NYSE: HIPO

Hippo (HIPO) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$34.31+0.34 (+1.0%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

This week's news around Hippo centers on an officer's proposed sale of 5,000 shares, valued at $170,900, following three prior sales of 5,000 shares each in July, August, and September 2026, totaling 15,000 shares. Separately, a Hippo report finds that extreme weather damage is leaving homeowners with long-term household debt, with nearly a quarter still carrying debt from out-of-pocket repairs.

Hippo closed at $34.31, up 1%, sitting above both its 50-day average of $32.49 and its 200-day average of $29.02, with the shorter average above the longer one. The stock's one-month return stands at 7.2%, its three-month return at 20.3%, and its six-month return at 28.7%, against a one-year return of -4.4%. The GekkoIndex reading is 45.2, placing it in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -11.2. Gekko Fair Value is set at $35.81, putting the current price 4.2% below that level.

Hippo reports earnings on 4 November 2026, 23 days away, falling inside a typical 20-trading-day holding window. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the recent windows. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged an 11.2% gain over 5 years, though only 2 of those years were positive. Analyst coverage from 3 firms shows 1 buy and 2 hold ratings, with a consensus target of $40.88, implying 19.1% upside under that consensus.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Hippo price vs fair value

$35.81$34.31Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $34.31200-day averageGekko Fair Value $35.81

Hippo quick facts

Market cap
$905.4M
P/E ratio
7.3
Forward P/E
—
EPS, TTM
$4.67
Revenue, TTM
$507.1M
Profit margin
23.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
1.55
Volume
343,836 avg 194,669
1-year return
−4.4%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.8%
50-day average
$32.49
200-day average
$29.02
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
26.39M
52-week range
$24.08$38.73

Hippo swing-trade checklist

Hippo scores 1 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

1 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $34.31 is above the 50-day ($32.49) and 200-day ($29.02) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    45.2, Neutral

    Reading 45.2 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    4.2% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (4.2% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +11.2% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +11.2% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Hippo stock chart and price history

Hippo closed at $34.31 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.4% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $24.08 to $38.73.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Hippo share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$25$30NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct34.31

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+7.2%
3 months
+20.3%
6 months
+28.7%
1 year
−4.4%
The full HIPO chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HIPO in Gekko

Follow Hippo through every session

Put HIPO on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Hippo

Hippo provides home insurance for homeowners throughout the United States and the District of Columbia. Its core offering covers common household risks like fire, wind damage, and theft, alongside commercial coverage and other personal insurance products. The company has built its reputation around protecting homes through a connected digital platform rather than traditional paperwork-heavy processes.

Customers can purchase policies through Hippo's own technology system, choosing to go online, call in, or work with a licensed insurance agent. This flexible distribution approach allows the company to reach homeowners through whichever channel suits them best, while keeping the underlying platform proprietary to Hippo itself.

Hippo is headquartered in Palo Alto, California, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HIPO.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Property/Casualty insurance
Website
hippo.com

Hippo GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Hippo’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 45.2, in the Neutral zone, down 11.2 points over five sessions.

010045.2Neutral

Down 11.2 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying16+3.4%+4.2%+2.3%+15.4%
Accumulation260+0.9%+1.3%+3.3%+9.0%
Neutral (current zone)344+0.9%+2.4%+4.7%+7.7%
Distribution49+5.2%+8.5%+14.7%+19.3%
Selling13Not available

Average HIPO share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HIPO price, zone by zone.Track HIPO in Gekko

Is Hippo stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Hippo trades 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.81, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Hippo shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$35.81

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

4.2% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 12.0% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$36$34Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HIPO in Gekko

Hippo insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hippo, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HIPO in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HIPO insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HIPO in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HIPO were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HIPO, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HIPO in Gekko

Buybacks

Hippo has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Sep 30, 2025
$14.50M
As a share of market cap
1.60%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold HIPO.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Hippo earnings: next date and track record

Hippo reports on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away).

Hippo stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hippo is $40.88, +19.1% from the last close, from 3 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$40.88consensus 12-month target, +19.1% from the last close
Low $35High $38
Buy1
Hold2
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 3 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 6KBWHold, maintained$35+2.0%
Jul 31William BlairHold, maintained——
Jul 31B. Riley SecuritiesBuy, reiterated$38+10.8%
+4.7%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+11.2%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Hippo seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Hippo averaged +11.2% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−3.7%2021−3.9%2022+25.5%2023+43.9%2024−2.0%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+2.4%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days−1.4%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+1.9%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+11.2%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+6.5%2 of 5

For scale, HIPO’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 10.8%.

Hippo market cap and key statistics

Hippo’s market cap is $905.4M, with a P/E ratio of 7.3 and revenue of $507.1M over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$905.4M
P/E ratio
7.3
EPS, TTM
$4.67
Gekko Fair Value
$35.81

Trading

Volume
343,836
Avg volume, 20 days
194,669
52-week high
$38.73
52-week low
$24.08
Shares outstanding
26.39M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$507.1M
Profit margin
23.9%
Return on equity
30.3%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+660.0%

Risk and income

Beta
1.55
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±10.8%

Hippo stock news this week

Coverage of Hippo this week reads negative: 0 positive, 1 neutral and 2 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Hippo peers

Hippo’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway+0.5%Neutral0.1% above
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway+0.1%Neutral1.2% below
CBChubb+0.6%Neutral1.8% below
TRVTravelers Companies+0.4%Neutral1.6% above
HIGHartford Insurance+0.1%Neutral7.1% below
MKLMarkel+1.2%Neutral3.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Hippo stock FAQ

What is Hippo’s market cap?

Hippo’s market cap is $905.4M at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.31, with 26.39M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 7.3.

What is the Hippo stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hippo is $40.88, +19.1% from the last close. Of the 3 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Hippo stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Hippo is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $34.31 is 4.2% below Gekko Fair Value of $35.81. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Hippo report earnings next?

Hippo is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.32 per share on revenue of $153.4M.

What is Hippo’s 52-week high and low?

Hippo’s 52-week high is $38.73 and its 52-week low is $24.08; it closed at $34.31 on Oct 12, 2026, −4.4% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $112.23 on Oct 14, 2021.

Is Hippo stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 1 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend), 3 as mixed (gekkoindex, fair value and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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