Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for FAST in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every FAST insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FAST in Gekko
NASDAQ: FAST
Fastenal (FAST) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$49.01−0.17 (−0.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:19 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryFastenal closes at $49.01, just above both its 50-day average of $48.99 and its 200-day average of $45.78, with the 50-day sitting above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 62.1, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Price sits 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.78.
Coverage on Fastenal has been mixed this week. Wolfe Research reiterated an "underperform" rating with a $51 price target, implying a 3.16% upside by its own math, while the broader consensus is described as "Hold" with an average target of $49.50. Separately, another firm upgraded the stock to Buy, citing an upward trend in earnings estimates. A retrospective piece also noted that Fastenal has averaged a 12.33% annual return over the past 20 years. Institutional filings during the period show Bank of America Corp DE trimming its stake by 1.1% to 16,121,214 shares valued at $774.3 million, while other holders adjusted positions modestly.
Fastenal's next earnings report is due 14 October 2026, 24 days out, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior print saw a -9.3% reaction despite EPS matching estimates at $0.30. Analyst counts stand at 6 buy, 5 hold, and 3 sell among 14 firms. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged +1.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them, a pattern worth noting alongside the earnings date.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $49.01200-day averageGekko Fair Value $39.78
Key stats
- Market cap
- $56.24B
- P/E ratio
- 41.7
- Forward P/E
- 36.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.18
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.75B
- Profit margin
- 15.4%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
- Beta
- 0.71
- Volume
- 11.40M avg 6.03M
- 1-year return
- +4.0%
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $48.99
- 200-day average
- $45.78
- Next earnings
- Oct 14
- Shares outstanding
- 1.15B
Fastenal swing-trade checklist
Fastenal scores 3 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $49.01 is above the 50-day ($48.99) and 200-day ($45.78) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
62.1, Accumulation
Reading 62.1 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
23.2% above
Price is 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 24 days
Reports on Oct 14, 2026, 24 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+1.9% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.9% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Fastenal stock chart and price history
Fastenal closed at $49.01 on Sep 18, 2026, +4.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $38.97 to $52.92.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −4.7%
- 3 months
- +6.8%
- 6 months
- +10.2%
- 1 year
- +4.0%
The full FAST chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open FAST in Gekko
Follow Fastenal through every session
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About Fastenal
Fastenal acts as a wholesale source for materials used in industry and construction, reaching buyers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and additional markets abroad. Its main business centers on fasteners like bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and washers, items commonly needed in manufacturing lines, construction sites, and machine upkeep. Alongside these, Fastenal stocks a broader mix of hardware pieces such as pins, keys for machinery, anchors for concrete, framing hardware made of metal, wire rope, strut parts, rivets, and the accessories that go with them.
The company works with a broad mix of buyers, from equipment makers to maintenance crews inside manufacturing plants, plus contractors handling general building, electrical work, plumbing, sheet metal, and road projects. It also counts farms, trucking and rail operators, mining firms, schools, stores, and companies in oil and gas among its clients, together with government offices at the federal, state, and local level. To get products to these groups, Fastenal relies on a large web of local branch locations backed by a handful of major distribution hubs.
Fastenal got its start in 1967 and runs its main offices out of Winona, Minnesota. Its stock trades on the NASDAQ under the ticker FAST.
- Listed
- NASDAQ
- Sector
- Distribution services
- Industry
- Wholesale distributors
- Website
- fastenal.com
Fastenal GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Fastenal’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.1, in the Accumulation zone, up 1.9 points over five sessions.
62.1Accumulation
Up 1.9 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 27 | −0.9% | −0.8% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 176 | +0.6% | +1.0% | ||
| Neutral | 409 | +0.5% | +1.6% | ||
| Distribution | 47 | −0.9% | +1.5% | ||
| Selling | 3 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average FAST share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the FAST price, zone by zone.Track FAST in Gekko
Is Fastenal stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Fastenal trades 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.78, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Fastenal shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$39.78
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
23.2% Overvalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open FAST in Gekko
Fastenal insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Fastenal, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in FAST were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for FAST, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open FAST in Gekko
Buybacks
Fastenal has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $30.00M
- As a share of market cap
- 0.05%
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Dec 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold FAST.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Fastenal earnings: next date and track record
Fastenal reports on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 14, 2026
24 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.34
- Revenue estimate
- $2.44B
3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 13, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Fastenal delivered strong Q1 2026 results with 12.4% daily sales growth to $34.9 million per day, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth. The company gained market share through strategic execution despite challenging industrial conditions, with 75% of Q1 sales from contract customers. High-value customer sites ($50k+ monthly) increased 16.3% year-over-year to 2,900 sites, now representing over half of total sales at 21% revenue growth.
