NYSE: SITE

SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$87.99+0.83 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news centered on analyst reaction to SiteOne Landscape Supply's demand outlook. Deutsche Bank downgraded SITE from Buy to Hold and cut its price target to $91.00 from $127.00, citing expectations for weaker-than-expected third-quarter results and a challenging market outlook into 2027. RBC, while maintaining an Outperform rating, lowered its price target to $124 from $135. SiteOne also confirmed its third-quarter 2026 earnings will be released before market open on 28 October 2026, with a conference call the same day.

SITE closed at $87.99, up 1% on the day, but the stock remains below both its 50-day average of $94.37 and its 200-day average of $118.72, with the shorter average below the longer one. Shares are down 5.2% over one month, 16.9% over three months, and 25.9% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 61.2, placing SITE in the Accumulation zone, down 7.4 points over the past five readings. The stock trades 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.84.

Over the next 20 trading days, the earnings date of 28 October falls inside that window, with the last report showing an EPS miss ($3.14 versus $3.36 estimate) and an 8.2% negative reaction; prior quarters have seen beats in 3 of 8. Insider activity over the past 90 days includes 3 open-market purchases totaling $1,296,930. Seasonality over 5 years shows an average 20-day return of 2%, positive in 4 of those years.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

SiteOne Landscape Supply price vs fair value

$99.84$87.99Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $87.99200-day averageGekko Fair Value $99.84

SiteOne Landscape Supply quick facts

Market cap
$3.84B
P/E ratio
24
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$3.65
Revenue, TTM
$4.77B
Profit margin
3.4%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.39
Volume
1.27M avg 1.06M
1-year return
−25.9%
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%
50-day average
$94.37
200-day average
$118.72
Next earnings
Oct 28 before open
Shares outstanding
43.66M
52-week range
$82.00$168.56

SiteOne Landscape Supply swing-trade checklist

SiteOne Landscape Supply scores 4 supportive, 0 mixed and 2 headwinds across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

4 supportive0 mixed2 headwinds

  • Trendheadwind

    Below 50 and 200-day

    Close $87.99 is below the 50-day ($94.37) and 200-day ($118.72) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexsupportive

    61.2, Accumulation

    Reading 61.2 is in the Accumulation zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    11.9% below

    Price is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 3 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 16 days

    Reports on Oct 28, 2026, 16 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +2.0% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

SiteOne Landscape Supply stock chart and price history

SiteOne Landscape Supply closed at $87.99 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $82.00 to $168.56.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
SiteOne Landscape Supply share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$100$120$140$160NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct87.99

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
−5.2%
3 months
−16.9%
6 months
−36.1%
1 year
−25.9%
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About SiteOne Landscape Supply

SiteOne Landscape Supply distributes landscaping supplies on a wholesale basis across the United States and Canada, stocking roughly 135,000 different items. Its range covers irrigation parts like controllers, valves and sprinkler heads, turf and plant care products such as fertilizers and grass seed, and pest and weed treatments including herbicides and fungicides. It also carries mulches, soil amendments, drainage pipe, tools, sod, nursery stock such as shrubs, trees, roses and perennials, plus hardscaping materials like pavers and stone, and outdoor lighting fixtures and components.

Alongside products, the company offers consulting services covering irrigation design, planning for commercial jobs, lead generation, operational guidance, and training seminars on technical and business topics. It sells its own brands, including LESCO, SiteOne Green Tech and Pro-Trade, together with third-party products. Its customers are mainly residential and commercial landscaping professionals who design, install and maintain lawns, gardens, golf courses and similar outdoor spaces, reached through a network of branches and direct distribution.

Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Roswell, Georgia, SiteOne Landscape Supply operated around 590 branches across 45 U.S. states and six Canadian provinces as of January 2, 2022. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker SITE.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Distribution services
Industry
Wholesale distributors
Website
siteone.com

SiteOne Landscape Supply GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

SiteOne Landscape Supply’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 61.2, in the Accumulation zone, down 7.4 points over five sessions.

010061.2Accumulation

Down 7.4 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying44+3.6%+5.6%+4.8%+4.6%
Accumulation (current zone)272−0.5%−1.1%−2.2%−5.6%
Neutral354−0.6%−0.9%−1.3%−3.0%
Distribution11−1.5%−3.2%0.0%−6.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average SITE share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SITE price, zone by zone.Track SITE in Gekko

Is SiteOne Landscape Supply stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

SiteOne Landscape Supply trades 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.84, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what SiteOne Landscape Supply shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$99.84

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

11.9% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 6.9% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$100$87Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SITE in Gekko

SiteOne Landscape Supply insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 3 open-market purchases in SiteOne Landscape Supply worth $1.30M, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$1.30Min 3 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 28BLACK DOUG
director, officer: CEO
Purchase5,000$481K
Aug 6Doug Black
CEO
Purchase4,000$409K
Aug 6Doug Black
CEO
Purchase4,000$408K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SITE were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SITE, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SITE in Gekko

Buybacks

SiteOne Landscape Supply has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 28, 2026
$94.40M
As a share of market cap
2.46%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SITE.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

SiteOne Landscape Supply earnings: next date and track record

SiteOne Landscape Supply reports on Oct 28, 2026, before the open (16 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports.

