NYSE: QXO

QXO (QXO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$12.12−0.31 (−2.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

QXO returns to attention this week after the appointment of Ken West as President and COO, brought in to oversee integration following the TopBuild acquisition that made the company the second-largest publicly traded building products distributor in North America. Coverage frames the move as a test of QXO's ability to convert its rapid acquisition activity into earnings, with commentary also pointing to fading rate-cut expectations and softness in housing-linked demand as pressures on the stock. Separately, analysts covering the firm maintain a consensus rating with a $28.00 average target price, well above the recent opening price cited in that coverage.

The stock closed at $12.12, down 2.5% on the day, and sits below both its 50-day average of $13.51 and its 200-day average of $18.63, with the shorter average also below the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 62.4, placing QXO in the Accumulation zone. Price stands 54.3% below the Gekko Fair Value estimate of $26.51.

The next earnings report is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 37 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 13 August 2026 showed EPS in line with estimates at $0.08 and a -3.5% reaction. Over the last 30 days, one unusual options signal has been recorded, with call premium of $332,374 against put premium of $4,066. Seasonality over 5 years shows the next 20 trading days averaging +5.8%, though gains occurred in only 1 of those years, a mixed signal worth noting.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

QXO price vs fair value

$26.51$12.12Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $12.12200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.51

QXO quick facts

Market cap
$12.57B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
−$0.92
Revenue, TTM
$9.90B
Profit margin
-5.2%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
2.29
Volume
23.11M avg 18.21M
1-year return
−36.0%
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.2%
50-day average
$13.51
200-day average
$18.63
Next earnings
Nov 5
Shares outstanding
1.04B
52-week range
$11.14$27.61

QXO swing-trade checklist

QXO scores 4 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive1 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $12.12 is below the 50-day ($13.51) and 200-day ($18.63) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    62.4, Accumulation

    Reading 62.4 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    54.3% below

    Price is 54.3% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 30 days: 1 unusual options signal.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 37 days

    Next report Nov 5, 2026, 37 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +5.8% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.8% over 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

QXO stock chart and price history

QXO closed at $12.12 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $11.14 to $27.61.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
QXO share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$15$20$25NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep12.12

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−12.6%
3 months
−32.0%
6 months
−36.1%
1 year
−36.0%
The full QXO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open QXO in Gekko

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About QXO

QXO supplies roofing, waterproofing and related building materials to customers across the United States. It operates as a distributor within the construction supply chain, and it has become known for its stated intention to bring more technology into how building products are distributed.

The company positions itself around modernizing distribution processes in this space, with an aim of building value for its shareholders over time. Its customer base sits within the broader building products market in the United States, though its own records do not detail further specifics on organization or revenue sources.

QXO was founded on October 3, 2002, and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker QXO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
qxo.com

QXO GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

QXO’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 62.4, in the Accumulation zone, down 4.2 points over five sessions.

010062.4Accumulation

Down 4.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying31+7.4%+16.2%+3.0%+8.0%
Accumulation (current zone)316+0.1%−1.2%−2.3%−1.1%
Neutral280−0.8%+0.1%−0.2%−6.8%
Distribution39−2.2%−7.2%−6.7%−18.6%
Selling6Too few readings yet

Average QXO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the QXO price, zone by zone.Track QXO in Gekko

Is QXO stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

QXO trades 54.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.51, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what QXO shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$26.51

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026

54.3% Undervalued

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open QXO in Gekko

QXO insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for QXO, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for QXO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every QXO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open QXO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in QXO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for QXO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open QXO in Gekko

Buybacks

QXO has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Mar 31, 2026
$28.10M
As a share of market cap
0.22%

From company filings.

Unusual options activity last 30 days

1signal, 99% of the flagged premium in calls.

Latest: Bullish flow on Sep 11, $336K in unusual premium.

Every signal with its contract, strike and premium.Unlock in Gekko

QXO earnings: next date and track record

QXO reports on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.

