Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HPK in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HPK insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HPK in Gekko
NASDAQ: HPK
HighPeak Energy (HPK) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$9.71+0.16 (+1.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeHighPeak Energy's week has been dominated by a comprehensive refinancing announcement: a $450.0 million preferred-equity investment from PT Danantara Investment Management and PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk, paired with a new $800.0 million reserve-based credit facility from Citibank and Fifth Third Bank. The combined package is intended to retire the company's existing $1.17 billion term loan. Alongside this, HPK touched a 52-week high of $9.20, with coverage pointing to an 85% year-to-date surge and strength tied to Q2 2026 results that topped earnings and revenue expectations on higher production and lower operating costs.
HPK closes at $9.71, up 1.7%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $8.00 and its 200-day average of $6.64, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The stock trades in the Distribution zone of the GekkoIndex, with the index down 14.7% over the past five readings. Price stands 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $8.77.
The next earnings report is due 4 November 2026, 23 days away, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a 14.7% reaction despite an EPS miss against estimates. Smart-money data shows no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged a 4.2% move over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting given the proximity of the earnings date.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
HighPeak Energy price vs fair value
Close $9.71200-day averageGekko Fair Value $8.77
HighPeak Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.23B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.72
- Revenue, TTM
- $862.9M
- Profit margin
- -10.3%
- Dividend yield
- 0.94%
- Beta
- 0.36
- Volume
- 511,756 avg 629,390
- 1-year return
- +37.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.6%
- 50-day average
- $8.00
- 200-day average
- $6.64
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 126.5M
HighPeak Energy swing-trade checklist
HighPeak Energy scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $9.71 is above the 50-day ($8.00) and 200-day ($6.64) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
42.8, Distribution
Reading 42.8 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
10.7% above
Price is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+4.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
HighPeak Energy stock chart and price history
HighPeak Energy closed at $9.71 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $3.85 to $9.81.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +14.6%
- 3 months
- +29.6%
- 6 months
- +52.4%
- 1 year
- +37.0%
The full HPK chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HPK in Gekko
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About HighPeak Energy
HighPeak Energy works as a standalone oil and gas producer, finding, buying, building out, and pulling up supplies of crude oil, natural gas, and related liquids. Most of its wells and acreage sit in the Midland Basin area of West Texas, which is the region it is most associated with. At the end of 2021, the company's proved reserves stood at about 64,213 MBoe.
Its activities span the whole production chain, from picking up new acreage and drilling to getting oil and gas ready for sale, all concentrated in that one Texas basin rather than scattered across several regions.
Founded in 2019, HighPeak Energy runs its headquarters out of Fort Worth, Texas, and its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker HPK.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil & gas production
- Website
- highpeakenergy.com
HighPeak Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
HighPeak Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 42.8, in the Distribution zone, down 14.7 points over five sessions.
42.8Distribution
Down 14.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 45 | +4.3% | −0.4% | ||
| Accumulation | 259 | +1.4% | +1.4% | ||
| Neutral | 351 | −1.4% | −1.9% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 25 | −0.7% | −3.5% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HPK share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HPK price, zone by zone.Track HPK in Gekko
Is HighPeak Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
HighPeak Energy trades 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $8.77, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what HighPeak Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$8.77
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
10.7% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.5% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HPK in Gekko
HighPeak Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HighPeak Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HPK were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HPK, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HPK in Gekko
Buybacks
HighPeak Energy has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
- $3.85M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.31%
From company filings.
HighPeak Energy earnings: next date and track record
HighPeak Energy reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.06
- Revenue estimate
- $239.6M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±13.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- HighPeak Energy reported Q2 2026 production above the high end of guidance, essentially flat with Q1. The company pulled forward completion activity to lock in favorable frac pricing, completing 24 of 33 planned wells in H1. LOE came in approximately 13% below full-year guidance midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow grew sequentially despite absorbing ~$55 million in net cash hedge losses. Capital spending is expected to decline meaningfully in H2 2026.