- Guidance
- Management targets approximately 250 new national account contract signings for 2026. International business showed accelerating growth with 24% growth in March, indicating strong momentum for global expansion initiatives.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | $0.30 est $0.30 | $2.20B est $2.20B | −9.3% |
| Jan 20, 2026 | $0.26 est $0.26 | $2.03B est $2.04B | +2.0% |
| Oct 13, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.30 | $2.13B est $2.13B | −6.6% |
| Jul 14, 2025 | $0.29 est $0.28 | $2.08B est $2.07B | +4.3% |
| Apr 11, 2025 | $0.26 est $0.26 | $1.96B est $1.95B | +7.3% |
| Jan 17, 2025 | $0.23 est $0.24 | $1.82B est $1.84B | +1.8% |
| Oct 11, 2024 | $0.26 est $0.26 | $1.91B est $1.90B | +9.6% |
| Jul 12, 2024 | $0.51 est $0.51 | $1.92B est $1.91B | +5.7% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Fastenal stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Fastenal is $48.84, −0.3% from the last close, from 14 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$48.84consensus 12-month target, −0.3% from the last close
Now $49.01Avg $48.84
Low $42High $55
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 14 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16 | UBS | $49 | 0.0% |
| Sep 15 | Wolfe Research | $51 | +4.1% |
| Sep 8 | Bank of America Securities | $55 | +12.2% |
| Sep 4 | William Blair | — | — |
| Sep 3 | Bernstein | $42 | −14.3% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.9%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Fastenal seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Fastenal averaged +1.9% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +0.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −0.9% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −1.5% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.9% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.3% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, FAST’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
Fastenal market cap and key statistics
Fastenal’s market cap is $56.24B, with a P/E ratio of 41.7 and revenue of $8.75B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $56.24B
- P/E ratio
- 41.7
- Forward P/E
- 36.1
- EPS, TTM
- $1.18
- Gekko Fair Value
- $39.78
Trading
- Volume
- 11.40M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 6.03M
- 52-week high
- $52.92
- 52-week low
- $38.97
- Shares outstanding
- 1.15B
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $8.75B
- Profit margin
- 15.4%
- Return on equity
- 34.3%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +14.6%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.71
- Typical daily move
- ±2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 1.88%
Fastenal stock news this week
Coverage of Fastenal this week reads positive: 3 positive, 3 neutral and 0 negative headlines.
- Engineers Gate Manager LP Increases Position in Fastenal Company $FASTDefense World, Sep 18
- Bank of America Corp DE Lowers Stock Position in Fastenal Company $FASTMarketBeat, Sep 16
- Wolfe Research Reiterates Underperform Rating for Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST)MarketBeat, Sep 15
- All You Need to Know About Fastenal (FAST) Rating Upgrade to BuyYahoo, Sep 14
- If You Invested $1000 In Fastenal Stock 20 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much TodayBenzinga, Sep 14
- Corient Private Wealth LP Sells 46,316 Shares of Fastenal Company $FASTMarketBeat, Sep 13
Fastenal peers
Fastenal’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| GWWW.W. Grainger | Accumulation | 18.4% above |
| FERGFerguson Enterprises | Buying | 8.4% below |
| GPCGenuine Parts | Accumulation | 2.7% above |
| WCCWESCO International | Neutral | 14.6% above |
| AITApplied Industrial Technologies | Accumulation | 1.9% below |
| QXOQXO | Buying | 56.3% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Fastenal stock FAQ
What is Fastenal’s market cap?
Fastenal’s market cap is $56.24B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $49.01, with 1.15B shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 41.7.
What is the Fastenal stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Fastenal is $48.84, −0.3% from the last close. Of the 14 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 6 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 3 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Fastenal stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Fastenal is overvalued: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $49.01 is 23.2% above Gekko Fair Value of $39.78. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Fastenal report earnings next?
Fastenal is expected to report on Oct 14, 2026 (24 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.34 per share on revenue of $2.44B. Fastenal beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.
What is Fastenal’s 52-week high and low?
Fastenal’s 52-week high is $52.92 and its 52-week low is $38.97; it closed at $49.01 on Sep 18, 2026, +4.0% over the past year.
Is Fastenal stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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