Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TRV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRV in Gekko
NYSE: TRV
Travelers Companies (TRV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
Nov 4 close
$409.25+13.84 (+3.5%)
Gekko Brief
AI summaryNov 4 closeTravelers reached an all-time high this week, with shares touching $407.95 before closing at $409.25. The move follows the launch of an AI-powered tool, Travis Upload & Go, designed to automate workers' compensation quotes for independent agents serving small businesses, part of a broader push to reduce manual data entry in that line. Separately, company representatives discussed ongoing efforts to combat insurance fraud, particularly in workers' compensation, underscoring continued focus on underwriting quality alongside the technology rollout.
TRV trades at $409.25, up 3.5%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $376.57 and 200-day average of $331.82, with the 50-day above the 200-day. The GekkoIndex reads 46.3, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down 0.8 over the past five readings. Price stands 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $376.08, a gap analysts' consensus target of $376.54 also reflects, implying -8% from current levels.
The next earnings report is scheduled for 20 January 2027, 76 days out, placing it outside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows, and billionaire holders stand at zero. Seasonality from this point in the calendar has averaged a 3.2% gain over the next 20 trading days across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. With the stock at a fresh high and trading above Fair Value, the gap bears watching alongside the Neutral GekkoIndex reading.
Written by AI from the Nov 4, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.
Travelers Companies price vs fair value
Close $409.25200-day averageGekko Fair Value $376.08
Travelers Companies quick facts
- Market cap
- $83.87B
- P/E ratio
- 10.4
- Forward P/E
- 13.5
- EPS, TTM
- $38.28
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.92B
- Profit margin
- 17%
- Dividend yield
- 1.19%
- Beta
- 0.40
- Volume
- 1.89M avg 1.52M
- 1-year return
- +52.9%
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- 50-day average
- $376.57
- 200-day average
- $331.82
- Next earnings
- Jan 20 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 204.9M
Travelers Companies swing-trade checklist
Travelers Companies scores 3 supportive, 1 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
3 supportive1 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $409.25 is above the 50-day ($376.57) and 200-day ($331.82) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
46.3, Neutral
Reading 46.3 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valueheadwind
8.8% above
Price is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings risksupportive
Reports in 76 days
Next report Jan 20, 2027, 76 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitysupportive
+3.2% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +3.2% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Travelers Companies stock chart and price history
Travelers Companies closed at $409.25 on Nov 4, 2026, +52.9% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $268.00 to $409.31.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +13.5%
- 3 months
- +6.0%
- 6 months
- +35.7%
- 1 year
- +52.9%
The full TRV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRV in Gekko
Follow Travelers Companies through every session
Put TRV on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.
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About Travelers Companies
Travelers Companies provides property and casualty insurance for both businesses and individuals, covering customers that range from small firms to large corporations, government bodies, associations, and private policyholders in the United States and abroad. It is recognized for offering a wide range of commercial and personal coverage, from standard policies like auto and property insurance to specialized lines such as marine, aviation, energy, construction, and kidnap and ransom protection.
The company runs three main business lines. Business Insurance handles commercial coverage such as workers' compensation, general liability, and specialty policies for industries including trucking and agriculture. Bond & Specialty Insurance provides surety and fidelity bonds along with management and professional liability coverage and related risk management services. Personal Insurance focuses on auto and homeowners policies for individual consumers. All three segments sell their products through independent agents, brokers, and wholesale intermediaries rather than direct channels.
Travelers Companies was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TRV.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Property/Casualty insurance
- Website
- travelers.com
Travelers Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Travelers Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 46.3, in the Neutral zone, down 0.8 points over five sessions.
46.3Neutral
Down 0.8 points over five sessions.
Reading for Nov 4, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 12 | +3.4% | +8.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 167 | +0.9% | +3.4% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 444 | +0.3% | +1.0% | ||
| Distribution | 68 | +0.5% | +2.7% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TRV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.0% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRV price, zone by zone.Track TRV in Gekko
Is Travelers Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Travelers Companies trades 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $376.08, so the shares are overvalued on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Travelers Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$376.08
Gekko Fair Value, Nov 4, 2026
8.8% Overvalued
At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 1.7% above the estimate.
Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRV in Gekko
Travelers Companies insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Travelers Companies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TRV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TRV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRV in Gekko
Buybacks
Travelers Companies has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026
- $1.49B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.78%
- Trailing four quarters
- $6.23B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TRV.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Travelers Companies earnings: next date and track record
Travelers Companies reports on Jan 20, 2027, before the open (76 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Jan 20, 2027
Expected before the open, 76 days away
- EPS estimate
- $9.88
- Revenue estimate
- $10.72B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.1%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Oct 16, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- TRV reported Q3 2026 core income of $1.95B ($9.18/diluted share) with 22.1% core ROE and a combined ratio of 86.8%. Underwriting income reached $1.4B pretax, while after-tax net investment income rose 7% to $908M. Net written premiums totaled $11.5B, with Bond & Specialty growing 12% and Business Insurance up 4% ex-Canada. The company returned $1.8B to shareholders, including $1.5B in buybacks.
