NYSE: GLP

Global Partners (GLP) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$49.14−0.23 (−0.5%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news flow for Global Partners is mostly unrelated to the company itself, with several items concerning GLP-1 drug developments from other firms that merely share the same ticker letters. The more relevant mentions include an industry outlook piece grouping Global Partners with Western Midstream and NGL Energy Partners, and a Stock Traders Daily analysis describing a positive near-term sentiment alongside a mid-term weak bias and long-term strength. Filing activity also surfaced, with ALPS Advisors reporting an amended Schedule 13G covering 17.78% of the class, though this is background rather than a market-moving event.

Shares closed at $49.14, down 0.5%, sitting between the 50-day moving average of $49.87 and the 200-day average of $47.58. The one-month return stands at -6.8%, while the three, six, and twelve-month returns are 0.8%, 7.2%, and 10.4% respectively. The GekkoIndex reads 56.7, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -11.1. Price sits 19.7% above the Gekko Fair Value of $41.06.

Earnings are scheduled for 6 November 2026, 24 days out, which falls inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $1.86 against a $1.24 estimate, with a 3.1% reaction. Over the last 90 days, there have been 5 insider purchases totaling $1,271,750. Seasonality over 5 years shows a 3.1% average 20-day return from this point, with gains in 4 of those years. The sole covering analyst holds a Hold rating with a consensus target of $45, implying -8.4% versus the current price.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Global Partners price vs fair value

$49.14$41.06Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $49.14200-day averageGekko Fair Value $41.06

Global Partners quick facts

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
9.8
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$4.90
Revenue, TTM
$21.46B
Profit margin
0.8%
Dividend yield
6.49%
Beta
1.11
Volume
59,095 avg 64,242
1-year return
+10.4%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
50-day average
$49.87
200-day average
$47.58
Next earnings
Nov 6
Shares outstanding
33.85M
52-week range
$39.58$54.29

Global Partners swing-trade checklist

Global Partners scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $49.14 sits between the 50-day ($49.87) and 200-day ($47.58) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    56.7, Neutral

    Reading 56.7 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valueheadwind

    19.7% above

    Price is 19.7% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 5 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 25 days

    Reports on Nov 6, 2026, 25 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.1% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Global Partners stock chart and price history

Global Partners closed at $49.14 on Oct 12, 2026, +10.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $39.58 to $54.29.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Global Partners share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$45NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct49.14

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−6.8%
3 months
+0.8%
6 months
+7.2%
1 year
+10.4%
The full GLP chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open GLP in Gekko

Follow Global Partners through every session

Put GLP on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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Global Partners GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Global Partners’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 56.7, in the Neutral zone, down 11.1 points over five sessions.

010056.7Neutral

Down 11.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying32+3.4%+5.1%+5.3%+7.5%
Accumulation211+0.4%+0.7%+1.6%+3.0%
Neutral (current zone)422−0.2%−0.2%−0.1%−0.4%
Distribution13−1.6%−2.7%−9.1%+0.9%
Selling4Too few readings yet

Average GLP share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the GLP price, zone by zone.Track GLP in Gekko

Is Global Partners stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Global Partners trades 19.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.06, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Global Partners shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$41.06

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

19.7% Overvalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 56.3% above the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$41$49Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open GLP in Gekko

Global Partners insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 5 open-market purchases in Global Partners worth $1.27M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.27Min 5 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Sep 21Global GP LLC
other: General Partner
Purchase5,000$255K
Sep 21Global GP LLC
other: General Partner
Purchase5,000$248K
Sep 16Global GP LLC
other: General Partner
Purchase5,000$261K
Sep 16Global GP LLC
other: General Partner
Purchase5,000$254K
Sep 16Global GP LLC
other: General Partner
Purchase5,000$253K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in GLP were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for GLP, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open GLP in Gekko

Buybacks

Global Partners has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$6.12M
As a share of market cap
0.37%
Trailing four quarters
$20.08M

From company filings.

