Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FERG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FERG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FERG in Gekko
NYSE: FERG
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$248.53+6.54 (+2.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeFerguson's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.89 per share, payable 8 January 2027 to shareholders of record as of 20 November 2026. Beyond that announcement, recent filings show two institutional holders trimming positions, though these remain background detail rather than a primary driver of the week's move.
Shares closed at $248.53, up 2.7%, sitting between the 50-day average of $225.39 and the 200-day average of $237.43. The GekkoIndex reads 41.9, placing FERG in the Distribution zone, while price stands 8.9% above the Gekko Fair Value of $228.30. One-month return stands at 11.3%, though three- and six-month returns are negative at -1.9% and -1.5%.
Ferguson reports earnings on 9 November 2026, just 4 days out and within a typical 20-day holding window; the prior quarter posted EPS of $3.39 against an estimate of $3.23, with a -2% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 5 of the last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 7.1%. Over the last 90 days, Congress recorded 3 buys and 0 sells. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 5.5% gain over 5 years, positive in 5 of those years. Analyst consensus across 17 firms shows 12 buy and 5 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $283.36.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Ferguson Enterprises price vs fair value
Close $248.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $228.30
Ferguson Enterprises quick facts
- Market cap
- $48.08B
- P/E ratio
- 23.5
- Forward P/E
- 18.6
- EPS, TTM
- $10.31
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.45B
- Profit margin
- 6.3%
- Dividend yield
- 1.78%
- Beta
- 1.11
- Volume
- 1.52M avg 1.34M
- 1-year return
- +0.4%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- 50-day average
- $225.39
- 200-day average
- $237.43
- Next earnings
- Nov 9
- Shares outstanding
- 193.5M
Ferguson Enterprises swing-trade checklist
Ferguson Enterprises scores 2 supportive, 1 mixed and 3 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive1 mixed3 headwinds
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $248.53 sits between the 50-day ($225.39) and 200-day ($237.43) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
41.9, Distribution
Reading 41.9 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.9% above
Price is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneysupportive
Leans bullish
Last 90 days: Congress 3 buys / 0 sales.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 4 days
Reports on Nov 9, 2026, 4 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+5.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.5% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Ferguson Enterprises stock chart and price history
Ferguson Enterprises closed at $248.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $212.13 to $271.64.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +11.3%
- 3 months
- −1.9%
- 6 months
- −1.5%
- 1 year
- +0.4%
The full FERG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FERG in Gekko
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About Ferguson Enterprises
Ferguson Enterprises supplies plumbing, heating, and related industrial products across the United States and Canada. Its customers span residential, commercial, civil and infrastructure, and industrial projects, and its catalog covers core items like pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures, along with HVAC/R equipment, fire sprinkler systems, water meters, irrigation and drainage products, geosynthetics, and stormwater control materials.
For industrial buyers, the company supplies flanges, MRO products, HDPE materials, custom fabrication items, water and wastewater treatment solutions, and pipe, valve, and fitting systems. It backs these products with consultation, project management, jobsite delivery, logistics, digital estimation and design tools, metering infrastructure services, and equipment rental, and it also sells through online platforms, operating from a network of branches and distribution centers.
Ferguson Enterprises shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker FERG.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Distribution services
- Industry
- Wholesale distributors
- Website
- corporate.ferguson.com
Ferguson Enterprises GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Ferguson Enterprises’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 41.9, in the Distribution zone, down 10.2 points over five sessions.
41.9Distribution
Down 10.2 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 35 | +1.2% | +4.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 225 | +0.7% | +3.2% | ||
| Neutral | 395 | +0.1% | −0.5% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 39 | −1.2% | −2.2% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FERG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FERG price, zone by zone.Track FERG in Gekko
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Ferguson Enterprises trades 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $228.30, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Ferguson Enterprises shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$228.30
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
8.9% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 16.9% below the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FERG in Gekko
Ferguson Enterprises insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Ferguson Enterprises, and members of Congress disclosed 3 purchases and 0 sales, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
3trades disclosed: 3 purchases and 0 sales.
| Member | Amount | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 25 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Oct 9 traded Sep 4 |
| Ro Khanna House, CA, purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 | Sep 7 traded Aug 10 |
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Buybacks
Ferguson Enterprises has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $201.1M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.42%
- Trailing four quarters
- $834.1M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Sep 30
2of the funds Gekko tracks hold FERG.
2added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Ferguson Enterprises earnings: next date and track record
Ferguson Enterprises reports on Nov 9, 2026 (4 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 9, 2026
4 days away
- EPS estimate
- $3.31
- Revenue estimate
- $8.74B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±7.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Aug 10, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Ferguson's Q2 2026 earnings call highlighted continued market outperformance with revenue of $8.8 billion (up 4.6% YoY) driven by 3.8% organic growth and 1% acquisition growth. Gross margin remained strong at 31% (down 20 bps YoY), operating profit rose 2.9% to $932 million, and diluted EPS increased 5.3% to $3.39. Management emphasized strong performance in non-residential end markets—particularly commercial mechanical, industrial, and large capital projects—and solid HVAC outperformance. The company completed multiple acquisitions year-to-date, announced the definitive agreement to acquire FloWorks (EV ~$1.6B, ~10x EBITDA, ~$45M synergies) expected to close in Q3 and be immediately accretive, and returned $375M to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Net debt/EBITDA was 1.3x at quarter-end and is expected to rise to ~1.8x post-FloWorks, within the 1x-2x target. Management raised full-year guidance (revising revenue outlook and the midpoint of operating margin guidance) based on stronger YTD results and growing open orders/backlogs, while reiterating a disciplined capital allocation approach and continued investments in growth (HVAC counters, trainees, productivity initiatives).
