NYSE: UGI

UGI (UGI) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$36.24−0.27 (−0.7%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

UGI Utilities has begun a natural gas line replacement project in Danville, expected to run through early November, with parking and lane restrictions and potential temporary service interruptions for some customers along portions of Mill, Center, Ferry and Pine streets. Separately, a filing shows Bank of America Corp DE reduced its stake in UGI Corporation, now retaining shares valued at approximately $30.9 million.

UGI closed at $36.24, down 0.7%, sitting between its 50-day average of $37.00 and 200-day average of $36.69. The GekkoIndex reads 66, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone. Gekko Fair Value stands at $35.40, putting the current price 2.4% above that level. Over the past year the stock is up 11%, though it has slipped 5.2% over the last month and 1.2% over six months.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 18 November 2026, 50 days away, which falls outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, though one billionaire holder is recorded. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days from this point in the calendar have averaged -1.6% over five years, rising in three of them. Analyst coverage from three firms currently carries a consensus target of $42.33, all rated buy.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

UGI price vs fair value

$36.24$35.40Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $36.24200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.40

UGI quick facts

Market cap
$7.77B
P/E ratio
12.2
Forward P/E
7.7
EPS, TTM
$2.99
Revenue, TTM
$7.30B
Profit margin
9.2%
Dividend yield
4.10%
Beta
0.96
Volume
1.36M avg 1.96M
1-year return
+11.0%
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
50-day average
$37.00
200-day average
$36.69
Next earnings
Nov 18
Shares outstanding
214.5M
52-week range
$31.62$41.34

UGI swing-trade checklist

UGI scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 0 headwinds across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed0 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $36.24 sits between the 50-day ($37.00) and 200-day ($36.69) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    66, Accumulation

    Reading 66 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    2.4% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.4% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 50 days

    Next report Nov 18, 2026, 50 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    −1.6% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −1.6% over 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

UGI stock chart and price history

UGI closed at $36.24 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $31.62 to $41.34.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
UGI share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$32$34$38$40NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep36.24

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
+3.9%
6 months
−1.2%
1 year
+11.0%
The full UGI chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open UGI in Gekko

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About UGI

UGI works across the energy supply chain, handling the distribution, storage, transportation and marketing of products such as propane, liquefied petroleum gases, natural gas, liquid fuels and electricity, along with related support services. It operates both domestically and abroad, and is perhaps best recognized for its large-scale propane delivery network, which reaches households, businesses, farms, motor fuel users and wholesale buyers through roughly 1,600 distribution points.

The company runs through four main divisions: AmeriGas Propane, UGI International, Midstream & Marketing, and UGI Utilities. Together these units serve close to 1.4 million propane customers, around 12,600 retail energy customers spread across tens of thousands of locations, and, in Pennsylvania specifically, about 672,000 natural gas customers and 62,500 electricity customers. Its physical assets include gas mains, power lines, substations, generation facilities using coal, landfill gas, solar and natural gas, plus liquefaction, storage, blending and rail transshipment infrastructure, and pipeline or gathering systems it owns or contracts for.

UGI traces its founding to 1991 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker UGI.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
ugicorp.com

UGI GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

UGI’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 66, in the Accumulation zone, up 6.7 points over five sessions.

010066Accumulation

Up 6.7 points over five sessions, from the Neutral zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying26+1.9%+3.6%+4.8%+12.4%
Accumulation (current zone)187+1.4%+2.5%+3.1%+5.0%
Neutral421+0.1%+0.2%+1.2%+3.1%
Distribution31−1.0%−0.5%−1.0%+1.4%
Selling7Too few readings yet

Average UGI share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the UGI price, zone by zone.Track UGI in Gekko

Is UGI stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

UGI trades 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $35.40, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what UGI shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.40

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

2.4% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open UGI in Gekko

UGI insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UGI, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for UGI in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every UGI insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UGI in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in UGI were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for UGI, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open UGI in Gekko

Buybacks

UGI has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$11.00M
As a share of market cap
0.14%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31

1of the funds Gekko tracks holds UGI.

