NYSE: SPNT

SiriusPoint (SPNT) Stock Analysis & Forecast

Oct 12 close

$25.54+0.58 (+2.3%)

Gekko Brief

AI summaryOct 12 close

The current price of $25.54 sits above both the 50-day average of $24.24 and the 200-day average of $22.72, with the stock up 2.3% and trading within its 52-week range of $17.39 to $26.50. Returns have been positive across recent horizons, with a one-month gain of 5.5%, a three-month gain of 3.3%, a six-month gain of 12.7% and a one-year gain of 38.1%. The GekkoIndex reading of 52.9 places SPNT in the Neutral zone, down 7 points over the last five readings. Gekko Fair Value stands at $26.03, putting the current price 1.9% below that level.

Over the next 20 trading days, the main event is the earnings report due 29 October 2026, before the open, 16 days out. In the last reported quarter, SiriusPoint posted EPS of $0.70 against an estimate of $0.57, and shares reacted with a 4.9% move; the company has beaten estimates in 6 of its last 8 quarters, with an average absolute reaction of 3.3%. No insider or Congress activity appears in the past 90 days, and no unusual options activity appears in the past 30 days. Seasonally, the next 20 trading days have averaged a 7.3% return over the past 5 years, rising in 5 of those years. The consensus analyst target sits at $28.75, implying 12.6% upside from current levels.

Written by AI from the Oct 12, 2026 close and checked automatically against the figures on this page.

SiriusPoint price vs fair value

$26.03$25.54Oct ’25Apr ’26Oct ’26
Close $25.54200-day averageGekko Fair Value $26.03

SiriusPoint quick facts

Market cap
$2.97B
P/E ratio
6.2
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$4.06
Revenue, TTM
$3.00B
Profit margin
16.9%
Dividend yield
—
Beta
0.59
Volume
544,737 avg 1.07M
1-year return
+38.1%
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%
50-day average
$24.24
200-day average
$22.72
Next earnings
Oct 29 before open
Shares outstanding
116.2M
52-week range
$17.39$26.50

SiriusPoint swing-trade checklist

SiriusPoint scores 2 supportive, 2 mixed and 1 headwind across the 5 checklist items with data.

Six things swing traders check before a 20-day hold, read from the latest data.

2 supportive2 mixed1 headwind

  • Trendsupportive

    Above 50 and 200-day

    Close $25.54 is above the 50-day ($24.24) and 200-day ($22.72) averages, and the 50-day is above the 200-day.

    See the chart
  • GekkoIndexmixed

    52.9, Neutral

    Reading 52.9 is in the Neutral zone.

    See the GekkoIndex
  • Fair valuemixed

    1.9% below

    Price is within 5% of Gekko Fair Value (1.9% below).

    See fair value
  • Smart moneyno data

    No data

    No insider, Congress or unusual options activity in the window.

    See smart money
  • Earnings riskheadwind

    Reports in 17 days

    Reports on Oct 29, 2026, 17 days away — inside a typical 20-trading-day hold.

    See earnings
  • Seasonalitysupportive

    +7.3% on average

    From this point in the calendar, the next 20 trading days averaged +7.3% over 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

    See seasonality

A description of current data, not a recommendation. How this page works

SiriusPoint stock chart and price history

SiriusPoint closed at $25.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +38.1% over the past year, inside a 52-week range of $17.39 to $26.50.

Close50-day average200-day averageVolume
SiriusPoint share price, past year, with 50-day and 200-day moving averages and volume$18$20$22$24NovDecJan 2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct25.54

Use the left and right arrow keys to read daily values.

Performance Breakdown

1 month
+5.5%
3 months
+3.3%
6 months
+12.7%
1 year
+38.1%
The full SPNT chart adds GekkoIndex, insider, options, Congress and hedge fund markers, plus TrendCandles™.Open SPNT in Gekko

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About SiriusPoint

SiriusPoint sells reinsurance and insurance coverage to customers in many countries, touching on property, casualty, accident and health, and specialty risk. Buyers can find protection for things like marine and energy exposure, aviation and space ventures, credit and surety risk, and mortgage-related losses, alongside health plans, coverage for canceled trips, case management support, and assistance for travelers facing medical emergencies at any hour.

The company runs through four business segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty. These units sell to insurers, reinsurers, government bodies, and other entities that take on risk, often working alongside distribution partners to build out program offerings and specialty lines in different regions.

Originally established in 2011 as Third Point Reinsurance Ltd., the firm took on its current identity, SiriusPoint, in February 2021. Its main office sits in Pembroke, Bermuda, and investors can trade its stock on the NYSE under the ticker SPNT.

