Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for HTGC in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every HTGC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTGC in Gekko
NYSE: HTGC
Hercules Capital (HTGC) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$16.54+0.03 (+0.2%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeThis week Hercules Capital closed an upsized underwritten public offering of $400.0 million in aggregate principal amount of 6.700% notes due October 2029, after pricing the notes on 5 October. The offering is intended to refinance existing borrowings and fund new investments, reshaping the company's funding mix and long-term interest cost profile with a continued reliance on wholesale funding over deposits. Separately, Hercules Capital entered into a credit facility agreement of up to $150 million with Rocket Pharmaceuticals (RCKT), extending its lending activity into the biotechnology sector.
HTGC closed at $16.54, little changed on the day, with its close sitting between the 50-day average of $17.12 and the 200-day average of $16.31. The stock is down 5% over one month but up 3.1% over three months and 8.2% over six months. The GekkoIndex reads 64.9, placing it in the Accumulation zone, and the price sits 8.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.07.
Hercules Capital's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 October, after the close, 17 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's actual EPS of $0.50 beat the $0.48 estimate with a 2.8% reaction. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged +7.2% across 5 years, rising in 3 of them. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows. Analyst consensus stands at 3 buy and 2 hold ratings among 5 firms, with a consensus target of $19.50.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Hercules Capital price vs fair value
Close $16.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $18.07
Hercules Capital quick facts
- Market cap
- $3.10B
- P/E ratio
- 8.2
- Forward P/E
- 8.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.01
- Revenue, TTM
- $566.2M
- Profit margin
- 67.7%
- Dividend yield
- 9.78%
- Beta
- 0.76
- Volume
- 758,376 avg 1.19M
- 1-year return
- −3.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $17.12
- 200-day average
- $16.31
- Next earnings
- Oct 29 after close
- Shares outstanding
- 187.2M
Hercules Capital swing-trade checklist
Hercules Capital scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $16.54 sits between the 50-day ($17.12) and 200-day ($16.31) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
64.9, Accumulation
Reading 64.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.5% below
Price is 8.5% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 17 days
Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+7.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.2% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Hercules Capital stock chart and price history
Hercules Capital closed at $16.54 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $13.70 to $19.13.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −5.0%
- 3 months
- +3.1%
- 6 months
- +8.2%
- 1 year
- −3.0%
The full HTGC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HTGC in Gekko
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Hercules Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Hercules Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 64.9, in the Accumulation zone, unchanged over five sessions.
64.9Accumulation
Unchanged over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 47 | −0.5% | −3.3% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 153 | +0.2% | +2.0% | ||
| Neutral | 431 | +0.1% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 43 | −0.5% | −2.2% | ||
| Selling | 8 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average HTGC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HTGC price, zone by zone.Track HTGC in Gekko
Is Hercules Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Hercules Capital trades 8.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.07, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Hercules Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$18.07
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
8.5% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 3.0% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HTGC in Gekko
Hercules Capital insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hercules Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in HTGC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for HTGC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HTGC in Gekko
Buybacks
Hercules Capital has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $819K
- As a share of market cap
- 0.03%
- Trailing four quarters
- $6.18M
From company filings.
Hercules Capital earnings: next date and track record
Hercules Capital reports on Oct 29, 2026, after the close (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 29, 2026
Expected after the close, 17 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.48
- Revenue estimate
- $144.1M
4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.1%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.50 est $0.48 | $149.1M est $146.7M | +2.8% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.48 est $0.47 | $141.5M est $141.4M | 0.0% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $0.48 est $0.49 | $137.4M est $141.5M | −7.2% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.48 | $169.3M est $141.3M | +1.0% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.50 est $0.47 | $79.84M est $136.0M | +1.3% |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.45 est $0.46 | $102.1M est $125.4M | −1.4% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $0.49 est $0.51 | $47.93M est $126.2M | +1.6% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.51 est $0.51 | $119.1M est $129.4M | −1.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Hercules Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hercules Capital is $19.50, +17.9% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$19.50consensus 12-month target, +17.9% from the last close
Now $16.54Avg $19.50
Low $15.50High $20
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | BTIG | $18.50 | +11.9% |
| Jul 31 | Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. | $20 | +20.9% |
| Jul 31 | Piper Sandler | $17 | +2.8% |
| Jul 31 | KBW | $18 | +8.8% |
| Jul 24 | J.P. Morgan | $15.50 | −6.3% |
+2.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Hercules Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Hercules Capital averaged +7.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +3.3% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.8% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +6.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +7.2% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.4% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, HTGC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
Hercules Capital market cap and key statistics
Hercules Capital’s market cap is $3.10B, with a P/E ratio of 8.2 and revenue of $566.2M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $3.10B
- P/E ratio
- 8.2
- Forward P/E
- 8.6
- EPS, TTM
- $2.01
- Gekko Fair Value
- $18.07
Trading
- Volume
- 758,376
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.19M
- 52-week high
- $19.13
- 52-week low
- $13.70
- Shares outstanding
- 187.2M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $566.2M
- Profit margin
- 67.7%
- Return on equity
- 17.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +54.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.76
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 9.78%
Hercules Capital stock news this week
5 headlines about Hercules Capital from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Hercules Capital (HTGC) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for InvestorsZacks Investment Research, Oct 8
- Hercules Capital Closes Institutional Notes Offering of $400.0 Million 6.700% Notes due 2029Business Wire, Oct 8
- What Hercules Capital (HTGC)'s $400 Million Bond Offering Means For ShareholdersSimply Wall Street, Oct 6
- Rocket Pharmaceuticals Secures Strategic Credit Facility for Up to $150 Million from Hercules CapitalBusiness Wire, Oct 6
- Hercules Capital Prices Upsized Institutional Notes Offering of $400.0 Million 6.70% Notes due 2029Business Wire, Oct 5
Hercules Capital peers
Hercules Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| VVisa | Neutral | 0.1% below |
| MAMastercard | Neutral | 2.4% below |
| AXPAmerican Express | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
| COFCapital One Financial | Neutral | 12.1% below |
| URIUnited Rentals | Neutral | 7.5% below |
| RKTRocket Companies | Accumulation | 25.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Hercules Capital stock FAQ
What is Hercules Capital’s market cap?
Hercules Capital’s market cap is $3.10B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.54, with 187.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 8.2.
What is the Hercules Capital stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hercules Capital is $19.50, +17.9% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Hercules Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Hercules Capital is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $16.54 is 8.5% below Gekko Fair Value of $18.07. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Hercules Capital report earnings next?
Hercules Capital is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, after the market closes (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $144.1M. Hercules Capital beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.1% on average across the report.
What is Hercules Capital’s 52-week high and low?
Hercules Capital’s 52-week high is $19.13 and its 52-week low is $13.70; it closed at $16.54 on Oct 12, 2026, −3.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $22.04 on Feb 19, 2025.
Is Hercules Capital stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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