NASDAQ: MGRC

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$112.88−0.76 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

Oct 12 close

McGrath RentCorp closed at $112.88 on 12 October 2026, -0.7% on the day. The price sits between the 50-day ($114.98) and 200-day ($113.42) moving averages, inside a 52-week range of $94.99 to $125.83. The GekkoIndex reads 59.2, in the Neutral zone, up 9.7 points over five sessions. Gekko Fair Value is $181.74, so the price is 37.9% below it.

The next earnings report is due on 28 October 2026, 16 days away (after close). Over the last 8 reports the company beat the earnings estimate 4 times, with an average move of 5.1% across the report. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point averaged +4.9% over the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

2 firms rate the stock: 2 buy, 0 hold and 0 sell, with a consensus target of $145.40. A typical daily move is about 2.5%, and a typical 20-day move about 4.4%. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 items read supportive and 1 reads as a headwind (earnings risk).

A plain summary of the figures as of the Oct 12, 2026 close.

McGrath RentCorp price vs fair value

▲$181.74$112.88Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $112.88200-day averageGekko Fair Value $181.74

McGrath RentCorp quick facts

Market cap
$2.76B
P/E ratio
18.3
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$6.21
Revenue, TTM
$932.9M
Profit margin
16.4%
Dividend yield
1.74%
Beta
0.47
Volume
165,039 avg 164,892
1-year return
−2.6%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
50-day average
$114.98
200-day average
$113.42
Next earnings
Oct 28 after close
Shares outstanding
24.43M
52-week range
$94.99$125.83

McGrath RentCorp swing-trade checklist

McGrath RentCorp scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $112.88 sits between the 50-day ($114.98) and 200-day ($113.42) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    59.2, Neutral

    Reading 59.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    37.9% below

    Price is 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +4.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +4.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

McGrath RentCorp stock chart and price history

McGrath RentCorp closed at $112.88 on Oct 12, 2026, −2.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $94.99 to $125.83.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
McGrath RentCorp share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$110$120NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct112.88

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+2.2%
3 months
−2.6%
6 months
−1.3%
1 year
−2.6%
The full MGRC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MGRC in Gekko

Follow McGrath RentCorp through every session

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About McGrath RentCorp

McGrath RentCorp rents out temporary infrastructure and specialized equipment to businesses and institutions across the United States and abroad. Its offerings include modular buildings, portable storage containers, electronic test and measurement instruments, and tanks and containers for handling liquids and solids. The company is widely associated with its modular building and portable storage rentals, which serve schools, offices, construction sites, healthcare facilities and similar temporary-space needs.

The business is organized into four segments. Mobile Modular handles the rental and sale of modular structures and storage containers. TRS-RenTelco rents and sells electronic test equipment such as oscilloscopes, amplifiers and analyzers to aerospace, defense, electronics, industrial, research and semiconductor customers, along with communication test gear for manufacturers, contractors, technicians and service providers. Adler Tanks supplies steel tanks, vacuum containers, dewatering boxes and roll-off containers for liquid and solid containment work. Enviroplex builds and sells portable classrooms, mainly to public school districts and other educational organizations in California.

McGrath RentCorp was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Livermore, California. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker MGRC.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Finance
Industry
Finance/Rental/Leasing
Website
mgrc.com

McGrath RentCorp GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

McGrath RentCorp’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 59.2, in the Neutral zone, up 9.7 points over five sessions.

010059.2Neutral

Up 9.7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37−0.3%−0.7%+2.1%+3.4%
Accumulation228+0.8%+1.8%+1.8%+3.3%
Neutral (current zone)376−0.3%−0.8%−1.2%−1.6%
Distribution38−0.1%+0.1%−0.8%−8.3%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average MGRC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MGRC price, zone by zone.Track MGRC in Gekko

Is McGrath RentCorp stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

McGrath RentCorp trades 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $181.74, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what McGrath RentCorp shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$181.74

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

37.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 47.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$182$114Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MGRC in Gekko

McGrath RentCorp insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for McGrath RentCorp, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for MGRC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every MGRC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MGRC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in MGRC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for MGRC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MGRC in Gekko

Buybacks

McGrath RentCorp has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$15.54M
As a share of market cap
0.56%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold MGRC.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