Listed
NYSE
Sector
Finance
Industry
Property/Casualty insurance
Website
siriuspt.com

SiriusPoint GekkoIndex: the smart money zone

SiriusPoint’s GekkoIndex — Gekko’s 0 to 100 smart money score — reads 52.9, in the Neutral zone, down 7 points over five sessions.

010052.9Neutral

Down 7 points over five sessions.

Reading for Oct 12, 2026

What followed past readings in each zone

ZoneReadings5 days10 days20 days50 days
Buying10+7.7%+7.5%+9.1%+12.5%
Accumulation175+1.6%+3.0%+5.7%+10.5%
Neutral (current zone)443+0.4%+0.7%+1.3%+4.6%
Distribution45−1.7%−1.2%+0.4%+2.3%
Selling9Too few readings yet

Average SPNT share-price change over the trading days after each daily reading in its GekkoIndex history. Across every stock Gekko tracks, Neutral readings averaged +1.1% over 20 days. Past behaviour doesn’t guarantee future results.

Neutral zone: No clear directional signal. About the five zones →

See every daily GekkoIndex reading plotted over the SPNT price, zone by zone.Track SPNT in Gekko

Is SiriusPoint stock overvalued? Gekko Fair Value

SiriusPoint trades 1.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.03, so the shares are about fair value on Gekko’s estimate.

Gekko’s own estimate of what SiriusPoint shares are worth, recalculated every trading day.

$26.03

Gekko Fair Value, Oct 10, 2026

1.9% below fair value · About fair value

At the end of Aug 2026 the price was 8.4% below the estimate.

Gekko Fair ValueShare price, month end
$26$25Aug 2026SepOct 2026

How Gekko Fair Value works →

Gekko Fair Value on every chart, with the gap to price updating daily.Open SPNT in Gekko

SiriusPoint insider and Congress trading

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SiriusPoint, and no Congress trades were disclosed, in the last 90 days.

Plus buybacks, unusual options and fund positions, each dated to when it became public.

Insider buying last 90 days

No open-market insider purchases were filed for SPNT in the last 90 days.

From Form 4 filings, dated to when each was filed.

Every SPNT insider filing, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SPNT in Gekko

Congress trades last 90 days

No trades in SPNT were disclosed by members of Congress in the last 90 days.

From congressional disclosures, which report amounts as ranges.

Congress disclosures for SPNT, plotted on the chart in Gekko.Open SPNT in Gekko

Buybacks

SiriusPoint has been buying back its own shares.

Bought back, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
$51.40M
As a share of market cap
1.73%

From company filings.

Hedge funds and billionaires quarter ended Jun 30

0of the funds Gekko tracks hold SPNT.

0added0opened0trimmed1sold out
Which funds are on each side, name by name.Unlock in Gekko

SiriusPoint earnings: next date and track record

SiriusPoint reports on Oct 29, 2026, before the open (17 days away), and beat the EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports.

6 of 8reports beat the EPS estimate
±3.3%average move across the report
4 of 8reports followed by a gain

Share-price move across each report

+0.7%Apr ’24+1.6%Aug ’24−2.6%Oct ’24−1.2%Feb ’25+8.9%May ’25−6.0%Aug ’25−0.3%Oct ’25+4.9%Feb ’26

Last earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 AI summary

What they said
SiriusPoint delivered strong Q4 2025 results with 16% top-line growth for the year and 28% increase in diluted book value per share. Operating earnings per share rose 49% year-over-year, with operating ROE of 16.2% exceeding the 12-15% target range. The company completed the $250 million Armada sale, reducing leverage to 23%, and maintained disciplined underwriting with a core combined ratio of 92.9%.
Guidance
Management expects tougher insurance market conditions in 2026 but believes their diversified portfolio positions them well to maintain current performance levels. Focus will be on underwriting performance first over growth.
ReportedEPSSurpriseRevenueSurpriseMove
Feb 18, 2026$0.70
est $0.57
+22.0%$898.3M
est $705.5M
+27.3%+4.9%
Oct 30, 2025$0.73
est $0.47
+55.3%$753.5M
est $564.0M
+33.6%−0.3%
Aug 4, 2025$0.66
est $0.57
+15.8%$748.2M
est $739.3M
+1.2%−6.0%
May 5, 2025$0.49
est $0.26
+88.5%$78.80M
est $697.0M
−88.7%+8.9%
Feb 18, 2025−$0.13
est $0.36
−136.1%$625.7M—−1.2%
Oct 31, 2024$0.03
est $0.05
−43.2%$562.2M—−2.6%
Aug 1, 2024$0.57
est $0.40
+42.5%$743.3M—+1.6%
Apr 30, 2024$0.49
est $0.35
+40.0%$685.5M—+0.7%

“Move” is the close of the first session after the report compared with the close of the last session before it, so it reads the same whether the company reported before the open or after the close.

