Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MTG in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MTG insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTG in Gekko
NYSE: MTG
MGIC Investment (MTG) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$28.35−0.13 (−0.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryThis week's news around MGIC Investment centers on analyst activity and executive share sales rather than operating results. Argus lowered its target price to $32.00 while BTIG Research initiated coverage with a "neutral" rating, against a broader consensus described as "Moderate Buy" with an average target of $30.60. Separately, CFO Nathaniel Colson sold 20,000 shares at $29.48 per share under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, following a similar sale in June, with a related Form 144 filing also noted.
MTG closed at $28.35, down 0.5%, sitting between its 50-day average of $30.31 and 200-day average of $27.91. Over the past month the stock is down 8.8%, though it remains up 10.2% over six months and roughly flat over one year. The GekkoIndex reads 72.7, placing the stock in the Buying zone, up 3.4 over five days. Gekko Fair Value stands at $30.60, putting the current price 7.4% below that level.
Looking ahead, the next earnings report is due 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter's EPS of $0.76 beat the $0.74 estimate but the stock reacted with an 8.6% move. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged -0.2% over five years, rising in 2 of those years, a mild headwind worth noting alongside the current gap to Gekko Fair Value.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
MGIC Investment price vs fair value
Close $28.35200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.60
MGIC Investment quick facts
- Market cap
- $5.82B
- P/E ratio
- 9.2
- Forward P/E
- 8.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.14
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.20B
- Profit margin
- 59.2%
- Dividend yield
- 2.05%
- Beta
- 0.65
- Volume
- 1.88M avg 2.11M
- 1-year return
- −0.1%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- 50-day average
- $30.31
- 200-day average
- $27.91
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 205.1M
MGIC Investment swing-trade checklist
MGIC Investment scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendmixed
Averages disagree
Close $28.35 sits between the 50-day ($30.31) and 200-day ($27.91) averages, or the averages disagree.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
72.7, Buying
Reading 72.7 is in the Buying zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.4% below
Price is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalityheadwind
−0.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
MGIC Investment stock chart and price history
MGIC Investment closed at $28.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −0.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.69 to $31.89.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −8.8%
- 3 months
- +0.4%
- 6 months
- +10.2%
- 1 year
- −0.1%
The full MTG chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MTG in Gekko
Follow MGIC Investment through every session
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MGIC Investment GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
MGIC Investment’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 72.7, in the Buying zone, up 3.4 points over five sessions.
72.7Buying
Up 3.4 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying (current zone) | 21 | +2.3% | +6.2% | ||
| Accumulation | 190 | +0.5% | +3.9% | ||
| Neutral | 401 | +0.2% | +0.4% | ||
| Distribution | 51 | +0.1% | −0.4% | ||
| Selling | 9 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MTG share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Buying readings averaged +3.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Buying zone: Smart money likely accumulating heavily. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MTG price, zone by zone.Track MTG in Gekko
Is MGIC Investment stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
MGIC Investment trades 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.60, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what MGIC Investment shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$30.60
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
7.4% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MTG in Gekko
MGIC Investment insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MGIC Investment, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MTG were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MTG, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MTG in Gekko
Buybacks
MGIC Investment has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $184.7M
- As a share of market cap
- 3.18%
- Trailing four quarters
- $754.1M
From company filings.
MGIC Investment earnings: next date and track record
MGIC Investment reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $0.78
- Revenue estimate
- $298.8M
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±2.5%average move across the report
5 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- MGIC Investment posted Q1 2026 net income of $165 million with an annualized ROE of 13%. Book value per share rose 10% YoY to $23.63. New insurance written (NIW) surged 41% YoY to $14 billion, the largest Q1 NIW since 2022, driven by refinance activity. Balance sheet capital stands at $6 billion, with reinsurance reducing PMIERs required assets by $3.1 billion (52%). Board authorized an additional $750 million share repurchase program.
