NYSE: UVV

Universal (UVV) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$41.91−0.09 (−0.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Universal's week centers on quarterly results and analyst commentary. The company reported Q1 FY2027 results showing a decline in consolidated revenue and operating income, with the tobacco segment down 13% on oversupply and delayed customer purchases, while the Ad Ingredients segment also posted a revenue decline and operating loss. Separately, Argus raised its target price for UVV to $38.00, even as the stock traded near $42.00. Universal also announced it will report third quarter 2026 results after market close on 22 October 2026, and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.83 payable 2 November, representing a $3.32 annualized dividend and a 7.8% yield. The CEO surrendered 6,469 shares on 1 October at $41.68 to cover tax withholding on vested RSUs.

The stock closed at $41.91, down 0.2% on the day and down 7.2% over one month, 16.9% over three months, and 21.8% over the past year. It trades below both its 50-day average of $45.08 and 200-day average of $51.30, with the 50-day below the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 67.5, placing UVV in the Accumulation zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions. The price sits 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.91.

Earnings are scheduled for 4 November, 22 days out, falling inside a typical 20-day holding window; the prior quarter saw a $0.18 loss versus a $0.25 estimate and a 3.1% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over five years shows a 7.9% average 20-day return from this point, with gains in 5 of those years.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Universal price vs fair value

$60.91$41.91Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $41.91200-day averageGekko Fair Value $60.91

Universal quick facts

Market cap
$1.04B
P/E ratio
56.8
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$0.76
Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
0.7%
Dividend yield
7.68%
Beta
0.57
Volume
374,218 avg 364,369
1-year return
−21.8%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
50-day average
$45.08
200-day average
$51.30
Next earnings
Nov 4 before open
Shares outstanding
24.90M
52-week range
$41.10$59.38

Universal swing-trade checklist

Universal scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $41.91 is below the 50-day ($45.08) and 200-day ($51.30) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    67.5, Accumulation

    Reading 67.5 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    31.2% below

    Price is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.9% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.9% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Universal stock chart and price history

Universal closed at $41.91 on Oct 12, 2026, −21.8% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $41.10 to $59.38.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Universal share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$45$50$55NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct41.91

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−7.2%
3 months
−16.9%
6 months
−21.5%
1 year
−21.8%
The full UVV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UVV in Gekko

Follow Universal through every session

Put UVV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

Track UVV in GekkoFree for 7 days. No credit card required.

About Universal

Universal supplies leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients to manufacturers around the world, and it is most widely recognized for its role sourcing and processing tobacco leaf used in cigarettes, cigars and other smoking products. It handles flue-cured, burley and oriental tobaccos as well as dark air-cured varieties, and it also serves makers of electronic nicotine delivery products through specialized testing work.

The business runs through two divisions, Tobacco Operations and Ingredients Operations. On the tobacco side, Universal covers the full chain from buying and financing leaf through processing, packing, storage and shipping, and it adds services such as blending, custom cutting, chemical and physical testing, reconstituted leaf production, and inventory management timed to customer needs. Its ingredients business turns vegetables, fruit and botanicals into extracts and flavorings sold into human and pet food markets, and the company also recycles waste left over from tobacco processing.

Universal traces back to 1886 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UVV.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
universalcorp.com

Universal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Universal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 67.5, in the Accumulation zone, down 3.1 points over five sessions.

010067.5Accumulation

Down 3.1 points over five sessions, from the Buying zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying64+0.4%+1.1%+0.6%+5.1%
Accumulation (current zone)247+0.2%+0.2%+0.8%+1.0%
Neutral351−0.3%−0.8%−1.6%−2.4%
Distribution19−4.0%−4.3%−5.1%−8.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average UVV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UVV price, zone by zone.Track UVV in Gekko

Is Universal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Universal trades 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.91, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Universal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$60.91

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

31.2% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 28.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$61$42Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UVV in Gekko

Universal insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Universal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UVV in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UVV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UVV in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UVV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UVV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UVV in Gekko

Buybacks

Universal has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$2.75M
As a share of market cap
0.26%

From company filings.

Universal earnings: next date and track record

Universal reports on Nov 4, 2026, before the open (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 1 of its last 4 reports.

1 of 4reports beat the EPS estimate
±6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.2%Jan ’25+4.8%Apr ’25+10.2%May ’25−4.3%Aug ’25+6.8%Nov ’25−10.7%Feb ’26−6.1%May ’26−3.1%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.18
est $0.25
−172.0%$523.8M
est $587.0M
−10.8%−3.1%
May 28, 2026−$0.46
est $1.08
−142.6%$715.2M
est $728.2M
−1.8%−6.1%
Feb 9, 2026$1.32
est $1.92
−31.2%$861.3M
est $927.2M
−7.1%−10.7%
Nov 5, 2025$1.36
est $1.34
+1.5%$754.2M
est $704.3M
+7.1%+6.8%
Aug 6, 2025$0.34—$593.8M
est $704.3M
−15.7%−4.3%
May 29, 2025$0.80—$702.3M—+10.2%
Apr 21, 2025$1.45—$937.2M—+4.8%
Jan 17, 2025$1.04—$710.8M—+2.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Universal stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Universal is $67.00, +59.9% from the last close.

$67.00consensus 12-month target, +59.9% from the last close
+0.8%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+7.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Universal seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Universal averaged +7.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+1.0%2021+22.9%2022+10.6%2023+1.2%2024+1.1%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.8%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+0.3%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.9%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+9.7%4 of 5

For scale, UVV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.

Universal market cap and key statistics

Universal’s market cap is $1.04B, with a P/E ratio of 56.8 and revenue of $2.85B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.04B
P/E ratio
56.8
Forward P/E
12
EPS, TTM
$0.76
Gekko Fair Value
$60.91

Trading

Volume
374,218
Avg volume, 20 days
364,369
52-week high
$59.38
52-week low
$41.10
Shares outstanding
24.90M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.85B
Profit margin
0.7%
Return on equity
2.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−44.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.57
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±3.9%
Dividend yield
7.68%

Universal peers

Universal’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+0.9%Neutral22.6% above
FASTFastenal+1.0%Neutral29.5% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+0.8%Accumulation4.7% below
GPCGenuine Parts+2.2%Neutral7.1% above
WCCWESCO International−1.4%Neutral16.9% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies−0.2%Neutral2.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Universal stock FAQ

What is Universal’s market cap?

Universal’s market cap is $1.04B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $41.91, with 24.90M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 56.8.

What is the Universal stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Universal is $67.00, +59.9% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Universal stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Universal is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $41.91 is 31.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $60.91. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Universal report earnings next?

Universal is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, before the market opens (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $630.1M. Universal beat the earnings estimate in 1 of its last 4 reports, moving 6% on average across the report.

What is Universal’s 52-week high and low?

Universal’s 52-week high is $59.38 and its 52-week low is $41.10; it closed at $41.91 on Oct 12, 2026, −21.8% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $67.80 on Jan 2, 2024.

Is Universal stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

See Universal the way Gekko members do

Every GekkoIndex reading, insider trade, options bet and Congress disclosure plotted on the chart, plus the 5,800-name screener and trade planning tools.

Join 1,408 other traders using Gekko

Start Your FREE 7 Day Trial → Every feature unlocked. No credit card required.