McGrath RentCorp earnings: next date and track record

McGrath RentCorp reports on Oct 28, 2026, after the close (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+7.5%Oct ’24+5.5%Feb ’25+0.9%Apr ’25+8.2%Jul ’25−6.3%Oct ’25+0.4%Feb ’26−7.9%Apr ’26−4.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
McGrath Rent Corp Q2 2026 reported rental operations revenues up 6% YoY, but total revenues decreased 6% to $221M and adjusted EBITDA declined 4% to $83M due to lower equipment sales at Enviroplex and Mobile Modular. TRS RenTelco rental revenues surged 17%, driven by data centers, aerospace/defense, and semiconductors. Mobile Modular bookings rose 11% with sequential utilization improvement for the first time since 2022. Portable Storage faced headwinds from weak local commercial construction markets.
Guidance
Management expressed positive outlook for H2 2026, citing Mobile Modular geographic expansion and services initiatives as growth drivers independent of nonresidential construction recovery. Modular rental revenue guidance targets 0.5-1.5% year-over-year growth. Strong balance sheet supports dividends, M&A, and share repurchases.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$1.37
est $1.46
−6.2%$221.1M
est $236.5M
−6.5%−4.2%
Apr 29, 2026$1.10
est $1.13
−2.7%$198.5M
est $198.2M
+0.2%−7.9%
Feb 25, 2026$2.02
est $1.74
+16.1%$256.8M
est $254.3M
+1.0%+0.4%
Oct 23, 2025$1.72
est $1.83
−6.0%$256.4M
est $254.3M
+0.8%−6.3%
Jul 24, 2025$1.47
est $1.22
+20.5%$235.6M
est $276.8M
−14.9%+8.2%
Apr 24, 2025$1.15
est $0.92
+25.0%$195.4M
est $189.0M
+3.4%+0.9%
Feb 19, 2025$1.65
est $1.49
+10.7%$243.7M
est $246.9M
−1.3%+5.5%
Oct 24, 2024$1.87
est $3.83
−51.2%$266.8M
est $246.9M
+8.0%+7.5%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

McGrath RentCorp stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for McGrath RentCorp is $145.40, +28.8% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$145.40consensus 12-month target, +28.8% from the last close
Low $140High $143
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 28BarclaysBuy, maintained$140+24.0%
Jul 30BarclaysBuy, maintained$140+24.0%
Jul 30OppenheimerBuy, reiterated$143+26.7%
−1.2%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+4.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

McGrath RentCorp seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, McGrath RentCorp averaged +4.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.1%2021+15.7%2022−1.6%2023+12.4%2024−8.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+2.3%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+4.9%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.0%3 of 5

For scale, MGRC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.4%.

McGrath RentCorp market cap and key statistics

McGrath RentCorp’s market cap is $2.76B, with a P/E ratio of 18.3 and revenue of $932.9M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.76B
P/E ratio
18.3
Forward P/E
16.2
EPS, TTM
$6.21
Gekko Fair Value
$181.74

Trading

Volume
165,039
Avg volume, 20 days
164,892
52-week high
$125.83
52-week low
$94.99
Shares outstanding
24.43M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$932.9M
Profit margin
16.4%
Return on equity
12.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−6.2%

Risk and income

Beta
0.47
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±4.4%
Dividend yield
1.74%

McGrath RentCorp stock news this week

Coverage of McGrath RentCorp this week reads negative: 0 positive, 0 neutral and 3 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

McGrath RentCorp peers

McGrath RentCorp’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
VVisa+0.9%Neutral0.1% below
MAMastercard+0.4%Neutral2.4% below
AXPAmerican Express+1.1%Accumulation9.3% below
COFCapital One Financial+1.0%Neutral12.1% below
URIUnited Rentals+0.4%Neutral7.5% below
RKTRocket Companies−4.1%Accumulation25.9% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

McGrath RentCorp stock FAQ

What is McGrath RentCorp’s market cap?

McGrath RentCorp’s market cap is $2.76B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $112.88, with 24.43M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 18.3.

What is the McGrath RentCorp stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for McGrath RentCorp is $145.40, +28.8% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is McGrath RentCorp stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate McGrath RentCorp is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $112.88 is 37.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $181.74. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does McGrath RentCorp report earnings next?

McGrath RentCorp is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, after the market closes (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.89 per share on revenue of $273.2M. McGrath RentCorp beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is McGrath RentCorp’s 52-week high and low?

McGrath RentCorp’s 52-week high is $125.83 and its 52-week low is $94.99; it closed at $112.88 on Oct 12, 2026, −2.6% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $130.86 on Feb 12, 2024.

Is McGrath RentCorp stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (fair value and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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