- Guidance
- Management raised full-year revenue outlook and increased the midpoint of operating margin guidance. They forecast full-year operating margin in the ~9.5%–9.8% range, expect pricing (inflation) in the low-single-digit range for the year, see a stronger second half revenue cadence, and expect net debt/EBITDA to increase to ~1.8x upon closing the FloWorks acquisition (expected in Q3). FloWorks transaction details: EV ~ $1.6B, ~10x EBITDA including synergies of ~$45M; deal expected to be immediately accretive to adjusted EPS.
- Risks flagged
- Mentioned risks: ongoing economic uncertainty, commodity and input price volatility (notably PVC/commodity deflation), timing and gestation unpredictability of large capital projects, supply chain constraints, labor availability, modest tariff impacts (limited refunds for own-brand imports), and integration/leverage risk from acquisitions (net debt/EBITDA rising to ~1.8x). Also noted a small divestment in Canada that modestly offset growth.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | $3.39 est $3.23 | $8.75B est $8.68B | −2.0% |
| May 5, 2026 | $2.28 est $2.19 | $7.47B est $7.57B | −3.3% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $3.48 est $3.48 | $8.50B est $8.50B | +3.7% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $2.84 est $2.77 | $8.17B est $7.72B | −5.9% |
| Sep 16, 2025 | $3.48 est $3.01 | $8.50B est $8.40B | +4.6% |
| Jun 3, 2025 | $2.50 est $2.01 | $7.62B est $7.42B | +19.9% |
| Mar 11, 2025 | $1.52 est $1.60 | $6.87B est $6.77B | −5.9% |
| Dec 10, 2024 | $2.45 est $2.61 | $7.77B est $7.81B | −11.1% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Ferguson Enterprises stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Ferguson Enterprises is $283.36, +14.0% from the last close, from 17 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$283.36consensus 12-month target, +14.0% from the last close
Now $248.53Avg $283.36
Low $252High $325
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 17 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | Citi | $288 | +15.9% |
| Oct 20 | Robert W. Baird | $288 | +15.9% |
| Oct 19 | Bernstein | $325 | +30.8% |
| Oct 7 | RBC Capital | $286 | +15.1% |
| Oct 6 | Melius Research | $252 | +1.4% |
−2.2%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+5.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Ferguson Enterprises seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Ferguson Enterprises averaged +5.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +4.5% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +3.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +4.8% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +5.5% | 5 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.5% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, FERG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.8%.
Ferguson Enterprises market cap and key statistics
Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap is $48.08B, with a P/E ratio of 23.5 and revenue of $31.45B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $48.08B
- P/E ratio
- 23.5
- Forward P/E
- 18.6
- EPS, TTM
- $10.31
- Gekko Fair Value
- $228.30
Trading
- Volume
- 1.52M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.34M
- 52-week high
- $271.64
- 52-week low
- $212.13
- Shares outstanding
- 193.5M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $31.45B
- Profit margin
- 6.3%
- Return on equity
- 33.4%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6.9%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 1.11
- Typical daily move
- ±2.6%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±5.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.78%
Ferguson Enterprises stock news this week
3 headlines about Ferguson Enterprises from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.
- Ferguson Declares DividendBusiness Wire, Nov 4
- Aware Super Pty Ltd as trustee of Aware Super Sells 18,829 Shares of Ferguson plc $FERGMarketBeat, Nov 4
- Ferguson plc $FERG Stock Sold by VIRGINIA RETIREMENT SYSTEMS ET AlMarketBeat, Nov 1
Ferguson Enterprises peers
Ferguson Enterprises’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GWWW.W. Grainger | Distribution | 37.9% above |
| FASTFastenal | Neutral | 27.1% above |
| GPCGenuine Parts | Neutral | 0.5% above |
| WCCWESCO International | Accumulation | 1.8% above |
| QXOQXO | Neutral | 47.8% below |
| AITApplied Industrial Technologies | Accumulation | 7.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Ferguson Enterprises stock FAQ
What is Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap?
Ferguson Enterprises’s market cap is $48.08B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $248.53, with 193.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 23.5.
What is the Ferguson Enterprises stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Ferguson Enterprises is $283.36, +14.0% from the last close. Of the 17 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 12 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Ferguson Enterprises is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $248.53 is 8.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $228.30. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Ferguson Enterprises report earnings next?
Ferguson Enterprises is expected to report on Nov 9, 2026 (4 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $3.31 per share on revenue of $8.74B. Ferguson Enterprises beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 7.1% on average across the report.
What is Ferguson Enterprises’s 52-week high and low?
Ferguson Enterprises’s 52-week high is $271.64 and its 52-week low is $212.13; it closed at $248.53 on Nov 4, 2026, +0.4% over the past year.
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 3 as headwinds (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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