Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for VET in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every VET insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VET in Gekko
NYSE: VET
Vermilion Energy (VET) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$11.92+0.05 (+0.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeVermilion Energy shares have drawn fresh analyst attention this week, with several research firms raising price targets and issuing a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating based on reports from eight brokerages, including three "buy," one "strong buy," and four "hold" recommendations, alongside an average 12-month price target of C$19.75. A separate brokerage note pegs the consensus "Hold" rating with a $15.00 target against the recent share price. Coverage also notes the company's continued quarterly dividend commitment despite recent negative profitability metrics, as well as broader commentary on commodity prices and regional operations across Canada and Europe shaping its position in the TSX Smallcap Index.
VET closed at $11.92, up 0.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $12.11 and 200-day average of $11.26, reflecting a mixed trend. The GekkoIndex reads 58.1, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 over the past five readings. Price remains 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.94.
Earnings are due on 4 November 2026, 23 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 29 July 2026 saw EPS of $0.62 against a $0.05 estimate, with an 11% reaction, against an average absolute reaction of 5.6% across 8 quarters with 2 beats. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, with gains in 3 of them. Consensus analyst targets and the Argus report referenced this week may warrant continued attention.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Vermilion Energy price vs fair value
Close $11.92200-day averageGekko Fair Value $21.94
Vermilion Energy quick facts
- Market cap
- $1.82B
- P/E ratio
- —
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.11
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.84B
- Profit margin
- -24.2%
- Dividend yield
- 4.60%
- Beta
- 0.76
- Volume
- 471,259 avg 1.04M
- 1-year return
- +47.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.6%
- 50-day average
- $12.11
- 200-day average
- $11.26
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 152.8M
Vermilion Energy swing-trade checklist
Vermilion Energy scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $11.92 sits between the 50-day ($12.11) and 200-day ($11.26) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
58.1, Neutral
Reading 58.1 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
45.7% below
Price is 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 23 days
Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.0% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Vermilion Energy stock chart and price history
Vermilion Energy closed at $11.92 on Oct 12, 2026, +47.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $7.10 to $14.82.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.9%
- 3 months
- +21.4%
- 6 months
- −7.8%
- 1 year
- +47.0%
The full VET chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open VET in Gekko
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About Vermilion Energy
Vermilion Energy works across the oil and natural gas business, handling everything from acquiring and exploring properties to developing and producing from them. The company runs operations through subsidiaries spread across North America, several European countries, and Australia, giving it a footprint that touches multiple continents rather than a single region.
The company's holdings include both onshore and offshore assets. It operates land positions in Canada and the United States, along with major European interests in France, the Netherlands, Germany, Croatia, Hungary, and Slovakia. Offshore, Vermilion holds a stake in the Corrib natural gas field off Ireland's coast and runs an oil field off Australia's northwest shelf. Its well counts span conventional natural gas and light and medium crude oil production in Canada, the U.S., France, and the Netherlands.
Vermilion Energy is headquartered in Calgary, Canada, and traces its founding to 1994. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker VET.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Energy minerals
- Industry
- Oil & gas production
- Website
- vermilionenergy.com
Vermilion Energy GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Vermilion Energy’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 58.1, in the Neutral zone, down 4.3 points over five sessions.
58.1Neutral
Down 4.3 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 56 | +1.3% | +5.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 222 | +0.6% | +1.5% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 376 | −0.1% | +0.3% | ||
| Distribution | 26 | +0.9% | +1.6% | ||
| Selling | 2 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average VET share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the VET price, zone by zone.Track VET in Gekko
Is Vermilion Energy stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Vermilion Energy trades 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.94, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Vermilion Energy shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$21.94
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
45.7% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 46.8% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open VET in Gekko
Vermilion Energy insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Vermilion Energy, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in VET were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for VET, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open VET in Gekko
Vermilion Energy earnings: next date and track record
Vermilion Energy reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
23 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.31
- Revenue estimate
- $333.0M
2 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.62 est $0.05 | $390.3M est $330.4M | +11.0% |
| May 6, 2026 | −$0.92 est $0.28 | $369.0M est $368.7M | −13.0% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.63 est $0.30 | $334.6M est $393.5M | −0.7% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | −$0.02 est $0.04 | $302.6M est $384.7M | +8.2% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | −$0.20 est −$0.06 | $346.7M est $440.3M | −4.5% |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.10 est $0.23 | $410.9M est $385.4M | +1.1% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | −$0.12 est $0.49 | $358.4M est $350.8M | −2.9% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.24 est $0.32 | $371.8M est $368.7M | +3.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Vermilion Energy stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Vermilion Energy is $27.22, +128.4% from the last close.
$27.22consensus 12-month target, +128.4% from the last close
+0.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Vermilion Energy seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Vermilion Energy averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.0% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.0% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | −2.7% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, VET’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 9.6%.
Vermilion Energy market cap and key statistics
Vermilion Energy’s market cap is $1.82B and revenue of $1.84B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $1.82B
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- −$2.11
- Gekko Fair Value
- $21.94
Trading
- Volume
- 471,259
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.04M
- 52-week high
- $14.82
- 52-week low
- $7.10
- Shares outstanding
- 152.8M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.84B
- Profit margin
- -24.2%
- Return on equity
- -18.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- −94.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.76
- Typical daily move
- ±3.1%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±9.6%
- Dividend yield
- 4.60%
Vermilion Energy stock news this week
Coverage of Vermilion Energy this week reads positive: 3 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- What Could Shape Vermilion Energy (TSX:VET) TSX Smallcap Index Story?Kalkine Media, Oct 12
- What Is Driving Vermilion Energy (TSX:VET) Shares Higher This Week?Kalkine Media, Oct 12
- Vermilion Energy Inc. (TSE:VET) Stock Rated "Moderate Buy" by Sell-Side AnalystsMarketBeat, Oct 12
- Basic earnings per share (basic EPS) of Vermilion Energy Inc. – HAN:CVZTradingView, Oct 11
- Vermilion Energy Inc. (NYSE:VET) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $15.00 According to BrokeragesMarketBeat, Oct 10
- Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Oct 8
Vermilion Energy peers
Vermilion Energy’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| COPConocoPhillips | Neutral | 32.8% below |
| FANGDiamondback Energy | Neutral | 11.2% above |
| ARAntero Resources | Neutral | 22.1% below |
| RRCRange Resources | Neutral | 2.2% above |
| SMSM Energy | Neutral | 16.9% above |
| MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas | Accumulation | 28.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Vermilion Energy stock FAQ
What is Vermilion Energy’s market cap?
Vermilion Energy’s market cap is $1.82B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.92, with 152.8M shares outstanding.
What is the Vermilion Energy stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Vermilion Energy is $27.22, +128.4% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Vermilion Energy stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Vermilion Energy is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $11.92 is 45.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $21.94. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Vermilion Energy report earnings next?
Vermilion Energy is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.31 per share on revenue of $333.0M. Vermilion Energy beat the earnings estimate in 2 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.6% on average across the report.
What is Vermilion Energy’s 52-week high and low?
Vermilion Energy’s 52-week high is $14.82 and its 52-week low is $7.10; it closed at $11.92 on Oct 12, 2026, +47.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $30.17 on Aug 29, 2022.
Is Vermilion Energy stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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