- Guidance
- Management highlighted continued strategic investments and innovation initiatives. Adjusted book value per share grew 24% since early 2025, signaling balance sheet strength. No explicit EPS or revenue targets were provided in this excerpt.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | $9.18 est $7.39 | $12.41B est $11.36B | +0.4% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | $10.04 est $5.31 | $11.53B est $11.26B | +9.1% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $7.71 est $7.08 | $10.34B est $10.72B | +0.5% |
| Jan 21, 2026 | $11.06 est $8.92 | $10.86B est $11.12B | +3.3% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $8.14 est $6.39 | $12.47B est $11.69B | −2.8% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $6.51 est $3.65 | $12.12B est $11.62B | +5.5% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $1.91 est $0.79 | $11.81B est $10.84B | +2.5% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $9.15 est $6.60 | $12.01B est $10.75B | +1.0% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Travelers Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Travelers Companies is $376.54, −8.0% from the last close, from 20 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$376.54consensus 12-month target, −8.0% from the last close
Now $409.25Avg $376.54
Low $318High $460
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 20 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | Roth MKM | $460 | +12.4% |
| Oct 23 | Morgan Stanley | $350 | −14.5% |
| Oct 23 | Cantor Fitzgerald | $397 | −3.0% |
| Oct 20 | J.P. Morgan | $379 | −7.4% |
| Oct 20 | J.P. Morgan | $379 | −7.4% |
+1.0%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+3.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.2%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Travelers Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Nov 4, Travelers Companies averaged +3.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | +2.1% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | +2.8% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | +3.9% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | +3.2% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.1% | 5 of 5 |
For scale, TRV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.9%.
Travelers Companies market cap and key statistics
Travelers Companies’s market cap is $83.87B, with a P/E ratio of 10.4 and revenue of $48.92B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $83.87B
- P/E ratio
- 10.4
- Forward P/E
- 13.5
- EPS, TTM
- $38.28
- Gekko Fair Value
- $376.08
Trading
- Volume
- 1.89M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.52M
- 52-week high
- $409.31
- 52-week low
- $268.00
- Shares outstanding
- 204.9M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.92B
- Profit margin
- 17%
- Return on equity
- 27.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +9.7%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.40
- Typical daily move
- ±2.2%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.9%
- Dividend yield
- 1.19%
Travelers Companies stock news this week
Coverage of Travelers Companies this week reads positive: 10 positive, 3 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Travelers Companies stock hits all-time high of 407.95 USD By Investing.comInvesting.com UK, Nov 4
- Travelers Companies stock gets AI boost in workers compensation quotesad-hoc-news.de, Nov 4
- A Fraud Prevention Discussion with Rich Ives and Todd Mattiello of TravelersRisk & Insurance, Nov 4
- 8,510 Shares in The Travelers Companies, Inc. $TRV Acquired by Bank Julius Baer & Co. Ltd ZurichMarketBeat, Nov 4
- If You Invested $1000 In Travelers Companies Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much TodayBenzinga, Nov 3
- The Travelers Companies, Inc. (0R03.IL) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance UK, Nov 3
Travelers Companies peers
Travelers Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway | Distribution | 10.1% above |
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Distribution | 8.8% above |
| CBChubb | Neutral | 5.1% above |
| HIGHartford Insurance | Neutral | 0.0% above |
| MKLMarkel | Neutral | 4.6% above |
| LLoews | Neutral | 25.2% above |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Travelers Companies stock FAQ
What is Travelers Companies’s market cap?
Travelers Companies’s market cap is $83.87B at the Nov 4, 2026 close of $409.25, with 204.9M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.4.
What is the Travelers Companies stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Travelers Companies is $376.54, −8.0% from the last close. Of the 20 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 4 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Travelers Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Travelers Companies is overvalued: the Nov 4, 2026 close of $409.25 is 8.8% above Gekko Fair Value of $376.08. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Travelers Companies report earnings next?
Travelers Companies is expected to report on Jan 20, 2027, before the market opens (76 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $9.88 per share on revenue of $10.72B. Travelers Companies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.1% on average across the report.
What is Travelers Companies’s 52-week high and low?
Travelers Companies’s 52-week high is $409.31 and its 52-week low is $268.00; it closed at $409.25 on Nov 4, 2026, +52.9% over the past year.
Is Travelers Companies stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 3 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend, earnings risk and seasonality), 1 as mixed (gekkoindex) and 1 as a headwind (fair value). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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