Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FERG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FERG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FERG in Gekko
NYSE: FERG
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$214.43+0.17 (+0.1%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryFerguson Enterprises (FERG) closes at $214.43, little changed on the day, but trend readings remain a headwind, with price below both the 50-day average of $233.69 and the 200-day average of $238.62, and the stock sits near its 52-week low of $212.82. The GekkoIndex reads 70.1, placing FERG in the Buying zone. Against this, Gekko Fair Value stands at $233.98, leaving price 8.4% below that level.
Recent coverage has centered on FERG's stock touching a 52-week low near $214.51, with commentary pointing to a P/E ratio of 21.13 and a PEG ratio of 0.82 as valuation markers. Ownership activity has also drawn attention: Winton Group bought 9,200 shares valued at roughly $2.18 million, while Engineers Gate Manager LP cut its stake by 64.3% and Baird Financial Group trimmed its position by 14.6%, retaining shares valued at $27.6 million. Institutional investors overall hold 81.98% of the company.
Looking ahead, FERG's next earnings date falls on 5 November 2026, 46 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day window. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 2 buys and 0 sells. Seasonality data across 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging a 1.7% gain, with positive results in 3 of those years. Analyst coverage from 16 firms shows 11 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $287.48, implying 34.1% upside from current levels — a figure worth noting alongside the Fair Value gap already observed.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $214.43200-day averageGekko Fair Value $233.98
Key stats
- Market cap
- $41.59B
- P/E ratio
- 21.1
- Forward P/E
- 16.9
- EPS, TTM
- $10.16
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.45B
- Profit margin
- 6.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.98%
- Beta
- 1.11
- Volume
- 2.06M avg 1.38M
- 1-year return
- −4.5%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- 50-day average
- $233.69
- 200-day average
- $238.62
- Next earnings
- Nov 5
- Shares outstanding
- 193.5M
Ferguson Enterprises swing-trade checklist
Ferguson Enterprises scores 5 supportive, 0 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
5 supportive0 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $214.43 is below the 50-day ($233.69) and 200-day ($238.62) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
70.1, Buying
Reading 70.1 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
8.4% below
Price is 8.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 2 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 46 days
Next report Nov 5, 2026, 46 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.7% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.7% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ferguson Enterprises stock chart and price history
Ferguson Enterprises closed at $214.43 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.5% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $212.82 to $271.64.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −11.8%
- 3 months
- −10.0%
- 6 months
- −1.5%
- 1 year
- −4.5%
The full FERG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FERG in Gekko
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About Ferguson Enterprises
Ferguson Enterprises supplies plumbing, heating, and related industrial products across the United States and Canada. Its customers span residential, commercial, civil and infrastructure, and industrial projects, and its catalog covers core items like pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures, along with HVAC/R equipment, fire sprinkler systems, water meters, irrigation and drainage products, geosynthetics, and stormwater control materials.
For industrial buyers, the company supplies flanges, MRO products, HDPE materials, custom fabrication items, water and wastewater treatment solutions, and pipe, valve, and fitting systems. It backs these products with consultation, project management, jobsite delivery, logistics, digital estimation and design tools, metering infrastructure services, and equipment rental, and it also sells through online platforms, operating from a network of branches and distribution centers.
Ferguson Enterprises shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker FERG.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Distribution services
- Industry
- Wholesale distributors
- Website
- corporate.ferguson.com
Ferguson Enterprises GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ferguson Enterprises’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 70.1, in the Buying zone, up 4.9 points over five sessions.
70.1Buying
Up 4.9 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 34 | +1.1% | +3.9% | ||
| Accumulation | 205 | +0.7% | +3.7% | ||
| Neutral | 381 | 0.0% | −0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 39 | −1.2% | −2.2% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FERG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FERG price, zone by zone.Track FERG in Gekko
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ferguson Enterprises trades 8.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $233.98, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferguson Enterprises shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$233.98
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
8.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FERG in Gekko
Ferguson Enterprises insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferguson Enterprises, and members of Congress disclosed 2 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
2trades disclosed: 2 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Aug 10 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Jul 15 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Ferguson Enterprises has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $201.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.48%
- Trailing four quarters
- $834.1M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
4of the funds Gekko tracks hold FERG.
4added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Ferguson Enterprises earnings: next date and track record
Ferguson Enterprises reports on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 5, 2026
46 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.31
- Revenue estimate
- $8.71B
6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.5%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ferguson's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted continued market outperformance with revenue of $8.8 billion (up 4.6% YoY) driven by 3.8% organic growth and 1% acquisition growth. Gross margin remained strong at 31% (down 20 bps YoY), operating profit rose 2.9% to $932 million, and diluted EPS increased 5.3% to $3.39. Management emphasized strong performance in non-residential end markets—particularly commercial mechanical, industrial, and large capital projects—and solid HVAC outperformance. The company completed multiple acquisitions year-to-date, announced the definitive agreement to acquire FloWorks (EV ~$1.6B, ~10x EBITDA, ~$45M synergies) expected to close in Q3 and be immediately accretive, and returned $375M to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Net debt/EBITDA was 1.3x at quarter-end and is expected to rise to ~1.8x post-FloWorks, within the 1x-2x target. Management raised full-year guidance (revising revenue outlook and the midpoint of operating margin guidance) based on stronger YTD results and growing open orders/backlogs, while reiterating a disciplined capital allocation approach and continued investments in growth (HVAC counters, trainees, productivity initiatives).
