Insider buying last 90 days
No open-market insider purchases were filed for TRV in the last 90 days.
From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.
Every TRV insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRV in Gekko
NYSE: TRV
Travelers Companies (TRV) Stock Analysis & Forecast
$374.62−4.87 (−1.3%)
Close on Sep 18, 2026. Page updated Sep 19, 9:15 pm ET.
Gekko Brief
AI summaryTravelers Companies trades at $374.62, down 1.3%, and sits above both its 50-day average of $369.94 and 200-day average of $316.18, with the shorter average also above the longer one. The GekkoIndex reads 54.8, placing it in the Neutral zone. Fair value analysis puts Gekko Fair Value at $366.18, meaning the stock trades 2.3% above that mark. Over the past year the stock has returned 36.2%, with six-month gains of 26.2% and three-month gains of 21.7%.
This week's activity centers on institutional positioning and analyst commentary. Nykredit A S disclosed a new stake of 721,322 shares valued at roughly $238.1 million, while Bank of America Corp DE took a new position of 2.82 million shares worth approximately $932.1 million, a 1.35% stake. Mizuho Securities raised its price target to $348 from $343 while maintaining a Neutral rating. Separately, an appellate panel questioned Travelers' insurance units over policy exclusions tied to biometric privacy violations during oral arguments.
Travelers next reports earnings on 16 October 2026, before the open, 26 days out and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior quarter saw EPS of $10.04 versus an estimate of $5.31, with a 9.1% reaction, and the company has beaten estimates in 8 of the last 8 quarters. Seasonality over the next 20 trading days has averaged -0.5% across 5 years, rising in 4 of them. Analyst consensus among 21 firms includes 5 buy, 11 hold, and 5 sell ratings, with a consensus target of $360.54.
Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 20, 2026 from the data above.
Price vs fair value
Close $374.62200-day averageGekko Fair Value $366.18
Key stats
- Market cap
- $78.14B
- P/E ratio
- 10.2
- Forward P/E
- 13.1
- EPS, TTM
- $37.27
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.98B
- Profit margin
- 17%
- Dividend yield
- 1.20%
- Beta
- 0.45
- Volume
- 3.27M avg 1.47M
- 1-year return
- +36.2%
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- 50-day average
- $369.94
- 200-day average
- $316.18
- Next earnings
- Oct 16 before open
- Shares outstanding
- 208.6M
Travelers Companies swing-trade checklist
Travelers Companies scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.
Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.
1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind
- Trendsupportive
Above 50 and 200-day
Close $374.62 is above the 50-day ($369.94) and 200-day ($316.18) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.
See the chart - GekkoIndexmixed
54.8, Neutral
Reading 54.8 is in the Neutral zone.
See the GekkoIndex - Fair valuemixed
2.3% above
Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (2.3% above).
See fair value - Smart moneyno data
No data
No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.
See smart money - Earnings riskheadwind
Reports in 26 days
Reports on Oct 16, 2026, 26 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.
See earnings - Seasonalitymixed
−0.5% on average
From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −0.5% over 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
See seasonality
A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works
Travelers Companies stock chart and price history
Travelers Companies closed at $374.62 on Sep 18, 2026, +36.2% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $252.26 to $398.70.
Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.
Performance Breakdown
- 1 month
- +3.4%
- 3 months
- +21.7%
- 6 months
- +26.2%
- 1 year
- +36.2%
The full TRV chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open TRV in Gekko
Follow Travelers Companies through every session
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About Travelers Companies
Travelers Companies provides property and casualty insurance for both businesses and individuals, covering customers that range from small firms to large corporations, government bodies, associations, and private policyholders in the United States and abroad. It is recognized for offering a wide range of commercial and personal coverage, from standard policies like auto and property insurance to specialized lines such as marine, aviation, energy, construction, and kidnap and ransom protection.
The company runs three main business lines. Business Insurance handles commercial coverage such as workers' compensation, general liability, and specialty policies for industries including trucking and agriculture. Bond & Specialty Insurance provides surety and fidelity bonds along with management and professional liability coverage and related risk management services. Personal Insurance focuses on auto and homeowners policies for individual consumers. All three segments sell their products through independent agents, brokers, and wholesale intermediaries rather than direct channels.
Travelers Companies was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker TRV.
- Listed
- NYSE
- Sector
- Finance
- Industry
- Property/Casualty insurance
- Website
- travelers.com
Travelers Companies GekkoIndex: the smart money zone
Travelers Companies’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 54.8, in the Neutral zone, down 1.5 points over five sessions.
