NASDAQ: DSGR

Distribution Solutions (DSGR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$35.06+0.03 (+0.1%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centers on a take-private deal. Eclipse Acquisitions Merger Sub priced an upsized $800 million offering of 10.000% senior notes due 2032, increased from $700 million, to help fund the acquisition of Distribution Solutions Group by affiliates of LKCM Headwater Investments. The transaction is structured as a $35.00 per-share cash buyout for shares not already owned by the acquirer, with note proceeds held in escrow until the merger closes. Separately, one analysis described a neutral near and mid-term outlook alongside a mid-channel oscillation pattern.

DSGR closed at $35.06, up 0.1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $34.85 and 200-day average of $29.85, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 47.5, placing the stock in the Neutral zone. Price stands 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.81. One-year return stands at 24.1%, with three-month and six-month returns near 27%.

Earnings are scheduled for 29 October 2026, before the open, 17 days away and inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw an EPS miss against estimate with a 2.2% reaction. Seasonality over 5 years shows a 5% average 20-day return from this point, rising in 3 of those years. Two analyst firms hold a consensus target of $35, implying -0.2% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the respective windows, though one trailblazer holder is noted.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Distribution Solutions price vs fair value

▲$47.81$35.06Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $35.06200-day averageGekko Fair Value $47.81

Distribution Solutions quick facts

Market cap
$1.62B
P/E ratio
184.6
Forward P/E
19.7
EPS, TTM
$0.19
Revenue, TTM
$2.05B
Profit margin
0.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.53
Volume
167,506 avg 204,929
1-year return
+24.1%
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%
50-day average
$34.85
200-day average
$29.85
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
46.26M
52-week range
$19.02$35.30

Distribution Solutions swing-trade checklist

Distribution Solutions scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $35.06 is above the 50-day ($34.85) and 200-day ($29.85) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    47.5, Neutral

    Reading 47.5 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    26.7% below

    Price is 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Distribution Solutions stock chart and price history

Distribution Solutions closed at $35.06 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Distribution Solutions share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$20$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct35.06

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+0.9%
3 months
+27.1%
6 months
+27.0%
1 year
+24.1%
The full DSGR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open DSGR in Gekko

Follow Distribution Solutions through every session

Put DSGR on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Distribution Solutions

Distribution Solutions supplies a wide range of specialized products built around the maintenance, repair, and operations needs of its customers. Its buyers span industrial, commercial, institutional, and governmental organizations that rely on it for parts and supplies to keep their operations running. The company has built its identity around meeting these recurring MRO demands rather than serving a single type of client.

Its customer base is spread across several markets, with activity reaching the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean. This geographic reach allows it to support organizations of varying types and sizes that need dependable access to maintenance and operational supplies across different regions.

The company traces its founding to 1952 and operates out of Chicago, Illinois. Distribution Solutions shares trade on the NASDAQ under the ticker DSGR.

Listed
NASDAQ
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
distributionsolutionsgroup.com

Distribution Solutions GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Distribution Solutions’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 47.5, in the Neutral zone, up 0.8 points over five sessions.

010047.5Neutral

Up 0.8 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying61+2.1%+2.9%+3.4%+3.8%
Accumulation160+0.9%+1.8%+1.9%+0.9%
Neutral (current zone)424−0.2%−0.4%+0.1%+1.6%
Distribution300.0%−0.1%−4.2%−0.1%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average DSGR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the DSGR price, zone by zone.Track DSGR in Gekko

Is Distribution Solutions stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Distribution Solutions trades 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.81, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Distribution Solutions shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$47.81

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

26.7% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 33.7% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$48$35Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open DSGR in Gekko

Distribution Solutions insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Distribution Solutions, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for DSGR in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every DSGR insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DSGR in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in DSGR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for DSGR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open DSGR in Gekko

Buybacks

Distribution Solutions has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$108K
As a share of market cap
0.01%
Trailing four quarters
$4.24M

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds DSGR.

