NYSE: OTF

Blue Owl Technology Finance (OTF) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$10.22−0.09 (−0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Blue Owl Technology Finance stays rated Hold this week, with commentary pointing to a decline in net asset value, net investment income described as unsatisfactory, and volatility said to be elevated versus other business development company peers. The base distribution is not fully covered by net investment income, with management indicating coverage arrives by mid-2027, which raises questions about the sustainability of the current payout absent an improvement in earnings.

OTF closes at $10.22, down 0.9%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $10.80 and its 200-day average of $11.71, with the 50-day itself below the 200-day. The stock's one-month return is -9.6%, its three-month return -4.6%, its six-month return -16.7%, and its one-year return -28.1%, against a 52-week range of $9.75 to $15.00. The GekkoIndex reads 67.6, placing OTF in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.92.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity is recorded in their respective windows. Analyst coverage from 7 firms shows 3 buy and 4 hold ratings with no sell ratings, alongside a consensus target of $13.61 and consensus upside of 33.2%. Typical daily movement runs near 2.2%, with a typical 20-day move of 4.4%, context worth keeping in mind given the distribution coverage timeline flagged for mid-2027.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Blue Owl Technology Finance price vs fair value

$11.92$10.22Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $10.22200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.92

Blue Owl Technology Finance quick facts

Market cap
$4.73B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
7.4
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Revenue, TTM
$1.31B
Profit margin
28.7%
Dividend yield
13.50%
Beta
—
Volume
1.63M avg 2.08M
1-year return
−28.1%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$10.80
200-day average
$11.71
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
458.2M
52-week range
$9.75$15.00

Blue Owl Technology Finance swing-trade checklist

Blue Owl Technology Finance scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 4 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.22 is below the 50-day ($10.80) and 200-day ($11.71) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.6, Accumulation

    Reading 67.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    14.3% below

    Price is 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityno data

    No data

    Not enough years of history for a seasonal read.

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Blue Owl Technology Finance stock chart and price history

Blue Owl Technology Finance closed at $10.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.75 to $15.00.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Blue Owl Technology Finance share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$11$12$13$14$15NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep10.22

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−9.6%
3 months
−4.6%
6 months
−16.7%
1 year
−28.1%
The full OTF chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OTF in Gekko

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About Blue Owl Technology Finance

Blue Owl Technology Finance works as a business development company that channels funding toward mature, expanding firms sitting in the upper middle-market tier. It leans toward technology and software businesses and places most of its capital inside the United States, giving these companies room to grow through outside financing rather than equity ownership.

Its approach mixes lending with ownership stakes. The lending side covers senior loans that are secured or unsecured, plus subordinated and mezzanine debt for borrowers needing more flexible terms. Alongside this, the company sometimes gains equity exposure through common shares, warrants, preferred stock, or other senior equity forms, pairing creditor status with a potential stake in a business's upside.

Founded in 2018 and based in New York, New York, Blue Owl Technology Finance trades its shares on the NYSE under the ticker OTF.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance/Rental/Leasing
Website
blueowltechnologyfinance.com

Blue Owl Technology Finance GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Blue Owl Technology Finance’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 5.1 points over five sessions.

010067.6Accumulation

Up 5.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying35+0.5%0.0%+0.4%−3.2%
Accumulation (current zone)163+0.1%+0.2%−0.7%−4.7%
Neutral115−1.7%−3.2%−5.0%−8.9%
Distribution6Too few readings yet
Selling0Not available

Average OTF share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OTF price, zone by zone.Track OTF in Gekko

Is Blue Owl Technology Finance stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Blue Owl Technology Finance trades 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.92, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Blue Owl Technology Finance shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.92

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

14.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OTF in Gekko

Blue Owl Technology Finance insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Blue Owl Technology Finance, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OTF in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OTF insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTF in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OTF were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OTF, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OTF in Gekko

Buybacks

Blue Owl Technology Finance has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$55.14M
As a share of market cap
1.17%
Trailing four quarters
$178.8M

From company filings.

Blue Owl Technology Finance earnings: next date and track record

Blue Owl Technology Finance reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away).

Blue Owl Technology Finance stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Blue Owl Technology Finance is $13.61, +33.2% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$13.61consensus 12-month target, +33.2% from the last close
Low $11High $17
Buy3
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 27KBWHold, maintained$12+17.4%
Aug 21Bank of America SecuritiesHold, reiterated$11+7.6%
Aug 17KBWHold, maintained$12+17.4%
Aug 14RBC CapitalHold, maintained$12+17.4%
Aug 10OppenheimerHold, maintained$14+37.0%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Blue Owl Technology Finance market cap and key statistics

Blue Owl Technology Finance’s market cap is $4.73B, with a P/E ratio of 12.7 and revenue of $1.31B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.73B
P/E ratio
12.7
Forward P/E
7.4
EPS, TTM
$0.81
Gekko Fair Value
$11.92

Trading

Volume
1.63M
Avg volume, 20 days
2.08M
52-week high
$15.00
52-week low
$9.75
Shares outstanding
458.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.31B
Profit margin
28.7%
Return on equity
4.8%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−22.8%

Risk and income

Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
13.50%

Blue Owl Technology Finance stock news this week

3 headlines about Blue Owl Technology Finance from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Blue Owl Technology Finance peers

Blue Owl Technology Finance’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VVisa+0.3%Neutral5.4% below
MAMastercard+0.4%Neutral6.5% below
AXPAmerican Express−0.4%Accumulation12.9% below
COFCapital One Financial−1.4%Accumulation14.8% below
URIUnited Rentals+0.5%Neutral9.0% below
RKTRocket Companies−1.8%Accumulation23.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Blue Owl Technology Finance stock FAQ

What is Blue Owl Technology Finance’s market cap?

Blue Owl Technology Finance’s market cap is $4.73B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.22, with 458.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.7.

What is the Blue Owl Technology Finance stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Blue Owl Technology Finance is $13.61, +33.2% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Blue Owl Technology Finance stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Blue Owl Technology Finance is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.22 is 14.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.92. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Blue Owl Technology Finance report earnings next?

Blue Owl Technology Finance is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.32 per share on revenue of $351.8M.

What is Blue Owl Technology Finance’s 52-week high and low?

Blue Owl Technology Finance’s 52-week high is $15.00 and its 52-week low is $9.75; it closed at $10.22 on Sep 28, 2026, −28.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $21.62 on Jun 12, 2025.

Is Blue Owl Technology Finance stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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