NYSE: OBDC

Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$10.77−0.04 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

Blue Owl Capital closed at $10.77 on 28 September 2026, -0.4% on the day. The price sits below both the 50-day ($11.19) and 200-day ($11.46) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $10.52 to $13.58. The GekkoIndex reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 9.5 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $11.98, so the price is 10.1% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 4 November 2026, 36 days away. Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 1.9% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +1.3% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

8 firms rate the stock: 6 buy, 2 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $13.17. A typical daily move is about 1.7%, and a typical 20-day move about 3.1%. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (trend).

Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Blue Owl Capital price vs fair value

$11.98$10.77Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $10.77200-day averageGekko Fair Value $11.98

Blue Owl Capital quick facts

Market cap
$5.35B
P/E ratio
19.6
Forward P/E
8.3
EPS, TTM
$0.55
Revenue, TTM
$1.70B
Profit margin
17%
Dividend yield
13.00%
Beta
0.68
Volume
3.58M avg 3.00M
1-year return
−19.4%
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.1%
50-day average
$11.19
200-day average
$11.46
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
493.1M
52-week range
$10.52$13.58

Blue Owl Capital swing-trade checklist

Blue Owl Capital scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $10.77 is below the 50-day ($11.19) and 200-day ($11.46) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    69.1, Accumulation

    Reading 69.1 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.1% below

    Price is 10.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Blue Owl Capital stock chart and price history

Blue Owl Capital closed at $10.77 on Sep 28, 2026, −19.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $10.52 to $13.58.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Blue Owl Capital share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$12$13$14NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep10.77

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−4.5%
3 months
−3.4%
6 months
−0.6%
1 year
−19.4%
The full OBDC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open OBDC in Gekko

Follow Blue Owl Capital through every session

Put OBDC on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Blue Owl Capital

Blue Owl Capital provides financing to companies rather than manufacturing goods or offering consumer services. Structured as a business development company, it puts capital to work across a mix of debt types, from senior secured and unsecured loans to subordinated and mezzanine debt, and pairs these with equity-linked instruments such as warrants and preferred stock, plus direct stakes in preferred and common equity.

Its investment approach centers on backing businesses through growth plans, acquisitions, expansion into new markets or products, refinancings, and recapitalizations. The company concentrates on middle-market enterprises based in the United States, targeting those with annual EBITDA between 10 million and 250 million dollars, or annual revenues spanning 50 million to 2.5 billion dollars, giving it a broad band of company sizes to consider for funding.

Blue Owl Capital's shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker OBDC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance/Rental/Leasing
Website
blueowlcapitalcorporation.com

Blue Owl Capital GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Blue Owl Capital’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 9.5 points over five sessions.

010069.1Accumulation

Up 9.5 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying53+1.0%+2.5%+2.2%+2.9%
Accumulation (current zone)240+0.2%+0.2%−0.7%−1.9%
Neutral361−0.6%−1.2%−1.3%−3.4%
Distribution17+0.1%+0.2%+1.2%+4.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average OBDC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the OBDC price, zone by zone.Track OBDC in Gekko

Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Blue Owl Capital trades 10.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Blue Owl Capital shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$11.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

10.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open OBDC in Gekko

Blue Owl Capital insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Blue Owl Capital, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for OBDC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every OBDC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OBDC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in OBDC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for OBDC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open OBDC in Gekko

Buybacks

Blue Owl Capital has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$35.11M
As a share of market cap
0.66%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold OBDC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Blue Owl Capital earnings: next date and track record

