%Aug ’25+20.8%Nov ’25−9.0%Feb ’26−6.8%May ’26−1.8%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Expedia Group reported strong Q2 2026 results, beating guidance on both top and bottom lines. Bookings grew 12%, revenue increased 14%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 23%, driven by room night growth and ADR increases; FX was a tailwind. Consumer bookings grew 8%, led by the U.S., while B2B continued double-digit growth for the 20th consecutive quarter. Management highlighted product improvements, AI initiatives, marketplace supply expansion, loyalty strength, and efficiency efforts leading to margin expansion. They raised full-year guidance based on H1 results and trends. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 25.9% with adjusted EPS up 36% and strong free cash flow enabling share repurchases. Management discussed strategic priorities (value to travelers, growth investments, operating efficiency) and acquisitions (CarTrawler, Tiqets) to build a one-stop B2B travel shop. They noted geographic variability: Europe pressured, APAC rebounding, U.S. strong. Management addressed competition, AI-native channels, AEO/SEO, marketing efficiencies, margin dynamics (Q3 moderation, Q4 stronger), and risks like FX headwinds, macro headwinds in Europe, Middle East conflict impacts on jet fuel/airline prices, and tougher comps in H2.
Guidance
Management raised full-year guidance (no numeric detail in transcript beyond raising guidance and increasing full-year EBITDA margin expansion target to 150–175 basis points). They provided Q3 and full-year outlook qualitatively: expect deceleration on growth rates in H2 due to tougher comps, Q3 margin moderation due to lapping prior cost reductions and FX headwinds, and anticipated Q4 margin expansion implied by the updated full-year guide (midpoint implying ~50 bps expansion in Q4). No explicit numeric revenue or EPS targets in the transcript beyond the EBITDA expansion range.
Risks flagged
Mentioned risks include Europe macro headwinds and reduced air capacity affecting outbound travel; ongoing impact of the Middle East conflict with secondary effects on jet fuel/airline prices; FX net headwinds impacting margins; tougher year-over-year comps in H2; competitive pressures in B2B and AI-native channels; integration/digestion costs from acquisitions (Tiqets); and potential volatility in organic search/AEO landscape.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$5.01
est $4.78
+4.8%$4.32B
est $4.17B
+3.4%−1.8%
May 7, 2026$1.96
est $1.38
+42.0%$3.43B
est $3.35B
+2.2%−6.8%
Feb 12, 2026$3.78
est $3.25
+16.3%$3.55B
est $3.42B
+3.8%−9.0%
Nov 6, 2025$7.57
est $6.97
+8.6%$4.41B
est $4.28B
+3.0%+20.8%
Aug 7, 2025$4.24
est $3.97
+6.8%$3.79B
est $3.71B
+2.1%+5.5%
May 8, 2025$0.40
est $0.35
+13.6%$2.99B
est $3.01B
−0.8%−5.9%
Feb 6, 2025$1.84
est $2.06
−10.7%$3.18B
est $3.07B
+3.7%+19.2%
Nov 7, 2024$6.13
est $6.07
+1.0%$4.06B
est $4.11B
−1.3%+5.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Expedia stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Expedia is $338.83, +21.3% from the last close, from 29 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$338.83consensus 12-month target, +21.3% from the last close
Low $235High $430
Buy11
Hold17
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 29 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 16Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$235−15.9%
Sep 16Morgan StanleySell, downgraded$235−15.9%
Sep 15BernsteinHold, maintained$310+11.0%
Sep 14Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$358+28.2%
Sep 1Rosenblatt SecuritiesHold, initiated$360+28.9%
+2.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Expedia seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Expedia averaged +1.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+10.6%2021−7.0%2022−2.9%2023+10.9%2024−3.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.5%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.4%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.1%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.1%2 of 5

For scale, EXPE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 8.5%.

Expedia market cap and key statistics

Expedia’s market cap is $31.99B, with a P/E ratio of 18.1 and revenue of $15.70B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$31.99B
P/E ratio
18.1
Forward P/E
12.5
EPS, TTM
$15.76
Gekko Fair Value
$278.23

Trading

Volume
3.31M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.81M
52-week high
$342.00
52-week low
$185.34
Shares outstanding
114.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$15.70B
Profit margin
13%
Return on equity
89.5%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+188.7%

Risk and income

Beta
1.25
Typical daily move
±4.4%
Typical 20-day move
±8.5%
Dividend yield
0.61%

Expedia peers

Expedia’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BKNGBooking−0.7%Buying27.4% below
SCIService Corporation International−1.1%Accumulation0.8% above
LTHLife Time−0.5%Buying15.8% below
ANDGAndersen−0.6%Neutral11.6% below
HRBH&R Block−1.0%Buying38.5% below
GBTGGlobal Business Travel0.0%Neutral1.0% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Expedia stock FAQ

What is Expedia’s market cap?

Expedia’s market cap is $31.99B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $279.35, with 114.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.1.

What is the Expedia stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Expedia is $338.83, +21.3% from the last close. Of the 29 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 17 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Expedia stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Expedia is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $279.35 is 0.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $278.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Expedia report earnings next?

Expedia is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026, after the market closes (46 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $8.78 per share on revenue of $4.73B. Expedia beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 9.3% on average across the report.

What is Expedia’s 52-week high and low?

Expedia’s 52-week high is $342.00 and its 52-week low is $185.34; it closed at $279.35 on Sep 18, 2026, +24.1% over the past year.

Is Expedia stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (smart money). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Expedia?

Gekko flagged 4 unusual options signals in Expedia over the last 30 days, with $1.60M of flagged premium in calls and $3.85M in puts. The latest, bearish flow, was on Sep 5, 2026 with $854K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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