54.8Neutral
Down 1.5 points over five sessions.
Reading for Sep 18, 2026
What followed past readings in each zone
| Zone | Readings | 5 days | 20 days | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buying | 12 | +3.4% | +8.8% | ||
| Accumulation | 155 | +0.9% | +3.0% | ||
| Neutral (current zone) | 427 | +0.2% | +1.1% | ||
| Distribution | 62 | +0.5% | +2.7% | ||
| Selling | 6 | Too few readings yet | |||
Average TRV share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.2% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.
Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →
See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the TRV price, zone by zone.Track TRV in Gekko
Is Travelers Companies stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value
Travelers Companies trades 2.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $366.18, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.
Gekko’s own estimate of what Travelers Companies shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.
$366.18
Gekko Fair Value, Sep 19, 2026
2.3% above fair value · About fair value
Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open TRV in Gekko
Travelers Companies insider and Congress trading
No open-market insider purchases were filed for Travelers Companies, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.
Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.
Congress trades last 90 days
No trades in TRV were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.
From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.
Congress disclosures for TRV, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open TRV in Gekko
Buybacks
Travelers Companies has been buying back its own shares.
- Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
- $1.32B
- As a share of market cap
- 1.69%
- Trailing four quarters
- $5.36B
From company filings.
Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Mar 31
0of the funds Gekko tracks hold TRV.
0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko
Travelers Companies earnings: next date and track record
Travelers Companies reports on Oct 16, 2026, before the open (26 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports.
Next earnings report
Oct 16, 2026
Expected before the open, 26 days away
- EPS estimate
- $6.77
- Revenue estimate
- $11.31B
8 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±4.3%average move across the report
7 of 8reports followed by a gain
Share-price move across each report
Last earnings call, Jul 17, 2026 AI summary
- What they said
- Travelers reported an excellent Q2 2026 with strong underwriting across all segments and a robust investment result. Core income was $2.2 billion ($10.04 per share) with core ROE of 24.9% for the quarter and 24.2% on a trailing 12-month basis. Underwriting income, favorable prior-year reserve development (PYD), and rising net investment income (NII) drove performance; the all-in combined ratio was 83.6% and underlying combined ratio 84.1%. Net written premiums totaled $11.5 billion with growth in Business Insurance (to $6.0B), Bond & Specialty (to $1.2B), and Personal Insurance (to $4.3B). Management highlighted durable underlying underwriting income supported by data, analytics, and Innovation initiatives (including AI-driven claims straight-through processing), a >$100B high-quality investment portfolio (95% fixed income, 99% investment grade), and continued capital returns (>$1.5B in Q2 including $1.3B buybacks). Management reiterated a disciplined underwriting approach, mid-teens ROE long-term target, and conservative capital management while remaining open to M&A and reinvestment opportunities.
- Guidance
- Fixed income net investment income outlook: approximately $840 million in Q3 2026 and roughly $870 million in Q4 2026. Full-year expense ratio expected to be around 28.5% (consistent with prior guidance). Continued expectation of mid-teens core ROE 'over time' as the target. Reinsurance actions: replaced CAT bond (increased to $750M) and renewed Northeast CAT XOL providing $1B occurrence coverage above $2.75B attachment; elected not to renew certain personal lines CAT XOL coverage.
- Risks flagged
- Catastrophe and weather volatility remain a material exposure; management emphasizes disciplined risk selection and reinsurance but CAT losses can be large. Management continues to carry an uncertainty provision established in 2024-2025 and has not released it. Operational/implementation risk from complex technology/system conversions (noted customer/agent disruptions). Competitive pricing pressure in certain property and personal lines markets, and macroeconomic/claims trends (e.g., workers' comp severity, loss trend normalization) could affect results.
| Reported | EPS | Revenue | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | $10.04 est $5.31 | $11.53B est $11.26B | +9.1% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | $7.71 est $7.08 | $10.34B est $10.72B | +0.5% |
| Jan 21, 2026 | $11.06 est $8.92 | $10.86B est $11.12B | +3.3% |
| Oct 16, 2025 | $8.14 est $6.39 | $12.47B est $11.69B | −2.8% |
| Jul 17, 2025 | $6.51 est $3.65 | $12.12B est $11.62B | +5.5% |
| Apr 16, 2025 | $1.91 est $0.79 | $11.81B est $10.84B | +2.5% |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $9.15 est $6.60 | $12.01B est $10.75B | +1.0% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $5.24 est $3.59 | $11.90B est $11.44B | +9.3% |
“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
Travelers Companies stock forecast and analyst price targets
Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Travelers Companies is $360.54, −3.8% from the last close, from 21 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.
