NYSE: KMPR

Kemper (KMPR) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$27.61+0.66 (+2.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

Kemper's stock this week reflects a reckoning with its Q2 2026 results, in which the company reported a GAAP net loss of $464.8 million, driven primarily by a $460 million non-cash goodwill impairment in its specialty auto segment, alongside sequential improvement in adjusted consolidated net operating income to $26.3 million. Sell-side brokerages collectively rate the stock "Reduce," with three analysts recommending sell, four hold, and two buy, and an average 12-month price target of $43.25, while Pomerantz LLP has disclosed an investigation into potential securities fraud tied to increased minimum liability limits and higher loss costs. Separately, Kemper restructured its executive team, creating a new Distribution & Marketing organization and naming new leaders for P&C Claims and Kemper Life.

Kemper closed at $27.61, up 2.4%, sitting between its 50-day average of $27.10 and 200-day average of $30.43. The GekkoIndex reads 53.8, placing the stock in the Neutral zone, down from a five-day change of -8.1. Price remains 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.80.

Kemper next reports earnings on 4 November 2026, after close, 23 days away and within a typical 20-trading-day holding window; its average absolute reaction to prior reports has been 8.7%. Over the last 90 days, insiders made 3 open-market purchases totaling $315,010. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 1.3% gain over five years, rising in 2 of those years.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

Kemper price vs fair value

$30.80$27.61Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $27.61200-day averageGekko Fair Value $30.80

Kemper quick facts

Market cap
$1.63B
P/E ratio
—
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
−$8.36
Revenue, TTM
$4.59B
Profit margin
-10.8%
Dividend yield
4.88%
Beta
1.06
Volume
614,166 avg 816,857
1-year return
−44.0%
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
50-day average
$27.10
200-day average
$30.43
Next earnings
Nov 4 after close
Shares outstanding
58.87M
52-week range
$22.69$50.52

Kemper swing-trade checklist

Kemper scores 2 supportive, 3 mixed and 1 headwind across the 6 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive3 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendmixed

    Averages disagree

    Close $27.61 sits between the 50-day ($27.10) and 200-day ($30.43) averages, or the averages disagree.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    53.8, Neutral

    Reading 53.8 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuesupportive

    10.4% below

    Price is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value (more than 5% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneysupportive

    Leans bullish

    Last 90 days: 3 open-market insider purchases.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 23 days

    Reports on Nov 4, 2026, 23 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitymixed

    +1.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +1.3% over 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Kemper stock chart and price history

Kemper closed at $27.61 on Oct 12, 2026, −44.0% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $22.69 to $50.52.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Kemper share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$40$50$60NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct27.61

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.3%
3 months
−3.6%
6 months
−14.0%
1 year
−44.0%
The full KMPR chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open KMPR in Gekko

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About Kemper

Kemper operates as an insurance holding company, offering property and casualty coverage along with life and health policies across the United States. Individuals can obtain auto, homeowners', renters', fire, umbrella, and general liability protection, while businesses can access commercial auto insurance. The company is particularly associated with this broad mix of personal and commercial insurance lines sold under one roof.

The business runs through three main segments, covering specialty property and casualty insurance, preferred property and casualty insurance, and life and health insurance. On the life and health side, Kemper provides permanent and term life insurance, supplemental accident and health coverage, Medicare supplement plans, fixed hospital indemnity, home health care services, specified disease policies, and accident-only plans, aimed at customers in rural, suburban, and urban settings. These products reach policyholders mainly through independent agents and brokers rather than a direct sales force.

Kemper was established in 1990 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. It previously traded as Unitrin, Inc. before adopting its current name in August 2011. Its shares are listed on the NYSE under the ticker KMPR.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Property/Casualty insurance
Website
kemper.com

Kemper GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Kemper’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 53.8, in the Neutral zone, down 8.1 points over five sessions.

010053.8Neutral

Down 8.1 points over five sessions, from the Accumulation zone.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying50−1.6%−0.7%−1.6%−1.7%
Accumulation280−0.2%−0.9%−1.8%−6.2%
Neutral (current zone)336−0.4%−1.0%−2.1%−4.9%
Distribution15−1.0%−1.7%−3.8%−4.4%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average KMPR share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the KMPR price, zone by zone.Track KMPR in Gekko

Is Kemper stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Kemper trades 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.80, so the shares are undervalued on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Kemper shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$30.80

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

10.4% Undervalued

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 15.6% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$31$27Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open KMPR in Gekko

Kemper insider and Congress trading

Insiders filed 3 open-market purchases in Kemper worth $315K, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

$315Kin 3 open-market purchases

FiledInsiderTypeSharesValue
Aug 13Stephen J Mcanena
President and CEO
Purchase3,000$80K
Aug 11Jason N Gorevic
Director
Purchase5,000$130K
Aug 11Gerald Laderman
Director
Purchase4,000$106K

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in KMPR were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for KMPR, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open KMPR in Gekko

Buybacks

Kemper has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Dec 31, 2025
$50.60M
As a share of market cap
3.11%
Trailing four quarters
$301.9M

From company filings.

Kemper earnings: next date and track record

Kemper reports on Nov 4, 2026, after the close (23 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports.

