NYSE Arca: TMP

Tompkins Financial (TMP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$96.55+0.82 (+0.9%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Tompkins Financial draws attention this week mainly from analyst action, as Argus raised its target price for the stock to $103.00 in a report dated October 7, with shares trading at $95.73 at the time. Alongside this, several Form 4 filings and a 13F-HR disclosure reporting institutional holdings valued at $1.42 billion across 727 entries were filed, reflecting routine insider and holdings reporting rather than operational news.

TMP closed at $96.55, up 0.9%, sitting below its 50-day average of $98.30 but above its 200-day average of $87.29. The stock has returned 13.4% over six months and 50.1% over the past year, though it is down 2.3% over the past month. The GekkoIndex reads 61.6, placing it in the Accumulation zone, up 3.2 over five days. Price sits 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $100.82.

Earnings are due on 23 October, 11 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding period; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.78 against an estimate of $1.53, with a 6.7% reaction, and TMP has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged 11.2% across 5 years, positive in all 5. Analyst coverage includes 1 buy and 1 hold among 2 firms, with a consensus target of $104.50 and 8.2% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Tompkins Financial price vs fair value

$100.82$96.55Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $96.55200-day averageGekko Fair Value $100.82

Tompkins Financial quick facts

Market cap
$1.39B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$12.26
Revenue, TTM
$446.6M
Profit margin
39.3%
Dividend yield
2.70%
Beta
0.74
Volume
73,444 avg 110,180
1-year return
+50.1%
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$98.30
200-day average
$87.29
Next earnings
Oct 23
Shares outstanding
14.38M
52-week range
$61.88$102.59

Tompkins Financial swing-trade checklist

Tompkins Financial scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $96.55 sits between the 50-day ($98.30) and 200-day ($87.29) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.6, Accumulation

    Reading 61.6 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 11 days

    Reports on Oct 23, 2026, 11 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +11.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.2% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Tompkins Financial stock chart and price history

Tompkins Financial closed at $96.55 on Oct 12, 2026, +50.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $61.88 to $102.59.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Tompkins Financial share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$60$70$80$90$100NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct96.55

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−2.3%
3 months
+5.8%
6 months
+13.4%
1 year
+50.1%
The full TMP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TMP in Gekko

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About Tompkins Financial

Tompkins Financial operates as a holding company that brings together everyday banking, insurance, and wealth management under one roof. On the banking side it handles checking and savings accounts, mortgages, auto and personal loans, and financing for businesses such as equipment, construction, and real estate deals. It has also built a name for combining that lending work with investment guidance, estate and trust support, and insurance coverage ranging from property and health to life and disability protection.

The business is split into three segments that each serve a different slice of customers. Everyday account holders, small business owners, corporate leaders, and wealthier clients all draw on its mix of deposit products, consumer and commercial loans, and credit facilities. Its wealth management segment takes care of portfolio oversight, tax planning, and estate matters, while the insurance segment arranges policies for individuals and companies along with employee benefit guidance. Customers reach these services through 63 branch locations, split between 43 in New York and 20 in Pennsylvania.

Dating back to 1836, the company is based in Ithaca, New York, and trades on NYSE Arca under the ticker TMP.

Listed
NYSE Arca
Sector
Finance
Industry
Regional banks
Website
tompkinsfinancial.com

Tompkins Financial GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Tompkins Financial’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.6, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.2 points over five sessions.

010061.6Accumulation

Up 3.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying15+1.6%+1.4%−0.4%−0.5%
Accumulation (current zone)196+0.6%+1.0%+3.7%+6.9%
Neutral426+0.6%+1.5%+2.3%+6.9%
Distribution41−0.8%−2.7%−2.9%−0.5%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average TMP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TMP price, zone by zone.Track TMP in Gekko

Is Tompkins Financial stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Tompkins Financial trades 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $100.82, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Tompkins Financial shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$100.82

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.2% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 4.5% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$101$96Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TMP in Gekko

Tompkins Financial insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Tompkins Financial, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for TMP in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every TMP insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TMP in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in TMP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for TMP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TMP in Gekko

Buybacks

Tompkins Financial has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$964K
As a share of market cap
0.07%

From company filings.