- Guidance
- Management expects insurance in force to remain relatively flat in 2026. If mortgage rates decline more than forecast, MI market could benefit from refinance activity, though offset by lower persistency. Capital return will continue alongside prudent insurance in force growth prioritization.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.76 est $0.74 | $297.1M est $303.1M | −8.6% |
| Feb 2, 2026 | $0.75 est $0.73 | $298.7M est $308.3M | −3.0% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.83 est $0.74 | $304.5M est $308.2M | +2.7% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.82 est $0.70 | $304.2M est $308.2M | +0.9% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.75 est $0.66 | $306.2M est $307.2M | +2.6% |
| Feb 3, 2025 | $0.72 est $0.66 | $301.4M est $303.5M | +0.2% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $0.77 est $0.67 | $306.6M est $306.0M | +1.2% |
| Jul 31, 2024 | $0.77 est $0.64 | $305.3M est $301.0M | −1.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
MGIC Investment stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for MGIC Investment is $31.00, +9.3% from the last close, from 6 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$31.00consensus 12-month target, +9.3% from the last close
Now $28.35Avg $31.00
Low $28High $35
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 6 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | KBW | — | — |
| Sep 25 | BTIG | — | — |
| Sep 24 | BTIG | — | — |
| Sep 22 | BTIG | $29.45 | +3.9% |
| Aug 3 | Bank of America Securities | — | — |
+6.2%average 20-day move after past Buying readings
−0.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
MGIC Investment seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, MGIC Investment averaged −0.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +1.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +0.5% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.2% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +2.1% | 3 of 5 |
For scale, MTG’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 4.7%.
MGIC Investment market cap and key statistics
MGIC Investment’s market cap is $5.82B, with a P/E ratio of 9.2 and revenue of $1.20B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $5.82B
- P/E ratio
- 9.2
- Forward P/E
- 8.7
- EPS, TTM
- $3.14
- Gekko Fair Value
- $30.60
Trading
- Volume
- 1.88M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 2.11M
- 52-week high
- $31.89
- 52-week low
- $24.69
- Shares outstanding
- 205.1M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $1.20B
- Profit margin
- 59.2%
- Return on equity
- 13.9%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +6.2%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.65
- Typical daily move
- ±2.5%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±4.7%
- Dividend yield
- 2.05%
MGIC Investment stock news this week
Coverage of MGIC Investment this week reads neutral: 3 positive, 2 neutral and 3 negative headlines.
- Why MGIC Investment (MTG) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your PortfolioZacks Investment Research, Sep 28
- Form 144 MGIC INVESTMENT CORP For: 26 September By Investing.comInvesting.com South Africa, Sep 27
- Mgic investment CFO sells $589,600 in shares By Investing.comInvesting.com, Sep 26
- A planned stock sale: MGIC Investment (MTG) finance chief Nathaniel Colson sells 20,000 sharesStock Titan, Sep 25
- After a June share sale, MGIC Investment Corp. (NYSE: MTG) officer Nathaniel Colson proposes another.Stock Titan, Sep 24
- MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Stock ForecastsYahoo! Finance Canada, Sep 24
MGIC Investment peers
MGIC Investment’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 3.7% below |
| BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| CBChubb | Accumulation | 6.2% below |
| TRVTravelers Companies | Accumulation | 1.3% below |
| HIGHartford Insurance | Buying | 11.4% below |
| LLoews | Buying | 15.3% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
MGIC Investment stock FAQ
What is MGIC Investment’s market cap?
MGIC Investment’s market cap is $5.82B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.35, with 205.1M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.2.
What is the MGIC Investment stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for MGIC Investment is $31.00, +9.3% from the last close. Of the 6 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is MGIC Investment stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate MGIC Investment is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $28.35 is 7.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.60. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does MGIC Investment report earnings next?
MGIC Investment is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.78 per share on revenue of $298.8M. MGIC Investment beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 2.5% on average across the report.
What is MGIC Investment’s 52-week high and low?
MGIC Investment’s 52-week high is $31.89 and its 52-week low is $24.69; it closed at $28.35 on Sep 28, 2026, −0.1% over the past year.
Is MGIC Investment stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (trend) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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