3 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±6.3%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.3%Oct ’24+6.0%Feb ’25+2.5%Apr ’25+7.2%Jul ’25+5.3%Oct ’25+7.0%Feb ’26−11.8%Apr ’26−8.2%Jul ’26

Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SiteOne reported a solid Q2 2026: net sales rose ~5% to $1.53B, adjusted EBITDA increased ~5%, net income rose ~8%, and cash flow remained strong. Organic daily sales increased ~1% driven by pricing (~3%) and commercial initiatives, while organic volume declined ~2% due to weakness in new residential and repair & upgrade end markets. Acquisitions completed in 2025/2026 contributed about $49M (3%) to sales; the acquisition pipeline remains active. Management repurchased over $100M of stock, maintained a strong balance sheet, and emphasized disciplined M&A and continued capital returns. Management expects full-year pricing contribution of ~3% and organic daily sales flat to up 1% for 2026; they see new residential down high-single digits, repair & upgrade down mid-single digits, and new commercial roughly flat. Management acknowledged macro headwinds (energy volatility, commodity and tariff uncertainty, high interest rates, weak consumer confidence) but expressed confidence in long-term strategy, market position, and margin expansion initiatives.
Guidance
Pricing contribution ~3% for full year 2026; organic daily sales growth expected flat to +1% for full year 2026; end-market expectations: new residential down high-single digits, repair & upgrade down mid-single digits, new commercial flat; expect to expand EBITDA margins for the year; continued opportunistic share repurchases and opportunistic M&A (more deals expected in 2026).
Risks flagged
Macroeconomic uncertainty (high interest rates, weak consumer confidence); energy volatility and Middle East disruptions causing commodity and freight pressure; commodity price volatility (fertilizer, urea) affecting agronomics and maintenance demand; competition intensifying in softer markets; tariff lapping from 2025; potential pricing elasticity headwinds in softer demand environments.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Jul 29, 2026$3.14
est $3.36
−6.5%$1.53B
est $1.54B
−0.6%−8.2%
Apr 29, 2026−$0.34
est −$0.30
−11.7%$940.1M
est $982.3M
−4.3%−11.8%
Feb 11, 2026−$0.10
est −$0.18
+44.4%$1.05B
est $1.05B
−0.7%+7.0%
Oct 29, 2025$1.31
est $1.22
+7.4%$1.26B
est $1.05B
+19.5%+5.3%
Jul 30, 2025$2.86
est $2.89
−1.0%$1.46B
est $1.25B
+17.2%+7.2%
Apr 30, 2025−$0.61
est −$0.50
−22.0%$939.4M
est $1.48B
−36.5%+2.5%
Feb 12, 2025−$0.16
est −$0.24
+33.3%$1.01B
est $998.6M
+1.4%+6.0%
Oct 30, 2024$0.97
est $1.15
−15.7%$1.21B
est $987.2M
+22.4%−2.3%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

SiteOne Landscape Supply stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for SiteOne Landscape Supply is $123.17, +40.0% from the last close, from 10 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$123.17consensus 12-month target, +40.0% from the last close
Low $91High $155
Buy5
Hold5
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 10 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Oct 12Goldman SachsHold, maintained$100+13.6%
Oct 8Deutsche Bank Hold, downgraded$91+3.4%
Oct 7William BlairHold, reiterated——
Oct 7RBC CapitalBuy, maintained$124+40.9%
Sep 15Goldman SachsHold, maintained$112+27.3%
−2.2%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+2.0%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.6%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

SiteOne Landscape Supply seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, SiteOne Landscape Supply averaged +2.0% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+18.1%2021+3.2%2022−21.4%2023+9.1%2024+5.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+0.7%3 of 5
Next 10 trading days−0.2%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+4.7%4 of 5
Next 20 trading days+2.0%4 of 5
Next 30 trading days+5.9%3 of 5

For scale, SITE’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 7.2%.

SiteOne Landscape Supply market cap and key statistics

SiteOne Landscape Supply’s market cap is $3.84B, with a P/E ratio of 24 and revenue of $4.77B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$3.84B
P/E ratio
24
Forward P/E
19.3
EPS, TTM
$3.65
Gekko Fair Value
$99.84

Trading

Volume
1.27M
Avg volume, 20 days
1.06M
52-week high
$168.56
52-week low
$82.00
Shares outstanding
43.66M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.77B
Profit margin
3.4%
Return on equity
10.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+9.8%

Risk and income

Beta
1.39
Typical daily move
±3.6%
Typical 20-day move
±7.2%

SiteOne Landscape Supply peers

SiteOne Landscape Supply’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
GWWW.W. Grainger+0.9%Neutral22.6% above
FASTFastenal+1.0%Neutral29.5% above
FERGFerguson Enterprises+0.8%Accumulation4.7% below
GPCGenuine Parts+2.2%Neutral7.1% above
WCCWESCO International−1.4%Neutral16.9% above
AITApplied Industrial Technologies−0.2%Neutral2.7% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

SiteOne Landscape Supply stock FAQ

What is SiteOne Landscape Supply’s market cap?

SiteOne Landscape Supply’s market cap is $3.84B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $87.99, with 43.66M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 24.

What is the SiteOne Landscape Supply stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for SiteOne Landscape Supply is $123.17, +40.0% from the last close. Of the 10 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is SiteOne Landscape Supply stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate SiteOne Landscape Supply is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $87.99 is 11.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $99.84. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does SiteOne Landscape Supply report earnings next?

SiteOne Landscape Supply is expected to report on Oct 28, 2026, before the market opens (16 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $1.50 per share on revenue of $1.31B. SiteOne Landscape Supply beat the earnings estimate in 3 of its last 8 reports, moving 6.3% on average across the report.

What is SiteOne Landscape Supply’s 52-week high and low?

SiteOne Landscape Supply’s 52-week high is $168.56 and its 52-week low is $82.00; it closed at $87.99 on Oct 12, 2026, −25.9% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $260.00 on Nov 3, 2021.

Is SiteOne Landscape Supply stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 4 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value, smart money and seasonality) and 2 as headwinds (trend and earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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