Blue Owl Capital reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±1.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+1.2%Nov ’24−0.3%Feb ’25+1.2%May ’25−0.8%Aug ’25−6.3%Nov ’250.0%Feb ’26−4.4%May ’26+1.0%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
OBDC reported Q2 2026 adjusted NII of $0.34 per share and NAV of $14.26 per share, with annualized ROE of 9.6%, up 100+ basis points quarter-over-quarter. The base dividend was covered with a $0.02 supplemental dividend declared. Net leverage reached 1.11x, a 2-year low. NAV declined modestly due to one credit-specific markdown. The company repurchased $35 million in shares and issued two unsecured bonds while extending its revolving credit facility.
Guidance
Management expects to deploy capital selectively as market conditions normalize, with pipeline remaining active but underwriting discipline prioritized. Lower leverage and improved liquidity provide flexibility to pursue opportunities meeting return and credit standards as transaction activity recovers.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.34
est $0.32
+6.3%$401.3M
est $394.2M
+1.8%+1.0%
May 6, 2026$0.32
est $0.35
−8.6%$396.8M
est $422.0M
−6.0%−4.4%
Feb 18, 2026$0.37
est $0.36
+2.8%$447.8M
est $446.8M
+0.2%0.0%
Nov 5, 2025$0.36
est $0.39
−7.7%$291.8M
est $454.4M
−35.8%−6.3%
Aug 6, 2025$0.40
est $0.39
+2.6%$506.7M
est $480.1M
+5.5%−0.8%
May 7, 2025$0.39
est $0.43
−9.3%$404.4M
est $469.6M
−13.9%+1.2%
Feb 19, 2025$0.47
est $0.46
+2.8%$276.4M
est $395.2M
−30.1%−0.3%
Nov 6, 2024$0.47
est $0.48
−2.1%$367.6M
est $394.7M
−6.9%+1.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Blue Owl Capital stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Blue Owl Capital is $13.17, +22.3% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$13.17consensus 12-month target, +22.3% from the last close
Low $11High $15
Buy6
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 21Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$12.25+13.7%
Aug 14KBWHold, maintained$12+11.4%
Aug 10OppenheimerBuy, maintained$15+39.3%
Aug 7Ladenburg Thalmann & Co.Buy, maintained$12.50+16.1%
Aug 7RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$13+20.7%
−0.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Blue Owl Capital seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Blue Owl Capital averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.5%2021+10.1%2022−5.9%2023+5.1%2024−0.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.5%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days0.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+4.6%3 of 5

For scale, OBDC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.1%.

Blue Owl Capital market cap and key statistics

Blue Owl Capital’s market cap is $5.35B, with a P/E ratio of 19.6 and revenue of $1.70B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.35B
P/E ratio
19.6
Forward P/E
8.3
EPS, TTM
$0.55
Gekko Fair Value
$11.98

Trading

Volume
3.58M
Avg volume, 20 days
3.00M
52-week high
$13.58
52-week low
$10.52
Shares outstanding
493.1M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.70B
Profit margin
17%
Return on equity
3.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−50.7%

Risk and income

Beta
0.68
Typical daily move
±1.7%
Typical 20-day move
±3.1%
Dividend yield
13.00%

Blue Owl Capital peers

Blue Owl Capital’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VVisa+0.3%Neutral5.4% below
MAMastercard+0.4%Neutral6.5% below
AXPAmerican Express−0.4%Accumulation12.9% below
COFCapital One Financial−1.4%Accumulation14.8% below
URIUnited Rentals+0.5%Neutral9.0% below
RKTRocket Companies−1.8%Accumulation23.5% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Blue Owl Capital stock FAQ

What is Blue Owl Capital’s market cap?

Blue Owl Capital’s market cap is $5.35B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.77, with 493.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 19.6.

What is the Blue Owl Capital stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Blue Owl Capital is $13.17, +22.3% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Blue Owl Capital stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Blue Owl Capital is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $10.77 is 10.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $11.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Blue Owl Capital report earnings next?

Blue Owl Capital is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.32 per share on revenue of $383.9M. Blue Owl Capital beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 1.9% on average across the report.

What is Blue Owl Capital’s 52-week high and low?

Blue Owl Capital’s 52-week high is $13.58 and its 52-week low is $10.52; it closed at $10.77 on Sep 28, 2026, −19.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $16.91 on Jun 3, 2024.

Is Blue Owl Capital stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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