NYSE: GPC

Genuine Parts (GPC) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$128.13−1.48 (−1.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Genuine Parts stock moves this week around its planned separation of the automotive and industrial businesses in the first quarter of 2027, with leadership teams already named: Court Carruthers as CEO-elect of GPC and Will Stengel as Chairman and CEO of Motion. Alongside the breakup news, analysts have weighed in, with one firm issuing a "Moderate Buy" recommendation and a $147.86 price target, while another piece points to NAPA self-help opportunities and a broad industrial recovery in the Motion business supporting a Buy rating. Commentary has also raised the question of whether GPC is undervalued, citing a discounted cash flow model suggesting intrinsic value above the current share price.

The stock closes at $128.13, down 1.1%, sitting between its 50-day average of $131.53 and 200-day average of $120.04, with a six-month return of 22% but a one-month decline of 6.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 62.7, placing it in the Accumulation zone, though the reading has slipped 5.6 points over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $122.23, putting the current price 4.8% above that level.

Earnings are scheduled for 20 October, 21 days out, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window and following a Q2 report of $2.15 adjusted EPS against a $2.08 estimate. Options activity shows one unusual signal in the last 30 days with $538,150 in call premium and no put premium. Seasonality over 5 years shows a -2.6% average return across the next 20 trading days, with gains in 2 of those years.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Genuine Parts price vs fair value

$128.13$122.23Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $128.13200-day averageGekko Fair Value $122.23

Genuine Parts quick facts

Market cap
$17.66B
P/E ratio
518.4
Forward P/E
15.4
EPS, TTM
$0.25
Revenue, TTM
$25.07B
Profit margin
0.1%
Dividend yield
3.24%
Beta
0.66
Volume
741,380 avg 969,458
1-year return
−6.0%
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$131.53
200-day average
$120.04
Next earnings
Oct 20 before open
Shares outstanding
137.9M
52-week range
$90.78$151.57

Genuine Parts swing-trade checklist

Genuine Parts scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $128.13 sits between the 50-day ($131.53) and 200-day ($120.04) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.7, Accumulation

    Reading 62.7 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.8% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.8% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 21 days

    Reports on Oct 20, 2026, 21 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −2.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −2.6% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Genuine Parts stock chart and price history

Genuine Parts closed at $128.13 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $90.78 to $151.57.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Genuine Parts share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep128.13

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.3%
3 months
+9.3%
6 months
+22.0%
1 year
−6.0%
The full GPC chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GPC in Gekko

Follow Genuine Parts through every session

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About Genuine Parts

Genuine Parts distributes replacement parts and related supplies to businesses and individuals across the automotive and industrial worlds. It sources and moves components for a wide range of vehicles, from cars, trucks and buses to motorcycles, farm and recreational vehicles, marine equipment and heavy machinery, along with accessories and supplies, making it a familiar name to repair shops and everyday drivers alike.

The company runs through two main groups. The Automotive Parts Group sells to repair shops, service stations, fleet operators, dealerships, leasing companies, large retailers, farms and industrial customers, among others. The Industrial Parts Group handles bearings, power transmission products, automation and robotics equipment, hydraulic and pneumatic parts, safety supplies and material handling gear, serving manufacturers and maintenance operations in industries ranging from food and beverage to mining, oil and gas, pharmaceuticals, transportation and government. It also offers services such as gearbox and pump repair, hose and gasket assembly, and electrical panel work.

Genuine Parts operates in numerous countries, including the United States, Canada, several European nations, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Indonesia and Singapore. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker GPC.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
genpt.com

Genuine Parts GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Genuine Parts’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.7, in the Accumulation zone, down 5.6 points over five sessions.

010062.7Accumulation

Down 5.6 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying46+2.1%+2.5%+4.6%+3.5%
Accumulation (current zone)214+0.2%+0.2%+1.3%+2.0%
Neutral385−0.3%−0.1%−0.8%−1.6%
Distribution26+0.4%−3.4%−3.8%−4.7%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average GPC share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GPC price, zone by zone.Track GPC in Gekko

Is Genuine Parts stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Genuine Parts trades 4.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $122.23, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Genuine Parts shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$122.23

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

4.8% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GPC in Gekko

Genuine Parts insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Genuine Parts, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GPC in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GPC insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPC in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GPC were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GPC, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GPC in Gekko

Buybacks

Genuine Parts has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$12.95M
As a share of market cap
0.07%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 100% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 12, $538K in unusual premium.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds GPC.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Every signal with its contract, strike and premium, and which funds are on each side.Unlock in Gekko

