Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for MKL in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every MKL insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MKL in Gekko
NYSE: MKL
Markel (MKL) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Sep 28 close
$1,740.40+12.67 (+0.7%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryMarkel touched a new 52-week low of 1718.7 USD this week, part of a 19.28% year-to-date decline noted alongside the stock trading 20.82% below its yearly high. Coverage points to improvements in the insurance segment's profitability in Q2 2026, with flat operating revenue year-over-year but a significant increase in net income, even as adjusted operating income declined. The Q2 2026 call also emphasized steady operational improvement in underwriting, combined ratios in the low 90s for four consecutive quarters, expense discipline, and the launch of the Cortex business unit.
Markel closes at $1740.40, up 0.7%, but remains below both its 50-day average of $1839.69 and its 200-day average of $1937.15, with the 50-day below the 200-day. Shares sit near the 52-week low of $1716 and well under the 52-week high of $2207.59, with declines of 3.6% over one month, 11% over three months and 8.6% over the past year. The GekkoIndex reads 69.9, placing the stock in the Accumulation zone, while price sits 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $1889.13.
The next earnings date falls on 4 November 2026, 36 days out and outside a typical 20-trading-day hold; the prior report showed EPS of 19.51 against an estimate of 29.94, with a -7.5% reaction. No insider, Congress or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonality from this point has averaged +1.8% over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 2 of them. One tracked analyst holds a rating on the stock, with a consensus target of $1956.33.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.
Markel price vs fair value
Close $1,740.40200-day averageGekko Fair Value $1,889.13
Markel quick facts
- Market cap
- $21.56B
- P/E ratio
- 9.6
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- $180.46
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.60B
- Profit margin
- 13.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
- Beta
- 0.65
- Volume
- 72,870 avg 69,439
- 1-year return
- −8.6%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.6%
- 50-day average
- $1,839.69
- 200-day average
- $1,937.15
- Next earnings
- Nov 4
- Shares outstanding
- 12.39M
Markel swing-trade checklist
Markel scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendheadwind
Below 50 and 200-day
Close $1740.40 is below the 50-day ($1839.69) and 200-day ($1937.15) averages, and the 50-day is below the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexsupportive
69.9, Accumulation
Reading 69.9 is in the Accumulation zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuesupportive
7.9% below
Price is 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 36 days
Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
+1.8% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.8% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Markel stock chart and price history
Markel closed at $1,740.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.6% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $1,716.00 to $2,207.59.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- −3.6%
- 3 months
- −11.0%
- 6 months
- −6.8%
- 1 year
- −8.6%
The full MKL chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open MKL in Gekko
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About Markel
Markel underwrites specialty insurance and reinsurance policies for clients located in North America, Bermuda, Britain, parts of Europe, Canada, Asia Pacific markets, and the Middle East. Its insurance offerings include liability protection, personal coverage, marine and energy policies, workers' compensation, and custom specialty programs, as well as property insurance that guards against fire damage and severe weather events like quakes and windstorms, plus credit, surety, and collateral-related products. On the reinsurance front, Markel handles risk tied to transactions, healthcare claims, and environmental liabilities, alongside treaty-based programs covering credit, political risk, mortgages, and commercial surety.
Apart from underwriting, Markel runs a separate group of companies under its Ventures arm that make things like food-processing and baking machinery, dredging equipment, vehicle transporters, wood flooring, plants, homes, handbags, and building trim, while other units within that arm offer services such as distributing exterior products, renting cranes, fire safety work, business consulting, and retail data analysis. A further part of the company deals in healthcare, leasing, and investment activity, where it manages funds and insurance-related assets, offering tools like catastrophe bonds, weather-linked derivatives, and swap contracts tied to insurance risk, sometimes managing these funds jointly with outside firms.
Markel trades on the NYSE under the ticker MKL.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Property/Casualty insurance
- Website
- mklgroup.com
Markel GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Markel’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 69.9, in the Accumulation zone, up 3.3 points over five sessions.
69.9Accumulation
Up 3.3 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 28, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 34 | +1.1% | +3.6% | ||
| Accumulation (current zone) | 184 | +1.0% | +2.6% | ||
| Neutral | 416 | −0.2% | 0.0% | ||
| Distribution | 37 | −0.6% | −1.4% | ||
| Selling | 1 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average MKL share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Accumulation readings averaged +2.3% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Accumulation zone: Institutional interest building. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the MKL price, zone by zone.Track MKL in Gekko
Is Markel stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Markel trades 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,889.13, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Markel shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$1,889.13
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 26, 2026
7.9% Undervalued
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open MKL in Gekko
Markel insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Markel, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in MKL were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for MKL, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open MKL in Gekko
Buybacks
Markel has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $236.7M
- As a share of market cap
- 1.10%
- Trailing four quarters
- $959.5M
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30
1of the funds Gekko tracks holds MKL.
