NYSE: HGTY

Hagerty (HGTY) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Sep 28 close

$13.53−0.06 (−0.4%)

Gekko Brief

AI summary

Hagerty draws attention this week from a director-linked charitable gift, a comparative analysis piece against Accelerant (ARX), and a bullish write-up describing accelerating fundamentals and strong written premium growth alongside a technical breakout despite messy GAAP numbers tied to a reinsurance transition. A separate Form 4 filing on 23 September disclosed further insider ownership changes without detailed figures.

Hagerty closed at $13.53, down 0.4% on the day, sitting above both its 50-day average of $12.97 and its 200-day average of $11.84, with the shorter average above the longer one. Shares have gained 1.6% over one month, 15.1% over three months, and 30.2% over six months, trading near the 52-week high of $14.17. The GekkoIndex reads 55.9, placing Hagerty in the Neutral zone, and the price sits 0.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.58.

Hagerty's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 November 2026, 36 days out and beyond a typical 20-trading-day holding window; the prior report on 5 August showed an actual loss of $0.02 per share against a $0.09 estimate, followed by a 15.1% reaction. No insider, Congress, or unusual options activity appears in the current windows. Seasonality over the past five years shows the next 20 trading days averaging -3.1%, with gains in none of those years, a pattern worth noting alongside the current five-analyst consensus target of $14.50.

Written by AI and checked automatically against the figures on this page. Generated Sep 29, 2026 from the data above.

Hagerty price vs fair value

$13.58$13.53Sep ’25Mar ’26Sep ’26
Close $13.53200-day averageGekko Fair Value $13.58

Hagerty quick facts

Market cap
$4.65B
P/E ratio
104.5
Forward P/E
24
EPS, TTM
$0.13
Revenue, TTM
$1.42B
Profit margin
1.3%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.81
Volume
480,357 avg 659,500
1-year return
+11.1%
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%
50-day average
$12.97
200-day average
$11.84
Next earnings
Nov 4
Shares outstanding
111.3M
52-week range
$9.36$14.17

Hagerty swing-trade checklist

Hagerty scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $13.53 is above the 50-day ($12.97) and 200-day ($11.84) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    55.9, Neutral

    Reading 55.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    0.4% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (0.4% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings risksupportive

    Reports in 36 days

    Next report Nov 4, 2026, 36 days away — outside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalityheadwind

    −3.1% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged −3.1% over 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

Hagerty stock chart and price history

Hagerty closed at $13.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $9.36 to $14.17.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
Hagerty share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$10$11$12$13$14NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep13.53

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+1.6%
3 months
+15.1%
6 months
+30.2%
1 year
+11.1%
The full HGTY chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open HGTY in Gekko

Follow Hagerty through every session

Put HGTY on a Gekko watchlist and see its GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and smart money signals update on the chart as they change.

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About Hagerty

Hagerty provides insurance for cars and boats, along with reinsurance products, and is widely recognized for its focus on collector and enthusiast vehicles. Alongside coverage, it runs a group of services aimed at car owners, including media content through magazine, video, and YouTube channels, and tools that let people look up current and past pricing for classic cars, trucks, SUVs, and motorcycles.

The company also operates a membership program that bundles its magazine, event access, valuation tools, roadside assistance, and discounts into a single subscription. It organizes gatherings ranging from small meetups to large events, runs a peer-to-peer rental platform for unique and classic vehicles, offers registration and payment management software for motorsports events, and provides storage facilities and social clubhouses for vehicle owners.

Hagerty's main operations are located in Traverse City, Michigan, and its shares trade on the NYSE under the ticker HGTY.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Property/Casualty insurance
Website
hagerty.com

Hagerty GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

Hagerty’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 55.9, in the Neutral zone, up 4.1 points over five sessions.

010055.9Neutral

Up 4.1 points over five sessions.

Reading for Sep 28, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying37−0.4%0.0%+1.8%+2.4%
Accumulation183+0.4%+1.1%+2.0%+2.8%
Neutral (current zone)411+0.9%+1.4%+2.1%+5.1%
Distribution40−1.5%−2.1%−0.2%+4.3%
Selling1Too few readings yet

Average HGTY share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the HGTY price, zone by zone.Track HGTY in Gekko

Is Hagerty stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

Hagerty trades 0.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.58, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what Hagerty shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$13.58

Gekko Fair Value, Sep 29, 2026

0.4% below fair value · About fair value

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open HGTY in Gekko

Hagerty insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for Hagerty, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for HGTY in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every HGTY insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HGTY in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in HGTY were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for HGTY, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open HGTY in Gekko

Buybacks

Hagerty has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, year ended Dec 31, 2024
$5.60M
As a share of market cap
0.12%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

2of the funds Gekko tracks hold HGTY.

