NYSE: AIT

Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$337.42+4.03 (+1.2%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

This week's coverage centers on Applied Industrial Technologies' quarterly results and analyst response. Argus raised its price target on AIT to $364.00, with the stock trading around $333.39 at the time. A separate report noted the stock slipped after quarterly growth, with shares near $320.39 despite a 10.4% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.35 billion that exceeded analyst expectations. AIT also appeared in comparative coverage against Fastenal on dividend growth and payout ratios, and in a piece highlighting it as a long-term growth stock.

AIT closes at $337.42, up 1.2%, sitting between its 50-day average of $337.86 and 200-day average of $301.86. The one-year return stands at 30.2%, though the one-month return is -0.3%. The GekkoIndex reads 55, placing AIT in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -9.1%. Gekko Fair Value is set at $323.98, putting the current price 4.1% above that level.

Applied Industrial Technologies next reports earnings on 27 October 2026, 28 days out, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. The prior quarter, reported 13 August 2026, produced EPS of $3.17 against an estimate of $2.92, with a 2.7% reaction; the company has beaten estimates in 7 of its last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 4.5%. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 5.4% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. The consensus among 4 firms is unanimously Buy, with a target of $400.00 implying 18.5% upside. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current window.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Applied Industrial Technologies price vs fair value

$337.42$323.98Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $337.42200-day averageGekko Fair Value $323.98

Applied Industrial Technologies quick facts

Market cap
$12.47B
P/E ratio
30.6
Forward P/E
27.8
EPS, TTM
$10.89
Revenue, TTM
$4.97B
Profit margin
8.4%
Dividend yield
0.58%
Beta
0.83
Volume
232,036 avg 292,093
1-year return
+30.2%
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
50-day average
$337.86
200-day average
$301.86
Next earnings
Oct 27
Shares outstanding
36.73M
52-week range
$238.34$374.80

Applied Industrial Technologies swing-trade checklist

Applied Industrial Technologies scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $337.42 sits between the 50-day ($337.86) and 200-day ($301.86) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55, Neutral

    Reading 55 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.1% above

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.1% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 28 days

    Reports on Oct 27, 2026, 28 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +5.4% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +5.4% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Applied Industrial Technologies stock chart and price history

Applied Industrial Technologies closed at $337.42 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $238.34 to $374.80.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Applied Industrial Technologies share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$250$275$300$325$350NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep337.42

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−0.3%
3 months
+1.0%
6 months
+29.4%
1 year
+30.2%
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Applied Industrial Technologies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Applied Industrial Technologies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55, in the Neutral zone, down 9.1 points over five sessions.

010055Neutral

Down 9.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying17+1.4%+4.1%+3.8%+2.1%
Accumulation163+1.2%+2.3%+4.2%+7.5%
Neutral (current zone)450+0.4%+0.6%+1.5%+5.0%
Distribution39−0.4%+0.1%−0.3%+2.5%
Selling3Too few readings yet

Average AIT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the AIT price, zone by zone.Track AIT in Gekko

Is Applied Industrial Technologies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Applied Industrial Technologies trades 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $323.98, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Applied Industrial Technologies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$323.98

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

4.1% above fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open AIT in Gekko

Applied Industrial Technologies insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Applied Industrial Technologies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for AIT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every AIT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in AIT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for AIT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open AIT in Gekko

Buybacks

Applied Industrial Technologies has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$80.84M
As a share of market cap
0.65%
Trailing four quarters
$317.2M

From company filings.

Applied Industrial Technologies earnings: next date and track record

Applied Industrial Technologies reports on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports.

