Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for GWW in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every GWW insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GWW in Gekko
NYSE: GWW
W.W. Grainger (GWW) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$1,489.39+91.41 (+6.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeGrainger's third-quarter 2026 results dominate the week's coverage. The company reported sales up 11.3% to $5.2 billion, with adjusted diluted EPS rising 22.8% to $12.54, driven by data-center and power generation demand. Operating margin expanded to 16.1%, and management raised full-year 2026 guidance, now projecting net sales of $19.8-$20.0 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $47.00-$48.00. A Form 8-K was also filed on 4 November alongside the results.
GWW closed at $1489.39, up 6.5%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $1307.42 and 200-day average of $1242.03, with the shorter average above the longer one, reflecting a supportive trend. The GekkoIndex reads 36.5, placing the stock in the Distribution zone, down 15.8 over five days. Price sits 37.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1080.09, a gap the checklist flags as a headwind despite the trend strength. The stock trades near its 52-week high of $1521.41, well above its 52-week low of $906.52.
No confirmed earnings date appears on the calendar for the next report, and no insider, Congress, or unusual options activity shows in their respective windows. Seasonality has historically been supportive from this point, with the next 20 trading days averaging +3.2% over five years, rising in 4 of those years. Analyst views are split, with 8 firms covering the stock across buy, hold, and sell ratings, and a consensus target of $1331.57, implying a consensus downside of -10.6% from current levels. The gap to Gekko Fair Value bears watching given the scale of the recent move.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
W.W. Grainger price vs fair value
Close $1,489.39200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,080.09
W.W. Grainger quick facts
- Market cap
- $70.15B
- P/E ratio
- 35.1
- Forward P/E
- 26.5
- EPS, TTM
- $39.21
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.85B
- Profit margin
- 9.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.68%
- Beta
- 0.96
- Volume
- 570,182 avg 253,248
- 1-year return
- +54.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- 50-day average
- $1,307.42
- 200-day average
- $1,242.03
- Next earnings
- —
- Shares outstanding
- 47.21M
W.W. Grainger swing-trade checklist
W.W. Grainger scores 2 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 4 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
2 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $1489.39 is above the 50-day ($1307.42) and 200-day ($1242.03) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexheadwind
36.5, Distribution
Reading 36.5 is in the Distribution zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
37.9% above
Price is 37.9% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskno data
No data
No confirmed report date on the calendar.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
W.W. Grainger stock chart and price history
W.W. Grainger closed at $1,489.39 on Nov 4, 2026, +54.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $906.52 to $1,521.41.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +16.8%
- 3 months
- +16.1%
- 6 months
- +27.3%
- 1 year
- +54.1%
The full GWW chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GWW in Gekko
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About W.W. Grainger
W.W. Grainger distributes maintenance, repair, and operating supplies to organizations rather than individual consumers. Its catalog spans safety gear, material handling and storage equipment, plumbing and pump parts, cleaning and facility products, and metalworking and hand tools. Alongside these physical goods, the company provides inventory management help and technical support, and it has built a reputation around supplying this broad range of everyday operational products.
The business runs through two main segments, High-Touch Solutions N.A. and Endless Assortment, and it reaches customers in the United States, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Buyers include private companies, large corporations, government agencies, and other institutions, and Grainger reaches them both through direct sales and service teams and through online and e-commerce channels.
The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. Its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker GWW.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Distribution services
- Industry
- Wholesale distributors
- Website
- grainger.com
W.W. Grainger GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
W.W. Grainger’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 36.5, in the Distribution zone, down 15.8 points over five sessions.
36.5Distribution
Down 15.8 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 31 | +1.3% | +4.0% | ||
| Accumulation | 202 | +0.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Neutral | 404 | +0.4% | +0.8% | ||
| Distribution (current zone) | 59 | +0.2% | +3.6% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average GWW share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Distribution readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Distribution zone: Institutions potentially offloading. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GWW price, zone by zone.Track GWW in Gekko
Is W.W. Grainger stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
W.W. Grainger trades 37.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,080.09, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what W.W. Grainger shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$1,080.09
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
37.9% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 31.7% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GWW in Gekko
W.W. Grainger insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for W.W. Grainger, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in GWW were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for GWW, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GWW in Gekko
Buybacks
W.W. Grainger has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $249.0M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.35%
- Trailing four quarters
- $1.02B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold GWW.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
W.W. Grainger earnings: next date and track record
W.W. Grainger beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.6% on average across the report.
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.6%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Feb 3, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Comprehensive review of Grainger's Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 earnings call. The company emphasizes solid top-line performance in challenging macro conditions, with Q4 results aligning with expectations and full-year progress toward its five growth engines (merchandising, private label expansion, data/tech investments, channel optimization, and on-site services). Management highlights strategic exits (UK Cromwell), continued investment in technology and supply chain, and a focus on High Touch Solutions (HTS) as a core growth engine. The discussion covers gross margin dynamics, including LIFO headwinds, supplier price pass-through, and timing of Grainger sales meeting-related rebates, with some pressure on SG&A due to healthcare costs and on a few segments. The company maintains a conservative but positive outlook for 2026, with a target of mid-single-digit organic growth, modest gross margin pressure, and a 20-30 bp tailwind from the UK exit and LIFO effects. The Q&A explores margin trajectory, price realization, tariff pass-through, digital channel composition, and the resilience of HTS against macro headwinds. Overall sentiment is cautiously positive, acknowledging near-term headwinds but underscored by solid execution and strategic leverage of data/tech to gain share and improve service quality.