0added1opened1trimmed0sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

Hagerty earnings: next date and track record

Hagerty reports on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±5.8%average move across the report
6 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

−6.2%Nov ’24−3.1%Mar ’25+9.2%May ’25+11.0%Aug ’25+0.8%Nov ’25+1.0%Feb ’26+0.1%May ’26+15.1%Aug ’26
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Aug 5, 2026−$0.02
est −$0.09
+76.9%$354.8M
est $316.2M
+12.2%+15.1%
May 6, 2026−$0.04
est $0.01
−500.0%$311.8M
est $284.9M
+9.5%+0.1%
Feb 26, 2026$0.08
est $0.04
+100.0%$357.3M
est $311.6M
+14.7%+1.0%
Nov 4, 2025$0.13
est $0.09
+44.4%$380.0M
est $323.5M
+17.5%+0.8%
Aug 4, 2025$0.13
est $0.11
+18.2%$368.7M
est $353.8M
+4.2%+11.0%
May 7, 2025$0.08
est $0.02
+300.0%$319.6M
est $351.4M
−9.0%+9.2%
Mar 4, 2025$0.02
est $0.01
+100.0%$299.8M
est $306.3M
−2.1%−3.1%
Nov 7, 2024$0.05
est $0.38
−86.8%$323.4M
est $279.4M
+15.7%−6.2%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

Hagerty stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for Hagerty is $14.50, +7.2% from the last close, from 5 firms rating the stock in the last 90 days.

$14.50consensus 12-month target, +7.2% from the last close
Low $13High $16
Buy1
Hold4
Sell0

Each firm’s latest rating in the last 90 days: 5 firms.

Latest analyst actions

DateFirmRatingTargetvs price
Aug 24J.P. MorganHold, maintained$14+3.5%
Aug 11KBWBuy, reiterated$16+18.3%
Aug 7Truist FinancialHold, reiterated$13−3.9%
Aug 6BMO CapitalHold, reiterated$14+3.5%
Aug 6Wells FargoHold, reiterated$14+3.5%
+2.1%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
−3.1%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±3.4%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

Hagerty seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Sep 29, Hagerty averaged −3.1% across the last 5 years, rising in 0 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

−0.1%2021−2.8%2022−7.2%2023+2.7%2024−4.7%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days−0.7%2 of 5
Next 10 trading days+0.1%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days−2.2%1 of 5
Next 20 trading days−3.1%0 of 5
Next 30 trading days+3.8%4 of 5

For scale, HGTY’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 6.2%.

Hagerty market cap and key statistics

Hagerty’s market cap is $4.65B, with a P/E ratio of 104.5 and revenue of $1.42B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$4.65B
P/E ratio
104.5
Forward P/E
24
EPS, TTM
$0.13
Gekko Fair Value
$13.58

Trading

Volume
480,357
Avg volume, 20 days
659,500
52-week high
$14.17
52-week low
$9.36
Shares outstanding
111.3M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$1.42B
Profit margin
1.3%
Return on equity
8.9%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+410.3%

Risk and income

Beta
0.81
Typical daily move
±3.4%
Typical 20-day move
±6.2%

Hagerty stock news this week

4 headlines about Hagerty from the past week, newest first, each linking to the publisher.

Hagerty peers

Hagerty’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway−0.4%Accumulation3.7% below
BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway−0.3%Accumulation2.8% below
CBChubb−0.7%Accumulation6.2% below
TRVTravelers Companies−0.1%Accumulation1.3% below
HIGHartford Insurance+1.3%Buying11.4% below
LLoews+0.1%Buying15.3% above

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

Hagerty stock FAQ

What is Hagerty’s market cap?

Hagerty’s market cap is $4.65B at the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.53, with 111.3M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 104.5.

What is the Hagerty stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for Hagerty is $14.50, +7.2% from the last close. Of the 5 firms that rated the stock in the last 90 days, 1 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is Hagerty stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate Hagerty is about fair value: the Sep 28, 2026 close of $13.53 is 0.4% below Gekko Fair Value of $13.58. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does Hagerty report earnings next?

Hagerty is expected to report on Nov 4, 2026 (36 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.01 per share on revenue of $338.8M. Hagerty beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 5.8% on average across the report.

What is Hagerty’s 52-week high and low?

Hagerty’s 52-week high is $14.17 and its 52-week low is $9.36; it closed at $13.53 on Sep 28, 2026, +11.1% over the past year. Over the last five years the shares peaked at $19.97 on Dec 13, 2021.

Is Hagerty stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and earnings risk), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (seasonality). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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