$360.54consensus 12-month target, −3.8% from the last close
Now $374.62Avg $360.54
Low $297High $425
Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 21 firms.
Latest analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Target | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15 | Mizuho Securities | $348 | −7.1% |
| Jul 24 | Mizuho Securities | $343 | −8.4% |
| Jul 22 | Truist Financial | — | — |
| Jul 21 | J.P. Morgan | $341 | −9.0% |
| Jul 21 | UBS | $383 | +2.2% |
+1.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−0.5%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±1.8%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range
Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.
Travelers Companies seasonality: the next 20 trading days
Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 19, Travelers Companies averaged −0.5% across the last 5 years, rising in 4 of them.
Next 20 trading days, by year
Average move and hit rate
| Window | Average | Years higher |
|---|---|---|
| Next 5 trading days | −1.3% | 3 of 5 |
| Next 10 trading days | −1.6% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 15 trading days | −2.1% | 1 of 5 |
| Next 20 trading days | −0.5% | 4 of 5 |
| Next 30 trading days | +3.7% | 4 of 5 |
For scale, TRV’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 3.8%.
Travelers Companies market cap and key statistics
Travelers Companies’s market cap is $78.14B, with a P/E ratio of 10.2 and revenue of $48.98B over the last twelve months.
Valuation
- Market cap
- $78.14B
- P/E ratio
- 10.2
- Forward P/E
- 13.1
- EPS, TTM
- $37.27
- Gekko Fair Value
- $366.18
Trading
- Volume
- 3.27M
- Avg volume, 20 days
- 1.47M
- 52-week high
- $398.70
- 52-week low
- $252.26
- Shares outstanding
- 208.6M
Financials
- Revenue, TTM
- $48.98B
- Profit margin
- 17%
- Return on equity
- 26.5%
- Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
- +57.1%
Risk and income
- Beta
- 0.45
- Typical daily move
- ±1.8%
- Typical 20-day move
- ±3.8%
- Dividend yield
- 1.20%
Travelers Companies stock news this week
Coverage of Travelers Companies this week reads neutral: 6 positive, 7 neutral and 1 negative headlines.
- Nykredit A S Invests $238.12 Million in The Travelers Companies, Inc. $TRVMarketBeat, Sep 18
- Travelers Companies stock heads into the open after a 0.08% dipad-hoc-news.de, Sep 17
- Mizuho Securities Adjusts Travelers Companies PT to $348 From $343, Maintains Neutral Ratingmarketscreener.com, Sep 16
- Bank of America Corp DE Takes Position in The Travelers Companies, Inc. $TRVMarketBeat, Sep 16
- Press Release: Travelers Schedules Conference Call to Review Third Quarter 2026 ResultsMoomoo, Sep 15
- Travelers Schedules Conference Call to Review Third Quarter 2026 ResultsYahoo Finance, Sep 14
Travelers Companies peers
Travelers Companies’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.
| Stock | GekkoIndex zone | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Neutral | 2.3% below |
| BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway | Neutral | 1.3% below |
| CBChubb | Accumulation | 3.8% below |
| HIGHartford Insurance | Accumulation | 7.9% below |
| LLoews | Accumulation | 17.7% above |
| MKLMarkel | Accumulation | 6.6% below |
A peer links to its own page where one exists.
Travelers Companies stock FAQ
What is Travelers Companies’s market cap?
Travelers Companies’s market cap is $78.14B at the Sep 18, 2026 close of $374.62, with 208.6M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 10.2.
What is the Travelers Companies stock forecast?
The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Travelers Companies is $360.54, −3.8% from the last close. Of the 21 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 5 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 5 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.
Is Travelers Companies stock overvalued or undervalued?
On Gekko’s estimate Travelers Companies is about fair value: the Sep 18, 2026 close of $374.62 is 2.3% above Gekko Fair Value of $366.18. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.
When does Travelers Companies report earnings next?
Travelers Companies is expected to report on Oct 16, 2026, before the market opens (26 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $6.77 per share on revenue of $11.31B. Travelers Companies beat the earnings estimate in 8 of its last 8 reports, moving 4.3% on average across the report.
What is Travelers Companies’s 52-week high and low?
Travelers Companies’s 52-week high is $398.70 and its 52-week low is $252.26; it closed at $374.62 on Sep 18, 2026, +36.2% over the past year.
Is Travelers Companies stock a buy right now?
Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.
How this page works
Prices and signals update after every US market close; the GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →
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