Tompkins Financial earnings: next date and track record

Tompkins Financial reports on Oct 23, 2026 (11 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.3%Apr ’24−0.2%Jul ’24+7.9%Oct ’24+3.0%Jan ’25−0.3%Apr ’25+8.6%Jul ’25+3.0%Oct ’25+6.7%Jan ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jan 29, 2026$1.78
est $1.53
+16.3%$194.8M
est $136.2M
+43.1%+6.7%
Oct 24, 2025$1.65
est $1.70
−2.9%$87.44M
est $86.70M
+0.9%+3.0%
Jul 25, 2025$1.50
est $1.43
+4.9%$82.64M
est $85.50M
−3.3%+8.6%
Apr 25, 2025$1.37
est $1.31
+4.6%$81.69M
est $79.99M
+2.1%−0.3%
Jan 31, 2025$1.37
est $1.16
+18.1%$76.16M
est $77.74M
−2.0%+3.0%
Oct 25, 2024$1.30
est $1.21
+7.4%$75.57M
est $75.60M
0.0%+7.9%
Jul 26, 2024$1.10
est $0.90
+22.2%$72.73M
est $71.30M
+2.0%−0.2%
Apr 26, 2024$1.18
est $1.15
+2.6%$72.81M
est $74.15M
−1.8%−2.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Tompkins Financial stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Tompkins Financial is $104.50, +8.2% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$104.50consensus 12-month target, +8.2% from the last close
Low $104High $105
Buy1
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 3Piper SandlerHold, reiterated$104+7.7%
Jul 27Piper SandlerHold, maintained$87−9.9%
Jul 27KBWBuy, reiterated$105+8.8%
+3.7%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+11.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Tompkins Financial seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Tompkins Financial averaged +11.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.6%2021+10.7%2022+5.0%2023+23.7%2024+5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.6%5 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.8%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.8%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.2%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+10.5%5 of 5

For scale, TMP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

Tompkins Financial market cap and key statistics

Tompkins Financial’s market cap is $1.39B, with a P/E ratio of 7.9 and revenue of $446.6M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.39B
P/E ratio
7.9
Forward P/E
12.9
EPS, TTM
$12.26
Gekko Fair Value
$100.82

Trading

Volume
73,444
Avg volume, 20 days
110,180
52-week high
$102.59
52-week low
$61.88
Shares outstanding
14.38M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$446.6M
Profit margin
39.3%
Return on equity
20.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+36.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.74
Typical daily move
±2.2%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
Dividend yield
2.70%

Tompkins Financial stock news this week

Coverage of Tompkins Financial this week reads neutral: 2 positive, 7 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Tompkins Financial peers

Tompkins Financial’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
CMCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce+0.4%Accumulation5.7% below
USBU.S. Bancorp+0.4%Accumulation11.0% below
NUNu−0.6%Neutral0.7% below
TFCTruist Financial+0.9%Accumulation9.6% below
FITBFifth Third Bancorp+0.1%Accumulation11.2% below
MTBM&T Bank+0.9%Accumulation9.1% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Tompkins Financial stock FAQ

What is Tompkins Financial’s market cap?

Tompkins Financial’s market cap is $1.39B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $96.55, with 14.38M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.9.

What is the Tompkins Financial stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Tompkins Financial is $104.50, +8.2% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Tompkins Financial stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Tompkins Financial is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $96.55 is 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $100.82. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Tompkins Financial report earnings next?

Tompkins Financial is expected to report on Oct 23, 2026 (11 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.95 per share on revenue of $89.65M. Tompkins Financial beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4% on average across the report.

What is Tompkins Financial’s 52-week high and low?

Tompkins Financial’s 52-week high is $102.59 and its 52-week low is $61.88; it closed at $96.55 on Oct 12, 2026, +50.1% over the past year.

Is Tompkins Financial stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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