NASDAQ: CAR

Avis Budget (CAR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$105.10−0.88 (−0.8%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on Avis Budget's $650 million cash settlement from Pentwater Capital Management over a short-swing profits lawsuit, with the company planning to use part of the proceeds to repay $350 million of senior notes due 2027. The settlement will be recognized in fourth-quarter financial statements. Separately, insiders sold $3.2 million of shares, and the company confirmed it will release third-quarter results on 3 November 2026. Shares also saw a brief rally alongside peer Hertz, which rebounded from a record low amid short covering across the rental sector.

Avis Budget closed at $105.10, down 0.8%, sitting below both its 50-day average of $127.06 and 200-day average of $155.36, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The stock has fallen 13.7% over one month, 34.2% over three months, and 28.4% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 67.3, placing it in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $128.05.

Earnings are scheduled for 3 November 2026, before the open, falling within the next 20 trading days; the prior quarter saw a -5.4% reaction with an average absolute move of 8.6%. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 30.9% move over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Consensus among 5 firms stands at 0 buy, 3 hold, 2 sell, with a consensus target of $128.57.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Avis Budget price vs fair value

$128.05$105.10Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $105.10200-day averageGekko Fair Value $128.05

Avis Budget quick facts

Market cap
$3.71B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
3.4
EPS, TTM
−$18.13
Revenue, TTM
$11.71B
Profit margin
-5.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.11
Volume
247,391 avg 421,555
1-year return
−28.4%
Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±13.3%
50-day average
$127.06
200-day average
$155.36
Next earnings
Nov 3 before open
Shares outstanding
35.33M
52-week range
$85.96$847.70

Avis Budget swing-trade checklist

Avis Budget scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $105.10 is below the 50-day ($127.06) and 200-day ($155.36) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.3, Accumulation

    Reading 67.3 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    17.9% below

    Price is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 22 days

    Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +30.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +30.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Avis Budget stock chart and price history

Avis Budget closed at $105.10 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $85.96 to $847.70.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Avis Budget share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$400$600NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct105.10

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−13.7%
3 months
−34.2%
6 months
−71.7%
1 year
−28.4%
The full CAR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open CAR in Gekko

Follow Avis Budget through every session

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About Avis Budget

Avis Budget rents cars and trucks and offers car-sharing to both business and individual customers around the world. Its Avis brand serves commercial and leisure travelers with premium vehicle rentals, while Budget Truck supplies local and one-way truck and cargo van hire through a mix of dealer-operated and company-owned sites across the continental United States. The company also runs Zipcar for car-sharing, along with other rental brands including Budget, Payless, Apex, Maggiore, MoriniRent, FranceCars, Amicoblue, Turiscar, and ACL Hire.

Beyond vehicle rental itself, Avis Budget adds services such as optional insurance coverage, fuel plans, roadside assistance, electronic tolling, curbside delivery, and rentals of items like navigation devices, tablets, satellite radio, and child seats. It also supplies towing equipment and moving supplies for relocation needs, and offers corporate clients an online tool called Business Intelligence to manage travel. Altogether, the company operates roughly 10,400 locations worldwide, serving both everyday consumers and business travelers.

Avis Budget was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey. It was previously known as Cendant Corporation before taking its present name in September 2006. Its shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker CAR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance/Rental/Leasing
Website
avisbudgetgroup.com

Avis Budget GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Avis Budget’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.3, in the Accumulation zone, up 0.6 points over five sessions.

010067.3Accumulation

Up 0.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying78+1.0%+4.3%+6.3%+30.9%
Accumulation (current zone)314+0.1%+0.3%+8.3%+6.9%
Neutral232−1.2%−1.0%+1.8%+4.8%
Distribution37+12.9%+34.7%+8.1%+19.1%
Selling21+7.7%−9.9%−36.0%−37.2%

Average CAR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the CAR price, zone by zone.Track CAR in Gekko

Is Avis Budget stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Avis Budget trades 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $128.05, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Avis Budget shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$128.05

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

17.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 0.4% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$128$106Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open CAR in Gekko

Avis Budget insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Avis Budget, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for CAR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every CAR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in CAR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for CAR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open CAR in Gekko

Buybacks

Avis Budget has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$7.00M
As a share of market cap
0.19%
Trailing four quarters
$14.00M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold CAR.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Avis Budget earnings: next date and track record

Avis Budget reports on Nov 3, 2026, before the open (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports.