0added0opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

UGI earnings: next date and track record

UGI reports on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+17.2%Nov ’24+3.1%Feb ’25+4.1%May ’25−2.4%Aug ’25+8.0%Nov ’25−5.4%Feb ’26−8.2%May ’26−5.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
UGI delivered year-to-date reportable segment EBIT of $1.2 billion, modestly ahead of prior year despite $40 million headwind from LPG divestitures and warmer weather. Utilities growth offset LPG declines, with 76% of capex directed to natural gas businesses and 8,500+ new heating customers added. A recommended $65 million two-step rate increase settlement was approved by ALJs. AmeriGas showed operational improvements with injuries down 44-50% and Net Promoter Score up 63%.
Guidance
AmeriGas distributions to UGI Corporation are anticipated to resume in fiscal 2027. The pending PA PUC rate case settlement would provide $40 million in October 2026 and $25 million in October 2027. Midstream well-pad expansions planned to capture rising natural gas demand.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.20
est −$0.08
−151.2%$1.33B
est $1.50B
−11.2%−5.4%
May 6, 2026$2.09
est $2.16
−3.2%$2.69B
est $3.08B
−12.9%−8.2%
Feb 4, 2026$1.26
est $1.50
−16.0%$2.08B
est $2.49B
−16.4%−5.4%
Nov 20, 2025−$0.23
est −$0.38
+39.1%$1.20B
est $1.52B
−21.5%+8.0%
Aug 6, 2025−$0.01
est −$0.10
+89.7%$1.39B
est $1.52B
−8.5%−2.4%
May 7, 2025$2.21
est $1.86
+18.8%$2.67B
est $3.22B
−17.1%+4.1%
Feb 5, 2025$1.37
est $1.09
+25.7%$2.03B
est $2.65B
−23.3%+3.1%
Nov 21, 2024−$0.16
est −$0.25
+36.0%$1.37B
est $1.65B
−17.1%+17.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

UGI stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for UGI is $42.33, +16.8% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$42.33consensus 12-month target, +16.8% from the last close
Low $42High $43
Buy3
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 9JefferiesBuy, upgraded$43+18.7%
Aug 7Wells FargoBuy, maintained$42+15.9%
Jul 31Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$42+15.9%
Jul 22Wells FargoBuy, maintained$45+24.2%
Jul 10Wells FargoBuy, maintained$46+26.9%
+3.1%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
−1.6%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

UGI seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 26, UGI averaged −1.6% across the last 5 years, rising in 3 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.3%2021−2.4%2022−12.0%2023+0.4%2024+1.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−1.9%1 of 5
Next 10 trading days−3.1%1 of 5
Next 15 trading days−1.2%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days−1.6%3 of 5
Next 30 trading days−0.1%3 of 5

For scale, UGI’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.8%.

UGI market cap and key statistics

UGI’s market cap is $7.77B, with a P/E ratio of 12.2 and revenue of $7.30B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$7.77B
P/E ratio
12.2
Forward P/E
7.7
EPS, TTM
$2.99
Gekko Fair Value
$35.40

Trading

Volume
1.36M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.96M
52-week high
$41.34
52-week low
$31.62
Shares outstanding
214.5M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$7.30B
Profit margin
9.2%
Return on equity
13.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+6.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.96
Typical daily move
±1.8%
Typical 20-day move
±4.8%
Dividend yield
4.10%

UGI stock news this week

2 headlines about UGI from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

UGI peers

UGI’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+1.2%Accumulation17.8% above
FASTFastenal+0.6%Neutral27.8% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+2.7%Neutral2.6% below
WCCWESCO International−0.2%Neutral18.9% above
GPCGenuine Parts0.0%Accumulation4.8% above
QXOQXO0.0%Accumulation54.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

UGI stock FAQ

What is UGI’s market cap?

UGI’s market cap is $7.77B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $36.24, with 214.5M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 12.2.

What is the UGI stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for UGI is $42.33, +16.8% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is UGI stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate UGI is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $36.24 is 2.4% above Gekko Fair Value of $35.40. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does UGI report earnings next?

UGI is expected to report on Nov 18, 2026 (50 days away). Analysts expect earnings of −$0.37 per share on revenue of $1.34B. UGI beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.7% on average across the report.

What is UGI’s 52-week high and low?

UGI’s 52-week high is $41.34 and its 52-week low is $31.62; it closed at $36.24 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $47.04 on Jan 19, 2022.

Is UGI stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex and earnings risk), 3 as mixed (trend, fair value and seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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