4 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±8.7%average move across the report
3 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−2.0%Oct ’24+5.3%Feb ’25+1.4%May ’25−20.5%Aug ’25−16.5%Nov ’25−12.2%Feb ’26−10.6%May ’26+1.4%Aug ’26

Last earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 AI summary

What they said
Kemper's Q2 2026 earnings call featured prepared remarks from CEO Stephen McAnena and CFO Bradley Camden followed by an investor Q&A. Management emphasized a priority on restoring profitability, particularly in personal auto (driven by concentration in California) and a disciplined, profit-first approach to growth. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $464.8 million (driven primarily by a $460 million non-cash goodwill impairment in specialty auto) but adjusted consolidated net operating income of $26.3 million. Underlying operating trends showed sequential improvement driven by P&C underwriting performance, expense discipline, and stable life earnings. Management described rate filings (including ~6.9% actions and an expectation that California requires double-digit rate increases to return to profitability), non-rate actions such as slowing new business and expense initiatives, and organizational changes (realigning claims with other functions). They acknowledged continued reserve strengthening in commercial auto, driven largely by bodily injury exposure in California, and took a $21.1 million pre-tax charge to write down surplus notes issued to the reciprocal exchange. Management framed the goodwill impairment as non-cash with no impact on statutory capital or liquidity and emphasized underlying cash generation and improving operating metrics. The Q&A was constructive, with management direct about weaknesses, actions taken, and the need for time to see benefits.
Guidance
No formal numeric forward guidance (revenue or EPS) was issued. Management offered qualitative forward-looking guidance: they expect sequential improvement in operating results over coming quarters driven by P&C underwriting improvements, rate actions (including additional California filings and an expectation that double-digit rate levels will ultimately be needed in California), continued non-rate actions (slowing new business, expense reductions) to improve margins, and a more disciplined approach to growth (profitability first, then earned growth). They also indicated continued monitoring and potential further goodwill impairment if sustained share-price declines or operating challenges occur.
Risks flagged
Key risks mentioned include: potential for additional goodwill impairments if the share price remains depressed or operating results deteriorate; ongoing reserve risk in commercial auto (notably bodily injury exposure in California) and continued adverse prior-year development; uncertainty around regulatory approval and timing of California rate filings; continued underperformance of the reciprocal exchange (surplus note writedown and potential for further losses); and the time required for rate and non-rate actions to fully flow through results.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026$0.45
est $0.32
+40.6%$1.09B
est $1.16B
−6.2%+1.4%
May 6, 2026$0.21
est $0.80
−73.7%$1.11B
est $1.17B
−5.4%−10.6%
Feb 4, 2026$0.25
est $0.85
−70.6%$1.13B
est $1.18B
−4.5%−12.2%
Nov 5, 2025$0.33
est $1.33
−75.2%$1.24B
est $1.22B
+1.6%−16.5%
Aug 5, 2025$1.30
est $1.52
−14.5%$1.23B
est $1.27B
−3.7%−20.5%
May 7, 2025$1.65
est $1.48
+11.5%$1.19B
est $1.21B
−1.1%+1.4%
Feb 5, 2025$1.78
est $1.36
+30.9%$1.18B
est $1.16B
+1.7%+5.3%
Oct 30, 2024$1.62
est $1.30
+24.6%$1.18B
est $1.03B
+14.9%−2.0%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Kemper stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Kemper is $36.33, +31.6% from the last close, from 4 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$36.33consensus 12-month target, +31.6% from the last close
Low $28High $43
Buy2
Hold0
Sell2

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 4 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 27TD CowenBuy, reiterated$42+52.1%
Aug 10UBSBuy, reiterated$43+55.7%
Aug 6William BlairSell, maintained——
Aug 6Piper SandlerSell, maintained$28+1.4%
−2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+1.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.9%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Kemper seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, Kemper averaged +1.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 2 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−4.4%2021+27.6%2022−2.4%2023+8.7%2024−22.9%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+3.4%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+1.2%2 of 5
Next 15 trading days−0.1%2 of 5
Next 20 trading days+1.3%2 of 5
Next 30 trading days+1.6%2 of 5

For scale, KMPR’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.1%.

Kemper market cap and key statistics

Kemper’s market cap is $1.63B and revenue of $4.59B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$1.63B
Forward P/E
8.5
EPS, TTM
−$8.36
Gekko Fair Value
$30.80

Trading

Volume
614,166
Avg volume, 20 days
816,857
52-week high
$50.52
52-week low
$22.69
Shares outstanding
58.87M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$4.59B
Profit margin
-10.8%
Return on equity
-19.7%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
−3.4%

Risk and income

Beta
1.06
Typical daily move
±2.9%
Typical 20-day move
±6.1%
Dividend yield
4.88%

Kemper stock news this week

Coverage of Kemper this week reads negative: 1 positive, 0 neutral and 4 negative headlines.

News sentiment negative

Kemper peers

Kemper’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway+0.5%Neutral0.1% above
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway+0.1%Neutral1.2% below
CBChubb+0.6%Neutral1.8% below
TRVTravelers Companies+0.4%Neutral1.6% above
HIGHartford Insurance+0.1%Neutral7.1% below
MKLMarkel+1.2%Neutral3.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Kemper stock FAQ

What is Kemper’s market cap?

Kemper’s market cap is $1.63B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $27.61, with 58.87M shares outstanding.

What is the Kemper stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Kemper is $36.33, +31.6% from the last close. Of the 4 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 2 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Kemper stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Kemper is undervalued: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $27.61 is 10.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $30.80. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Kemper report earnings next?

Kemper is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026, after the market closes (23 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.56 per share on revenue of $1.07B. Kemper beat the earnings estimate in 4 of its last 8 reports, moving 8.7% on average across the report.

What is Kemper’s 52-week high and low?

Kemper’s 52-week high is $50.52 and its 52-week low is $22.69; it closed at $27.61 on Oct 12, 2026, −44.0% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $73.01 on Nov 25, 2024.

Is Kemper stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 6 items with data read as supportive (fair value and smart money), 3 as mixed (trend, gekkoindex and seasonality) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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