5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.1%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.1%Nov ’24+7.9%Mar ’25+4.0%May ’25−2.7%Aug ’25+4.2%Nov ’25−5.0%Feb ’26−7.7%May ’26−3.5%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$0.08
est $0.08
+1.7%$3.25B
est $3.18B
+2.1%−3.5%
May 12, 2026$0.00
est $0.05
−100.0%$1.73B
est $1.73B
+0.1%−7.7%
Feb 25, 2026$0.02
est $0.02
0.0%$2.19B
est $2.19B
+0.3%−5.0%
Nov 6, 2025$0.14
est $0.12
+16.7%$2.73B
est $2.19B
+24.5%+4.2%
Aug 14, 2025$0.11
est $0.04
+175.0%$1.91B
est $2.78B
−31.3%−2.7%
May 8, 2025−$0.03
est −$0.05
+40.0%$13.51M
est $13.00M
+3.9%+4.0%
Mar 4, 2025−$0.02
est −$0.05
+60.0%$14.74M
est $14.00M
+5.3%+7.9%
Nov 13, 2024−$0.01
est $0.04
−125.0%$13.16M
est $14.00M
−6.0%−6.1%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

QXO stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for QXO is $29.11, +140.2% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$29.11consensus 12-month target, +140.2% from the last close
Low $18High $50
Buy10
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Sep 11Wells FargoBuy, maintained$18+48.5%
Sep 10Morgan StanleyBuy, reiterated$35+188.8%
Aug 25D.A. DavidsonBuy, initiated$26+114.5%
Aug 24William BlairBuy, maintained——
Aug 24D.A. DavidsonBuy, initiated$26+114.5%
−2.3%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+5.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±4.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

QXO seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, QXO averaged +5.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 1 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−14.2%2021+55.1%2022−4.3%2023−1.7%2024−3.5%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+10.1%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.7%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.8%1 of 5
Next 30 trading days+11.6%3 of 5

For scale, QXO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 11.2%.

QXO market cap and key statistics

QXO’s market cap is $12.57B and revenue of $9.90B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.57B
Forward P/E
19.2
EPS, TTM
−$0.92
Gekko Fair Value
$26.51

Trading

Volume
23.11M
Avg volume, 20 days
18.21M
52-week high
$27.61
52-week low
$11.14
Shares outstanding
1.04B

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$9.90B
Profit margin
-5.2%
Return on equity
-4.6%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
0.0%

Risk and income

Beta
2.29
Typical daily move
±4.6%
Typical 20-day move
±11.2%

QXO stock news this week

Coverage of QXO this week reads neutral: 1 positive, 4 neutral and 0 negative headlines.

News sentiment neutral

QXO peers

QXO’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+1.2%Accumulation17.8% above
FASTFastenal+0.6%Neutral27.8% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+2.7%Neutral2.6% below
WCCWESCO International−0.2%Neutral18.9% above
GPCGenuine Parts0.0%Accumulation4.8% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies+1.6%Neutral4.1% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

QXO stock FAQ

What is QXO’s market cap?

QXO’s market cap is $12.57B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $12.12, with 1.04B shares outstanding.

What is the QXO stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for QXO is $29.11, +140.2% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 10 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is QXO stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate QXO is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $12.12 is 54.3% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.51. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does QXO report earnings next?

QXO is expected to report on Nov 5, 2026 (37 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.15 per share on revenue of $4.87B. QXO beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.1% on average across the report.

What is QXO’s 52-week high and low?

QXO’s 52-week high is $27.61 and its 52-week low is $11.14; it closed at $12.12 on Sep 28, 2026, −36.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $290.00 on Jun 10, 2024.

Is QXO stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

Is there unusual options activity in QXO?

Gekko flagged 1 unusual options signal in QXO over the last 30 days, with $332K of flagged premium in calls and $4K in puts. The latest, bullish flow, was on Sep 11, 2026 with $336K in unusual premium. The signal-by-signal table is in Gekko.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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