Global Partners earnings: next date and track record

Global Partners reports on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.6%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+2.7%Nov ’24+1.2%Feb ’25−4.0%May ’25+0.1%Aug ’25−8.6%Nov ’25+0.8%Feb ’26+0.1%May ’26+3.1%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 7, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Global Partners reported strong Q2 2026 results with net income of $71M versus $25.2M in Q2 2025. EBITDA reached $146M compared to $95.7M prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was $148.2M versus $98.2M. GDSO segment product margin rose $37.3M to $245.2M, with fuel margins increasing $0.14 to $0.50 per gallon. Wholesale segment product margin increased $14.8M to $106.5M, driven by favorable gasoline market conditions.
Guidance
Management flagged that steep backwardation in the forward product pricing curve is expected to increase hedged inventory carrying costs in future periods. Focus remains on disciplined inventory management and segment growth. Quarterly distribution maintained at $0.78 per unit ($3.12 annualized) with 2.25x coverage ratio.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 7, 2026$1.86
est $1.24
+50.0%$6.79B
est $7.51B
−9.5%+3.1%
May 8, 2026$1.85
est $0.33
+460.6%$5.32B
est $6.98B
−23.7%+0.1%
Feb 27, 2026$0.54
est $0.60
−10.0%$4.65B
est $6.94B
−33.0%+0.8%
Nov 7, 2025$0.66
est $1.09
−39.4%$4.69B
est $6.94B
−32.3%−8.6%
Aug 7, 2025$0.55
est $0.60
−8.3%$4.63B
est $6.46B
−28.4%+0.1%
May 8, 2025$0.36
est −$0.03
+1,300.0%$4.59B
est $6.01B
−23.6%−4.0%
Feb 28, 2025$0.52
est $0.24
+116.7%$4.19B
est $5.65B
−25.9%+1.2%
Nov 8, 2024$1.17
est $1.57
−25.5%$8.56B
est $5.80B
+47.5%+2.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Global Partners stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Global Partners is $45.00, −8.4% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$45.00consensus 12-month target, −8.4% from the last close
Buy0
Hold1
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 11Raymond JamesHold, maintained——
−0.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Global Partners seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Global Partners averaged +3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+0.4%2021+10.7%2022+5.6%2023+1.8%2024−3.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.0%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+4.2%5 of 5
Next 15 trading days+7.1%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+3.1%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+7.2%4 of 5

For scale, GLP’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.9%.

Global Partners market cap and key statistics

Global Partners’s market cap is $1.67B, with a P/E ratio of 9.8 and revenue of $21.46B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
9.8
Forward P/E
14.2
EPS, TTM
$4.90
Gekko Fair Value
$41.06

Trading

Volume
59,095
Avg volume, 20 days
64,242
52-week high
$54.29
52-week low
$39.58
Shares outstanding
33.85M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$21.46B
Profit margin
0.8%
Return on equity
27.2%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+238.2%

Risk and income

Beta
1.11
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.9%
Dividend yield
6.49%

Global Partners peers

Global Partners’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+0.9%Neutral22.6% above
FASTFastenal+1.0%Neutral29.5% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+0.8%Accumulation4.7% below
GPCGenuine Parts+2.2%Neutral7.1% above
WCCWESCO International−1.4%Neutral16.9% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies−0.2%Neutral2.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Global Partners stock FAQ

What is Global Partners’s market cap?

Global Partners’s market cap is $1.67B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.14, with 33.85M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.8.

What is the Global Partners stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Global Partners is $45.00, −8.4% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Global Partners stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Global Partners is overvalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $49.14 is 19.7% above Gekko Fair Value of $41.06. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Global Partners report earnings next?

Global Partners is expected to report on Nov 6, 2026 (25 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.48 per share on revenue of $7.41B. Global Partners beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.6% on average across the report.

What is Global Partners’s 52-week high and low?

Global Partners’s 52-week high is $54.29 and its 52-week low is $39.58; it closed at $49.14 on Oct 12, 2026, +10.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $60.00 on Feb 21, 2025.

Is Global Partners stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (smart money and seasonality), 2 as mixed (trend and gekkoindex) and 2 as headwinds (fair value and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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