NASDAQ: POOL

Pool (POOL) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$163.31−1.60 (−1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Pool's shares have drifted lower this week, with the stock falling toward its 52-week low near $160.38 and last trading around $163.31. The move follows a mixed second-quarter report in which adjusted EPS beat estimates but gross margin slipped 30 basis points to 29.7%, driven by higher inbound freight costs and a less favorable customer mix. Wells Fargo lowered its price target on the stock from $215.00 to $185.00 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, citing concerns about demand and margins. Separately, the company announced the appointment of Jean-Marc Germain, former CEO of Constellium SE, to its Board of Directors effective September 30.

The stock sits well below both its 50-day average of $185.33 and its 200-day average of $210.24, with the shorter average also below the longer one, reflecting a sustained downtrend; shares are down 46.5% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 70, placing Pool in the Buying zone, while the price stands 19.1% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $201.75.

Over the next 20 trading days, attention turns to the earnings report due 22 October, which falls inside that window and follows a history of beating estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, though the last reaction was a 6.3% decline. Options activity has been light, with 1 unusual signal in the past 30 days, entirely on the put side. Seasonality over five years shows an average 20-day return of -2.4% from this point, with gains in only 1 of those years. The consensus analyst target stands at $217.00.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Pool price vs fair value

$201.75$163.31Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $163.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $201.75

Pool quick facts

Market cap
$5.95B
P/E ratio
14.8
Forward P/E
26.6
EPS, TTM
$10.90
Revenue, TTM
$5.39B
Profit margin
7.4%
Dividend yield
3.03%
Beta
1.06
Volume
723,579 avg 858,663
1-year return
−46.5%
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
50-day average
$185.33
200-day average
$210.24
Next earnings
Oct 22
Shares outstanding
36.34M
52-week range
$160.38$313.75

Pool swing-trade checklist

Pool scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 4 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive0 mixed4 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $163.31 is below the 50-day ($185.33) and 200-day ($210.24) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    70, Buying

    Reading 70 is in the Buying zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    19.1% below

    Price is 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyheadwind

    Leans bearish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Oct 22, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.4% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Pool stock chart and price history

Pool closed at $163.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −46.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $160.38 to $313.75.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Pool share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$200$250$300NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep163.31

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.2%
3 months
−22.8%
6 months
−17.8%
1 year
−46.5%
The full POOL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open POOL in Gekko

Follow Pool through every session

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About Pool

Pool distributes swimming pool supplies and outdoor living products on a wholesale basis. Its offerings include maintenance items such as chemicals and general provisions, equipment for pool upkeep like filtration systems, heaters, pumps and lighting, and structural products such as fiberglass pools, spas and pre-packaged pool kits with walls, liners and coping. It also supplies irrigation and lawn care equipment, construction materials including concrete, plumbing and electrical components, decking, tile and stone, along with commercial-grade heaters, safety equipment and industrial pumps, plus outdoor living items like barbecues and outdoor kitchen components.

The company reaches customers through a network of sales centers across North America, Europe and Australia, numbering 410 as of March 2022. Its customers include pool builders and renovators, independent pool supply retailers, maintenance and repair businesses, irrigation and landscaping contractors, and institutional buyers such as hotels, schools and public recreation facilities.

Pool was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Covington, Louisiana. Its shares are listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker POOL.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
poolcorp.com

Pool GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Pool’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70, in the Buying zone, down 4.3 points over five sessions.

010070Buying

Down 4.3 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying (current zone)710.0%+0.6%+2.6%+3.2%
Accumulation279−0.3%−0.7%−1.0%−5.5%
Neutral312−0.7%−1.5%−3.7%−6.5%
Distribution9Too few readings yet
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average POOL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the POOL price, zone by zone.Track POOL in Gekko

Is Pool stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Pool trades 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $201.75, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Pool shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$201.75

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

19.1% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open POOL in Gekko

Pool insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Pool, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for POOL in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every POOL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open POOL in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in POOL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for POOL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open POOL in Gekko

Buybacks

Pool has been buying back its own shares.

Latest authorization
$600.0M, Apr 29, 2026
Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$86.43M
As a share of market cap
1.45%
Trailing four quarters
$618.4M

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 0% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 17, $283K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds POOL.