SiriusPoint stock forecast and analyst price targets

Analysts’ average 12-month price target for SiriusPoint is $28.75, +12.6% from the last close.

$28.75consensus 12-month target, +12.6% from the last close
+1.3%average 20-day move after past Neutral readings
+7.3%average move over the next 20 trading days in the last 5 years
±2.5%typical daily move, from the 14-day average range

Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions. These are analyst targets and historical base rates, which don’t guarantee future results.

SiriusPoint seasonality: the next 20 trading days

Over the next 20 trading days from Oct 10, SiriusPoint averaged +7.3% across the last 5 years, rising in 5 of them.

Next 20 trading days, by year

+5.8%2021+16.0%2022+1.7%2023+2.8%2024+7.4%2025

Average move and hit rate

WindowAverageYears higher
Next 5 trading days+1.1%4 of 5
Next 10 trading days+3.0%3 of 5
Next 15 trading days+5.7%3 of 5
Next 20 trading days+7.3%5 of 5
Next 30 trading days+8.4%4 of 5

For scale, SPNT’s typical 20-trading-day move in either direction is about 5.3%.

SiriusPoint market cap and key statistics

SiriusPoint’s market cap is $2.97B, with a P/E ratio of 6.2 and revenue of $3.00B over the last twelve months.

Valuation

Market cap
$2.97B
P/E ratio
6.2
Forward P/E
9.2
EPS, TTM
$4.06
Gekko Fair Value
$26.03

Trading

Volume
544,737
Avg volume, 20 days
1.07M
52-week high
$26.50
52-week low
$17.39
Shares outstanding
116.2M

Financials

Revenue, TTM
$3.00B
Profit margin
16.9%
Return on equity
23.1%
Quarterly earnings growth, YoY
+16.0%

Risk and income

Beta
0.59
Typical daily move
±2.5%
Typical 20-day move
±5.3%

SiriusPoint peers

SiriusPoint’s 6 largest industry peers by market value, with today’s move, GekkoIndex zone and gap to Gekko Fair Value.

StockTodayGekkoIndex zonevs Fair Value
BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway+0.5%Neutral0.1% above
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway+0.1%Neutral1.2% below
CBChubb+0.6%Neutral1.8% below
TRVTravelers Companies+0.4%Neutral1.6% above
HIGHartford Insurance+0.1%Neutral7.1% below
MKLMarkel+1.2%Neutral3.3% below

A peer links to its own page where one exists.

In the Buying zone today

Reporting earnings this week

Popular on Gekko

SiriusPoint stock FAQ

What is SiriusPoint’s market cap?

SiriusPoint’s market cap is $2.97B at the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.54, with 116.2M shares outstanding. The shares trade on a P/E ratio of 6.2.

What is the SiriusPoint stock forecast?

The consensus analyst 12-month price target for SiriusPoint is $28.75, +12.6% from the last close. Gekko doesn’t publish price predictions of its own.

Is SiriusPoint stock overvalued or undervalued?

On Gekko’s estimate SiriusPoint is about fair value: the Oct 12, 2026 close of $25.54 is 1.9% below Gekko Fair Value of $26.03. Gekko Fair Value is recalculated every trading day, and a gap inside 5% either way counts as about fair value.

When does SiriusPoint report earnings next?

SiriusPoint is expected to report on Oct 29, 2026, before the market opens (17 days away). Analysts expect earnings of $0.62 per share on revenue of $738.2M. SiriusPoint beat the earnings estimate in 6 of its last 8 reports, moving 3.3% on average across the report.

What is SiriusPoint’s 52-week high and low?

SiriusPoint’s 52-week high is $26.50 and its 52-week low is $17.39; it closed at $25.54 on Oct 12, 2026, +38.1% over the past year.

Is SiriusPoint stock a buy right now?

Gekko describes the data; it does not make buy or sell recommendations. On the swing-trade checklist, 2 of the 5 items with data read as supportive (trend and seasonality), 2 as mixed (gekkoindex and fair value) and 1 as a headwind (earnings risk). The checklist is a description of current data, not a recommendation.

How this page works

During US trading hours the price at the top of the page is a delayed quote, refreshed every 15 minutes; everything else is rebuilt after each US market close. The GekkoIndex, Gekko Fair Value and the checklist are Gekko’s own, and the Gekko Brief is written by AI from this page’s data and checked against it before it is published. How Gekko’s data works →

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