NYSE: GWW

W.W. Grainger (GWW) Stock Analysis & Forecast

W.W. Grainger, Inc. Distribution services sector, wholesale distributors industry. Market cap $59.80B.

$1,266.61+4.00 (+0.3%)

Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.

Gekko Brief

AI summary

W.W. Grainger closes at $1266.61, up 0.3%, sitting between its 50-day average of $1324.72 and its 200-day average of $1192.67. The GekkoIndex reads 66, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while the price stands 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1069.59. Longer-term returns show a 26.9% gain over one year and 21.4% over six months, though the stock is down 3.1% over one month and 7.2% over three months.

This week's news centers on quarterly performance and analyst positioning. Grainger stock traded strongly in mid-September, nearing the upper end of its recent range after a 10.3% year-on-year revenue increase to $5.02 billion in the second quarter of 2026, a figure that exceeded analysts' expectations and pointed to continued demand for maintenance, repair, and operating supplies. A separate session saw a 0.6% slip to $1,269.53, attributed to valuation discussions and a broader cooling across US equities. Wolfe Research maintained its Hold rating on the stock during the same period.

Over the next 20 trading days, the next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 45 days out, which places the report outside a typical holding window of that length. Seasonally, this point in the calendar has produced an average 20-day return of 3.3% over five years, with gains in three of those years. Analyst consensus across 14 firms shows 3 buy, 9 hold and 2 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $1332.57. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective 90-day and 30-day windows.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.

Price vs fair value

Close $1,266.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,069.59

Key stats

Market cap
$59.80B
P/E ratio
32.2
Forward P/E
24.5
EPS, TTM
$39.26
Revenue, TTM
$18.85B
Profit margin
9.9%
Dividend yield
0.74%
Beta
1.03
Volume
354,184 avg 230,931
1-year return
+26.9%
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
50-day average
$1,324.72
200-day average
$1,192.67
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
47.10M
52-week range
$906.52$1,419.91

W.W. Grainger swing-trade checklist

W.W. Grainger scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $1266.61 sits between the 50-day ($1324.72) and 200-day ($1192.67) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66, Accumulation

    Reading 66 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    18.4% above

    Price is 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 45 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 45 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.3% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

W.W. Grainger stock chart and price history

W.W. Grainger closed at $1,266.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +26.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $906.52 to $1,419.91.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−3.1%
3 months
−7.2%
6 months
+21.4%
1 year
+26.9%
The full GWW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GWW in Gekko

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About W.W. Grainger

W.W. Grainger distributes maintenance, repair, and operating supplies to organizations rather than individual consumers. Its catalog spans safety gear, material handling and storage equipment, plumbing and pump parts, cleaning and facility products, and metalworking and hand tools. Alongside these physical goods, the company provides inventory management help and technical support, and it has built a reputation around supplying this broad range of everyday operational products.

The business runs through two main segments, High-Touch Solutions N.A. and Endless Assortment, and it reaches customers in the United States, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Buyers include private companies, large corporations, government agencies, and other institutions, and Grainger reaches them both through direct sales and service teams and through online and e-commerce channels.

The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker GWW.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
grainger.com

W.W. Grainger GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

W.W. Grainger’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66, in the Accumulation zone, up 2.8 points over five sessions.

010066Accumulation

Up 2.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 18, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+1.3%+3.0%+4.0%+0.1%
Accumulation (current zone)183+0.2%+0.4%+1.1%+5.2%
Neutral388+0.4%+0.6%+0.8%+2.5%
Distribution59+0.2%+0.6%+3.6%+4.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average GWW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GWW price, zone by zone.Track GWW in Gekko

Is W.W. Grainger stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

W.W. Grainger trades 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,069.59, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what W.W. Grainger shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$1,069.59

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026

18.4% Overvalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GWW in Gekko

W.W. Grainger insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for W.W. Grainger, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for GWW in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every GWW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GWW in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GWW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GWW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GWW in Gekko

Buybacks

W.W. Grainger has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$249.0M
As a share of market cap
0.42%
Trailing four quarters
$1.02B

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GWW.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