7 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.5%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+3.3%Oct ’24+4.5%Jan ’25−6.5%May ’25−7.5%Aug ’25−2.3%Oct ’25−9.0%Jan ’26−0.5%Apr ’26+2.7%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 13, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Applied Industrial Technologies reported a strong finish to fiscal 2026 with record fourth-quarter sales and earnings that exceeded expectations. Consolidated sales rose ~10.4% year-over-year (9.7% organic); volumes accelerated to ~7% growth with ~250 basis points of product pricing contribution. Gross margin was 30.4% (down ~20 bps year-over-year driven by higher LIFO expense), SG&A improved as a percent of sales (18.6%), EBITDA expanded >60 bps to >13% with EBITDA growth of 16% and EPS growth of 13%. Management highlighted durable demand trends, strengthened order momentum (notably in engineered solutions/automation and flow control), sequential backlog improvement, and continued cross-selling and digital/automation initiatives. They announced updated intermediate financial targets and provided initial fiscal 2027 commentary that assumes steady H1 growth with more prudent H2 assumptions. Management emphasized ongoing self-help opportunities (cost optimization, shared services, technology/AI adoption) and an active M&A pipeline, while noting LIFO expense, interest expense, geopolitical/trade uncertainty, and uneven end-market pockets (chemicals/refining) as key headwinds. The Q&A reinforced confidence in demand momentum and initiatives, while management was candid about LIFO variability, interest cost drivers, and M&A timing uncertainty.
Guidance
Initial fiscal 2027 commentary: management expects steady and favorable growth in H1 with more prudent assumptions in H2 due to short-cycle business dynamics and limited visibility on trade policy/geopolitics. LIFO expense guidance: $24 million to $28 million (versus $21.5M in FY2026). Interest expense guidance: $12 million to $13 million for fiscal 2027 (reflecting swap roll-off, higher rates, and capital deployment assumptions). Management noted their longer-term intermediate financial objective of mid–high-teens incremental EBITDA margins (with demonstrated potential for 20%+ incrementals excluding LIFO volatility) and a multi-year path to deliver meaningful earnings growth. No specific consolidated revenue or EPS dollar guidance was provided in the transcript; supplemental investor materials were referenced.
Risks flagged
LIFO inventory accounting variability (identified as a material wildcard to reported margins and EPS), limited visibility on trade policy and geopolitical developments, potential higher interest expense due to swap roll-off and elevated rates, softer pockets in end markets (chemicals/refining) and timing of turnarounds, dependency on supplier stocking and OEM demand for restocking dynamics, and M&A timing/availability (pipeline uncertainty).
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 13, 2026$3.17
est $2.92
+8.6%$1.35B
est $1.29B
+4.7%+2.7%
Apr 28, 2026$2.65
est $2.65
0.0%$1.25B
est $1.23B
+2.2%−0.5%
Jan 27, 2026$2.51
est $2.48
+1.2%$1.16B
est $1.17B
−0.8%−9.0%
Oct 28, 2025$2.63
est $2.48
+6.0%$1.20B
est $1.19B
+1.0%−2.3%
Aug 14, 2025$2.80
est $2.63
+6.5%$1.22B
est $1.18B
+3.5%−7.5%
May 1, 2025$2.57
est $2.41
+6.6%$1.17B
est $1.18B
−1.2%−6.5%
Jan 29, 2025$2.39
est $2.21
+8.1%$1.07B
est $1.15B
−6.8%+4.5%
Oct 24, 2024$2.36
est $2.25
+4.9%$1.10B
est $1.08B
+1.5%+3.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Applied Industrial Technologies stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Applied Industrial Technologies is $400.00, +18.5% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$400.00consensus 12-month target, +18.5% from the last close
Low $390High $420
Buy4
Hold0
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 17Mizuho SecuritiesBuy, maintained$400+18.5%
Aug 14OppenheimerBuy, maintained$390+15.6%
Aug 14KeyBancBuy, reiterated$420+24.5%
Aug 13Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$390+15.6%
Jul 21Bank of America SecuritiesBuy, maintained$380+12.6%
+1.5%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+5.4%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.1%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Applied Industrial Technologies seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Applied Industrial Technologies averaged +5.4% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+4.7%2021+20.4%2022−2.5%2023+4.6%2024+0.6%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.2%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+2.5%4 of 5
Next 15 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+5.4%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+13.2%5 of 5

For scale, AIT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.6%.

Applied Industrial Technologies market cap and key statistics

Applied Industrial Technologies’s market cap is $12.47B, with a P/E ratio of 30.6 and revenue of $4.97B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$12.47B
P/E ratio
30.6
Forward P/E
27.8
EPS, TTM
$10.89
Gekko Fair Value
$323.98

Trading

Volume
232,036
Avg volume, 20 days
292,093
52-week high
$374.80
52-week low
$238.34
Shares outstanding
36.73M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.97B
Profit margin
8.4%
Return on equity
22.4%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+13.4%

Risk and income

Beta
0.83
Typical daily move
±2.1%
Typical 20-day move
±4.6%
Dividend yield
0.58%

Applied Industrial Technologies stock news this week

5 headlines about Applied Industrial Technologies from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Applied Industrial Technologies peers

Applied Industrial Technologies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+1.2%Accumulation17.8% above
FASTFastenal+0.6%Neutral27.8% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+2.7%Neutral2.6% below
WCCWESCO International−0.2%Neutral18.9% above
GPCGenuine Parts0.0%Accumulation4.8% above
QXOQXO0.0%Accumulation54.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Applied Industrial Technologies stock FAQ

What is Applied Industrial Technologies’s market cap?

Applied Industrial Technologies’s market cap is $12.47B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $337.42, with 36.73M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 30.6.

What is the Applied Industrial Technologies stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Applied Industrial Technologies is $400.00, +18.5% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Applied Industrial Technologies stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Applied Industrial Technologies is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $337.42 is 4.1% above Gekko Fair Value of $323.98. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Applied Industrial Technologies report earnings next?

Applied Industrial Technologies is expected to report on Oct 27, 2026 (28 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $2.88 per share on revenue of $1.29B. Applied Industrial Technologies beat the earnings estimate in 7 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.5% on average across the report.

What is Applied Industrial Technologies’s 52-week high and low?

Applied Industrial Technologies’s 52-week high is $374.80 and its 52-week low is $238.34; it closed at $337.42 on Sep 28, 2026, +30.2% over the past year.

Is Applied Industrial Technologies stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (seasonality), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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