1added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Pool earnings: next date and track record

Pool reports on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.4%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+4.4%Oct ’24+0.9%Feb ’25−5.7%Apr ’25+2.5%Jul ’25−1.3%Oct ’25−13.2%Feb ’26−0.7%Apr ’26−6.3%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Pool Corporation reported a solid but mixed Q2 2026. Net sales were $1.8 billion, up 2% year-over-year with pricing contributing ~3%; building materials grew while chemicals declined due to lower pricing. Gross profit rose to $541 million but gross margin fell 30 basis points to 29.7%, driven primarily by higher inbound freight costs and an unfavorable customer mix (more sales to larger customers). Adjusted operating expense growth was contained to 1% (adjusted excludes an $8.3 million CEO transition charge). Adjusted operating income increased 1% to $276 million and adjusted net income rose 1% to $196 million; adjusted EPS (ex-transition cost) increased to $5.38. Management emphasized four strategic priorities (sales excellence, operational execution, pricing/supply chain, and opportunistic M&A), noted progress on technology (POOL360 adoption at 18%), and reiterated a cautious but constructive stance on execution and margin recovery. Horizon (commercial/residential service business) struggled; Europe delivered double-digit growth. Management signaled continued focus on expense discipline, pricing conversations to recoup freight, and selective M&A and branch optimization.
Guidance
Management updated gross margin assumptions downward reflecting a ~30 basis point impact in Q2 that is expected to persist into H2; full-year pricing expected to finish around 2% (about 3% in first half, moderated in back half); adjusted operating expense growth expected ~2-3% for the full year (adjusted, excludes CEO transition cost) with Q3 at the higher end; no material inbound freight pass-throughs are included in current guidance; July trends are in line with expectations.
Risks flagged
Persistently higher inbound freight and transportation costs; unfavorable customer mix (higher proportion of large customers) pressuring margins; softness in certain product categories (chemicals) and in Horizon commercial/residential projects; industry consolidation/roll-ups and competitive pricing dynamics in the retail channel; potential delays in recouping freight through pricing; macroeconomic and discretionary spend weakness; higher interest expense from increased debt levels.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 23, 2026$5.38
est $5.30
+1.5%$1.82B
est $1.82B
+0.3%−6.3%
Apr 23, 2026$1.43
est $1.35
+5.9%$1.14B
est $1.10B
+3.6%−0.7%
Feb 19, 2026$0.84
est $0.98
−13.9%$982.2M
est $999.3M
−1.7%−13.2%
Oct 23, 2025$3.39
est $3.38
+0.3%$1.45B
est $999.1M
+45.2%−1.3%
Jul 24, 2025$5.17
est $5.11
+1.2%$1.78B
est $1.78B
+0.3%+2.5%
Apr 24, 2025$1.32
est $1.46
−9.6%$1.07B
est $1.10B
−2.5%−5.7%
Feb 20, 2025$0.97
est $0.89
+8.5%$987.5M
est $964.0M
+2.4%+0.9%
Oct 24, 2024$3.27
est $3.14
+4.1%$1.43B
est $956.7M
+49.8%+4.4%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Pool stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Pool is $217.00, +32.9% from the last close, from 12 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$217.00consensus 12-month target, +32.9% from the last close
Low $185High $260
Buy4
Hold7
Sell1

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 12 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Goldman SachsBuy, maintained$247+51.2%
Sep 11Wells FargoHold, maintained$185+13.3%
Aug 24D.A. DavidsonHold, initiated$210+28.6%
Jul 28Stifel NicolausHold, maintained$189+15.7%
Jul 24OppenheimerBuy, maintained$227+39.0%
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−2.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Pool seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Pool averaged −2.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+11.9%2021−3.7%2022−13.1%2023−1.8%2024−5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.2%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−2.2%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−4.4%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.4%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.4%3 of 5

For scale, POOL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.5%.

Pool market cap and key statistics

Pool’s market cap is $5.95B, with a P/E ratio of 14.8 and revenue of $5.39B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$5.95B
P/E ratio
14.8
Forward P/E
26.6
EPS, TTM
$10.90
Gekko Fair Value
$201.75

Trading

Volume
723,579
Avg volume, 20 days
858,663
52-week high
$313.75
52-week low
$160.38
Shares outstanding
36.34M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$5.39B
Profit margin
7.4%
Return on equity
31.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.06
Typical daily move
±3%
Typical 20-day move
±5.5%
Dividend yield
3.03%

Pool stock news this week

Coverage of Pool this week reads neutral: 4 positive, 6 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

Pool peers

Pool’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+1.2%Accumulation17.8% above
FASTFastenal+0.6%Neutral27.8% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+2.7%Neutral2.6% below
WCCWESCO International−0.2%Neutral18.9% above
GPCGenuine Parts0.0%Accumulation4.8% above
QXOQXO0.0%Accumulation54.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Pool stock FAQ

What is Pool’s market cap?

Pool’s market cap is $5.95B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $163.31, with 36.34M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 14.8.

What is the Pool stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Pool is $217.00, +32.9% from the last close. Of the 12 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Pool stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Pool is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $163.31 is 19.1% below Gekko Fair Value of $201.75. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Pool report earnings next?

Pool is expected to report on Oct 22, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.36 per share on revenue of $1.48B. Pool beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.4% on average across the report.

What is Pool’s 52-week high and low?

Pool’s 52-week high is $313.75 and its 52-week low is $160.38; it closed at $163.31 on Sep 28, 2026, −46.5% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $582.27 on Nov 19, 2021.

Is Pool stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and fair value) and 4 as headwinds (trend, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Pool?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Pool over the last 30 days, with $0 of flagged premium in calls and $283K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 17, 2026 with $283K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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