- Guidance
- Capital spending expected to decline meaningfully in H2 2026, consistent with original plan. Greater production exposure to spot pricing positions the company to benefit from commodity price support. Management expects continued operational efficiency gains and disciplined capital allocation.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | −$0.04 est $0.02 | $272.4M est $240.0M | +14.7% |
| May 6, 2026 | −$0.02 est −$0.02 | $215.9M est $210.1M | −17.7% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | −$0.20 est −$0.01 | $165.8M est $187.3M | +3.5% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.03 est $0.08 | $188.9M est $190.6M | −15.3% |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $0.10 est $0.12 | $200.4M est $224.8M | −16.6% |
| May 12, 2025 | $0.31 est $0.25 | $257.4M est $203.1M | +12.7% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $0.18 est $0.13 | $234.8M est $258.0M | −8.5% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.35 est $0.22 | $271.6M est $246.5M | +15.9% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
HighPeak Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for HighPeak Energy is $10.00, +3.0% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$10.00consensus 12-month target, +3.0% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | Roth MKM | $10 | +3.0% |
−3.5%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+4.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
HighPeak Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, HighPeak Energy averaged +4.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +7.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +4.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.1% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, HPK’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.6%.
HighPeak Energy market cap and key statistics
HighPeak Energy’s market cap is $1.23B and revenue of $862.9M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.23B
- Forward P/E
- 10.6
- EPS, TTM
- −$0.72
- Gekko Fair Value
- $8.77
Trading
- Volume
- 511,756
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 629,390
- 52-week high
- $9.81
- 52-week low
- $3.85
- Shares outstanding
- 126.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $862.9M
- Profit margin
- -10.3%
- Return on equity
- -5.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +215.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.36
- Typical daily move
- ±4.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.6%
- Dividend yield
- 0.94%
HighPeak Energy stock news this week
Coverage of HighPeak Energy this week reads positive: 9 positive, 1 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Highpeak Energy stock hits 52-week high at 9.2 USD By Investing.comInvesting.com Nigeria, Oct 9
- Highpeak Energy stock hits 52-week high at 9.2 USDInvesting.com, Oct 9
- HighPeak Energy secures refinancing. HighPeak Energy stock trades above EUR 7.30.AD HOC NEWS, Oct 7
- HighPeak Energy, Inc. announced that it expects to receive $450 million in funding from PT Danantara Investment Management, PT Energi Mega Persada Tbkmarketscreener.com, Oct 6
- HighPeak Energy secures $450M preferred equity deal, $800M credit facility (HPK:NASDAQ)Seeking Alpha, Oct 6
- HighPeak Energy Secures $1.25 Billion Refinancing to Retire Term Loancitybiz, Oct 6
HighPeak Energy peers
HighPeak Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| COPConocoPhillips | Neutral | 32.8% below |
| FANGDiamondback Energy | Neutral | 11.2% above |
| ARAntero Resources | Neutral | 22.1% below |
| RRCRange Resources | Neutral | 2.2% above |
| SMSM Energy | Neutral | 16.9% above |
| MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas | Accumulation | 28.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
HighPeak Energy stock FAQ
What is HighPeak Energy’s market cap?
HighPeak Energy’s market cap is $1.23B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.71, with 126.5M shares outstanding.
What is the HighPeak Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for HighPeak Energy is $10.00, +3.0% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is HighPeak Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate HighPeak Energy is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $9.71 is 10.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $8.77. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does HighPeak Energy report earnings next?
HighPeak Energy is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.06 per share on revenue of $239.6M. HighPeak Energy beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 13.1% on average across the report.
What is HighPeak Energy’s 52-week high and low?
HighPeak Energy’s 52-week high is $9.81 and its 52-week low is $3.85; it closed at $9.71 on Oct 12, 2026, +37.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $38.21 on Apr 22, 2022.
Is HighPeak Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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