1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Distribution Solutions earnings: next date and track record

Distribution Solutions reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.2%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+6.7%May ’24−2.6%Aug ’24−11.1%Oct ’24+9.9%Mar ’25−0.6%May ’25+0.3%Jul ’25−8.1%Oct ’25+2.2%Apr ’26

Last earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 AI summary

What they said
DSGR reported 9.8% total revenue growth for 2025, reaching $1.98 billion annually with 3.6% organic daily sales growth. The company generated strong cash flows of $84 million from operations, up from $56 million in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $175 million, falling short of expectations. Management characterized 2025 as a reinvestment and retooling year with challenging headwinds including government shutdowns and supply chain pressures.
Guidance
Management expressed strong confidence in their long-term vision despite current challenges. They highlighted enhanced competitive positioning and investments in capabilities for 2026, while actively managing softening renewables demand in North America by pivoting to global opportunities.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Apr 30, 2026$0.24
est $0.28
−14.3%$496.0M
est $489.3M
+1.4%+2.2%
Oct 30, 2025$0.40
est $0.42
−4.8%$518.0M
est $496.3M
+4.4%−8.1%
Jul 31, 2025$0.35
est $0.33
+6.1%$502.4M
est $501.7M
+0.1%+0.3%
May 1, 2025$0.31
est $0.35
−11.4%$478.0M
est $510.8M
−6.4%−0.6%
Mar 6, 2025$0.42
est $0.33
+26.0%$480.5M
est $480.0M
+0.1%+9.9%
Oct 31, 2024$0.37
est $0.40
−7.5%$468.0M
est $463.8M
+0.9%−11.1%
Aug 1, 2024$0.40
est $0.31
+29.0%$439.5M
est $438.4M
+0.3%−2.6%
May 2, 2024$0.25
est $0.28
−10.7%$416.1M
est $417.9M
−0.4%+6.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Distribution Solutions stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Distribution Solutions is $35.00, −0.2% from the last close, from 2 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$35.00consensus 12-month target, −0.2% from the last close
Buy0
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 2 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 17BarringtonHold, maintained$35−0.2%
Jul 17BarringtonHold, downgraded$35−0.2%
Jul 16StephensHold, downgraded$35−0.2%
+0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±0.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Distribution Solutions seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Distribution Solutions averaged +5.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+7.8%2021+40.2%2022−24.9%2023+4.8%2024−6.2%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.2%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.6%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.0%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days+2.7%1 of 5

For scale, DSGR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.5%.

Distribution Solutions market cap and key statistics

Distribution Solutions’s market cap is $1.62B, with a P/E ratio of 184.6 and revenue of $2.05B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.62B
P/E ratio
184.6
Forward P/E
19.7
EPS, TTM
$0.19
Gekko Fair Value
$47.81

Trading

Volume
167,506
Avg volume, 20 days
204,929
52-week high
$35.30
52-week low
$19.02
Shares outstanding
46.26M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$2.05B
Profit margin
0.4%
Return on equity
1.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+66.9%

Risk and income

Beta
0.53
Typical daily move
±0.2%
Typical 20-day move
±6.5%

Distribution Solutions stock news this week

Coverage of Distribution Solutions this week reads positive: 6 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment positive

Distribution Solutions peers

Distribution Solutions’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+0.9%Neutral22.6% above
FASTFastenal+1.0%Neutral29.5% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+0.8%Accumulation4.7% below
GPCGenuine Parts+2.2%Neutral7.1% above
WCCWESCO International−1.4%Neutral16.9% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies−0.2%Neutral2.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Distribution Solutions stock FAQ

What is Distribution Solutions’s market cap?

Distribution Solutions’s market cap is $1.62B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.06, with 46.26M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 184.6.

What is the Distribution Solutions stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Distribution Solutions is $35.00, −0.2% from the last close. Of the 2 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Distribution Solutions stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Distribution Solutions is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $35.06 is 26.7% below Gekko Fair Value of $47.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Distribution Solutions report earnings next?

Distribution Solutions is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.30 per share on revenue of $558.6M. Distribution Solutions beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.2% on average across the report.

What is Distribution Solutions’s 52-week high and low?

Distribution Solutions’s 52-week high is $35.30 and its 52-week low is $19.02; it closed at $35.06 on Oct 12, 2026, +24.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $41.47 on Oct 16, 2024.

Is Distribution Solutions stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, fair value and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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