1added0opened0trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Markel earnings: next date and track record
Markel reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Nov 4, 2026
36 days away
- EPS estimate
- $27.36
- Revenue estimate
- $3.82B
5 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.7%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Markel Group's Q2 2026 call emphasized steady operational improvement, particularly in insurance underwriting, and strong consolidated earnings driven in part by net investment gains. Management highlighted a reorganized insurance structure, improved combined ratios (low 90s for four consecutive quarters), expense discipline, and the launch of a new AI-enabled business unit (Cortex) to address hard-to-place U.S. casualty risks. Consolidated operating revenues were flat year-over-year; operating income and net income improved quarter-over-quarter with significant net investment gains. Adjusted operating income was down versus prior year but management reiterated a longer-term focus. During Q&A, the primary issue discussed was a reserve/ collateral shortfall related to certain programs run through State National; management described detailed reviews, conservative reserving, and confidence in State National’s capitalization and long-term track record. Other topics included casualty and property pricing dynamics, consumer and industrial segment performance drivers, stop-loss treaties helping casualty reserving, and continued capital return (share repurchases). Overall tone combined cautious optimism about underwriting progress and strategic investments with candid discussion of reserve pressures at State National.
- Guidance
- No firm forward-looking numeric guidance was issued on the call. Management referenced prior commentary about a possible $700 million underwriting profit target (not reiterated as a firm target; management said it now looks "a little lighter") and discussed a previously stated potential favorable reserve development of up to 5% or ~$800 million for 2026 (this was discussed in Q&A context but not restated as definitive guidance). Management otherwise avoided giving new hard numbers and emphasized longer-term performance metrics.
- Risks flagged
- Risk factors discussed include: (1) reserve adequacy and a collateral shortfall tied to certain programs at State National leading to a notable charge; (2) modest adverse development in casualty reserves and the potential for further reserve pressure; (3) competitive pressures in property and casualty markets (pricing below trend in some casualty lines, aggressive competition in property); (4) aggregation risk across alternative capacity providers/reinsurance counterparties; (5) cyclical weakness in certain industrial end markets affecting margins; and (6) reliance on reinsurance structures and collateral arrangements that may require top-ups.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $19.51 est $29.94 | $5.19B est $4.50B | −7.5% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $23.55 est $26.34 | $2.82B est $3.66B | −7.2% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $34.45 est $27.62 | $4.22B est $3.64B | +2.8% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $30.90 est $24.02 | $4.39B est $3.75B | +5.5% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $25.46 est $24.97 | $4.41B est $4.82B | −0.5% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $25.72 est $16.77 | $3.33B est $3.92B | +0.3% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $20.51 est $19.00 | $4.02B est $3.16B | +12.1% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $17.34 est $21.43 | $4.50B est $3.96B | −1.4% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Markel stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Markel is $1,956.33, +12.4% from the last close, from 1 firm rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$1,956.33consensus 12-month target, +12.4% from the last close
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 1 firm.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | Truist Financial | $1,950 | +12.0% |
+2.6%average 20-day move after past Accumulation readings
+1.8%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Markel seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Markel averaged +1.8% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.4% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +2.3% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +1.8% | 2 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +5.8% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, MKL’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.6%.
Markel market cap and key statistics
Markel’s market cap is $21.56B, with a P/E ratio of 9.6 and revenue of $16.60B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $21.56B
- P/E ratio
- 9.6
- Forward P/E
- 15.2
- EPS, TTM
- $180.46
- Gekko Fair Value
- $1,889.13
Trading
- Volume
- 72,870
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 69,439
- 52-week high
- $2,207.59
- 52-week low
- $1,716.00
- Shares outstanding
- 12.39M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $16.60B
- Profit margin
- 13.8%
- Return on equity
- 12.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +86.8%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.65
- Typical daily move
- ±1.4%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.6%
Markel stock news this week
Coverage of Markel this week reads neutral: 0 positive, 3 neutral and 2 negative headlines.
- Markel Corp stock hits 52-week low at 1718.7 USDInvesting.com India, Sep 25
- Andra AP fonden Acquires 1,320 Shares of Markel Group Inc. $MKLMarketBeat, Sep 24
- Markel Group stock sits 20.82 percent below its yearly highAD HOC NEWS, Sep 23
- Markel Group (MKL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptFortune, Sep 23
- 4,307 Shares in Markel Group Inc. $MKL Acquired by Nykredit A SMarketBeat, Sep 22
Markel peers
Markel’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 3.7% below |
| BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway | Accumulation | 2.8% below |
| CBChubb | Accumulation | 6.2% below |
| TRVTravelers Companies | Accumulation | 1.3% below |
| HIGHartford Insurance | Buying | 11.4% below |
| LLoews | Buying | 15.3% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Markel stock FAQ
What is Markel’s market cap?
Markel’s market cap is $21.56B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $1,740.40, with 12.39M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 9.6.
What is the Markel stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Markel is $1,956.33, +12.4% from the last close. Of the 1 firm that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 0 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Markel stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Markel is undervalued: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $1,740.40 is 7.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $1,889.13. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Markel report earnings next?
Markel is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $27.36 per share on revenue of $3.82B. Markel beat the earnings estimate in 5 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.7% on average across the report.
What is Markel’s 52-week high and low?
Markel’s 52-week high is $2,207.59 and its 52-week low is $1,716.00; it closed at $1,740.40 on Sep 28, 2026, −8.6% over the past year.
Is Markel stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (gekkoindex, fair value and earnings risk), 1 as mixed (seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (trend). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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