1 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.6%average move across the report
2 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.1%Oct ’24−7.6%Feb ’25+3.9%May ’25−16.3%Jul ’25−7.2%Oct ’25−20.8%Feb ’26−0.7%Apr ’26−5.4%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Avis Budget Group aggressively reduced Americas fleet by 5% year-over-year in Q2 2026, reaching the lowest second quarter fleet size since COVID-era 2Q21, in response to deteriorating demand signals. TSA check-ins turned negative and overseas visitors fell 8% YoY. Despite smaller fleet, rental days declined only 2% as utilization hit a record 73.2% for Q2. Revenue per transaction rose 6% YoY by prioritizing longer-duration rentals. Adjusted EBITDA met initial expectations despite a materially different operational path.
Guidance
Management provided no specific forward revenue or earnings targets in this excerpt. The strategic focus remains on fleet discipline, treating vehicles as capital at risk, and optimizing profitability over market share in an uncertain consumer and travel demand environment.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 28, 2026$0.98
est $2.16
−54.6%$3.00B
est $3.10B
−3.2%−5.4%
Apr 29, 2026−$8.01
est −$2.39
−235.1%$2.53B
est $2.43B
+4.2%−0.7%
Feb 18, 2026−$6.53
est −$0.29
−2,151.7%$2.66B
est $2.74B
−2.7%−20.8%
Oct 27, 2025$10.11
est $8.47
+19.4%$3.52B
est $2.75B
+27.9%−7.2%
Jul 29, 2025$0.10
est $2.02
−95.0%$3.04B
est $3.46B
−12.2%−16.3%
May 7, 2025−$14.35
est −$5.72
−150.9%$2.43B
est $2.49B
−2.5%+3.9%
Feb 11, 2025−$55.66
est −$0.79
−6,945.6%$2.66B
est $2.72B
−2.0%−7.6%
Oct 31, 2024$6.65
est $8.46
−21.4%$3.48B
est $2.72B
+27.7%+7.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Avis Budget stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Avis Budget is $128.57, +22.3% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$128.57consensus 12-month target, +22.3% from the last close
Low $94High $160
Buy0
Hold3
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 8J.P. MorganSell, reiterated$105−0.1%
Sep 11Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$95−9.6%
Jul 31BarclaysHold, maintained$160+52.2%
Jul 30J.P. MorganSell, maintained$145+38.0%
Jul 30Deutsche Bank Hold, reiterated$136+29.4%
+8.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+30.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Avis Budget seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Avis Budget averaged +30.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+105.8%2021+35.4%2022+6.0%2023+12.3%2024−2.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.8%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+8.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+6.8%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+30.9%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+28.6%4 of 5

For scale, CAR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 13.3%.

Avis Budget market cap and key statistics

Avis Budget’s market cap is $3.71B and revenue of $11.71B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.71B
Forward P/E
3.4
EPS, TTM
−$18.13
Gekko Fair Value
$128.05

Trading

Volume
247,391
Avg volume, 20 days
421,555
52-week high
$847.70
52-week low
$85.96
Shares outstanding
35.33M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$11.71B
Profit margin
-5.4%
Return on equity
-273.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+880.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.11
Typical daily move
±4.9%
Typical 20-day move
±13.3%

Avis Budget stock news this week

Coverage of Avis Budget this week reads positive: 4 positive, 4 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Avis Budget peers

Avis Budget’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VVisa+0.9%Neutral0.1% below
MAMastercard+0.4%Neutral2.4% below
AXPAmerican Express+1.1%Accumulation9.3% below
COFCapital One Financial+1.0%Neutral12.1% below
URIUnited Rentals+0.4%Neutral7.5% below
RKTRocket Companies−4.1%Accumulation25.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Avis Budget stock FAQ

What is Avis Budget’s market cap?

Avis Budget’s market cap is $3.71B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $105.10, with 35.33M shares outstanding.

What is the Avis Budget stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Avis Budget is $128.57, +22.3% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Avis Budget stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Avis Budget is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $105.10 is 17.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $128.05. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Avis Budget report earnings next?

Avis Budget is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026, before the market opens (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $8.11 per share on revenue of $3.42B. Avis Budget beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.6% on average across the report.

What is Avis Budget’s 52-week high and low?

Avis Budget’s 52-week high is $847.70 and its 52-week low is $85.96; it closed at $105.10 on Oct 12, 2026, −28.4% over the past year.

Is Avis Budget stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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