- Guidance
- Management maintains a 2026 outlook of mid-single-digit organic growth with modest gross margin pressure offset by tailwinds from UK exit and LIFO dynamics; price increases north of 3% for 2026, with 2.5-3% of that embedded in wrap/price from prior years. Forecasts include some cost discipline and OpEx leverage, with higher marketing/merchandising investment to support growth. No explicit full-year earnings guidance provided beyond implied expectations from the discussion and slide references; ongoing consideration of macro uncertainties.
- Risks flagged
- Macro uncertainty and mixed industry conditions; government shutdown and hurricane-related effects in Q4; LIFO-related gross margin headwinds; tariff/pass-through dynamics; currency effects; higher healthcare costs; competition and market-mix shifts; Cromwell UK exit as both a tailwind and a one-off adjustment; potential customer price sensitivity and macro demand variability.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | $9.44 est $9.46 | $4.43B est $4.40B | +9.0% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $10.21 est $9.98 | $4.66B est $4.64B | +1.1% |
| Aug 1, 2025 | $9.97 est $10.07 | $4.55B est $4.53B | −9.7% |
| May 1, 2025 | $9.86 est $9.48 | $4.31B est $4.32B | +4.3% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $9.71 est $9.74 | $4.23B est $4.24B | −7.0% |
| Oct 31, 2024 | $9.87 est $9.98 | $4.39B est $4.40B | +0.5% |
| Aug 1, 2024 | $9.76 est $9.59 | $4.31B est $4.35B | −2.5% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | $9.62 est $9.63 | $4.24B est $4.26B | −3.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
W.W. Grainger stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for W.W. Grainger is $1,331.57, −10.6% from the last close, from 8 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,331.57consensus 12-month target, −10.6% from the last close
Now $1,489.39Avg $1,331.57
Low $1,100High $1,500
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 8 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | Bank of America Securities | $1,100 | −26.1% |
| Oct 19 | Robert W. Baird | $1,500 | +0.7% |
| Oct 19 | Morgan Stanley | $1,400 | −6.0% |
| Sep 24 | Barclays | $1,172 | −21.3% |
| Sep 15 | Wolfe Research | — | — |
+3.6%average 20-day move after past Distribution readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
W.W. Grainger seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, W.W. Grainger averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.7% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +1.7% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.0% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, GWW’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.9%.
W.W. Grainger market cap and key statistics
W.W. Grainger’s market cap is $70.15B, with a P/E ratio of 35.1 and revenue of $18.85B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $70.15B
- P/E ratio
- 35.1
- Forward P/E
- 26.5
- EPS, TTM
- $39.21
- Gekko Fair Value
- $1,080.09
Trading
- Volume
- 570,182
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 253,248
- 52-week high
- $1,521.41
- 52-week low
- $906.52
- Shares outstanding
- 47.21M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $18.85B
- Profit margin
- 9.9%
- Return on equity
- 46.1%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +20.5%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.96
- Typical daily move
- ±2.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.9%
- Dividend yield
- 0.68%
W.W. Grainger stock news this week
Coverage of W.W. Grainger this week reads positive: 9 positive, 9 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- W.W. Grainger Inc (GWW) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Double-Digit Sales Growth, Margin ...Yahoo Finance Singapore, Nov 4
- [W.W. Grainger Q3 2026 Earnings Call] Grainger Lifts Full-Year EPS Outlook to $47-$48 as Q3 EPS Jumps 22% to $12.54 on Data-Center DemandBigGo Finance, Nov 4
- Grainger Beats Earnings Estimates in Q3, Hikes '26 GuidanceTradingView, Nov 4
- W.W. Grainger Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptBenzinga, Nov 4
- W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptSeeking Alpha, Nov 4
- Grainger Q3 sales rise 11.3% to $5.2 billiongrafa.com, Nov 4
W.W. Grainger peers
W.W. Grainger’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| FASTFastenal | Neutral | 27.1% above |
| FERGFerguson Enterprises | Distribution | 8.9% above |
| GPCGenuine Parts | Neutral | 0.5% above |
| WCCWESCO International | Accumulation | 1.8% above |
| QXOQXO | Neutral | 47.8% below |
| AITApplied Industrial Technologies | Accumulation | 7.0% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
W.W. Grainger stock FAQ
What is W.W. Grainger’s market cap?
W.W. Grainger’s market cap is $70.15B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,489.39, with 47.21M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 35.1.
What is the W.W. Grainger stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for W.W. Grainger is $1,331.57, −10.6% from the last close. Of the 8 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is W.W. Grainger stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate W.W. Grainger is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $1,489.39 is 37.9% above Gekko Fair Value of $1,080.09. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
What is W.W. Grainger’s 52-week high and low?
W.W. Grainger’s 52-week high is $1,521.41 and its 52-week low is $906.52; it closed at $1,489.39 on Nov 4, 2026, +54.1% over the past year.
Is W.W. Grainger stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 4 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (gekkoindex and fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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