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year revenue outlook and increased the midpoint of operating margin guidance. They forecast full-year operating margin in the ~9.5%–9.8% range, expect pricing (inflation) in the low-single-digit range for the year, see a stronger second half revenue cadence, and expect net debt/EBITDA to increase to ~1.8x upon closing the FloWorks acquisition (expected in Q3). FloWorks transaction details: EV ~ $1.6B, ~10x EBITDA including synergies of ~$45M; deal expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted EPS.
- Risks flagged
- Mentioned risks: ongoing economic uncertainty, commodity and input price volatility (notably PVC/commodity deflation), timing and gestation unpredictability of large capital projects, supply chain constraints, labor availability, modest tariff impacts (limited refunds for own-brand imports), and integration/leverage risk from acquisitions (net debt/EBITDA rising to ~1.8x). Also noted a small divestment in Canada that modestly offset growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $3.39 est $3.23 | $8.75B est $8.68B | −2.0% |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.28 est $2.19 | $7.47B est $7.57B | −3.3% |
| Jan 31, 2026 | $2.10 est $2.09 | $8.17B est $7.72B | +1.0% |
| Sep 16, 2025 | $3.48 est $3.01 | $8.50B est $8.40B | +4.6% |
| Jun 3, 2025 | $2.50 est $2.01 | $7.62B est $7.42B | +19.9% |
| Mar 11, 2025 | $1.52 est $1.60 | $6.87B est $6.77B | −5.9% |
| Dec 10, 2024 | $2.45 est $2.61 | $7.77B est $7.81B | −11.1% |
| Sep 17, 2024 | $2.98 est $2.86 | $7.95B est $8.01B | +4.2% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ferguson Enterprises stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferguson Enterprises is $287.48, +34.1% from the last close, from 16 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$287.48consensus 12-month target, +34.1% from the last close
Now $214.43Avg $287.48
Low $256High $325
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 16 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Wolfe Research | — | — |
| Sep 14 | Jefferies | $295 | +37.6% |
| Sep 3 | Jefferies | $295 | +37.6% |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $325 | +51.6% |
| Aug 27 | William Blair | — | — |
+3.9%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
+1.7%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ferguson Enterprises seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Ferguson Enterprises averaged +1.7% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −0.7% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.1% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.3% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +1.3% | 2 of 5 |
For scale, FERG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.7%.
Ferguson Enterprises market cap and key statistics
Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap is $41.59B, with a P/E ratio of 21.1 and revenue of $31.45B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $41.59B
- P/E ratio
- 21.1
- Forward P/E
- 16.9
- EPS, TTM
- $10.16
- Gekko Fair Value
- $233.98
Trading
- Volume
- 2.06M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.38M
- 52-week high
- $271.64
- 52-week low
- $212.82
- Shares outstanding
- 193.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.45B
- Profit margin
- 6.3%
- Return on equity
- 33.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.11
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.7%
- Dividend yield
- 1.98%
Ferguson Enterprises stock news this week
Coverage of Ferguson Enterprises this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Ferguson PLC stock hits 52-week low at 214.3 USD By Investing.comInvesting.com Australia, Sep 17
- Ferguson PLC stock hits 52-week low at 214.3 USDInvesting.com, Sep 16
- WINTON GROUP Ltd Buys Shares of 9,200 Ferguson plc $FERGMarketBeat, Sep 12
- Engineers Gate Manager LP Sells 45,733 Shares of Ferguson plc $FERGMarketBeat, Sep 12
- Baird Financial Group Inc. Trims Stock Position in Ferguson plc $FERGMarketBeat, Sep 11
Ferguson Enterprises peers
Ferguson Enterprises’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GWWW.W. Grainger | Accumulation | 18.4% above |
| FASTFastenal | Accumulation | 23.2% above |
| GPCGenuine Parts | Accumulation | 2.7% above |
| WCCWESCO International | Neutral | 14.6% above |
| AITApplied Industrial Technologies | Accumulation | 1.9% below |
| QXOQXO | Buying | 56.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ferguson Enterprises stock FAQ
What is Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap?
Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap is $41.59B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $214.43, with 193.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 21.1.
What is the Ferguson Enterprises stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferguson Enterprises is $287.48, +34.1% from the last close. Of the 16 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 11 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ferguson Enterprises is undervalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $214.43 is 8.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $233.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ferguson Enterprises report earnings next?
Ferguson Enterprises is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (46 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.31 per share on revenue of $8.71B. Ferguson Enterprises beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.5% on average across the report.
What is Ferguson Enterprises’s 52-week high and low?
Ferguson Enterprises’s 52-week high is $271.64 and its 52-week low is $212.82; it closed at $214.43 on Sep 18, 2026, −4.5% over the past year.
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 5 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money, earnings risk and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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