W.W. Grainger earnings: next date and track record

W.W. Grainger reports on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−3.0%Apr ’24−2.5%Aug ’24+0.5%Oct ’24−7.0%Jan ’25+4.3%May ’25−9.7%Aug ’25+1.1%Oct ’25+9.0%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Comprehensive review of Grainger's Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 earnings call. The company emphasizes solid top-line performance in challenging macro conditions, with Q4 results aligning with expectations and full-year progress toward its five growth engines (merchandising, private label expansion, data/tech investments, channel optimization, and on-site services). Management highlights strategic exits (UK Cromwell), continued investment in technology and supply chain, and a focus on High Touch Solutions (HTS) as a core growth engine. The discussion covers gross margin dynamics, including LIFO headwinds, supplier price pass-through, and timing of Grainger sales meeting-related rebates, with some pressure on SG&A due to healthcare costs and on a few segments. The company maintains a conservative but positive outlook for 2026, with a target of mid-single-digit organic growth, modest gross margin pressure, and a 20-30 bp tailwind from the UK exit and LIFO effects. The Q&A explores margin trajectory, price realization, tariff pass-through, digital channel composition, and the resilience of HTS against macro headwinds. Overall sentiment is cautiously positive, acknowledging near-term headwinds but underscored by solid execution and strategic leverage of data/tech to gain share and improve service quality.
Guidance
Management maintains a 2026 outlook of mid-single-digit organic growth with modest gross margin pressure offset by tailwinds from UK exit and LIFO dynamics; price increases north of 3% for 2026, with 2.5-3% of that embedded in wrap/price from prior years. Forecasts include some cost discipline and OpEx leverage, with higher marketing/merchandising investment to support growth. No explicit full-year earnings guidance provided beyond implied expectations from the discussion and slide references; ongoing consideration of macro uncertainties.
Risks flagged
Macro uncertainty and mixed industry conditions; government shutdown and hurricane-related effects in Q4; LIFO-related gross margin headwinds; tariff/pass-through dynamics; currency effects; higher healthcare costs; competition and market-mix shifts; Cromwell UK exit as both a tailwind and a one-off adjustment; potential customer price sensitivity and macro demand variability.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 3, 2026$9.44
est $9.46
−0.2%$4.43B
est $4.40B
+0.6%+9.0%
Oct 31, 2025$10.21
est $9.98
+2.3%$4.66B
est $4.64B
+0.3%+1.1%
Aug 1, 2025$9.97
est $10.07
−1.0%$4.55B
est $4.53B
+0.6%−9.7%
May 1, 2025$9.86
est $9.48
+4.0%$4.31B
est $4.32B
−0.3%+4.3%
Jan 31, 2025$9.71
est $9.74
−0.3%$4.23B
est $4.24B
−0.2%−7.0%
Oct 31, 2024$9.87
est $9.98
−1.1%$4.39B
est $4.40B
−0.3%+0.5%
Aug 1, 2024$9.76
est $9.59
+1.8%$4.31B
est $4.35B
−0.9%−2.5%
Apr 25, 2024$9.62
est $9.63
−0.1%$4.24B
est $4.26B
−0.6%−3.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

W.W. Grainger stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for W.W. Grainger is $1,332.57, +5.2% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$1,332.57consensus 12-month target, +5.2% from the last close
Low $1,185High $1,428
Buy3
Hold9
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 15Wolfe ResearchHold, maintained
Sep 11William BlairBuy, maintained
Sep 3BernsteinHold, maintained$1,250−1.3%
Aug 24Morgan StanleyHold, reiterated$1,400+10.5%
Aug 20BernsteinHold, reiterated$1,250−1.3%
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+3.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

W.W. Grainger seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, W.W. Grainger averaged +3.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+6.6%2021−3.3%2022+6.8%2023+8.7%2024−3.3%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.9%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.6%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.6%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.3%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.6%4 of 5

For scale, GWW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5%.

W.W. Grainger market cap and key statistics

W.W. Grainger’s market cap is $59.80B, with a P/E ratio of 32.2 and revenue of $18.85B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$59.80B
P/E ratio
32.2
Forward P/E
24.5
EPS, TTM
$39.26
Gekko Fair Value
$1,069.59

Trading

Volume
354,184
Avg volume, 20 days
230,931
52-week high
$1,419.91
52-week low
$906.52
Shares outstanding
47.10M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$18.85B
Profit margin
9.9%
Return on equity
46.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+20.5%

Risk and income

Beta
1.03
Typical daily move
±1.9%
Typical 20-day move
±5%
Dividend yield
0.74%

W.W. Grainger stock news this week

Coverage of W.W. Grainger this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 2 neutral and 1 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

W.W. Grainger peers

W.W. Grainger’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
FASTFastenal−0.1%Accumulation23.2% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+0.6%Buying8.4% below
GPCGenuine Parts−1.6%Accumulation2.7% above
WCCWESCO International+1.1%Neutral14.6% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies+0.5%Accumulation1.9% below
QXOQXO−1.6%Buying56.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

W.W. Grainger stock FAQ

What is W.W. Grainger’s market cap?

W.W. Grainger’s market cap is $59.80B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,266.61, with 47.10M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 32.2.

What is the W.W. Grainger stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for W.W. Grainger is $1,332.57, +5.2% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is W.W. Grainger stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate W.W. Grainger is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $1,266.61 is 18.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,069.59. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does W.W. Grainger report earnings next?

W.W. Grainger is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (45 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $11.68 per share on revenue of $5.07B. W.W. Grainger beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.

What is W.W. Grainger’s 52-week high and low?

W.W. Grainger’s 52-week high is $1,419.91 and its 52-week low is $906.52; it closed at $1,266.61 on Sep 18, 2026, +26.9% over the past year.

Is W.W. Grainger stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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