Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
SM Energy has declined across several sessions this week, with shares falling from $34.89 on 22 September to $33.55 by 28 September, a move described as steeper than the broader market. Coverage has repeatedly flagged the stock as potentially undervalued relative to a GF Value estimate near $51, even as commentary noted weak momentum, a "possible value trap" label, and insider selling activity alongside otherwise strong growth and valuation scores. The declines have come without a single dominant catalyst, reflecting a mix of value-versus-momentum debate rather than one specific event.
SM last closed at $33.55, down 1.1% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $34.64 and 200-day average of $28.07, with a one-month return of -8.9% against a three-month gain of 28.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 63.7, placing SM in the Accumulation zone, up 5 points recently. The current price sits 5.2% above the Gekko Fair Value of $31.89.
Earnings are scheduled for 2 November, 34 days out, placing the report outside a typical 20-trading-day window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 6.6% gain over five years, positive in four of those years. Analyst coverage from 14 firms shows 10 buy ratings, with a consensus target of $43.18, implying 28.7% upside per that consensus.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
SM Energy scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
Averages disagree
Close $33.55 sits between the 50-day ($34.64) and 200-day ($28.07) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart63.7, Accumulation
Reading 63.7 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex5.2% above
Price is 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair valueNo data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart moneyReports in 34 days
Next report Nov 2, 2026, 34 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings+6.6% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +6.6% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonalityA description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
SM Energy closed at $33.55 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.45 to $41.56.
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Put SM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
SM Energy focuses on finding, developing, acquiring, and producing oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, with all of its operations located in Texas. It is known for its holdings in the Midland Basin and South Texas, where it works both oil and gas wells as part of its production base.
The company operates as an independent producer, meaning its business centers on extracting and selling hydrocarbons rather than refining or marketing them further downstream. Its output comes from a mix of active oil and gas wells concentrated in its core Texas operating areas, supporting its estimated proved reserves measured in barrels of oil equivalent.
SM Energy traces its history back to 1908 and took on its present name in May 2010, having previously operated as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company. It is headquartered in Denver, Colorado, and its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SM.
SM Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 63.7, in the Accumulation zone, up 5 points over five sessions.
Up 5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 38 | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| Accumulation (current zone) | 219 | +0.4% | −0.7% |
| Neutral | 369 | 0.0% | +1.2% |
| Distribution | 34 | +0.4% | +5.7% |
| Selling | 12 | +1.4% | +10.7% |
Average SM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
SM Energy trades 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $31.89, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what SM Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$31.89
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
5.2% Overvalued
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SM Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
No open-market insider purchases were filed for SM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
No trades in SM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
SM Energy has been buying back its own shares.
From company filings.
SM Energy reports on Nov 2, 2026 (34 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Nov 2, 2026
34 days away
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | $0.00 est $0.85 | $705.0M est $764.6M | −1.0% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $1.33 est $1.26 | $811.0M est $833.7M | −10.5% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $1.76 est $1.27 | $785.1M est $824.2M | −2.0% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $1.76 est $2.03 | $839.6M est $778.9M | +1.8% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $1.91 est $1.91 | $835.9M est $849.4M | −3.9% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $1.62 est $1.53 | $642.4M est $862.4M | −5.2% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | $1.85 est $1.53 | $633.5M est $616.1M | +11.2% |
| May 2, 2024 | $1.41 est $1.28 | $559.6M est $558.3M | +6.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for SM Energy is $43.18, +28.7% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Siebert Williams Shank & Co | $52 | +55.0% |
| Sep 15 | UBS | $48 | +43.1% |
| Sep 15 | KeyBanc | $46 | +37.1% |
| Sep 15 | UBS | $48 | +43.1% |
| Sep 14 | UBS | $48 | +43.1% |
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, SM Energy averaged +6.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +6.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +8.0% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +5.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +6.6% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +4.0% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, SM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.4%.
SM Energy’s market cap is $8.04B, with a P/E ratio of 6.1 and revenue of $4.96B over the last twelve months.
Coverage of SM Energy this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 1 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
SM Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| COPConocoPhillips | Accumulation | 41.2% below |
| FANGDiamondback Energy | Accumulation | 6.0% above |
| ARAntero Resources | Accumulation | 28.4% below |
| RRCRange Resources | Accumulation | 7.3% below |
| MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas | Accumulation | 30.8% below |
| MURMurphy Oil | Accumulation | 5.6% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
SM Energy’s market cap is $8.04B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.55, with 237.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.1.
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for SM Energy is $43.18, +28.7% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
On Gekko’s estimate SM Energy is overvalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $33.55 is 5.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $31.89. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
SM Energy is expected to report on Nov 2, 2026 (34 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.75 per share on revenue of $1.93B. SM Energy beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.
SM Energy’s 52-week high is $41.56 and its 52-week low is $17.45; it closed at $33.55 on Sep 28, 2026, +22.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $54.97 on Jun 8, 2022.
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.
Join 1,380 other traders using Gekko
Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.Type a ticker or company name. Press Esc to close.