Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for AGM in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every AGM insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGM in Gekko
NYSE: AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Oct 12 close
$203.16−0.74 (−0.4%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryOct 12 closeAGM trades at $203.16, down 0.4% on the day, sitting between its 50-day average of $222.41 and 200-day average of $186.92, a mixed trend picture. Over the past month the stock has fallen 9.9%, though it remains up 26.1% over six months and 25.9% over the past year, within a 52-week range of $136.57 to $248.29. The GekkoIndex reads 69.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, up from a five-day change of 6.4. Price remains 14.1% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $236.53.
Over the next 20 trading days, the main date to note is the 3 November earnings report, 22 days away, which falls inside a typical holding window; the prior release showed EPS of $3.66 against a $4.50 estimate and a 14.4% reaction. No insider, Congress, or options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 9.9% gain over the past 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The sole analyst covering the stock rates it a buy, with a consensus target of $257 and consensus upside of 26.5%.
Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage price vs fair value
Close $203.16200-day averageGekko Fair Value $236.53
Federal Agricultural Mortgage quick facts
- Market cap
- $2.21B
- P/E ratio
- 11.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- $18.28
- Revenue, TTM
- $408.7M
- Profit margin
- 56%
- Dividend yield
- 2.97%
- Beta
- 1.07
- Volume
- 100,906 avg 125,551
- 1-year return
- +25.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
- 50-day average
- $222.41
- 200-day average
- $186.92
- Next earnings
- Nov 3
- Shares outstanding
- 9.32M
Federal Agricultural Mortgage swing-trade checklist
Federal Agricultural Mortgage scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $203.16 sits between the 50-day ($222.41) and 200-day ($186.92) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.1, Accumulation
Reading 69.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
14.1% below
Price is 14.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 22 days
Reports on Nov 3, 2026, 22 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+9.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +9.9% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock chart and price history
Federal Agricultural Mortgage closed at $203.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $136.57 to $248.29.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −9.9%
- 3 months
- +2.2%
- 6 months
- +26.1%
- 1 year
- +25.9%
The full AGM chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open AGM in Gekko
Follow Federal Agricultural Mortgage through every session
Put AGM on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Federal Agricultural Mortgage
Federal Agricultural Mortgage, often called Farmer Mac, gives lenders a way to sell on loans issued to borrowers throughout the United States who work in agriculture and rural infrastructure. Its role centers on buying and holding qualifying loans, standing behind the principal and interest owed on securities built from pools of those loans, handling the servicing of the loans, and committing in advance to purchase certain eligible loans over the long term.
Its activities are split into distinct areas. One covers USDA-related securities along with farm and ranch loans and the AgVantage securities tied to them. Another serves bigger, more complex farm businesses and agribusinesses working in food, fiber, and broader supply chains. Separate areas extend financing to rural electric cooperatives and utility providers, to broadband and communications projects such as fiber, cable, wireless, and data centers, and to renewable energy ventures including solar, wind, and gas. The company also manages its own debt issuance, hedging, and capital planning, and keeps an investment portfolio set aside for liquidity needs.
Founded in 1987, Federal Agricultural Mortgage has its headquarters in Washington, District of Columbia. Its stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker AGM.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Finance/Rental/Leasing
- Website
- farmermac.com
Federal Agricultural Mortgage GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.4 points over five sessions.
69.1Accumulation
Up 6.4 points over five sessions.
Reading for Oct 12, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 29 | +1.2% | +4.9% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 221 | +0.3% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral | 382 | 0.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Distribution | 45 | +0.2% | −5.5% | ||
| Selling | 5 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average AGM share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AGM price, zone by zone.Track AGM in Gekko
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Federal Agricultural Mortgage trades 14.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $236.53, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Federal Agricultural Mortgage shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$236.53
Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026
14.1% Undervalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 9.1% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AGM in Gekko
Federal Agricultural Mortgage insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Federal Agricultural Mortgage, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in AGM were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for AGM, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AGM in Gekko
Buybacks
Federal Agricultural Mortgage has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
- $7.11M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.32%
From company filings.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage earnings: next date and track record
Federal Agricultural Mortgage reports on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 3, 2026
22 days away
- EPS estimate
- $5.28
- Revenue estimate
- $121.1M
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Farmer Mac surpassed $33 billion in outstanding business volume in 2025, achieving record revenue of $410 million (13% YoY increase) and $183 million in core earnings, marking the 10th consecutive year of record core earnings. The company returned $78 million to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases, raised its quarterly dividend to $1.60/share (15th consecutive annual increase), and completed a $12.9 million share repurchase in Q4 with $37.1 million remaining. A seventh Farm securitization transaction was completed to optimize capital.
- Guidance
- USDA projects agricultural real estate mortgage demand to increase 5% in 2026. Management expects distressed borrower property sales to reduce 90-plus day delinquencies and recognize previously unaccrued fees in H1 2026. A new agricultural asset product is anticipated for launch in 2026.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | $3.66 est $4.50 | $107.9M est $107.5M | −14.4% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $4.52 est $4.43 | $103.9M est $107.5M | +4.3% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $4.32 est $4.29 | $102.7M est $98.11M | +2.8% |
| May 9, 2025 | $4.19 est $4.00 | $94.22M est $96.40M | +7.5% |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $3.97 est $4.17 | $101.4M est $93.25M | +5.0% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $4.10 est $4.11 | $90.29M est $92.81M | +5.0% |
| Aug 5, 2024 | $3.63 est $4.08 | $89.92M est $91.76M | −9.5% |
| May 6, 2024 | $3.96 est $4.06 | $93.61M est $92.25M | −10.8% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Federal Agricultural Mortgage is $257.00, +26.5% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$257.00consensus 12-month target, +26.5% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3 | KBW | $255 | +25.5% |
+3.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+9.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.7%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Federal Agricultural Mortgage averaged +9.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +9.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +10.4% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, AGM’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage market cap and key statistics
Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s market cap is $2.21B, with a P/E ratio of 11.4 and revenue of $408.7M over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $2.21B
- P/E ratio
- 11.4
- Forward P/E
- 9.4
- EPS, TTM
- $18.28
- Gekko Fair Value
- $236.53
Trading
- Volume
- 100,906
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 125,551
- 52-week high
- $248.29
- 52-week low
- $136.57
- Shares outstanding
- 9.32M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $408.7M
- Profit margin
- 56%
- Return on equity
- 13.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +20.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.07
- Typical daily move
- ±2.7%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±6.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.97%
Federal Agricultural Mortgage peers
Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| VVisa | Neutral | 0.1% below |
| MAMastercard | Neutral | 2.4% below |
| AXPAmerican Express | Accumulation | 9.3% below |
| COFCapital One Financial | Neutral | 12.1% below |
| URIUnited Rentals | Neutral | 7.5% below |
| RKTRocket Companies | Accumulation | 25.9% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock FAQ
What is Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s market cap?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s market cap is $2.21B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $203.16, with 9.32M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 11.4.
What is the Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Federal Agricultural Mortgage is $257.00, +26.5% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Federal Agricultural Mortgage is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $203.16 is 14.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $236.53. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Federal Agricultural Mortgage report earnings next?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage is expected to report on Nov 3, 2026 (22 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $5.28 per share on revenue of $121.1M. Federal Agricultural Mortgage beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.4% on average across the report.
What is Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s 52-week high and low?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage’s 52-week high is $248.29 and its 52-week low is $136.57; it closed at $203.16 on Oct 12, 2026, +25.9% over the past year.
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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