Genuine Parts earnings: next date and track record

Genuine Parts reports on Oct 20, 2026, before the open (21 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.9%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−18.8%Oct ’24−2.3%Feb ’25+3.9%Apr ’25+8.7%Jul ’25+0.8%Oct ’25−17.8%Feb ’26−0.8%Apr ’26−1.7%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 21, 2026 AI summary

What they said
GPC reported Q2 2026 total sales of $6.5 billion, up ~6% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS grew to $2.15 from $2.10. Industrial segment sales reached $2.4 billion, up 7% with EBITDA of $316 million (+10%), representing 13.1% of sales. Adjusted gross margin expanded 20 basis points. Growth was seen across 11 of 14 tracked industrial end markets, with strong MRO and project-based demand.
Guidance
GPC remains on track for separation of automotive and industrial businesses in Q1 2027. Management expressed optimism about industrial market conditions, citing six consecutive PMI readings above 50 and strong execution despite Middle East developments and persistent inflation.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 21, 2026$2.15
est $2.08
+3.4%$6.54B
est $6.43B
+1.7%−1.7%
Apr 21, 2026$1.37
est $1.58
−13.3%$6.26B
est $6.16B
+1.6%−0.8%
Feb 17, 2026$1.55
est $1.81
−14.4%$6.00B
est $6.06B
−1.0%−17.8%
Oct 21, 2025$1.98
est $2.02
−2.0%$6.26B
est $6.06B
+3.3%+0.8%
Jul 22, 2025$1.83
est $1.89
−3.2%$6.16B
est $6.12B
+0.8%+8.7%
Apr 22, 2025$1.75
est $1.68
+4.2%$5.87B
est $5.83B
+0.6%+3.9%
Feb 18, 2025$1.61
est $1.55
+3.6%$5.77B
est $5.71B
+1.0%−2.3%
Oct 22, 2024$1.88
est $2.42
−22.3%$5.97B
est $5.94B
+0.5%−18.8%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Genuine Parts stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Genuine Parts is $140.38, +9.6% from the last close, from 7 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$140.38consensus 12-month target, +9.6% from the last close
Low $122High $170
Buy4
Hold3
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 7 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Goldman SachsHold, maintained$135+5.4%
Sep 10D.A. DavidsonBuy, reiterated$170+32.7%
Aug 3D.A. DavidsonHold, maintained$170+32.7%
Jul 24Argus ResearchBuy, maintained——
Jul 22Raymond JamesBuy, reiterated$165+28.8%
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−2.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Genuine Parts seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Genuine Parts averaged −2.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.7%2021+16.9%2022−12.0%2023−15.3%2024−5.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days0.0%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days−2.6%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+0.1%2 of 5

For scale, GPC’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Genuine Parts market cap and key statistics

Genuine Parts’s market cap is $17.66B, with a P/E ratio of 518.4 and revenue of $25.07B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$17.66B
P/E ratio
518.4
Forward P/E
15.4
EPS, TTM
$0.25
Gekko Fair Value
$122.23

Trading

Volume
741,380
Avg volume, 20 days
969,458
52-week high
$151.57
52-week low
$90.78
Shares outstanding
137.9M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$25.07B
Profit margin
0.1%
Return on equity
0.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−9.8%

Risk and income

Beta
0.66
Typical daily move
±2.4%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
3.24%

Genuine Parts stock news this week

Coverage of Genuine Parts this week reads positive: 6 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Genuine Parts peers

Genuine Parts’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+1.2%Accumulation17.8% above
FASTFastenal+0.6%Neutral27.8% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+2.7%Neutral2.6% below
WCCWESCO International−0.2%Neutral18.9% above
QXOQXO0.0%Accumulation54.3% below
AITApplied Industrial Technologies+1.6%Neutral4.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Genuine Parts stock FAQ

What is Genuine Parts’s market cap?

Genuine Parts’s market cap is $17.66B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $128.13, with 137.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 518.4.

What is the Genuine Parts stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Genuine Parts is $140.38, +9.6% from the last close. Of the 7 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Genuine Parts stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Genuine Parts is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $128.13 is 4.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $122.23. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Genuine Parts report earnings next?

Genuine Parts is expected to report on Oct 20, 2026, before the market opens (21 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.04 per share on revenue of $6.49B. Genuine Parts beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.9% on average across the report.

What is Genuine Parts’s 52-week high and low?

Genuine Parts’s 52-week high is $151.57 and its 52-week low is $90.78; it closed at $128.13 on Sep 28, 2026, −6.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $187.73 on Dec 2, 2022.

Is Genuine Parts stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and smart money), 2 as mixed (trend and fair value) and 2 as headwinds (earnings risk and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in Genuine Parts?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in Genuine Parts over the last 30 days, with $538K of flagged premium in calls and $0 in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 12, 2026 with $538K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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